NetherlandsvsSweden
Netherlands 5–1 Sweden
All 11 AIs backed Netherlands — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Netherlands 11/11
- Correct calls
- 11/11
- Final
- 5–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena7 markets · 11 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
book: 2.5 · Over 53% |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
book: Netherlands -1.0 |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Netherlands 55% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Over 4/11 models |
No 4/11 models |
2-1 8/11 models |
Netherlands 5/11 models |
Netherlands -0.75 5/11 models |
Netherlands / Netherlands 9/11 models |
Netherlands 11/11 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | 2.5 · Over 53% | — | — | Netherlands -1.0 | — | — | Netherlands 55% | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
58%
Over
~1.88
W
|
60%
Yes
~2.24
W
|
13%
2-1
L
|
62%
Sweden +1
~1.87
L
|
60%
Sweden +0.75
~2.47
L
|
28%
Netherlands / Netherlands |
54%
Netherlands
~1.78
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over Over 2.5 goals has landed in 83% of Netherlands' last 6 matches and Sweden scored 2+ goals in each of their last 3 matches. Both teams' matc...
Odds: 1.88
Edge: +4.8%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes Across last five games the Dutch scored seven and conceded six, reflecting a side capable of scoring but prone to defensive lapses. Sweden's...
Odds: 2.24
Edge: +15.4%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 Both teams expected to score and a Dutch single-goal win is the most likely outcome based on the AH line near -0.75 to -1. 2-1 captures the...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
62%
Sweden +1 Netherlands at -1 implies winning by 2+ goals, which the underlying numbers don't support — they generated only 0.59 xG vs Japan and have lo...
Odds: 1.87
Edge: +8.5%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Sweden +0.75 Same logic as the European spread — Netherlands likely win but by only one goal, which on the +0.75 line yields a half-win for Sweden backer...
Odds: 2.47
Edge: +19.5%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Netherlands / Netherlands Netherlands are favorites and tend to control possession from the start, so Dutch leading at both intervals is the modal outcome. However, g...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
54%
Netherlands Netherlands are clear favorites at ~1.63, with superior FIFA ranking (8 vs 34) and possession-based control shown vs Japan. The Oranje contr...
Odds: 1.78
Edge: -2.2%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
55%
Over 2.5
~2.20
W
|
58%
Yes
~2.24
W
|
14%
2-1
L
|
56%
Sweden +1
~1.87
L
|
50%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.68
W
|
30%
Netherlands / Netherlands |
55%
Netherlands
~1.78
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 The opening matches produced 4 goals (NED 2-2 JPN) and 6 goals (SWE 5-1 TUN) respectively, showing both sides can be involved in high-scorin...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +9.6%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes Sweden's attack is genuinely dangerous with Gyökeres and Isak, and they proved they can score freely with 5 goals vs Tunisia. Netherlands wi...
Odds: 2.24
Edge: +13.4%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
2-1 Given Netherlands' attacking quality and need for a win, a 2-1 scoreline is the most likely individual outcome. They should create enough ch...
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
56%
Sweden +1 While Netherlands are favorites, winning by 2+ goals against a Sweden team with Gyökeres and Isak in attack is a tough ask. The Dutch only d...
Odds: 1.87
Edge: +2.5%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Netherlands -0.75 The Asian handicap of -0.75 means Netherlands need to win by at least 1 goal for a full payout and a 1-goal win returns half the stake. Give...
Odds: 1.68
Edge: -9.5%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Netherlands / Netherlands Netherlands are likely to come out aggressively given their need for points, and their attacking width with Summerville, Gakpo, and Malen sh...
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Netherlands Netherlands are the clear quality side with Van Dijk, Gakpo, De Jong, and Reijnders, and dominated possession vs Japan despite the 2-2 draw....
Odds: 1.78
Edge: -1.2%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
52%
Over
~1.88
W
|
53%
No
~1.80
L
|
12%
2-1
L
|
56%
Sweden +1
~1.87
L
|
55%
Sweden +1
~1.87
L
|
36%
Netherlands / Netherlands |
57%
Netherlands
~1.78
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over Line is essentially a coin flip near 1.91 both ways. Both sides carry genuine goal threat (Dutch attack, Isak/Gyokeres for Sweden), and Worl...
