SpainvsCape Verde
CVSpain 0–0 Cape Verde
All 11 AIs backed Spain — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Spain 11/11
- Correct calls
- 0/11
- Final
- 0–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena8 markets · 11 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Spain 90% |
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
book: Spain -2.5 |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
book: 3.5 · Over 52% |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Spain / Spain 10/11 models |
Spain 11/11 models |
Spain 7/7 models |
Spain -2.5 5/11 models |
Spain -1 6/11 models |
3-0 5/6 models |
Over 8/11 models |
No 10/11 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | — | Spain 90% | — | — | Spain -2.5 | — | 3.5 · Over 52% | — | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
72%
Spain / Spain
L
|
92%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
— |
66%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
|
74%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
|
18%
3-0
L
|
74%
Over
~1.35
L
|
62%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
72%
Spain / Spain Spain typically starts fast at major tournaments and Cape Verde's defensive shape may crack early under sustained pressure. Spain need a fas...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
92%
Spain Spain are ranked number one in the world and enter as European champions, while Cape Verde are making their first ever World Cup appearance....
Odds: 1.11
Edge: +1.9%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
66%
Spain -1.5 A 2+ goal Spanish win is the most likely scenario given the gulf in talent and Cape Verde's lack of WC experience. Spain has frequently won...
Odds: 1.57
Edge: +2.3%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
74%
Spain -1 Bookmakers price Spain -2.5 around 1.89, implying ~50% for a 3+ goal win, so a 2+ goal margin is comfortably more likely. Spain's superiorit...
Odds: 1.33
Edge: -1.2%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
3-0 Spain's most likely winning margins fall in the 2-4 goal range with a clean sheet most probable given Cape Verde's likely defensive setup an...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
74%
Over Across Spain's last five games they scored ten goals and conceded four — a 2.8 goals-per-game pace from Spain alone. The line of -125/1.37 o...
Odds: 1.35
Edge: -0.1%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
No Cape Verde's recent results include a 3-0 win over Bermuda and a 3-0 win over Serbia, showing attacking ability, but Spain's elite midfield...
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -25.0%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
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|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
68%
Spain / Spain
L
|
90%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
— |
52%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
|
82%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
|
18%
3-0
L
|
78%
Over
~1.35
L
|
58%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
68%
Spain / Spain Spain should dominate possession from the start and create numerous chances against Cape Verde's deep block. While there is a chance Cape Ve...
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
90%
Spain Spain are the reigning European champions ranked 1st/2nd in the world with world-class depth across every position. Even without Yamal and N...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: -0.1%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Spain -2.5 The Asian handicap line at -2.5 is well-set and reflects the market's view that Spain win by roughly 3. Spain's quality should produce a mul...
Odds: 2.63
Edge: +14.0%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
82%
Spain -1 The bookmaker spread is set at -2.5 near even money, implying Spain are expected to win by approximately 3 goals. A -1 spread for Spain is v...
Odds: 1.33
Edge: +6.8%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
3-0 Spain's expected goal margin is around 3 based on the -2.5 spread line. A 3-0 scoreline is the most likely single outcome, consistent with S...
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
78%
Over Spain averaged 3.5 goals per game in World Cup qualifying with 21 goals in 6 matches, and their attack remains devastating even without Yama...
Odds: 1.35
Edge: +3.9%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
No Cape Verde have shown they can score in recent friendlies (3-0 vs Serbia, 3-0 vs Bermuda) and in qualifying, but the step up to face Spain's...
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -29.0%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
|
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|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
78%
Spain / Spain
L
|
91%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
— |
52%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
|
82%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
|
— |
82%
Over 2.5
~2.22
L
|
72%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
78%
Spain / Spain Spain are expected to take an early lead and control the match from start to finish, making HT/FT Spain/Spain the overwhelming probability....
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
91%
Spain Spain are a FIFA World Cup favourite and one of the most technically refined sides in world football, having won Euro 2024 and boasting elit...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: +0.9%
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Spain -2.5 The Asian handicap at -2.5 is essentially a coin flip per market pricing (~1.91 both sides), but Spain's attacking depth and motivation to s...
Odds: 2.63
Edge: +14.0%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
82%
Spain -1 The main spread market is set at -2.5 for Spain, suggesting books anticipate a margin of at least 3 goals; -1 is therefore a conservative li...
Odds: 1.33
Edge: +6.8%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
82%
Over 2.5 The bookmaker's own 2.5 line sits at 1.37 for Over, implying ~73% probability, and the total is predominantly set at 3.5 across most books,...
