MexicovsSouth Korea
Mexico 1–0 South Korea
All 9 AIs backed Mexico — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Mexico 9/9
- Correct calls
- 9/9
- Final
- 1–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena7 markets · 9 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
book: 2.5 · Over 44% |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
book: Mexico -0.5 |
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Mexico 47% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Under 6/9 models |
Mexico -0.5 6/9 models |
No 7/9 models |
South Korea 3/9 models |
Mexico / Mexico 5/9 models |
1-0 7/9 models |
Mexico 9/9 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | 2.5 · Over 44% | — | — | Mexico -0.5 | — | — | Mexico 47% | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.7 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
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|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
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|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
58%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
|
55%
South Korea +0.5
~2.12
L
|
54%
No
~1.91
W
|
62%
South Korea +1
~1.67
|
28%
Mexico / Mexico |
18%
1-0
W
|
52%
Mexico
~2.03
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 The bookmaker totals line is set at 2.5 with Under priced at ~1.53-1.57, implying roughly 61-63% implied probability for Under — a tight lin...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: +3.6%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
South Korea +0.5 The Asian handicap at -0.5 for Mexico essentially mirrors the 1X2 moneyline: Mexico must win outright, South Korea covers with a draw or win...
Odds: 2.12
Edge: +7.8%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
No Both Teams to Score 'No' is marginal but preferred here given Mexico's tendency to keep clean sheets in home tournament environments and Sou...
Odds: 1.91
Edge: +1.6%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
62%
South Korea +1 The spreads_-1 market asks whether Mexico wins by 2+ goals (covering -1) or South Korea covers +1 (loses by 0 or 1, or wins). Mexico winning...
Odds: 1.67
Edge: +2.1%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Mexico / Mexico HT/FT 'Mexico/Mexico' is the single most likely individual double-result outcome when Mexico is the overall favorite, as a team that leads a...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 A 1-0 Mexico win is the single most probable correct score outcome, consistent with their status as a slight favorite in a low-scoring tourn...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Mexico Mexico enters this 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage match as the host nation (or co-host), which typically provides a significant psychologic...
Odds: 2.03
Edge: +2.7%
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
54%
Over
~2.40
L
|
52%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
|
51%
Yes
~2.09
L
|
45%
Mexico -1
~2.48
|
28%
Mexico / Mexico |
16%
1-0
W
|
52%
Mexico
~2.03
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
Over Consensus odds for Over 2.5 sit around 2.25–2.45, implying ~42–44% likelihood, but the low-friction market pricing (Mexico +2 to -1 spread,...
Odds: 2.40
Edge: +12.3%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Mexico -0.5 Asian Handicap Mexico -0.5 (meaning Mexico must win or draw to cover) is the natural expression of Mexico's narrow favoritism. At typical pr...
Odds: 1.90
Edge: -0.6%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
Yes With Mexico favored to score and South Korea capable of transitional/set-piece threats, a both-teams-to-score outcome is near-neutral. The t...
Odds: 2.09
Edge: +3.1%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Mexico -1 The -1 spread (Mexico -1 vs South Korea +1) is the closest analog to a 'spread' in this data. Mexico at -1 is priced 1.95–2.02, implying ~49...
Odds: 2.48
Edge: +4.7%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Mexico / Mexico HT/FT Mexico-Mexico (Mexico leading at HT and FT) is the single most likely outcome at ~28%, reflecting Mexico's overall favoritism and like...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
1-0 In a Mexico-favored, moderately open World Cup match, 1-0 Mexico (Mexico winning 1-0) is the modal outcome at 16%, reflecting a narrow Mexic...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Mexico Mexico is favored at ~2.0 implied odds (49.3% probability). Mexico has structural advantages at the 2026 World Cup: home confederation suppo...
Odds: 2.03
Edge: +2.7%
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
60%
Under
~1.60
W
|
53%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
|
58%
No
~1.91
W
|
68%
South Korea
~2.89
L
|
30%
Mexico / Mexico |
22%
1-0
W
|
52%
Mexico
~2.03
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under Group-stage matches between evenly-matched teams with defensive caution often finish under 2.5; Mexico kept a clean sheet in their opener wh...
Odds: 1.60
Edge: -2.5%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Mexico -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 is effectively a straight-win bet; given Mexico's home advantage, crowd and momentum from the opening win, they are slig...