Odds: 1.88
Edge: -1.2%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
No Sweden tends to set up compactly against stronger opposition, which can suppress their own scoring while keeping it tight. Netherlands likel...
Odds: 1.80
Edge: -2.6%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Low-margin Dutch wins dominate the distribution, with 1-0, 2-1 and 2-0 most likely given a favored but not overwhelming Netherlands and a re...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
56%
Sweden +1 Netherlands -1 requires a two-goal margin; the consensus prices that around 2.05-2.17, implying under 50% chance. Against an organized Swede...
Odds: 1.87
Edge: +2.5%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Sweden +1 On the AH -1/+1 line, a one-goal Dutch win pushes (stake back), so the asymmetry favors backing the underdog cover. Sweden's organization ma...
Odds: 1.87
Edge: +1.5%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
36%
Netherlands / Netherlands Netherlands as favorite is most likely to lead at the break and hold, making Dutch/Dutch the modal outcome. Draw at half then Dutch winning...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
57%
Netherlands Working from training data through mid-2025 with no live access to this 2026 World Cup match. Netherlands is the clear favorite at home-equi...
Odds: 1.78
Edge: +0.8%
|
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
52%
Over
~1.88
W
|
55%
No
~1.80
L
|
16%
2-0
L
|
45%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
|
50%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.68
W
|
42%
Netherlands / Netherlands |
62%
Netherlands
~1.78
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over Netherlands tend to play attacking football and have the attacking firepower to generate goals. However, Sweden are a disciplined defensive...
Odds: 1.88
Edge: -1.2%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No While Netherlands are expected to score, Sweden's attacking output at this level is questionable without a top-tier centre forward. The Dutc...
Odds: 1.80
Edge: -0.6%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
2-0 A 2-0 Netherlands win is the single most likely correct score given their attacking quality and Swedish defensive vulnerability at World Cup...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Netherlands Netherlands -1 (meaning they must win by 2+ goals to cover) is priced around 2.05-2.17, reflecting significant uncertainty. While Netherland...
Odds: 1.99
Edge: -5.2%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Netherlands -0.75 The Asian handicap market with Netherlands at -0.75 (priced ~1.86) and Sweden at +0.75 (priced ~2.08) sits right at the inflection point bet...
Odds: 1.68
Edge: -9.5%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Netherlands / Netherlands Netherlands leading at half-time and winning the match is the single most probable HT/FT combination given their overall match win probabili...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Netherlands Netherlands enter this 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage match as clear favourites, with a squad featuring world-class talent including Van Di...
Odds: 1.78
Edge: +5.8%
|
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
56%
Under 2.5
~1.83
L
|
54%
No
~1.76
L
|
32%
1-0
L
|
58%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
|
62%
Netherlands -0.5
~1.62
W
|
48%
Netherlands / Netherlands |
62%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
Under 2.5 Bookmaker consensus shows tight pricing on both sides (average ~1.90 Under, ~1.90 Over), indicating genuine uncertainty. However, World Cup...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +1.4%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
No Sweden's defensive discipline and low typical scoring output make clean sheets common in their matches. Netherlands may dominate but are not...
Odds: 1.76
Edge: -2.8%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
32%
1-0 1-0 Netherlands is the modal outcome: a clean sheet for Netherlands and a single breakthrough goal is typical in World Cup group matches whe...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Netherlands Netherlands -1 spread priced at 2.05–2.17, implying ~48–49% probability. Given Netherlands' superiority and home advantage in a group-stage...
Odds: 1.99
Edge: +7.8%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
62%
Netherlands -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 (Netherlands must win) is cleaner than the spread and reflects the home advantage and quality gap. Netherlands are stron...
Odds: 1.62
Edge: +0.3%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Netherlands / Netherlands Netherlands / Netherlands (HT/FT) is the most likely outcome given their superiority, but confidence is moderate because group-stage matches...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Netherlands Netherlands are clear favourites at 1.69 odds, reflecting their stronger recent form in World Cup qualifying and Euro campaigns. Sweden are...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: +2.8%
|
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
58%
over
~1.88
W
|
70%
yes
~2.31
W
|
22%
2-1
L
|
55%
Sweden
~3.74
L
|
60%
Netherlands -0.5
~1.62
W
|
42%
Draw / Netherlands |
62%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams showed attacking intent in their openers (Netherlands 2 goals vs Japan; Sweden 5 vs Tunisia) and Group F has open, attack-minded...
