Cruz AzulvsClub America
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Club America 2/4 models |
Cruz Azul -0.25 1/4 models |
Draw / Club America 2/4 models |
1-0 1/4 models |
Club America 2/4 models |
Club America 3/4 models |
under 2/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
51%
Cruz Azul |
53%
Cruz Azul -0.25 |
29%
Draw / Cruz Azul |
18%
1-0 |
48%
Cruz Azul |
55%
Cruz Azul |
53%
under |
52%
yes |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Cruz Azul Home side expected to win by one goal on average in this matchup. America's defensive record on the road keeps the margin narrow. Training d...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Cruz Azul -0.25 Half-goal handicap captures the slim home advantage typical in Clásico Joven. Rest parity removes fatigue edge. Training data through 2025-0...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Cruz Azul Matches often see a cautious first half before home side pushes ahead late. Historical derby data supports draw at half and home win at full...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low-scoring home win is the most frequent outcome in recent Clásico encounters. Both defenses limit high tallies. Training data through 2025...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul hold a slight home edge in this derby based on historical patterns. America's recent away form is strong but the venue and rest pa...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Cruz Azul Home side has better record when avoiding draws in Liga MX derbies. America's away record includes one loss but they are hard to beat outrig...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both sides average under 2.8 goals per game recently and defensive setups often produce tight affairs. Derby intensity plus possible weather...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes America concede on the road while Cruz Azul rarely keep clean sheets at home. Both teams have attacking quality to score. Training data thro... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Cruz Azul +1 |
55%
Cruz Azul +0.5 |
25%
Draw / Club America |
12%
1-2 |
45%
Club America |
64%
Club America |
55%
Over 2.5 Goals |
60%
Yes |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Cruz Azul +1 While Club America is favored for the outright win, a derby against Cruz Azul is typically a close affair. Taking Cruz Azul with a +1 goal h...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Cruz Azul +0.5 My H2H prediction leans towards Club America winning, but the probabilities for a draw or a Cruz Azul win combined are higher (0.30 + 0.25 =...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Club America Derbies frequently begin with a cautious approach from both sides, leading to an equal score at halftime. However, Club America's superior a...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 This score aligns with my predictions for Club America to win, both teams to score, and an overall total of over 2.5 goals. Club America's o...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Club America Club America enters this derby in better recent form, winning three of their last five matches. While playing away against a rival is tough,...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
64%
Club America Given Club America's stronger recent performance and the draw no bet market removing the draw outcome, they remain the favored side. This pr...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Goals Club America has scored 8 goals in their last five, while Cruz Azul has scored 6, indicating both teams can find the net. Cruz Azul has also...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes Both Club America and Cruz Azul have scored in four out of their last five matches. Cruz Azul's recent defensive record shows them conceding... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
50%
Club America |
55%
Club America |
35%
Club America / Club America |
15%
2-1 |
55%
Club America |
55%
Club America |
55%
over |
60%
yes |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Club America Club America's superior form suggests they have a good chance of winning by more than one goal. Cruz Azul's recent defensive performances ha...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Club America Club America is in much better form and has a better recent record than Cruz Azul. This suggests they are the stronger team and more likely...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Club America / Club America Considering Club America's superior recent form and Cruz Azul's struggles, it's plausible that Club America could lead at halftime and exten...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Club America's good form suggests they will score, and Cruz Azul's poor form means they are likely to concede but may still get a consolatio...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Club America Club America is in significantly better recent form than Cruz Azul, having won their last three matches. Cruz Azul has lost their last three...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Club America Given Club America's superior recent form and Cruz Azul's struggles, Club America is favored. This market accounts for the possibility of a...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, as indicated by their recent form. Club America has scored 8 and conceded 4 in their last...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Club America's recent form shows them scoring in most of their games, and while Cruz Azul has been losing, they have still managed to score... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
30%
Club America |
51%
Club America +0 |
19%
Draw / Club America |
13%
1-1 |
31%
Draw |
51%
Club America |
55%
under |
54%
yes |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Club America Backing America to cover a minus-one spread assumes a two-goal win, which is unlikely in a derby; the value is thin and the most probable si...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Club America +0 On a level handicap, I take the away side given their superior five-game form and better defensive numbers. Cruz Azul's home advantage narro...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
19%
Draw / Club America Derbies are typically level at the break before quality tells; America's marginally superior squad makes a half-time draw into an away win t...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
1-1 A tight derby profile points to the most common low-scoring scores, with 1-1 the modal outcome. Both defenses have been beatable so neither...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
31%
Draw No live access available; this is a training-data estimate and the fixture sits in September 2026, beyond my knowledge cutoff, so it is spec...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
51%
Club America Removing the draw, America's stronger recent record (8 scored, 4 conceded in five) edges out Cruz Azul's leakier 2W-3L stretch. Training-dat...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Big Mexican derbies historically trend cagey with both defenses prioritized, and both teams show moderate scoring output rather than free-fl...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
yes Both defenses have been unconvincing recently — Cruz Azul conceded seven in five and America four in five — while each carries genuine attac... |
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Spread
ConsensusClub America 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Cruz Azul
Home side expected to win by one goal on average in this matchup. America's defensive record on the road keeps the margin narrow. Training d...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Cruz Azul +1
While Club America is favored for the outright win, a derby against Cruz Azul is typically a close affair. Taking Cruz Azul with a +1 goal h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Club America
Club America's superior form suggests they have a good chance of winning by more than one goal. Cruz Azul's recent defensive performances ha...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Club America
Backing America to cover a minus-one spread assumes a two-goal win, which is unlikely in a derby; the value is thin and the most probable si...
