Sheger KetemavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Sheger Ketema 0–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni
All 6 AIs backed Sheger Ketema — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Sheger Ketema 6/6
- Correct calls
- 0/6
- Final
- 0–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
7 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Sheger Ketema 41% |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 2/6 models |
Sheger Ketema 6/6 models |
Sheger Ketema -0.5 3/6 models |
Sheger Ketema / Sheger Ketema 3/6 models |
Sheger Ketema 3/6 models |
1-0 4/6 models |
no 4/6 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | — | Sheger Ketema 41% | — | — | — | — | — | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
55%
over
L
|
68%
Sheger Ketema
L
|
64%
Sheger Ketema -0.5
L
|
52%
Sheger Ketema / Sheger Ketema
L
|
62%
Sheger Ketema
L
|
24%
2-0
L
|
60%
no
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Ethiopian Premier League matches typically exhibit moderate to high scoring, with home sides often pressing for early goals. Without detaile...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema is the home side and typically holds a competitive edge in Ethiopian Premier League fixtures. Without live access to current f...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
64%
Sheger Ketema -0.5 The -0.5 handicap on the home side is a modest edge that reflects genuine expectation of a Sheger Ketema victory without requiring a multi-g...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
Sheger Ketema / Sheger Ketema Home-home (Sheger Ketema leading at half and full time) is the most likely outcome given home advantage and presumed squad superiority, thou...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
62%
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema at -1 goal spread reflects reasonable confidence in a home win margin, given home advantage and likely squad quality superiori...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
24%
2-0 A 2-0 home victory represents the modal outcome given home dominance, moderate league-wide scoring, and the visiting side's defensive vulner...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Welwalo Adigrat Uni, as a university club, likely has weaker offensive capability than an established domestic league side. The absence of r... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
57%
under
W
|
52%
Sheger Ketema
L
|
51%
Sheger Ketema -0.5
L
|
32%
Sheger Ketema / Sheger Ketema
L
|
49%
Sheger Ketema
L
|
18%
1-0
L
|
54%
no
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
under Obscure lower-league sides usually produce cagey games. Limited attacking resources point to fewer than 2.5 goals. Training data shows simil...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Sheger Ketema No public data exists on these Ethiopian sides beyond training cutoff. Home side receives the default edge in an unknown fixture. Expect a l...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Sheger Ketema -0.5 Minimal information forces reliance on home-field default. Asian line at -0.5 captures the slim home edge. Draw probability already priced i...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Sheger Ketema / Sheger Ketema Home control expected from the start given lack of away pedigree. Half-time lead likely held. Training data on similar anonymous matches sup...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
Sheger Ketema Home advantage is modest but present. Spread of -1 is tight for unknown sides. Slight lean to away covering the spread.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low event match expected with home likely to nick a narrow win. 1-0 is the single most probable exact score from training priors on comparab...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
no Both teams lack proven goal threat in public records. Defensive caution likely leads to at least one clean sheet. Training knowledge favors... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
under_2.5
W
|
38%
Sheger Ketema
L
|
38%
home_ -0.5 |
28%
Draw / Sheger Ketema
L
|
70%
away_ +1 |
18%
1-0
L
|
55%
no
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under_2.5 Matches in leagues without top-tier attacking talent often see fewer goals. Without specific offensive/defensive stats for 2026, a conservat...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Sheger Ketema Based on general football principles and the inherent home-ground advantage, with both teams likely being competitive in the league. Specifi...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
38%
home_ -0.5 Aligning with the slight home advantage anticipated, betting on Sheger Ketema to secure an outright victory is the chosen pick. This reflect...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Sheger Ketema A tactical first half leading to a stalemate is common, followed by the home side capitalizing on home advantage and pushing for a decisive...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
away_ +1 With a close contest expected and no strong data to suggest a dominant home victory by two or more goals, backing the away team with a goal...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 This score reflects a tight, low-scoring match where the home team secures a slim victory, aligning with predictions of under 2.5 goals and...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Given the expectation of a lower-scoring affair, it's more probable that at least one team will fail to find the net. Specific offensive for... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
over
L
|
45%
Sheger Ketema
L
|
46%
Sheger Ketema -0.25
L
|
25%
Draw / Sheger Ketema
L
|
48%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
L
|
15%
1-1
L
|
52%
yes
L