Odds: 2.22
Edge: +37.0%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
72%
No While Cape Verde can be dangerous on the counter in African competition, scoring against Spain's well-organized high defensive line in a Wor...
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -15.0%
|
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
75%
Spain / Spain
L
|
94%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
78%
Spain
L
|
79%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
|
82%
Spain
~1.08
L
|
— |
68%
Over
~1.35
L
|
71%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
75%
Spain / Spain Spain leading at half-time and winning full-time is the overwhelming base case. Spain's dominance should manifest early; Cape Verde lacks th...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
94%
Spain Spain is a World Cup contender with a long history of tournament success and technical superiority, while Cape Verde is a minnow in global f...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: +3.9%
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
78%
Spain Spain is a major football power competing in the 2026 World Cup and enters as the overwhelming favorite (1.11 odds imply ~90% win probabilit...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
79%
Spain -1 Asian handicap at -1 requires Spain to win by 2+ goals. Given Spain's technical superiority, attacking depth, and Cape Verde's World Cup ine...
Odds: 1.33
Edge: +3.8%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
82%
Spain Spain at -1 (needing to win by 2+ goals) is strongly favored given the competitive gap. Bookmaker prices for Spain -2.5 range 1.83–1.95, imp...
Odds: 1.08
Edge: -10.6%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
68%
Over Spain's attacking prowess and technical quality should generate multiple scoring opportunities against Cape Verde's limited defensive infras...
Odds: 1.35
Edge: -6.1%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
71%
No Cape Verde is unlikely to score against a Spanish defensive unit assembled for a World Cup. While Spain will likely score multiple times, Ca...
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -16.0%
|
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
55%
Draw / Spain
L
|
82%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
70%
Spain
L
|
58%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
|
70%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
|
30%
2-0
L
|
62%
Over 2.5
~2.22
L
|
66%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Draw / Spain Tournament openers often start cagey with underdogs sitting deep — a half‑time draw followed by Spain winning in the second half is a plausi...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
82%
Spain Spain enter as overwhelming favourites with a full-strength squad available and top-ranked resources in attack and midfield while Cape Verde...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: -8.1%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
70%
Spain Spain enter as overwhelming pre-match favourites with a deeply experienced midfield and projected starting XI expected to control early poss...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Spain -1.5 Taking Spain -1.5 expects them to win by at least two goals; that is plausible given their superiority but not guaranteed given Cape Verde's...
Odds: 1.57
Edge: -5.7%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Spain -1 Spain have the quality to win by a clear margin and covering a -1 spread is realistic given their attacking depth and possession control. Ca...
Odds: 1.33
Edge: -5.2%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
2-0 A 2-0 Spain win is the single most-likely specific outcome: Spain create chances and keep defensive control while Cape Verde may score fewer...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Over 2.5 Spain possess multiple elite attacking outlets and are likely to create high‑quality chances; even if Cape Verde sit deep early, Spain shoul...
Odds: 2.22
Edge: +16.9%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
66%
No While Spain should score, their defensive structure and quality make a clean sheet plausible against a debutant side; Cape Verde are capable...
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -21.0%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
70%
Spain / Spain
L
|
90%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
85%
Spain
L
|
80%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
|
85%
Spain
~1.08
L
|
25%
3-0
L
|
75%
Over
~1.35
L
|
65%
Yes
~7.82
L
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
70%
Spain / Spain Spain is expected to take control early and maintain dominance throughout the match, leading to a halftime and full-time victory.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
90%
Spain Spain enters the match as the reigning European champions and one of the tournament favorites, while Cape Verde is making its World Cup debu...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: -0.1%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
85%
Spain Spain's strong recent form, including a 3-0 win against Serbia and a 1-1 draw with Iraq, suggests they will dominate early in the match. Cap...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
80%
Spain -1.5 Spain's attacking strength and Cape Verde's defensive challenges make a comfortable victory for Spain likely, justifying the -1.5 handicap.
Odds: 1.57
Edge: +16.3%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
85%
Spain Spain's superior quality and depth suggest they will win by at least two goals, covering the -1 spread comfortably.
Odds: 1.08
Edge: -7.6%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
3-0 Considering Spain's offensive capabilities and Cape Verde's defensive vulnerabilities, a 3-0 scoreline is a plausible outcome.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
Over Given Spain's attacking prowess and Cape Verde's defensive vulnerabilities, the match is likely to see multiple goals, favoring the over 2.5...
Odds: 1.35
Edge: +0.9%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes While Spain is expected to dominate, Cape Verde's counter-attacking style could lead to at least one goal, making both teams to score a plau...