Odds: 1.88
Edge: +4.8%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
yes Sweden's opener conceded once (though scored five) and the Netherlands conceded two to Japan; both sides have proven attacking threats and a...
Odds: 2.31
Edge: +26.7%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-1 Most probable exact outcome is a narrow Netherlands win (2-1): Netherlands can score from open play but Sweden's firepower makes conceding l...
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Sweden On a -1 spread (Netherlands must win by 2+), I favour Sweden (i.e., Sweden +1) as the safer/value side: Sweden's opening 5-1 shows they can...
Odds: 3.74
Edge: +28.3%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Netherlands -0.5 Asian -0.5 (Netherlands to win outright) captures the expectation that the Oranje will edge this match; market and squad quality favour them...
Odds: 1.62
Edge: -1.7%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Draw / Netherlands Expect a cagey first half (both teams measured in openers) with the Netherlands to take control and win in the second half as substitutions...
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Netherlands Netherlands are the clear favorites on paper and opened with a 2-2 draw vs Japan (June 14) while Sweden beat Tunisia 5-1 (June 15) — but the...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: +2.8%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
over
~1.88
W
|
60%
yes
~2.31
W
|
30%
2-1
L
|
60%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
|
60%
Netherlands
~3.74
|
55%
Netherlands / Netherlands |
65%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have demonstrated strong attacking capabilities in recent matches, suggesting a high-scoring game. ([forebet.com](https://www.for...
Odds: 1.88
Edge: +1.8%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities in recent matches, suggesting a high likelihood of both teams scoring. ([forebet.com](ht...
Odds: 2.31
Edge: +16.7%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
2-1 Considering both teams' attacking strengths and the Netherlands' home advantage, a 2-1 victory for the Netherlands is a plausible outcome. (...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Netherlands The Netherlands' strong record against Sweden and home advantage make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([aiscore.com](https://www.ai...
Odds: 1.99
Edge: +9.8%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Netherlands The Netherlands' strong record against Sweden and home advantage make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([aiscore.com](https://www.ai...
Odds: 3.74
Edge: +33.3%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Netherlands / Netherlands The Netherlands' strong record against Sweden and home advantage suggest they will lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([aiscore.com](https:...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Netherlands The Netherlands have a strong record against Sweden, winning 3 of the last 4 encounters, including a decisive 2-0 victory in October 2017. (...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: +5.8%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
Over
~1.88
W
|
51%
Yes
~2.31
W
|
19%
2-1
L
|
58%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
|
55%
Netherlands -1
~2.05
W
|
48%
Netherlands / Netherlands |
62%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Over Netherlands tend to create high xG in tournament openers. Sweden park the bus but concede on transitions. Expect at least three scoring oppo...
Odds: 1.88
Edge: -0.2%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
Yes Sweden rarely keep clean sheets against top European sides. Netherlands score early but often concede one late when managing games. BTTS has...
Odds: 2.31
Edge: +7.7%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
19%
2-1 Training data through 2025 shows 2-1 as the single most common scoreline when Netherlands face mid-tier European opposition in World Cup mat...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Netherlands Netherlands should win by two or more goals given quality gap. Sweden's defensive record against similar opponents shows repeated multi-goal...
Odds: 1.99
Edge: +7.8%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Netherlands -1 Asian line at -1 offers value on the Dutch as they are expected to dominate possession and create multiple clear chances. Sweden are unlikel...
Odds: 2.05
Edge: +6.2%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Netherlands / Netherlands Netherlands typically start fast in major tournaments and control the match after the break. Leading at half-time and extending the lead is...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Netherlands Netherlands are the stronger side with better squad depth and recent World Cup pedigree. Sweden have struggled to qualify and lack consisten...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: +2.8%
|
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
52%
Under 2.5 Goals
~1.83
L
|
55%
No
~1.76
L
|
15%
1-0
L
|
65%
Sweden +1
~1.95
L
|
53%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.62
W
|
35%
Netherlands / Netherlands |
60%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under 2.5 Goals World Cup group stage matches, particularly when teams are evenly matched or defensively sound like Sweden, often start cautiously. While Ne...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: -2.6%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Considering Netherlands are favorites and a low-scoring game (Under 2.5 Goals) is anticipated, a clean sheet for the Dutch is a plausible ou...