Odds: 1.90
Edge: +0.4%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
No Mexico have a compact, organised defensive base under Aguirre and kept South Africa scoreless despite late-game chaos, while South Korea's o...
Odds: 1.91
Edge: +5.6%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
68%
South Korea Mexico winning by a two-goal margin (covering -1) is less likely than a single-goal win or draw given South Korea's quality and the tighter...
Odds: 2.89
Edge: +33.4%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Mexico / Mexico A common World Cup pattern: co-hosts push early to control the game and may lead at half-time before closing out the win; Mexico's opener pr...
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-0 A 1-0 home win is the single likeliest scoreline given Mexico's home advantage and expected cautious approach; Mexico scored first in their...
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Mexico Mexico are playing in front of a hostile home crowd in Guadalajara and are favored by bookmakers; they opened the tournament with a 2-0 win...
Odds: 2.03
Edge: +2.7%
🔍 researched
9 sources cited
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
60%
Under
~1.59
W
|
55%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
|
55%
Yes
~2.09
L
|
55%
Mexico
~1.53
|
55%
Mexico / Mexico |
40%
2-1
L
|
55%
Mexico
~2.03
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under Both teams have demonstrated solid defensive capabilities in their opening matches, suggesting a low-scoring encounter. ([squawka.com](https...
Odds: 1.59
Edge: -2.9%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Mexico -0.5 Mexico's home advantage and superior head-to-head record suggest they will win by at least one goal. ([aiscore.com](https://www.aiscore.com/...
Odds: 1.90
Edge: +2.4%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Both teams have potent attacking players capable of scoring, making it likely that both will find the net. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawk...
Odds: 2.09
Edge: +7.2%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Mexico Given Mexico's home advantage and superior head-to-head record, they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([aiscore.com](https://www.aisc...
Odds: 1.53
Edge: -10.4%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Mexico / Mexico Mexico's home advantage and superior head-to-head record suggest they will lead at halftime and win the match. ([aiscore.com](https://www.ai...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
40%
2-1 A 2-1 victory for Mexico is a plausible outcome, considering their home advantage and attacking capabilities. ([squawka.com](https://www.squ...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Mexico Mexico has a strong home advantage and a superior head-to-head record against South Korea, winning 4 out of 6 encounters. Their recent form,...
Odds: 2.03
Edge: +5.7%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
53%
Under
~1.60
W
|
49%
Mexico -0.5
~1.92
W
|
54%
No
~1.92
W
|
48%
Mexico
~1.54
|
28%
Draw / Mexico |
18%
1-0
W
|
49%
Mexico
~2.15
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Under World Cup openers between mid-tier sides trend toward low scoring. Mexico typically controls tempo without overcommitting forward. South Kor...
Odds: 1.60
Edge: -9.5%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
49%
Mexico -0.5 Equivalent to standard moneyline home favorite. Mexico expected win probability hovers near 48-50 percent per available odds. Slight value o...
Odds: 1.92
Edge: -3.1%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
No Mexico concedes sparingly in major tournaments while South Korea struggles finishing against compact defenses. Expect Mexico to keep clean s...
Odds: 1.92
Edge: +1.9%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Mexico Mexico favored but only by half-goal on average. South Korea covers +1 frequently in similar mismatches. Consensus spread pricing near even...
Odds: 1.54
Edge: -16.9%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Mexico Mexico likely to edge second half after cautious opening period. Half-time draws common when favorite opens tournament. South Korea capable...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low-event match expected with Mexico grinding narrow win. 1-0 and 2-0 historically frequent outcomes for Mexico in World Cup group games ver...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
49%
Mexico Mexico holds historical edge over South Korea and enters as slight favorite per consensus odds around 2.0. Both sides lack recent competitiv...
Odds: 2.15
Edge: +2.5%
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
Under
~1.59
W
|
52%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
|
54%
No
~1.91
W
|
51%
Mexico
~1.53
|
34%
Mexico / Mexico |
18%
1-0
W
|
52%
Mexico
~2.03
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Under Both sides average under 2.4 goals per game in recent WC cycles. Mexico tends to play conservatively in openers. Consensus lines favor under...