Odds: 7.82
Edge: +52.2%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
83%
Spain / Spain
L
|
92%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
84%
Spain
L
|
71%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
|
85%
Spain
~1.08
L
|
— |
78%
Over
~1.35
L
|
81%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
83%
Spain / Spain Spain control matches from the first whistle and rarely concede leads. Half-time lead followed by full-time win is the dominant pattern. Tra...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
92%
Spain Spain are a top-5 world side while Cape Verde are a mid-tier African nation with limited resources. Historical results and squad depth make...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: +1.9%
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
84%
Spain Spain vastly outclasses Cape Verde in every metric and will control possession and create multiple chances early. Historical World Cup misma...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
71%
Spain -2.5 Spain should cover a 2.5 goal handicap comfortably against limited opposition. Consensus odds already price Spain at 1.08-1.10. Training dat...
Odds: 2.63
Edge: +33.0%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
85%
Spain Spain are expected to win by multiple goals given the talent gap. -1 spread heavily favors the home side. Training data through 2025-09.
Odds: 1.08
Edge: -7.6%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
78%
Over Spain average well over 3 goals per game against weaker opposition; Cape Verde concede frequently. Expect multiple Spanish goals. Training d...
Odds: 1.35
Edge: +3.9%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
81%
No Cape Verde rarely score against elite European sides and Spain keep clean sheets in such mismatches. Training data through 2025-09.
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -6.0%
|
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
80%
Spain / Spain
L
|
92%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
— |
52%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
|
88%
Spain
~1.08
L
|
22%
3-0
L
|
75%
Over
~1.35
L
|
85%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
80%
Spain / Spain Spain will aim to assert dominance from the opening whistle and are very likely to be leading at halftime. It is highly improbable that Cape...
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
92%
Spain This is a significant mismatch. Spain are the reigning European champions and a top contender for the World Cup, while Cape Verde are making...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: +1.9%
4 sources cited
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Spain -2.5 This is where the game gets interesting from a betting perspective. Cape Verde's defensive solidity saw them through qualification, but they...
Odds: 2.63
Edge: +14.0%
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
88%
Spain A one-goal victory would be a significant disappointment for Spain in this fixture. Given the chasm in quality and Spain's motivation to est...
Odds: 1.08
Edge: -4.6%
4 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
3-0 A comfortable win-to-nil for Spain is the most likely outcome. A 3-0 scoreline reflects their offensive superiority while respecting Cape Ve...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
Over Spain's modern tactical approach is more vertical and aggressive than in the past, leading to higher-scoring games. With goal difference bei...
Odds: 1.35
Edge: +0.9%
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
85%
No Spain are expected to dominate possession, severely limiting Cape Verde's attacking opportunities. Cape Verde's game plan will be to defend...
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -2.0%
4 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
78%
Spain / Spain
L
|
90%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
65%
Spain
L
|
55%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
|
75%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
|
— |
72%
Over 2.5
~2.22
L
|
75%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
78%
Spain / Spain Spain is anticipated to dominate from the outset, establishing a lead by halftime and maintaining it through to the final whistle. Their sup...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
90%
Spain Based on my training data up to my last update, Spain is a top-tier national team with significantly superior talent and historical performa...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: -0.1%
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
65%
Spain Based on training data through 2025-09, Spain is a significantly stronger footballing nation compared to Cape Verde, especially in a major t...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Spain -2.5 While Spain is expected to win big, covering a -2.5 Asian Handicap (winning by 3 or more goals) is a significant task even for a dominant te...
Odds: 2.63
Edge: +17.0%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Spain -1 Spain is expected to win this match comfortably by a margin of at least two goals. Their attacking quality and control of the game should al...
Odds: 1.33
Edge: -0.2%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
72%
Over 2.5 Given Spain's attacking strength and Cape Verde's likely struggle to contain them, it is highly probable that Spain will score multiple goal...
Odds: 2.22
Edge: +26.9%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
75%
No Spain possesses a strong defensive structure and generally controls possession, limiting opponents' chances. Cape Verde will likely focus on...