Odds: 1.76
Edge: -1.8%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-0 Combining the expectation of a Netherlands win with a predicted 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' outcome, a 1-0 scoreline for Netherlands app...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Sweden +1 While Netherlands is expected to win, covering a -1 handicap requires them to secure victory by at least two goals. Sweden is renowned for i...
Odds: 1.95
Edge: +13.7%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Netherlands -0.75 Netherlands is the clear favorite and is expected to win this match. An Asian Handicap of -0.75 suggests they are likely to win by at least...
Odds: 1.62
Edge: -8.7%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Netherlands / Netherlands As the stronger and favored side, Netherlands is expected to assert control and likely lead at half-time, maintaining their advantage until...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Netherlands Based on my training data, Netherlands historically possesses a stronger squad and higher performance ceiling compared to Sweden. The market...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: +0.8%
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
over
~1.88
W
|
54%
yes
~2.31
W
|
15%
2-1
L
|
56%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
|
57%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.62
W
|
52%
Netherlands / Netherlands |
59%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, and while a close game is expected, there's a reasonable chance of it opening up. The historic...
Odds: 1.88
Edge: +1.8%
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
yes Given the offensive potential of both the Netherlands and Sweden, it's probable that both teams will find the back of the net. Neither team...
Odds: 2.31
Edge: +10.7%
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 The Netherlands is favored to win, and a 2-1 scoreline reflects their offensive capabilities while acknowledging Sweden's ability to score....
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
56%
Netherlands The Netherlands is the favorite in this matchup based on historical performance and recent form. A -1 handicap suggests they are expected to...
Odds: 1.99
Edge: +5.8%
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
Netherlands -0.75 The Netherlands is favored, and a -0.75 handicap reflects a belief they will win by at least one goal, with a potential for a push if they w...
Odds: 1.62
Edge: -4.7%
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
Netherlands / Netherlands Given the Netherlands' favoritism and strong historical performance, it's most probable they will lead at halftime and maintain that advanta...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
59%
Netherlands Netherlands has a slightly superior head-to-head record against Sweden and has shown better recent form. While both teams are competitive, t...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: -0.2%
3 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
53%
Over 2.5
~2.20
W
|
52%
Yes
~2.31
W
|
15%
2-1
L
|
35%
Netherlands -1
~2.05
W
|
48%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.62
W
|
20%
Draw / Netherlands |
52%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Over 2.5 Both teams have attacking talent, but recent matches show defensive solidity. The Netherlands average 2+ goals per game, while Sweden can be...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +7.5%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
Yes Sweden have scored in their last 4 matches and the Netherlands have conceded in 2 of their last 5. Both teams have the ability to find the n...
Odds: 2.31
Edge: +8.7%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 A 2-1 scoreline reflects Netherlands' attacking edge and Sweden's ability to score. The total probability for 1-0, 2-0, and 2-1 covers the m...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
35%
Netherlands -1 The Netherlands are strong but winning by two goals is difficult against a disciplined Sweden side. Historically, Netherlands beat Sweden by...
Odds: 2.05
Edge: -13.8%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Netherlands -0.75 Asian handicap -0.75 splits the stake between -0.5 and -1. Given Netherlands' offensive strength and Sweden's resilience, the Dutch are like...
Odds: 1.62
Edge: -13.7%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Netherlands Historical HT/FT patterns show Netherlands often lead at half and full time, but Sweden can hold out. The most common outcome is Netherlands...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Netherlands The Netherlands have a stronger squad and historical edge over Sweden, but this is a World Cup match where form can be unpredictable. Bookma...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: -7.2%
|
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Over / Under
ConsensusOver 4/11
Claude Opus 4.7
58%
Over
~1.88
W
Over 2.5 goals has landed in 83% of Netherlands' last 6 matches and Sweden scored 2+ goals in each of their last 3 matches. Both teams' matc...
Claude Opus 4.6
55%
Over 2.5
~2.20
W
The opening matches produced 4 goals (NED 2-2 JPN) and 6 goals (SWE 5-1 TUN) respectively, showing both sides can be involved in high-scorin...
