Transport UnitedvsThimphu City
Transport United 0–3 Thimphu City
3 of 6 AIs leaned Transport United — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Transport United 3/6
- Correct calls
- 2/6
- Final
- 0–3
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Transport United 3/6 models |
Yes 3/6 models |
Over 2.5 2/6 models |
Transport United -0.5 1/6 models |
Transport United / Transport United 3/6 models |
Transport United -1 2/6 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Transport United
L
|
53%
No
W
|
55%
Under 2.5
L
|
56%
Transport United -0.5
L
|
42%
Transport United / Transport United
L
|
52%
Transport United -1
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Transport United Transport United as home side carries typical home-field advantage in Premier League contexts. Both teams are relatively unfamiliar entities...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
No Given the lack of granular attacking and defensive data for either side, and the tendency for lower-profile domestic encounters to see at le...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Without recent form data or xG metrics, I apply the historical tendency that domestic league matches involving less-established or lower-pro...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
Transport United -0.5 The -0.5 Asian handicap (half-goal start for Transport United) balances home advantage with visitor resilience better than larger spreads. T...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Transport United / Transport United Half-time and full-time outcomes for Transport United favour a clean home advantage arc (leading at HT and maintaining to FT). This is the m...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Transport United -1 The -1 spread (Transport United to win by at least 2 goals) is a strong test of home dominance. Without form or xG data, this is a cautious... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
Thimphu City
W
|
52%
yes
L
|
60%
over
W
|
53%
Thimphu City |
35%
away_away |
50%
Thimphu City
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Thimphu City Thimphu City historically dominate Bhutanese football over Transport United based on past seasons. No fresh data available beyond training c...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Both teams tend to concede in head-to-head encounters. Form suggests leaky defenses on both sides. No injury or lineup data available.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Bhutan league games between these sides often produce goals. Limited rest and attacking styles point to open match. Training data through 20...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Thimphu City Thimphu City favored on handicap given historical edge. Outdoor conditions unknown but typical scoring favors away. Training data only.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
away_away Away win to nil or with lead at half is most common pattern in these fixtures. Data limited to pre-2026 knowledge.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Thimphu City Away side expected to edge narrow win. Spread market reflects quality gap seen in prior seasons. Purely training knowledge based. |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Away Win
L
|
55%
Yes
L
|
60%
Over 2.5
W
|
58%
Thimphu City -0.5
W
|
50%
Thimphu City / Thimphu City |
80%
Thimphu City -1
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Away Win Based on my training data up to my last update, Thimphu City has historically been one of the stronger teams in the Bhutan Premier League. T...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Even though Thimphu City is favored to win, Transport United often manages to find the net, particularly when playing at home. Given the exp...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 2.5 Thimphu City, as the more dominant attacking side, is expected to score multiple goals in this encounter. While Transport United may struggl...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Thimphu City -0.5 Based on my training data, Thimphu City is the superior team and the favorite to win this match. A -0.5 Asian Handicap means they must win o...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Thimphu City / Thimphu City Given Thimphu City's expected superiority based on my training data, they are likely to assert control early in the match. It is probable th...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
80%
Thimphu City -1 This market implies a -1 goal handicap for the home team, Transport United. Based on my training data, Thimphu City is the significantly str... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Thimphu City
W
|
55%
yes
L
|
60%
over
W
|
55%
away_ 0.0 |
40%
draw_away |
50%
Thimphu City
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Thimphu City Based on my training data, Thimphu City has historically been the stronger team in this fixture, suggesting they are more likely to win.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Given the historical goal-scoring patterns of both teams and the general league trends, there's a reasonable chance both will find the net.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over My training data suggests that matches between these two teams, and in this league generally, tend to feature a moderate number of goals.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away_ 0.0 This market essentially becomes a head-to-head bet with the handicap removed. Thimphu City is favored to secure at least a draw or a win.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
draw_away Thimphu City is expected to be the stronger side and likely secure a win, but Transport United might hold them to a draw in the first half.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Thimphu City While Thimphu City is favored to win, Transport United's home advantage might keep the scoreline close, making a win by more than one goal u... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
60%
Transport United
L
|
55%
Yes
L
|
55%
Over 2.5 goals
W
|
55%
Thimphu City +0.75
W
|
38%
Transport United / Transport United
L
|
40%
Transport United -1.0
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Transport United Transport United are historically stronger in the Bhutan Premier League, especially at home. Thimphu City are competitive but lack consisten...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Both sides have attacking threats and leaky defenses historically. Thimphu City can score away, and Transport United are potent at home. Sti...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 goals Matches between these teams often see goals, as both play attacking football. With limited defensive stability, over 2.5 is likely. However,...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Thimphu City +0.75 A +0.75 handicap gives Thimphu City a split edge that covers a draw or a one-goal loss. Given home advantage may not be decisive, the away s...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Transport United / Transport United Transport United are likely to lead at half-time given home advantage. However, Thimphu City have fought back in the past. The most probable...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Transport United -1.0 Transport United are favored but not dominant enough to consistently win by multiple goals. Thimphu City can keep it close. The +1.0 for the... |
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Match winner
ConsensusTransport United 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Transport United
L
Transport United as home side carries typical home-field advantage in Premier League contexts. Both teams are relatively unfamiliar entities...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Thimphu City
W
Thimphu City historically dominate Bhutanese football over Transport United based on past seasons. No fresh data available beyond training c...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Away Win
L
Based on my training data up to my last update, Thimphu City has historically been one of the stronger teams in the Bhutan Premier League. T...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Thimphu City
W
Based on my training data, Thimphu City has historically been the stronger team in this fixture, suggesting they are more likely to win.
