Muras UnitedvsAlga
Muras United 1–3 Alga
All 5 AIs backed Muras United — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Muras United 5/5
- Correct calls
- 0/5
- Final
- 1–3
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 2/5 models |
Muras United 5/5 models |
Alga +0.25 2/5 models |
No 2/5 models |
Draw / Draw 2/5 models |
Alga +1 2/5 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
55%
Under 2.5
L
|
58%
Muras United
L
|
55%
Muras United -0.5
L
|
52%
No
L
|
42%
Muras United / Muras United
L
|
48%
Muras United -1
L
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Without access to current team offensive output, defensive records, or playing style, a slight lean to Under 2.5 reflects conservatism in go...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Muras United Muras United play at home with typical home-field advantage in Premier League context, though no live fixture data or recent form is availab...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Muras United -0.5 Asian handicap of -0.5 is a half-goal advantage, meaning Muras United must win or draw to cover. This is more achievable than a -1 spread an...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
No Both teams to score assumes balanced attacking threat and permeable defences on both sides. Without recent form, injury data, or tactical pr...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Muras United / Muras United HT/FT (half-time / full-time) is the most speculative market given zero form data. Home win across both halves is selected marginally over a...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Muras United -1 Spreads of -1 require a two-goal home victory. Home-field advantage is modest, and without form, lineups, or head-to-head history, expecting... |
|||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
over
W
|
52%
Muras United
L
|
52%
home_ -0.5 |
51%
yes
W
|
35%
Muras United / Muras United
L
|
48%
home_ -1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over League matches involving Alga tend to produce goals above 2.5 on average. Muras United games also lean open based on past seasons. Training...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Muras United Muras United benefits from home status in this Kyrgyz Premier League fixture. Historical patterns favor the home side in domestic matches be...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
home_ -0.5 Asian handicap favors the home team due to venue and typical league positioning. Alga struggles away from home in recorded seasons. Training...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Both teams have shown attacking tendencies in historical encounters. Defensive records are not dominant enough to expect clean sheets. Train...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Muras United / Muras United Full-time home win is the base case and half-time lead for home follows from typical patterns. Other HT/FT combinations remain possible but...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
home_ -1 Home side expected to win but margin uncertain given limited recent data on Muras. Spread -1 requires a two-goal margin which is not guarant... |
|||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
45%
Muras United
L
|
55%
Alga +0.5
W
|
60%
Yes
W
|
20%
Draw / Muras United
L
|
55%
Alga +1
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Given a Premier League context and assuming both teams have reasonably capable attacks, there's a good chance for at least three goals. Whil...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Muras United Based on my training data through 2023, I assume Muras United, as the home team, holds a slight advantage in this Premier League fixture. Ho...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Alga +0.5 For this Asian Handicap line of -0.5 for Muras United, a bet on Muras United requires them to win outright. Alga +0.5 covers both a draw and...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes With Muras United favored to win at home, they are expected to score. If Alga can find the net, which is likely given the 'Over 2.5' predict...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Muras United A common scenario for a favored home team is to start cautiously, resulting in a draw at half-time. They then leverage their home advantage...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Alga +1 Muras United is a slight favorite, but winning by two or more goals is less common than a narrow victory or a draw. Alga +1 covers scenarios... |
|||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
over
W
|
55%
Muras United
L
|
55%
Alga +0.25
W
|
58%
yes
W
|
35%
Draw / Draw
L
|
52%
Alga
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Premier League matches often feature a good number of goals. Assuming both teams have reasonably functional offenses, it's likely that at le...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Muras United Based on training data, Muras United is generally a stronger team in the Premier League than Alga. Without specific recent form or lineup da...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Alga +0.25 With no strong indicator of a dominant performance from either side, the Asian Handicap of +0.25 for Alga offers a slight safety net. This p...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Given the assumption of a moderately open game favoring goals (as per totals_2.5 prediction), it's probable that both teams will find the ne...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Draw Given the uncertainty and lack of strong indicators, a cautious approach suggests a half-time draw is plausible. The second half could also...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Alga If Muras United is the favored team (h2h), Alga would need to overcome a -1 handicap. This suggests Alga might be more likely to keep the sc... |
|||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
35%
Over 2.5
W
|
40%
Muras United
L
|
50%
Alga +0.25
W
|
55%
No
L
|
20%
Draw / Draw
L
|
50%
Alga +1
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
35%
Over 2.5 With no reliable stats, lower-league matches often have fewer goals. Training data suggests many Kyrgyz league games end under 2.5 goals. I...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
Muras United Based on my training data through mid-2025, Muras United and Alga are relatively unfamiliar teams, likely from lower Kyrgyz leagues. Assumin...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Alga +0.25 Asian handicap +0.25 splits stake between draw and win. Alga +0.25 is slightly favored due to expected closeness. Uncertainty remains high.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Given the lack of attacking form data, it's plausible that at least one team fails to score. BTTS No is slightly more likely than Yes, but u...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Draw Draw at half-time and full-time is a common result in low-scoring matches. With teams of similar strength, a stalemate is plausible, but oth...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Alga +1 Alga +1 covers a draw or loss by one goal. Since the match is likely close, Alga +1 is probable. However, Muras United winning by 2+ cannot... |
|||||||
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Under 2.5
L
Without access to current team offensive output, defensive records, or playing style, a slight lean to Under 2.5 reflects conservatism in go...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
W
League matches involving Alga tend to produce goals above 2.5 on average. Muras United games also lean open based on past seasons. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 2.5
W
Given a Premier League context and assuming both teams have reasonably capable attacks, there's a good chance for at least three goals. Whil...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
W
Premier League matches often feature a good number of goals. Assuming both teams have reasonably functional offenses, it's likely that at le...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Over 2.5
W
With no reliable stats, lower-league matches often have fewer goals. Training data suggests many Kyrgyz league games end under 2.5 goals. I...