Claude Opus 4.8
52%
Over
~1.88
W
Line is essentially a coin flip near 1.91 both ways. Both sides carry genuine goal threat (Dutch attack, Isak/Gyokeres for Sweden), and Worl...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
52%
Over
~1.88
W
Netherlands tend to play attacking football and have the attacking firepower to generate goals. However, Sweden are a disciplined defensive...
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Under 2.5
~1.83
L
Bookmaker consensus shows tight pricing on both sides (average ~1.90 Under, ~1.90 Over), indicating genuine uncertainty. However, World Cup...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
over
~1.88
W
Both teams showed attacking intent in their openers (Netherlands 2 goals vs Japan; Sweden 5 vs Tunisia) and Group F has open, attack-minded...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
over
~1.88
W
Both teams have demonstrated strong attacking capabilities in recent matches, suggesting a high-scoring game. ([forebet.com](https://www.for...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Over
~1.88
W
Netherlands tend to create high xG in tournament openers. Sweden park the bus but concede on transitions. Expect at least three scoring oppo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Under 2.5 Goals
~1.83
L
World Cup group stage matches, particularly when teams are evenly matched or defensively sound like Sweden, often start cautiously. While Ne...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
~1.88
W
Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, and while a close game is expected, there's a reasonable chance of it opening up. The historic...
DeepSeek V3
53%
Over 2.5
~2.20
W
Both teams have attacking talent, but recent matches show defensive solidity. The Netherlands average 2+ goals per game, while Sweden can be...
Bookmaker line: 2.5 · Over 53%
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 4/11
Claude Opus 4.7
60%
Yes
~2.24
W
Across last five games the Dutch scored seven and conceded six, reflecting a side capable of scoring but prone to defensive lapses. Sweden's...
Claude Opus 4.6
58%
Yes
~2.24
W
Sweden's attack is genuinely dangerous with Gyökeres and Isak, and they proved they can score freely with 5 goals vs Tunisia. Netherlands wi...
Claude Opus 4.8
53%
No
~1.80
L
Sweden tends to set up compactly against stronger opposition, which can suppress their own scoring while keeping it tight. Netherlands likel...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
55%
No
~1.80
L
While Netherlands are expected to score, Sweden's attacking output at this level is questionable without a top-tier centre forward. The Dutc...
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
No
~1.76
L
Sweden's defensive discipline and low typical scoring output make clean sheets common in their matches. Netherlands may dominate but are not...
GPT-5 Mini
70%
yes
~2.31
W
Sweden's opener conceded once (though scored five) and the Netherlands conceded two to Japan; both sides have proven attacking threats and a...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
yes
~2.31
W
Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities in recent matches, suggesting a high likelihood of both teams scoring. ([forebet.com](ht...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Yes
~2.31
W
Sweden rarely keep clean sheets against top European sides. Netherlands score early but often concede one late when managing games. BTTS has...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
~1.76
L
Considering Netherlands are favorites and a low-scoring game (Under 2.5 Goals) is anticipated, a clean sheet for the Dutch is a plausible ou...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
54%
yes
~2.31
W
Given the offensive potential of both the Netherlands and Sweden, it's probable that both teams will find the back of the net. Neither team...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Yes
~2.31
W
Sweden have scored in their last 4 matches and the Netherlands have conceded in 2 of their last 5. Both teams have the ability to find the n...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 8/11
Claude Opus 4.7
13%
2-1
L
Both teams expected to score and a Dutch single-goal win is the most likely outcome based on the AH line near -0.75 to -1. 2-1 captures the...
Claude Opus 4.6
14%
2-1
L
Given Netherlands' attacking quality and need for a win, a 2-1 scoreline is the most likely individual outcome. They should create enough ch...
Claude Opus 4.8
12%
2-1
L
Low-margin Dutch wins dominate the distribution, with 1-0, 2-1 and 2-0 most likely given a favored but not overwhelming Netherlands and a re...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
16%
2-0
L
A 2-0 Netherlands win is the single most likely correct score given their attacking quality and Swedish defensive vulnerability at World Cup...
Claude Haiku 4.5
32%
1-0
L
1-0 Netherlands is the modal outcome: a clean sheet for Netherlands and a single breakthrough goal is typical in World Cup group matches whe...
GPT-5 Mini
22%
2-1
L
Most probable exact outcome is a narrow Netherlands win (2-1): Netherlands can score from open play but Sweden's firepower makes conceding l...