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -12.0%
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
78%
Spain / Spain
L
|
95%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
75%
Spain
L
|
68%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
|
70%
Spain
~1.08
L
|
25%
3-0
L
|
75%
Over
~1.35
L
|
65%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
78%
Spain / Spain Spain is expected to control the match from the beginning and maintain their dominance throughout. They should score in the first half and e...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
95%
Spain Spain is a powerhouse in international football with a deep squad and a history of dominance. Cape Verde, while improving, is significantly...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: +4.9%
3 sources cited
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
75%
Spain Spain is a significantly stronger footballing nation than Cape Verde. While Cape Verde has shown improvement, Spain typically dominates matc...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
68%
Spain -1.5 Considering Spain's offensive capabilities and Cape Verde's defensive limitations, Spain is likely to win by at least two goals. The -1.5 ha...
Odds: 1.57
Edge: +4.3%
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Spain Spain is expected to win by a margin of at least two goals. Their superior attacking strength and the relative weakness of Cape Verde's defe...
Odds: 1.08
Edge: -22.6%
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
3-0 Spain is expected to win comfortably without conceding. A scoreline of 3-0 reflects Spain's offensive power and defensive solidity against a...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
Over Given Spain's attacking prowess and their likely desire to score multiple goals against a weaker opponent, an 'Over 2.5' outcome is probable...
Odds: 1.35
Edge: +0.9%
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Spain possesses a strong defense capable of shutting out less potent attacking sides. While Cape Verde has shown flashes of attacking abilit...
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -22.0%
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
85%
Spain / Spain
L
|
90%
Spain
~1.11
L
|
85%
Spain
L
|
75%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
|
82%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
|
— |
80%
Over
~1.35
L
|
75%
No
~1.15
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
85%
Spain / Spain Spain is expected to take control from the first whistle and lead at halftime en route to a full-time win. Cape Verde's strategy will be to...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
90%
Spain Spain is a world football powerhouse with a deep squad, while Cape Verde is making their World Cup debut as a small nation. The odds heavily...
Odds: 1.11
Edge: -0.1%
First half winner
?
First half winner
First-half winner. Who is ahead at the half-time whistle.
85%
Spain Spain is an elite football nation with a deep squad, while Cape Verde is a huge underdog, especially in a World Cup context. Spain typically...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
75%
Spain -1.5 Similar to the spread, Spain's superiority should result in a win by two or more goals. Cape Verde may avoid a blowout but conceding three o...
Odds: 1.57
Edge: +11.3%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
82%
Spain -1 With Spain expected to win by multiple goals, a -1 spread is very achievable. The talent gap and experience gap suggest Spain will cover thi...
Odds: 1.33
Edge: +6.8%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
80%
Over Spain's attacking quality and possession-heavy style should create multiple goal-scoring chances. Cape Verde may sit deep but will be forced...
Odds: 1.35
Edge: +5.9%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
75%
No Cape Verde's best chance is defensive organization, but their offensive threat against Spain's elite defense is minimal. Spain may keep a cl...
Odds: 1.15
Edge: -12.0%
|
|||||||||
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusSpain / Spain 10/11
Claude Opus 4.7
72%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain typically starts fast at major tournaments and Cape Verde's defensive shape may crack early under sustained pressure. Spain need a fas...
Claude Opus 4.6
68%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain should dominate possession from the start and create numerous chances against Cape Verde's deep block. While there is a chance Cape Ve...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
78%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain are expected to take an early lead and control the match from start to finish, making HT/FT Spain/Spain the overwhelming probability....
Claude Haiku 4.5
75%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain leading at half-time and winning full-time is the overwhelming base case. Spain's dominance should manifest early; Cape Verde lacks th...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Draw / Spain
L
Tournament openers often start cagey with underdogs sitting deep — a half‑time draw followed by Spain winning in the second half is a plausi...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain is expected to take control early and maintain dominance throughout the match, leading to a halftime and full-time victory.
Grok 4 Fast
83%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain control matches from the first whistle and rarely concede leads. Half-time lead followed by full-time win is the dominant pattern. Tra...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
80%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain will aim to assert dominance from the opening whistle and are very likely to be leading at halftime. It is highly improbable that Cape...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
78%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain is anticipated to dominate from the outset, establishing a lead by halftime and maintaining it through to the final whistle. Their sup...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
78%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain is expected to control the match from the beginning and maintain their dominance throughout. They should score in the first half and e...
DeepSeek V3
85%
Spain / Spain
L
Spain is expected to take control from the first whistle and lead at halftime en route to a full-time win. Cape Verde's strategy will be to...
Match winner
ConsensusSpain 11/11
Claude Opus 4.7
92%
Spain
~1.11
L
Spain are ranked number one in the world and enter as European champions, while Cape Verde are making their first ever World Cup appearance....