DeepSeek V3
60%
Transport United
L
Transport United are historically stronger in the Bhutan Premier League, especially at home. Thimphu City are competitive but lack consisten...
Both teams to score
ConsensusYes 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
53%
No
W
Given the lack of granular attacking and defensive data for either side, and the tendency for lower-profile domestic encounters to see at le...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
yes
L
Both teams tend to concede in head-to-head encounters. Form suggests leaky defenses on both sides. No injury or lineup data available.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Yes
L
Even though Thimphu City is favored to win, Transport United often manages to find the net, particularly when playing at home. Given the exp...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
L
Given the historical goal-scoring patterns of both teams and the general league trends, there's a reasonable chance both will find the net.
DeepSeek V3
55%
Yes
L
Both sides have attacking threats and leaky defenses historically. Thimphu City can score away, and Transport United are potent at home. Sti...
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 2.5 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Under 2.5
L
Without recent form data or xG metrics, I apply the historical tendency that domestic league matches involving less-established or lower-pro...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
60%
over
W
Bhutan league games between these sides often produce goals. Limited rest and attacking styles point to open match. Training data through 20...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over 2.5
W
Thimphu City, as the more dominant attacking side, is expected to score multiple goals in this encounter. While Transport United may struggl...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
W
My training data suggests that matches between these two teams, and in this league generally, tend to feature a moderate number of goals.
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 2.5 goals
W
Matches between these teams often see goals, as both play attacking football. With limited defensive stability, over 2.5 is likely. However,...
Asian handicap
ConsensusTransport United -0.5 1/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Transport United -0.5
L
The -0.5 Asian handicap (half-goal start for Transport United) balances home advantage with visitor resilience better than larger spreads. T...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Thimphu City
Thimphu City favored on handicap given historical edge. Outdoor conditions unknown but typical scoring favors away. Training data only.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Thimphu City -0.5
W
Based on my training data, Thimphu City is the superior team and the favorite to win this match. A -0.5 Asian Handicap means they must win o...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
away_ 0.0
This market essentially becomes a head-to-head bet with the handicap removed. Thimphu City is favored to secure at least a draw or a win.
DeepSeek V3
55%
Thimphu City +0.75
W
A +0.75 handicap gives Thimphu City a split edge that covers a draw or a one-goal loss. Given home advantage may not be decisive, the away s...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusTransport United / Transport United 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
42%
Transport United / Transport United
L
Half-time and full-time outcomes for Transport United favour a clean home advantage arc (leading at HT and maintaining to FT). This is the m...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
35%
away_away
Away win to nil or with lead at half is most common pattern in these fixtures. Data limited to pre-2026 knowledge.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Thimphu City / Thimphu City
Given Thimphu City's expected superiority based on my training data, they are likely to assert control early in the match. It is probable th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
draw_away
Thimphu City is expected to be the stronger side and likely secure a win, but Transport United might hold them to a draw in the first half.
DeepSeek V3
38%
Transport United / Transport United
L
Transport United are likely to lead at half-time given home advantage. However, Thimphu City have fought back in the past. The most probable...
Spread
ConsensusTransport United -1 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Transport United -1
L
The -1 spread (Transport United to win by at least 2 goals) is a strong test of home dominance. Without form or xG data, this is a cautious...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
50%
Thimphu City
W
Away side expected to edge narrow win. Spread market reflects quality gap seen in prior seasons. Purely training knowledge based.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
Thimphu City -1
W
This market implies a -1 goal handicap for the home team, Transport United. Based on my training data, Thimphu City is the significantly str...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Thimphu City
W
While Thimphu City is favored to win, Transport United's home advantage might keep the scoreline close, making a win by more than one goal u...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Transport United -1.0
L
Transport United are favored but not dominant enough to consistently win by multiple goals. Thimphu City can keep it close. The +1.0 for the...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Transport United
Claude Haiku 4.5
Transport United
Grok 4 Fast
Thimphu City
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Away Win
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Thimphu City
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Transport United
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
23d4f5cd14f0e374…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Jun 14 · 12:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1579,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-14T12:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 14 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Thimphu City",
"home": "Transport United"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-13T06:52:39+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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