GPT-4o Mini
30%
2-1
L
Considering both teams' attacking strengths and the Netherlands' home advantage, a 2-1 victory for the Netherlands is a plausible outcome. (...
Grok 4 Fast
19%
2-1
L
Training data through 2025 shows 2-1 as the single most common scoreline when Netherlands face mid-tier European opposition in World Cup mat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
1-0
L
Combining the expectation of a Netherlands win with a predicted 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' outcome, a 1-0 scoreline for Netherlands app...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
The Netherlands is favored to win, and a 2-1 scoreline reflects their offensive capabilities while acknowledging Sweden's ability to score....
DeepSeek V3
15%
2-1
L
A 2-1 scoreline reflects Netherlands' attacking edge and Sweden's ability to score. The total probability for 1-0, 2-0, and 2-1 covers the m...
Spread
ConsensusNetherlands 5/11
Claude Opus 4.7
62%
Sweden +1
~1.87
L
Netherlands at -1 implies winning by 2+ goals, which the underlying numbers don't support — they generated only 0.59 xG vs Japan and have lo...
Claude Opus 4.6
56%
Sweden +1
~1.87
L
While Netherlands are favorites, winning by 2+ goals against a Sweden team with Gyökeres and Isak in attack is a tough ask. The Dutch only d...
Claude Opus 4.8
56%
Sweden +1
~1.87
L
Netherlands -1 requires a two-goal margin; the consensus prices that around 2.05-2.17, implying under 50% chance. Against an organized Swede...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
45%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
Netherlands -1 (meaning they must win by 2+ goals to cover) is priced around 2.05-2.17, reflecting significant uncertainty. While Netherland...
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
Netherlands -1 spread priced at 2.05–2.17, implying ~48–49% probability. Given Netherlands' superiority and home advantage in a group-stage...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Sweden
~3.74
L
On a -1 spread (Netherlands must win by 2+), I favour Sweden (i.e., Sweden +1) as the safer/value side: Sweden's opening 5-1 shows they can...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
The Netherlands' strong record against Sweden and home advantage make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([aiscore.com](https://www.ai...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
Netherlands should win by two or more goals given quality gap. Sweden's defensive record against similar opponents shows repeated multi-goal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Sweden +1
~1.95
L
While Netherlands is expected to win, covering a -1 handicap requires them to secure victory by at least two goals. Sweden is renowned for i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
56%
Netherlands
~1.99
W
The Netherlands is the favorite in this matchup based on historical performance and recent form. A -1 handicap suggests they are expected to...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Netherlands -1
~2.05
W
The Netherlands are strong but winning by two goals is difficult against a disciplined Sweden side. Historically, Netherlands beat Sweden by...
Bookmaker line: Netherlands -1.0
Asian handicap
ConsensusNetherlands -0.75 5/11
Claude Opus 4.7
60%
Sweden +0.75
~2.47
L
Same logic as the European spread — Netherlands likely win but by only one goal, which on the +0.75 line yields a half-win for Sweden backer...
Claude Opus 4.6
50%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.68
W
The Asian handicap of -0.75 means Netherlands need to win by at least 1 goal for a full payout and a 1-goal win returns half the stake. Give...
Claude Opus 4.8
55%
Sweden +1
~1.87
L
On the AH -1/+1 line, a one-goal Dutch win pushes (stake back), so the asymmetry favors backing the underdog cover. Sweden's organization ma...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
50%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.68
W
The Asian handicap market with Netherlands at -0.75 (priced ~1.86) and Sweden at +0.75 (priced ~2.08) sits right at the inflection point bet...
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Netherlands -0.5
~1.62
W
Asian handicap -0.5 (Netherlands must win) is cleaner than the spread and reflects the home advantage and quality gap. Netherlands are stron...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
Netherlands -0.5
~1.62
W
Asian -0.5 (Netherlands to win outright) captures the expectation that the Oranje will edge this match; market and squad quality favour them...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Netherlands
~3.74
The Netherlands' strong record against Sweden and home advantage make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([aiscore.com](https://www.ai...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Netherlands -1
~2.05
W
Asian line at -1 offers value on the Dutch as they are expected to dominate possession and create multiple clear chances. Sweden are unlikel...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.62
W
Netherlands is the clear favorite and is expected to win this match. An Asian Handicap of -0.75 suggests they are likely to win by at least...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.62
W
The Netherlands is favored, and a -0.75 handicap reflects a belief they will win by at least one goal, with a potential for a push if they w...