Claude Opus 4.6
90%
Spain
~1.11
L
Spain are the reigning European champions ranked 1st/2nd in the world with world-class depth across every position. Even without Yamal and N...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
91%
Spain
~1.11
L
Spain are a FIFA World Cup favourite and one of the most technically refined sides in world football, having won Euro 2024 and boasting elit...
Claude Haiku 4.5
94%
Spain
~1.11
L
Spain is a World Cup contender with a long history of tournament success and technical superiority, while Cape Verde is a minnow in global f...
GPT-5 Mini
82%
Spain
~1.11
L
Spain enter as overwhelming favourites with a full-strength squad available and top-ranked resources in attack and midfield while Cape Verde...
GPT-4o Mini
90%
Spain
~1.11
L
Spain enters the match as the reigning European champions and one of the tournament favorites, while Cape Verde is making its World Cup debu...
Grok 4 Fast
92%
Spain
~1.11
L
Spain are a top-5 world side while Cape Verde are a mid-tier African nation with limited resources. Historical results and squad depth make...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
92%
Spain
~1.11
L
This is a significant mismatch. Spain are the reigning European champions and a top contender for the World Cup, while Cape Verde are making...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
90%
Spain
~1.11
L
Based on my training data up to my last update, Spain is a top-tier national team with significantly superior talent and historical performa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
95%
Spain
~1.11
L
Spain is a powerhouse in international football with a deep squad and a history of dominance. Cape Verde, while improving, is significantly...
DeepSeek V3
90%
Spain
~1.11
L
Spain is a world football powerhouse with a deep squad, while Cape Verde is making their World Cup debut as a small nation. The odds heavily...
Bookmaker line: Spain 90%
First half winner
ConsensusSpain 7/7
Claude Opus 4.7
—
Claude Opus 4.6
—
Claude Sonnet 4.6
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
78%
Spain
L
Spain is a major football power competing in the 2026 World Cup and enters as the overwhelming favorite (1.11 odds imply ~90% win probabilit...
GPT-5 Mini
70%
Spain
L
Spain enter as overwhelming pre-match favourites with a deeply experienced midfield and projected starting XI expected to control early poss...
GPT-4o Mini
85%
Spain
L
Spain's strong recent form, including a 3-0 win against Serbia and a 1-1 draw with Iraq, suggests they will dominate early in the match. Cap...
Grok 4 Fast
84%
Spain
L
Spain vastly outclasses Cape Verde in every metric and will control possession and create multiple chances early. Historical World Cup misma...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Spain
L
Based on training data through 2025-09, Spain is a significantly stronger footballing nation compared to Cape Verde, especially in a major t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Spain
L
Spain is a significantly stronger footballing nation than Cape Verde. While Cape Verde has shown improvement, Spain typically dominates matc...
DeepSeek V3
85%
Spain
L
Spain is an elite football nation with a deep squad, while Cape Verde is a huge underdog, especially in a World Cup context. Spain typically...
Asian handicap
ConsensusSpain -2.5 5/11
Claude Opus 4.7
66%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
A 2+ goal Spanish win is the most likely scenario given the gulf in talent and Cape Verde's lack of WC experience. Spain has frequently won...
Claude Opus 4.6
52%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
The Asian handicap line at -2.5 is well-set and reflects the market's view that Spain win by roughly 3. Spain's quality should produce a mul...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
52%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
The Asian handicap at -2.5 is essentially a coin flip per market pricing (~1.91 both sides), but Spain's attacking depth and motivation to s...
Claude Haiku 4.5
79%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
Asian handicap at -1 requires Spain to win by 2+ goals. Given Spain's technical superiority, attacking depth, and Cape Verde's World Cup ine...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
Taking Spain -1.5 expects them to win by at least two goals; that is plausible given their superiority but not guaranteed given Cape Verde's...
GPT-4o Mini
80%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
Spain's attacking strength and Cape Verde's defensive challenges make a comfortable victory for Spain likely, justifying the -1.5 handicap.
Grok 4 Fast
71%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
Spain should cover a 2.5 goal handicap comfortably against limited opposition. Consensus odds already price Spain at 1.08-1.10. Training dat...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
52%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
This is where the game gets interesting from a betting perspective. Cape Verde's defensive solidity saw them through qualification, but they...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Spain -2.5
~2.63
L
While Spain is expected to win big, covering a -2.5 Asian Handicap (winning by 3 or more goals) is a significant task even for a dominant te...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
68%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
Considering Spain's offensive capabilities and Cape Verde's defensive limitations, Spain is likely to win by at least two goals. The -1.5 ha...