Match winner
ConsensusMuras United 5/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Muras United
L
Muras United play at home with typical home-field advantage in Premier League context, though no live fixture data or recent form is availab...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Muras United
L
Muras United benefits from home status in this Kyrgyz Premier League fixture. Historical patterns favor the home side in domestic matches be...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Muras United
L
Based on my training data through 2023, I assume Muras United, as the home team, holds a slight advantage in this Premier League fixture. Ho...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Muras United
L
Based on training data, Muras United is generally a stronger team in the Premier League than Alga. Without specific recent form or lineup da...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Muras United
L
Based on my training data through mid-2025, Muras United and Alga are relatively unfamiliar teams, likely from lower Kyrgyz leagues. Assumin...
Asian handicap
ConsensusAlga +0.25 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Muras United -0.5
L
Asian handicap of -0.5 is a half-goal advantage, meaning Muras United must win or draw to cover. This is more achievable than a -1 spread an...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
home_ -0.5
Asian handicap favors the home team due to venue and typical league positioning. Alga struggles away from home in recorded seasons. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Alga +0.5
W
For this Asian Handicap line of -0.5 for Muras United, a bet on Muras United requires them to win outright. Alga +0.5 covers both a draw and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Alga +0.25
W
With no strong indicator of a dominant performance from either side, the Asian Handicap of +0.25 for Alga offers a slight safety net. This p...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Alga +0.25
W
Asian handicap +0.25 splits stake between draw and win. Alga +0.25 is slightly favored due to expected closeness. Uncertainty remains high.
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
No
L
Both teams to score assumes balanced attacking threat and permeable defences on both sides. Without recent form, injury data, or tactical pr...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
W
Both teams have shown attacking tendencies in historical encounters. Defensive records are not dominant enough to expect clean sheets. Train...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Yes
W
With Muras United favored to win at home, they are expected to score. If Alga can find the net, which is likely given the 'Over 2.5' predict...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
Given the assumption of a moderately open game favoring goals (as per totals_2.5 prediction), it's probable that both teams will find the ne...
DeepSeek V3
55%
No
L
Given the lack of attacking form data, it's plausible that at least one team fails to score. BTTS No is slightly more likely than Yes, but u...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
42%
Muras United / Muras United
L
HT/FT (half-time / full-time) is the most speculative market given zero form data. Home win across both halves is selected marginally over a...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
35%
Muras United / Muras United
L
Full-time home win is the base case and half-time lead for home follows from typical patterns. Other HT/FT combinations remain possible but...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
Draw / Muras United
L
A common scenario for a favored home team is to start cautiously, resulting in a draw at half-time. They then leverage their home advantage...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Draw / Draw
L
Given the uncertainty and lack of strong indicators, a cautious approach suggests a half-time draw is plausible. The second half could also...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Draw
L
Draw at half-time and full-time is a common result in low-scoring matches. With teams of similar strength, a stalemate is plausible, but oth...
Spread
ConsensusAlga +1 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
Muras United -1
L
Spreads of -1 require a two-goal home victory. Home-field advantage is modest, and without form, lineups, or head-to-head history, expecting...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
home_ -1
Home side expected to win but margin uncertain given limited recent data on Muras. Spread -1 requires a two-goal margin which is not guarant...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Alga +1
W
Muras United is a slight favorite, but winning by two or more goals is less common than a narrow victory or a draw. Alga +1 covers scenarios...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Alga
W
If Muras United is the favored team (h2h), Alga would need to overcome a -1 handicap. This suggests Alga might be more likely to keep the sc...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Alga +1
W
Alga +1 covers a draw or loss by one goal. Since the match is likely close, Alga +1 is probable. However, Muras United winning by 2+ cannot...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
Muras United
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Muras United
Grok 4 Fast
Muras United
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Muras United
DeepSeek V3
Muras United
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
f74f7fb9b0450931…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Jun 13 · 15:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1289,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-13T15:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 13 Jun 2026 15:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Alga",
"home": "Muras United"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-12T18:56:12+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.