Odds: 1.59
Edge: -9.9%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Mexico -0.5 Asian handicap aligns with H2H edge for Mexico. Korea rarely beats top CONCACAF teams by positive margin. Line at -0.5 reflects Mexico's 52...
Odds: 1.90
Edge: -0.6%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
No Mexico keeps clean sheets in 55 percent of matches against similar opposition. South Korea scores infrequently on the road in major tourname...
Odds: 1.91
Edge: +1.6%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Mexico Mexico favored by half a goal or more in consensus spreads. Historical results show Mexico winning by one goal margin often against Korea. S...
Odds: 1.53
Edge: -14.4%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
34%
Mexico / Mexico Mexico typically leads at half in favorable matchups and maintains lead. Korea starts slowly in away fixtures. HT/FT Mexico/Mexico is the si...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low scoring profile points to 1-0 or 2-0 as likeliest results. Mexico rarely concedes first against Korea historically. 1-0 edges out due to...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Mexico Mexico holds a historical edge in H2H and superior squad depth for World Cup qualifiers and friendlies through 2024. South Korea struggles a...
Odds: 2.03
Edge: +2.7%
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
|
52%
South Korea +0.5
~2.12
L
|
55%
No
~1.91
W
|
52%
South Korea +1
~1.67
|
20%
Draw / Mexico |
18%
1-0
W
|
50%
Mexico
~2.03
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under 2.5 World Cup group stage matches involving these teams often tend to be cagey affairs with a focus on defensive solidity. Both Mexico and South...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: +5.7%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
South Korea +0.5 An Asian Handicap of South Korea +0.5 means South Korea wins if they draw or win the match. Given Mexico's outright win probability of aroun...
Odds: 2.12
Edge: +4.8%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Given the expectation of a tight, potentially low-scoring match (Under 2.5), it's more probable that at least one team will fail to score. M...
Odds: 1.91
Edge: +2.6%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
South Korea +1 While Mexico is favored to win, it's unlikely they will secure a victory by a margin of two goals or more against a disciplined South Korean...
Odds: 1.67
Edge: -7.9%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Mexico Mexico is favored, but South Korea's defensive organization means the first half could be tight. Mexico often grows into games and has the q...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Consistent with Mexico being the favorite and a low-scoring match prediction (Under 2.5, BTTS No), a 1-0 victory for Mexico is the most prob...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
Mexico Based on historical performance and team strength from training data, Mexico is generally stronger in group stage matches. They often benefi...
Odds: 2.03
Edge: +0.7%
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
52%
Under
~1.59
W
|
58%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
|
51%
No
~1.91
W
|
53%
South Korea
~2.89
L
|
40%
Mexico / Draw
L
|
20%
2-1
L
|
55%
Mexico
~2.03
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under While both teams possess attacking talent, World Cup group stage matches can often be cagey affairs. Considering the historical tendency for...
Odds: 1.59
Edge: -10.9%
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Mexico -0.5 Mexico is the slight favorite according to the bookmakers, and their historical advantage gives them a slight edge. A -0.5 handicap means Me...
Odds: 1.90
Edge: +5.4%
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
No Given the prediction of a potentially tighter game with fewer than 2.5 goals, it suggests that at least one of the teams might fail to score...
Odds: 1.91
Edge: -1.4%
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
South Korea Mexico is favored to win, but South Korea is expected to put up a strong fight and potentially cover a -1 spread. Their attacking prowess, e...
Odds: 2.89
Edge: +18.4%
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Mexico / Draw Mexico is favored to win, but a slow start or a second-half resurgence from South Korea could lead to a draw at halftime followed by a Mexic...
4 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
2-1 Considering Mexico's slight favoritism and historical edge, a narrow victory is most likely. A 2-1 scoreline reflects Mexico's ability to sc...
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Mexico Mexico has a historical advantage in head-to-head matches against South Korea, winning 2 out of 3 encounters. While both teams have talented...
Odds: 2.03
Edge: +5.7%
4 sources cited
|
||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Under
~1.59
W
|
55%
South Korea +0.5
~2.12
L
|
52%
No
~1.91
W
|
55%
South Korea
~2.89
L
|
18%
Draw / Mexico |
50%
1-0
W
|
45%
Mexico
~2.03
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under Both teams have solid defenses and recent matches have been low-scoring. World Cup group openers often cautious. Under 2.5 goals is likely.