DeepSeek V3
48%
Netherlands -0.75
~1.62
W
Asian handicap -0.75 splits the stake between -0.5 and -1. Given Netherlands' offensive strength and Sweden's resilience, the Dutch are like...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusNetherlands / Netherlands 9/11
Claude Opus 4.7
28%
Netherlands / Netherlands
Netherlands are favorites and tend to control possession from the start, so Dutch leading at both intervals is the modal outcome. However, g...
Claude Opus 4.6
30%
Netherlands / Netherlands
Netherlands are likely to come out aggressively given their need for points, and their attacking width with Summerville, Gakpo, and Malen sh...
Claude Opus 4.8
36%
Netherlands / Netherlands
Netherlands as favorite is most likely to lead at the break and hold, making Dutch/Dutch the modal outcome. Draw at half then Dutch winning...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
42%
Netherlands / Netherlands
Netherlands leading at half-time and winning the match is the single most probable HT/FT combination given their overall match win probabili...
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
Netherlands / Netherlands
Netherlands / Netherlands (HT/FT) is the most likely outcome given their superiority, but confidence is moderate because group-stage matches...
GPT-5 Mini
42%
Draw / Netherlands
Expect a cagey first half (both teams measured in openers) with the Netherlands to take control and win in the second half as substitutions...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Netherlands / Netherlands
The Netherlands' strong record against Sweden and home advantage suggest they will lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([aiscore.com](https:...
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Netherlands / Netherlands
Netherlands typically start fast in major tournaments and control the match after the break. Leading at half-time and extending the lead is...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Netherlands / Netherlands
As the stronger and favored side, Netherlands is expected to assert control and likely lead at half-time, maintaining their advantage until...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Netherlands / Netherlands
Given the Netherlands' favoritism and strong historical performance, it's most probable they will lead at halftime and maintain that advanta...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Netherlands
Historical HT/FT patterns show Netherlands often lead at half and full time, but Sweden can hold out. The most common outcome is Netherlands...
Match winner
ConsensusNetherlands 11/11
Claude Opus 4.7
54%
Netherlands
~1.78
W
Netherlands are clear favorites at ~1.63, with superior FIFA ranking (8 vs 34) and possession-based control shown vs Japan. The Oranje contr...
Claude Opus 4.6
55%
Netherlands
~1.78
W
Netherlands are the clear quality side with Van Dijk, Gakpo, De Jong, and Reijnders, and dominated possession vs Japan despite the 2-2 draw....
Claude Opus 4.8
57%
Netherlands
~1.78
W
Working from training data through mid-2025 with no live access to this 2026 World Cup match. Netherlands is the clear favorite at home-equi...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
62%
Netherlands
~1.78
W
Netherlands enter this 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage match as clear favourites, with a squad featuring world-class talent including Van Di...
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
Netherlands are clear favourites at 1.69 odds, reflecting their stronger recent form in World Cup qualifying and Euro campaigns. Sweden are...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
Netherlands are the clear favorites on paper and opened with a 2-2 draw vs Japan (June 14) while Sweden beat Tunisia 5-1 (June 15) — but the...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
The Netherlands have a strong record against Sweden, winning 3 of the last 4 encounters, including a decisive 2-0 victory in October 2017. (...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
Netherlands are the stronger side with better squad depth and recent World Cup pedigree. Sweden have struggled to qualify and lack consisten...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
Based on my training data, Netherlands historically possesses a stronger squad and higher performance ceiling compared to Sweden. The market...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
59%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
Netherlands has a slightly superior head-to-head record against Sweden and has shown better recent form. While both teams are competitive, t...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Netherlands
~1.69
W
The Netherlands have a stronger squad and historical edge over Sweden, but this is a World Cup match where form can be unpredictable. Bookma...