Asian handicap
ConsensusCruz Azul -0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Cruz Azul -0.25
Half-goal handicap captures the slim home advantage typical in Clásico Joven. Rest parity removes fatigue edge. Training data through 2025-0...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Cruz Azul +0.5
My H2H prediction leans towards Club America winning, but the probabilities for a draw or a Cruz Azul win combined are higher (0.30 + 0.25 =...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Club America
Club America is in much better form and has a better recent record than Cruz Azul. This suggests they are the stronger team and more likely...
DeepSeek V3
51%
Club America +0
On a level handicap, I take the away side given their superior five-game form and better defensive numbers. Cruz Azul's home advantage narro...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Club America 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Cruz Azul
Matches often see a cautious first half before home side pushes ahead late. Historical derby data supports draw at half and home win at full...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Draw / Club America
Derbies frequently begin with a cautious approach from both sides, leading to an equal score at halftime. However, Club America's superior a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Club America / Club America
Considering Club America's superior recent form and Cruz Azul's struggles, it's plausible that Club America could lead at halftime and exten...
DeepSeek V3
19%
Draw / Club America
Derbies are typically level at the break before quality tells; America's marginally superior squad makes a half-time draw into an away win t...
Correct score
Consensus1-0 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
Low-scoring home win is the most frequent outcome in recent Clásico encounters. Both defenses limit high tallies. Training data through 2025...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
12%
1-2
This score aligns with my predictions for Club America to win, both teams to score, and an overall total of over 2.5 goals. Club America's o...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
Club America's good form suggests they will score, and Cruz Azul's poor form means they are likely to concede but may still get a consolatio...
DeepSeek V3
13%
1-1
A tight derby profile points to the most common low-scoring scores, with 1-1 the modal outcome. Both defenses have been beatable so neither...
Match winner
ConsensusClub America 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul hold a slight home edge in this derby based on historical patterns. America's recent away form is strong but the venue and rest pa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Club America
Club America enters this derby in better recent form, winning three of their last five matches. While playing away against a rival is tough,...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Club America
Club America is in significantly better recent form than Cruz Azul, having won their last three matches. Cruz Azul has lost their last three...
DeepSeek V3
31%
Draw
No live access available; this is a training-data estimate and the fixture sits in September 2026, beyond my knowledge cutoff, so it is spec...
Draw no bet
ConsensusClub America 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Cruz Azul
Home side has better record when avoiding draws in Liga MX derbies. America's away record includes one loss but they are hard to beat outrig...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
64%
Club America
Given Club America's stronger recent performance and the draw no bet market removing the draw outcome, they remain the favored side. This pr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Club America
Given Club America's superior recent form and Cruz Azul's struggles, Club America is favored. This market accounts for the possibility of a...
DeepSeek V3
51%
Club America
Removing the draw, America's stronger recent record (8 scored, 4 conceded in five) edges out Cruz Azul's leakier 2W-3L stretch. Training-dat...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
Both sides average under 2.8 goals per game recently and defensive setups often produce tight affairs. Derby intensity plus possible weather...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Club America has scored 8 goals in their last five, while Cruz Azul has scored 6, indicating both teams can find the net. Cruz Azul has also...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, as indicated by their recent form. Club America has scored 8 and conceded 4 in their last...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
Big Mexican derbies historically trend cagey with both defenses prioritized, and both teams show moderate scoring output rather than free-fl...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
yes
America concede on the road while Cruz Azul rarely keep clean sheets at home. Both teams have attacking quality to score. Training data thro...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Yes
Both Club America and Cruz Azul have scored in four out of their last five matches. Cruz Azul's recent defensive record shows them conceding...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
yes
Club America's recent form shows them scoring in most of their games, and while Cruz Azul has been losing, they have still managed to score...
DeepSeek V3
54%
yes
Both defenses have been unconvincing recently — Cruz Azul conceded seven in five and America four in five — while each carries genuine attac...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Club America
Grok 4 Fast
Cruz Azul
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Club America
DeepSeek V3
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
2da7de326075077a…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Sep 13 · 03:15 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 42107,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Estadio Banorte",
"league": "Liga MX",
"starts_at": "2026-09-13T03:15:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 13 Sep 2026 03:15:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Club America",
"home": "Cruz Azul"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LDWWW",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWLLL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
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