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring in training data, but historical trends suggest a tendency for their matches to be relatively ope...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Sheger Ketema Based on training data, Sheger Ketema has historically performed better than Welwalo Adigrat Uni in their head-to-head matchups. While speci...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
46%
Sheger Ketema -0.25 Considering Sheger Ketema's slight historical advantage, they are marginally favored on the Asian Handicap. A -0.25 handicap suggests a very...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Sheger Ketema The slight historical advantage for Sheger Ketema suggests they might push for a win, but Welwalo Adigrat Uni is likely to put up a fight, p...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Given Sheger Ketema's slight historical edge, Welwalo Adigrat Uni might be less favored to win by more than one goal. However, if Sheger Ket...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Given the historical data and the prediction of a relatively close game with potential goals from both sides, a 1-1 draw is the most probabl...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes While specific defensive and offensive metrics are not readily available from training data, historical matchups between teams of similar ca... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
under
W
|
55%
Sheger Ketema
L
|
55%
away (+0.25) |
25%
draw_draw |
40%
Sheger Ketema
L
|
18%
1-0
L
|
55%
no
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both teams tend to play cautiously, and historical matches between them often have few goals. Training data suggests under 2.5 goals is slig...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Sheger Ketema Based on training knowledge through early 2025, Sheger Ketema has a slight edge at home against Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Ethiopian Premier...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away (+0.25) With home advantage limited, the away side with a +0.25 handicap offers value. Draw covers half stake, providing a buffer.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
draw_draw Cautious starts are typical; draw at halftime is plausible. Full-time draw is also possible, but home win in second half is a common pattern...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema is not strong enough to consistently cover a -1 spread. Away side or draw is more likely.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low-scoring match is expected. 1-0 home win is the most likely single score based on historical pattern. 0-0 and 1-1 also likely. Distributi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Defensive setups are common in this league. The probability of both teams scoring is slightly lower, given historical head-to-head trends. |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
over
L
Ethiopian Premier League matches typically exhibit moderate to high scoring, with home sides often pressing for early goals. Without detaile...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
under
W
Obscure lower-league sides usually produce cagey games. Limited attacking resources point to fewer than 2.5 goals. Training data shows simil...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
under_2.5
W
Matches in leagues without top-tier attacking talent often see fewer goals. Without specific offensive/defensive stats for 2026, a conservat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
L
Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring in training data, but historical trends suggest a tendency for their matches to be relatively ope...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
W
Both teams tend to play cautiously, and historical matches between them often have few goals. Training data suggests under 2.5 goals is slig...
Match winner
ConsensusSheger Ketema 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Sheger Ketema
L
Sheger Ketema is the home side and typically holds a competitive edge in Ethiopian Premier League fixtures. Without live access to current f...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Sheger Ketema
L
No public data exists on these Ethiopian sides beyond training cutoff. Home side receives the default edge in an unknown fixture. Expect a l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Sheger Ketema
L
Based on general football principles and the inherent home-ground advantage, with both teams likely being competitive in the league. Specifi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Sheger Ketema
L
Based on training data, Sheger Ketema has historically performed better than Welwalo Adigrat Uni in their head-to-head matchups. While speci...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Sheger Ketema
L
Based on training knowledge through early 2025, Sheger Ketema has a slight edge at home against Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Ethiopian Premier...
Bookmaker line: Sheger Ketema 41%
Asian handicap
ConsensusSheger Ketema -0.5 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
64%
Sheger Ketema -0.5
L
The -0.5 handicap on the home side is a modest edge that reflects genuine expectation of a Sheger Ketema victory without requiring a multi-g...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Sheger Ketema -0.5
L
Minimal information forces reliance on home-field default. Asian line at -0.5 captures the slim home edge. Draw probability already priced i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
home_ -0.5
Aligning with the slight home advantage anticipated, betting on Sheger Ketema to secure an outright victory is the chosen pick. This reflect...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
46%
Sheger Ketema -0.25
L
Considering Sheger Ketema's slight historical advantage, they are marginally favored on the Asian Handicap. A -0.25 handicap suggests a very...