DeepSeek V3
75%
Spain -1.5
~1.57
L
Similar to the spread, Spain's superiority should result in a win by two or more goals. Cape Verde may avoid a blowout but conceding three o...
Spread
ConsensusSpain -1 6/11
Claude Opus 4.7
74%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
Bookmakers price Spain -2.5 around 1.89, implying ~50% for a 3+ goal win, so a 2+ goal margin is comfortably more likely. Spain's superiorit...
Claude Opus 4.6
82%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
The bookmaker spread is set at -2.5 near even money, implying Spain are expected to win by approximately 3 goals. A -1 spread for Spain is v...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
82%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
The main spread market is set at -2.5 for Spain, suggesting books anticipate a margin of at least 3 goals; -1 is therefore a conservative li...
Claude Haiku 4.5
82%
Spain
~1.08
L
Spain at -1 (needing to win by 2+ goals) is strongly favored given the competitive gap. Bookmaker prices for Spain -2.5 range 1.83–1.95, imp...
GPT-5 Mini
70%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
Spain have the quality to win by a clear margin and covering a -1 spread is realistic given their attacking depth and possession control. Ca...
GPT-4o Mini
85%
Spain
~1.08
L
Spain's superior quality and depth suggest they will win by at least two goals, covering the -1 spread comfortably.
Grok 4 Fast
85%
Spain
~1.08
L
Spain are expected to win by multiple goals given the talent gap. -1 spread heavily favors the home side. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Pro
88%
Spain
~1.08
L
A one-goal victory would be a significant disappointment for Spain in this fixture. Given the chasm in quality and Spain's motivation to est...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
Spain is expected to win this match comfortably by a margin of at least two goals. Their attacking quality and control of the game should al...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
Spain
~1.08
L
Spain is expected to win by a margin of at least two goals. Their superior attacking strength and the relative weakness of Cape Verde's defe...
DeepSeek V3
82%
Spain -1
~1.33
L
With Spain expected to win by multiple goals, a -1 spread is very achievable. The talent gap and experience gap suggest Spain will cover thi...
Bookmaker line: Spain -2.5
Correct score
Consensus3-0 5/6
Claude Opus 4.7
18%
3-0
L
Spain's most likely winning margins fall in the 2-4 goal range with a clean sheet most probable given Cape Verde's likely defensive setup an...
Claude Opus 4.6
18%
3-0
L
Spain's expected goal margin is around 3 based on the -2.5 spread line. A 3-0 scoreline is the most likely single outcome, consistent with S...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
30%
2-0
L
A 2-0 Spain win is the single most-likely specific outcome: Spain create chances and keep defensive control while Cape Verde may score fewer...
GPT-4o Mini
25%
3-0
L
Considering Spain's offensive capabilities and Cape Verde's defensive vulnerabilities, a 3-0 scoreline is a plausible outcome.
Grok 4 Fast
—
Gemini 2.5 Pro
22%
3-0
L
A comfortable win-to-nil for Spain is the most likely outcome. A 3-0 scoreline reflects their offensive superiority while respecting Cape Ve...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
3-0
L
Spain is expected to win comfortably without conceding. A scoreline of 3-0 reflects Spain's offensive power and defensive solidity against a...
DeepSeek V3
—
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 8/11
Claude Opus 4.7
74%
Over
~1.35
L
Across Spain's last five games they scored ten goals and conceded four — a 2.8 goals-per-game pace from Spain alone. The line of -125/1.37 o...
Claude Opus 4.6
78%
Over
~1.35
L
Spain averaged 3.5 goals per game in World Cup qualifying with 21 goals in 6 matches, and their attack remains devastating even without Yama...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
82%
Over 2.5
~2.22
L
The bookmaker's own 2.5 line sits at 1.37 for Over, implying ~73% probability, and the total is predominantly set at 3.5 across most books,...
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Over
~1.35
L
Spain's attacking prowess and technical quality should generate multiple scoring opportunities against Cape Verde's limited defensive infras...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Over 2.5
~2.22
L
Spain possess multiple elite attacking outlets and are likely to create high‑quality chances; even if Cape Verde sit deep early, Spain shoul...
GPT-4o Mini
75%
Over
~1.35
L
Given Spain's attacking prowess and Cape Verde's defensive vulnerabilities, the match is likely to see multiple goals, favoring the over 2.5...
