Crown LegacyvsCarolina Core
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
home_ -0.25 1/4 models |
Crown Legacy 3/4 models |
Crown Legacy 3/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
home_ -1 1/4 models |
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy 2/4 models |
2-1 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
home_ -0.25 |
48%
Crown Legacy |
55%
Crown Legacy |
52%
over |
57%
yes |
51%
home_ -1 |
29%
Draw / Crown Legacy |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
home_ -0.25 Slight home favoritism after adjusting for venue and defensive metrics. The quarter-goal line captures the modest edge without overcommittin...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Crown Legacy Crown Legacy's home form shows better defensive record conceding only 8 goals versus Carolina's 13 on the road. The single H2H result favors...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Crown Legacy Home side has stronger defensive metrics and home record. Carolina's leaky away defense makes backing Crown Legacy without the draw option t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Both teams average over 4 goals combined per game in recent form. MLS Next Pro games at this venue often trend open, outweighing any minor s...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
yes Both sides concede regularly on the road and at home respectively. High combined scoring form supports both teams finding the net.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
home_ -1 Crown Legacy's home defensive stability gives them the edge to win by more than one goal slightly more often than Carolina covers the opposi...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Crown Legacy Home side likely starts cautiously then pulls ahead in second half given better home form and Carolina's tendency to concede late. Draw at h...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Most probable outcome given scoring trends and H2H pattern of low-scoring but open games. 2-1 captures the home edge with both teams contrib... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Carolina Core +1.0 |
45%
Crown Legacy |
62%
Crown Legacy |
60%
Over |
65%
Yes |
55%
Carolina Core +1 |
25%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Carolina Core +1.0 Aligning with the European handicap analysis, an 'Away +1.0' Asian Handicap is favored. This means that if Carolina Core draws or wins, the...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Crown Legacy Crown Legacy benefits from home advantage and has a slightly better recent defensive record, conceding fewer goals than Carolina Core. Carol...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Crown Legacy Removing the draw option, Crown Legacy becomes the clear favorite due to their home advantage and Carolina Core's defensive struggles. Their...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games, with Crown Legacy scoring 11 and Carolina Core 10 in their last five. Carolina Co...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Both Crown Legacy and Carolina Core have strong attacking records, scoring 11 and 10 goals respectively in their last five matches. Carolina...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Carolina Core +1 While Crown Legacy is favored to win, Carolina Core's ability to score and the overall competitiveness of the league suggest that a win by t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy Crown Legacy is expected to start strong with home advantage and a slightly better defensive record, aiming to secure an early lead and main...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 A 2-1 scoreline aligns with a narrow home win, supporting the 'Over 2.5' and 'BTTS Yes' predictions due to both teams' attacking strengths a... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
48%
away_0.0_ -0.5 |
45%
Carolina Core |
48%
Carolina Core |
55%
over |
58%
yes |
45%
Carolina Core |
18%
draw_away |
12%
1-2 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
away_0.0_ -0.5 Carolina Core won the head-to-head convincingly and has shown a slightly better offensive output recently. This suggests they have the edge...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Carolina Core While Crown Legacy has slightly better recent form at home, Carolina Core won the only head-to-head encounter between these two teams convin...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
Carolina Core Given Carolina Core's head-to-head advantage and slightly more potent attack in recent games, they are favored to at least avoid defeat. Cro...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a capacity to score in their recent matches, as indicated by their goal tallies. However, Carolina Core's defense has...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Carolina Core's defense has been porous, conceding 13 goals in their last 5 games. Despite Crown Legacy's stronger home defense, the offensi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Carolina Core Carolina Core won the only head-to-head meeting 2-0, suggesting they can overcome Crown Legacy. While Crown Legacy has a decent home record,...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
18%
draw_away Carolina Core has shown the ability to win against Crown Legacy and also has a higher scoring rate recently. However, Crown Legacy's home fo...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Considering Carolina Core's winning head-to-head record and their slightly better recent scoring form, a narrow away win seems plausible. Gi... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
52%
Crown Legacy -0.5 |
52%
Crown Legacy |
66%
Crown Legacy |
60%
over |
62%
yes |
42%
Crown Legacy -1 |
30%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy |
13%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Crown Legacy -0.5 Home -0.5 is effectively the moneyline, where Crown Legacy hold a slim edge per the form data and home-field. Carolina Core's ability to sco...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Crown Legacy No live access, so this is predicted from training knowledge (through 2025) and the reference data in the brief. Crown Legacy carry a modest...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
66%
Crown Legacy Removing the draw from the equation, Crown Legacy's home edge and Carolina's defensive frailty (13 conceded in 5) make the hosts the more li...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both sides show high goals involvement: Crown Legacy scored 11 and conceded 8 in five, while Carolina Core scored 10 and conceded 13 in five...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
yes Crown Legacy concede 1.6 per game and Carolina Core score 2.0 per game recently, while Carolina concede 2.6, so both teams finding the net i...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Crown Legacy -1 A -1 spread for Crown Legacy asks them to win by two or more, which is a stretch given the teams' recent parity and Carolina's goal-scoring...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy Crown Legacy are the slightly stronger side, so a lead at half-time converting to a full-time win is the modal outcome, but MLS Next Pro mat...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 With both teams scoring freely and conceding regularly, a 2-1 home win is the single most likely scoreline, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. Carolin... |
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Asian handicap
Consensushome_ -0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
home_ -0.25
Slight home favoritism after adjusting for venue and defensive metrics. The quarter-goal line captures the modest edge without overcommittin...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Carolina Core +1.0
Aligning with the European handicap analysis, an 'Away +1.0' Asian Handicap is favored. This means that if Carolina Core draws or wins, the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
away_0.0_ -0.5
Carolina Core won the head-to-head convincingly and has shown a slightly better offensive output recently. This suggests they have the edge...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Crown Legacy -0.5
Home -0.5 is effectively the moneyline, where Crown Legacy hold a slim edge per the form data and home-field. Carolina Core's ability to sco...