DeepSeek V3
55%
away (+0.25)
With home advantage limited, the away side with a +0.25 handicap offers value. Draw covers half stake, providing a buffer.
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusSheger Ketema / Sheger Ketema 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Sheger Ketema / Sheger Ketema
L
Home-home (Sheger Ketema leading at half and full time) is the most likely outcome given home advantage and presumed squad superiority, thou...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
32%
Sheger Ketema / Sheger Ketema
L
Home control expected from the start given lack of away pedigree. Half-time lead likely held. Training data on similar anonymous matches sup...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
28%
Draw / Sheger Ketema
L
A tactical first half leading to a stalemate is common, followed by the home side capitalizing on home advantage and pushing for a decisive...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
Draw / Sheger Ketema
L
The slight historical advantage for Sheger Ketema suggests they might push for a win, but Welwalo Adigrat Uni is likely to put up a fight, p...
DeepSeek V3
25%
draw_draw
Cautious starts are typical; draw at halftime is plausible. Full-time draw is also possible, but home win in second half is a common pattern...
Spread
ConsensusSheger Ketema 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Sheger Ketema
L
Sheger Ketema at -1 goal spread reflects reasonable confidence in a home win margin, given home advantage and likely squad quality superiori...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
49%
Sheger Ketema
L
Home advantage is modest but present. Spread of -1 is tight for unknown sides. Slight lean to away covering the spread.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
away_ +1
With a close contest expected and no strong data to suggest a dominant home victory by two or more goals, backing the away team with a goal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
L
Given Sheger Ketema's slight historical edge, Welwalo Adigrat Uni might be less favored to win by more than one goal. However, if Sheger Ket...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Sheger Ketema
L
Sheger Ketema is not strong enough to consistently cover a -1 spread. Away side or draw is more likely.
Correct score
Consensus1-0 4/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
24%
2-0
L
A 2-0 home victory represents the modal outcome given home dominance, moderate league-wide scoring, and the visiting side's defensive vulner...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
L
Low event match expected with home likely to nick a narrow win. 1-0 is the single most probable exact score from training priors on comparab...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
1-0
L
This score reflects a tight, low-scoring match where the home team secures a slim victory, aligning with predictions of under 2.5 goals and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
L
Given the historical data and the prediction of a relatively close game with potential goals from both sides, a 1-1 draw is the most probabl...
DeepSeek V3
18%
1-0
L
Low-scoring match is expected. 1-0 home win is the most likely single score based on historical pattern. 0-0 and 1-1 also likely. Distributi...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 4/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
60%
no
W
Welwalo Adigrat Uni, as a university club, likely has weaker offensive capability than an established domestic league side. The absence of r...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
no
W
Both teams lack proven goal threat in public records. Defensive caution likely leads to at least one clean sheet. Training knowledge favors...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
no
W
Given the expectation of a lower-scoring affair, it's more probable that at least one team will fail to find the net. Specific offensive for...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
yes
L
While specific defensive and offensive metrics are not readily available from training data, historical matchups between teams of similar ca...
DeepSeek V3
55%
no
W
Defensive setups are common in this league. The probability of both teams scoring is slightly lower, given historical head-to-head trends.
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
Sheger Ketema
DeepSeek V3
Sheger Ketema
Grok 4 Fast
Sheger Ketema
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Sheger Ketema
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Sheger Ketema
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Sheger Ketema
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
12 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Sheger Ketema | Draw | Welwalo Adigrat Uni |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | 2.63 | — |
| Bet365 | — | 2.70 | — |
| Unibet | — | 2.55 | — |
| 10bet | — | 2.62 | — |
| 1xbet | — | 2.59 | — |
| Betano | — | 2.65 | — |
| Betfair | — | 2.75 | — |
| Betvictor | — | 2.75 | — |
| Dafabet | — | 2.65 | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.59 | — |
| Superbet | — | 2.67 | — |
| William-hill | — | 2.50 | — |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Superbet | — | — | — |
| William-hill | — | — | — |
| Book | Sheger Ketema | Welwalo Adigrat Uni |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betano | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
98b7dfcb4fbd3cdd…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Jun 16 · 13:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1906,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-16T13:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 16 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Welwalo Adigrat Uni",
"home": "Sheger Ketema"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T08:08:30+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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