Grok 4 Fast
78%
Over
~1.35
L
Spain average well over 3 goals per game against weaker opposition; Cape Verde concede frequently. Expect multiple Spanish goals. Training d...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
75%
Over
~1.35
L
Spain's modern tactical approach is more vertical and aggressive than in the past, leading to higher-scoring games. With goal difference bei...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
72%
Over 2.5
~2.22
L
Given Spain's attacking strength and Cape Verde's likely struggle to contain them, it is highly probable that Spain will score multiple goal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Over
~1.35
L
Given Spain's attacking prowess and their likely desire to score multiple goals against a weaker opponent, an 'Over 2.5' outcome is probable...
DeepSeek V3
80%
Over
~1.35
L
Spain's attacking quality and possession-heavy style should create multiple goal-scoring chances. Cape Verde may sit deep but will be forced...
Bookmaker line: 3.5 · Over 52%
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 10/11
Claude Opus 4.7
62%
No
~1.15
W
Cape Verde's recent results include a 3-0 win over Bermuda and a 3-0 win over Serbia, showing attacking ability, but Spain's elite midfield...
Claude Opus 4.6
58%
No
~1.15
W
Cape Verde have shown they can score in recent friendlies (3-0 vs Serbia, 3-0 vs Bermuda) and in qualifying, but the step up to face Spain's...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
72%
No
~1.15
W
While Cape Verde can be dangerous on the counter in African competition, scoring against Spain's well-organized high defensive line in a Wor...
Claude Haiku 4.5
71%
No
~1.15
W
Cape Verde is unlikely to score against a Spanish defensive unit assembled for a World Cup. While Spain will likely score multiple times, Ca...
GPT-5 Mini
66%
No
~1.15
W
While Spain should score, their defensive structure and quality make a clean sheet plausible against a debutant side; Cape Verde are capable...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Yes
~7.82
L
While Spain is expected to dominate, Cape Verde's counter-attacking style could lead to at least one goal, making both teams to score a plau...
Grok 4 Fast
81%
No
~1.15
W
Cape Verde rarely score against elite European sides and Spain keep clean sheets in such mismatches. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Pro
85%
No
~1.15
W
Spain are expected to dominate possession, severely limiting Cape Verde's attacking opportunities. Cape Verde's game plan will be to defend...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
No
~1.15
W
Spain possesses a strong defensive structure and generally controls possession, limiting opponents' chances. Cape Verde will likely focus on...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
No
~1.15
W
Spain possesses a strong defense capable of shutting out less potent attacking sides. While Cape Verde has shown flashes of attacking abilit...
DeepSeek V3
75%
No
~1.15
W
Cape Verde's best chance is defensive organization, but their offensive threat against Spain's elite defense is minimal. Spain may keep a cl...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Spain
Claude Haiku 4.5
Spain
Claude Opus 4.7
Spain
Grok 4 Fast
Spain
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Spain
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Spain
Claude Opus 4.6
Spain
GPT-4o Mini
Spain
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Spain
DeepSeek V3
Spain
GPT-5 Mini
Spain
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
51 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Spain | Draw | Cape Verde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.08 | 11.54 | 28.30 |
| Draftkings | 1.09 | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| Fanduel | 1.08 | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| Betmgm | 1.11 | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| William Hill | 1.10 | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| Betfair Exchange UK | 1.10 | 14.50 | 32.00 |
| Betfair Exchange EU | 1.10 | 14.50 | 32.00 |
| Betanysports | 1.08 | 11.00 | 26.00 |
| Betclic FR | 1.08 | 11.50 | 26.00 |
| Betfair UK | 1.06 | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| Betfred | 1.10 | 9.50 | 21.00 |
| BetOnline | 1.10 | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| Betrivers | 1.08 | 11.50 | 26.00 |
| Betsson | 1.10 | 9.60 | 38.00 |
| Betus | 1.07 | 11.75 | 32.00 |
| Betvictor | 1.07 | 10.50 | 26.00 |
| Betway | 1.08 | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| Bovada | 1.08 | 11.00 | 26.00 |
| Boylesports | 1.10 | 9.50 | 26.00 |
| Casumo | 1.08 | 11.50 | 26.00 |
| Codere It | 1.10 | 10.00 | 25.00 |
| Coolbet | 1.11 | 11.00 | 25.00 |
| Coral | 1.11 | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| Everygame | 1.07 | 12.00 | 29.00 |
| Fanatics | 1.08 | 11.00 | 30.00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.08 | 11.00 | 25.00 |
| Gtbets | 1.09 | 10.52 | 24.29 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.10 | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| Leovegas | 1.08 | 11.50 | 26.00 |
| Leovegas Se | 1.08 | 11.50 | 26.00 |
| Livescorebet | 1.07 | 11.00 | 25.00 |
| LowVig | 1.10 | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.09 | 11.25 | 26.00 |
| Matchbook | 1.10 | 14.50 | 32.00 |
| MyBookie | 1.08 | 10.26 | 26.96 |
| Nordicbet | 1.10 | 9.60 | 38.00 |
| Onexbet | 1.10 | 11.90 | 26.00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.07 | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| Pmu | 1.07 | 11.00 | 25.00 |
| Skybet | 1.07 | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| Smarkets | 1.10 | 14.01 | 30.03 |
| Sport888 | 1.08 | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| Tipico | 1.07 | 12.00 | 25.00 |
| Unibet | 1.08 | 12.00 | 25.00 |
| Unibet Nl | 1.10 | 13.00 | 26.00 |
| Unibet Se | 1.10 | 13.00 | 26.00 |
| Unibet | 1.10 | 9.50 | 26.00 |
| Virginbet | 1.07 | 11.00 | 25.00 |
| Williamhill | 1.08 | 10.50 | 22.00 |
| Winamax | 1.06 | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| Winamax | 1.05 | 12.00 | 20.00 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.5 | 2.01 | 1.83 |
| Betmgm | 3.5 | 1.98 | 1.87 |
| William Hill | 2.5 | 1.35 | 3.00 |
| Betanysports | 4.0 | 2.75 | 1.44 |
| BetOnline | 3.5 | 1.99 | 1.87 |
| Betrivers | 3.5 | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Betsson | 2.5 | 1.37 | 3.15 |
| Betus | 3.5 | 1.95 | 1.87 |
| Bovada | 3.5 | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Casumo | 3.5 | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Codere It | 3.5 | 1.90 | 1.77 |
| Coolbet | 3.5 | 1.94 | 1.87 |
| Grosvenor | 3.5 | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Gtbets | 3.5 | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Leovegas | 3.5 | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| LowVig | 3.5 | 1.99 | 1.87 |