Match winner
ConsensusCrown Legacy 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy's home form shows better defensive record conceding only 8 goals versus Carolina's 13 on the road. The single H2H result favors...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy benefits from home advantage and has a slightly better recent defensive record, conceding fewer goals than Carolina Core. Carol...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Carolina Core
While Crown Legacy has slightly better recent form at home, Carolina Core won the only head-to-head encounter between these two teams convin...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Crown Legacy
No live access, so this is predicted from training knowledge (through 2025) and the reference data in the brief. Crown Legacy carry a modest...
Draw no bet
ConsensusCrown Legacy 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Crown Legacy
Home side has stronger defensive metrics and home record. Carolina's leaky away defense makes backing Crown Legacy without the draw option t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
62%
Crown Legacy
Removing the draw option, Crown Legacy becomes the clear favorite due to their home advantage and Carolina Core's defensive struggles. Their...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
Carolina Core
Given Carolina Core's head-to-head advantage and slightly more potent attack in recent games, they are favored to at least avoid defeat. Cro...
DeepSeek V3
66%
Crown Legacy
Removing the draw from the equation, Crown Legacy's home edge and Carolina's defensive frailty (13 conceded in 5) make the hosts the more li...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
Both teams average over 4 goals combined per game in recent form. MLS Next Pro games at this venue often trend open, outweighing any minor s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over
Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games, with Crown Legacy scoring 11 and Carolina Core 10 in their last five. Carolina Co...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
Both teams have shown a capacity to score in their recent matches, as indicated by their goal tallies. However, Carolina Core's defense has...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
Both sides show high goals involvement: Crown Legacy scored 11 and conceded 8 in five, while Carolina Core scored 10 and conceded 13 in five...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
yes
Both sides concede regularly on the road and at home respectively. High combined scoring form supports both teams finding the net.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
Both Crown Legacy and Carolina Core have strong attacking records, scoring 11 and 10 goals respectively in their last five matches. Carolina...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
Carolina Core's defense has been porous, conceding 13 goals in their last 5 games. Despite Crown Legacy's stronger home defense, the offensi...
DeepSeek V3
62%
yes
Crown Legacy concede 1.6 per game and Carolina Core score 2.0 per game recently, while Carolina concede 2.6, so both teams finding the net i...
Spread
Consensushome_ -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ -1
Crown Legacy's home defensive stability gives them the edge to win by more than one goal slightly more often than Carolina covers the opposi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Carolina Core +1
While Crown Legacy is favored to win, Carolina Core's ability to score and the overall competitiveness of the league suggest that a win by t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Carolina Core
Carolina Core won the only head-to-head meeting 2-0, suggesting they can overcome Crown Legacy. While Crown Legacy has a decent home record,...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Crown Legacy -1
A -1 spread for Crown Legacy asks them to win by two or more, which is a stretch given the teams' recent parity and Carolina's goal-scoring...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusCrown Legacy / Crown Legacy 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Crown Legacy
Home side likely starts cautiously then pulls ahead in second half given better home form and Carolina's tendency to concede late. Draw at h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy is expected to start strong with home advantage and a slightly better defensive record, aiming to secure an early lead and main...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
18%
draw_away
Carolina Core has shown the ability to win against Crown Legacy and also has a higher scoring rate recently. However, Crown Legacy's home fo...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy are the slightly stronger side, so a lead at half-time converting to a full-time win is the modal outcome, but MLS Next Pro mat...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Most probable outcome given scoring trends and H2H pattern of low-scoring but open games. 2-1 captures the home edge with both teams contrib...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-1
A 2-1 scoreline aligns with a narrow home win, supporting the 'Over 2.5' and 'BTTS Yes' predictions due to both teams' attacking strengths a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
12%
1-2
Considering Carolina Core's winning head-to-head record and their slightly better recent scoring form, a narrow away win seems plausible. Gi...
DeepSeek V3
13%
2-1
With both teams scoring freely and conceding regularly, a 2-1 home win is the single most likely scoreline, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. Carolin...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Crown Legacy
Grok 4 Fast
Crown Legacy
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Crown Legacy
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Carolina Core
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Call the exact final score
Free account. Pick the exact final score, lock it before kickoff, beat the AI consensus across the WC and win a lifetime free plan.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
1e258035871cc9ac…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 12 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 42003,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Sportsplex at Matthews",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-12T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 12 Sep 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Carolina Core",
"home": "Crown Legacy"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DLLWD",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 13
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WLWLD",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 11,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 8
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 8
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-06-14: Carolina Core 2–0 Crown Legacy"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
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