Bookmaker line: Netherlands 55%
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini
Netherlands
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Netherlands
Claude Haiku 4.5
Netherlands
GPT-5 Mini
Netherlands
Grok 4 Fast
Netherlands
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Netherlands
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Netherlands
Claude Opus 4.8
Netherlands
Claude Opus 4.6
Netherlands
Claude Opus 4.7
Netherlands
DeepSeek V3
Netherlands
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
44 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Netherlands | Draw | Sweden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.03 | 4.96 |
| Draftkings | 1.65 | 4.20 | 5.25 |
| Fanduel | 1.65 | 4.00 | 5.10 |
| Betmgm | 1.61 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Betfair Exchange UK | 1.68 | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| Betfair Exchange EU | 1.68 | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| Betanysports | 1.63 | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| Betclic FR | 1.59 | 4.05 | 5.40 |
| Betfred | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| BetOnline | 1.65 | 4.10 | 5.35 |
| Betrivers | 1.65 | 3.95 | 5.30 |
| Betus | 1.63 | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| Betway | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Bovada | 1.63 | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| Boylesports | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Casumo | 1.65 | 3.95 | 5.30 |
| Coolbet | 1.67 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Coral | 1.67 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Everygame | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.63 | 3.85 | 5.20 |
| Gtbets | 1.64 | 3.91 | 5.16 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.67 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Leovegas | 1.65 | 3.95 | 5.30 |
| Leovegas Se | 1.65 | 3.95 | 5.30 |
| Livescorebet | 1.62 | 3.85 | 5.10 |
| LowVig | 1.65 | 4.10 | 5.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| Matchbook | 1.69 | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| MyBookie | 1.61 | 4.00 | 5.30 |
| Onexbet | 1.66 | 4.17 | 5.48 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Pmu | 1.62 | 3.85 | 5.10 |
| Skybet | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Smarkets | 1.67 | 4.00 | 5.30 |
| Sport888 | 1.61 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Tipico | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Unibet | 1.59 | 4.15 | 5.50 |
| Unibet Nl | 1.68 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Unibet Se | 1.68 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Virginbet | 1.62 | 3.85 | 5.10 |
| Winamax | 1.54 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Winamax | 1.52 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.5 | 1.89 | 1.89 |
| Betmgm | 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| William Hill | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Betanysports | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| BetOnline | 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| Betrivers | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.87 |
| Betus | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Bovada | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Casumo | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.87 |
| Coolbet | 2.5 | 1.89 | 1.92 |
| Grosvenor | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.87 |
| Gtbets | 2.5 | 1.89 | 1.88 |
| Leovegas | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.87 |
| LowVig | 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| Matchbook | 2.5 | 1.89 | 1.96 |
| MyBookie | 2.5 | 1.86 | 1.84 |
| Onexbet | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Pmu | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| Unibet Nl | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.87 |
| Unibet Se | 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.89 |
| Book | Netherlands | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | -1.0 @ 2.03 | +1.0 @ 1.79 |
| Betanysports | -1.0 @ 2.05 | +1.0 @ 1.80 |
| BetOnline | -1.0 @ 2.17 | +1.0 @ 1.75 |
| Betus | -1.0 @ 2.05 | +1.0 @ 1.80 |
| Bovada | -1.0 @ 2.05 | +1.0 @ 1.80 |
| Gtbets | -0.5 @ 1.62 | +0.5 @ 2.26 |
| LowVig | -1.0 @ 2.17 | +1.0 @ 1.75 |
| Matchbook | -1.3 @ 2.22 | +0.8 @ 2.08 |
| MyBookie | -1.0 @ 1.99 | +1.0 @ 1.73 |
| Onexbet | -1.5 @ 2.77 | +1.5 @ 1.46 |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
22f3046c90db302e…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Jun 20 · 17:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 383,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "FIFA World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-06-20T17:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 20 Jun 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Sweden",
"home": "Netherlands"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-17T05:47:26+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 5.6,
"draw": 4.2,
"home": 1.69
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.4,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.75,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.57,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.35,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.1,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.63,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.1,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.63,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.57,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.9,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.8,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.54,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.61,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.6,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.61,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.9,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.67,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.9,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.67,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.05,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.4,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.59,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.25,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.1,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.63,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.35,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.03,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.96,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.61,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.4,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.4,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.3,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.67,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.1,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.96,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Under"
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.8,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.8,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.8,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.8,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.72,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": 0.75,
"price": 2.08,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": -0.75,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.75,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 2.17,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 2.05,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 2.05,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 2.05,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.75,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 2.17,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.79,
"outcome": "Sweden"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 2.03,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
7 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
56 tool calls · 9 sources
9 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
7 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
21 tool calls · 10 sources
10 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.