| Matchbook | 3.5 | 2.06 | 1.92 |
| MyBookie | 3.5 | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| Nordicbet | 2.5 | 1.37 | 3.15 |
| Onexbet | 3.5 | 1.96 | 1.87 |
| Pmu | 3.5 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Unibet Nl | 3.5 | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Unibet Se | 3.5 | 1.91 | 1.92 |
| Book | Spain | Cape Verde |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | -2.5 @ 1.94 | +2.5 @ 1.91 |
| Betanysports | -2.5 @ 1.91 | +2.5 @ 1.91 |
| BetOnline | -2.5 @ 1.89 | +2.5 @ 1.96 |
| Betus | -2.5 @ 1.93 | +2.5 @ 1.89 |
| Bovada | -2.5 @ 1.91 | +2.5 @ 1.91 |
| Gtbets | -2.5 @ 1.83 | +2.5 @ 1.91 |
| LowVig | -2.5 @ 1.89 | +2.5 @ 1.96 |
| Matchbook | -2.5 @ 1.95 | +2.5 @ 2.00 |
| MyBookie | -2.5 @ 1.84 | +2.5 @ 1.86 |
| Onexbet | -2.5 @ 1.90 | +2.5 @ 1.92 |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
c5ffb5ca9a33d8a0…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Jun 15 · 16:05 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 363,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "FIFA World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-06-15T16:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 15 Jun 2026 16:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Cape Verde",
"home": "Spain"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T06:29:15+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 38,
"draw": 14.5,
"home": 1.11
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 10,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.06,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 21,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 12,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.1,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.07,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 32,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.08,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 30,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.08,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 22,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.1,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 25,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.08,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.08,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 14.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.1,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 32,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.9,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.1,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.07,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.1,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 21,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.1,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 38,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 12,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.07,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 25,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10.52,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.09,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 24.29,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.1,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 38,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.08,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.06,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 22,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 12,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.05,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 20,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 12,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.09,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10.26,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.08,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26.96,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.1,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.07,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 25,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 14.01,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.1,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 30.03,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.99,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.77,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.9,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 4,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 4,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.96,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.15,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.37,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.15,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.37,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.79,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 1.99,
"outcome": "Over"
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 15,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.11,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 34,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 14.99,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.11,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 34.01,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": -2.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.96,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -2.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -2.5,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -2.5,
"price": 1.9,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -2.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -2.5,
"price": 1.84,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -2.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Spain"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.96,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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90 tool calls · 11 sources
11 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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7 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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8 tool calls · 7 sources
7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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0 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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21 tool calls · 10 sources
10 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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