Odds: 1.59
Edge: -7.9%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
South Korea +0.5 South Korea are resilient and often draw or win by small margins. Mexico's home advantage is neutralized on neutral venue. +0.5 is a safe be...
Odds: 2.12
Edge: +7.8%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
No Both teams have clean sheets in recent matches. Mexico's attack is not elite, and South Korea can be toothless. A 1-0 or 0-0 scenario is pla...
Odds: 1.91
Edge: -0.4%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
South Korea Mexico is not strong enough to cover a -1 goal spread. South Korea can keep it close or lose by exactly one. The spread is attractive for Ko...
Odds: 2.89
Edge: +20.4%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
18%
Draw / Mexico Most likely outcome is Mexico leading at halftime and winning, but a 0-0 draw at half is also plausible given cautious starts. Draw at half...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
50%
1-0 Mexico's defense and home advantage suggest a narrow win. 1-0 is the most common scoreline in tight World Cup matches. South Korea likely to...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Mexico Mexico historically strong in World Cup group stages and have home continent advantage. However, South Korea is a disciplined side with rece...
Odds: 2.03
Edge: -4.3%
|
||||||||
Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 6/9
Claude Sonnet 4.6
58%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
The bookmaker totals line is set at 2.5 with Under priced at ~1.53-1.57, implying roughly 61-63% implied probability for Under — a tight lin...
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Over
~2.40
L
Consensus odds for Over 2.5 sit around 2.25–2.45, implying ~42–44% likelihood, but the low-friction market pricing (Mexico +2 to -1 spread,...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
Under
~1.60
W
Group-stage matches between evenly-matched teams with defensive caution often finish under 2.5; Mexico kept a clean sheet in their opener wh...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Under
~1.59
W
Both teams have demonstrated solid defensive capabilities in their opening matches, suggesting a low-scoring encounter. ([squawka.com](https...
Grok 4.3
53%
Under
~1.60
W
World Cup openers between mid-tier sides trend toward low scoring. Mexico typically controls tempo without overcommitting forward. South Kor...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Under
~1.59
W
Both sides average under 2.4 goals per game in recent WC cycles. Mexico tends to play conservatively in openers. Consensus lines favor under...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
World Cup group stage matches involving these teams often tend to be cagey affairs with a focus on defensive solidity. Both Mexico and South...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Under
~1.59
W
While both teams possess attacking talent, World Cup group stage matches can often be cagey affairs. Considering the historical tendency for...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under
~1.59
W
Both teams have solid defenses and recent matches have been low-scoring. World Cup group openers often cautious. Under 2.5 goals is likely.
Bookmaker line: 2.5 · Over 44%
Asian handicap
ConsensusMexico -0.5 6/9
Claude Sonnet 4.6
55%
South Korea +0.5
~2.12
L
The Asian handicap at -0.5 for Mexico essentially mirrors the 1X2 moneyline: Mexico must win outright, South Korea covers with a draw or win...
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
Asian Handicap Mexico -0.5 (meaning Mexico must win or draw to cover) is the natural expression of Mexico's narrow favoritism. At typical pr...
GPT-5 Mini
53%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
Asian handicap -0.5 is effectively a straight-win bet; given Mexico's home advantage, crowd and momentum from the opening win, they are slig...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
Mexico's home advantage and superior head-to-head record suggest they will win by at least one goal. ([aiscore.com](https://www.aiscore.com/...
Grok 4.3
49%
Mexico -0.5
~1.92
W
Equivalent to standard moneyline home favorite. Mexico expected win probability hovers near 48-50 percent per available odds. Slight value o...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
Asian handicap aligns with H2H edge for Mexico. Korea rarely beats top CONCACAF teams by positive margin. Line at -0.5 reflects Mexico's 52...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
South Korea +0.5
~2.12
L
An Asian Handicap of South Korea +0.5 means South Korea wins if they draw or win the match. Given Mexico's outright win probability of aroun...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Mexico -0.5
~1.90
W
Mexico is the slight favorite according to the bookmakers, and their historical advantage gives them a slight edge. A -0.5 handicap means Me...
DeepSeek V3
55%
South Korea +0.5
~2.12
L
South Korea are resilient and often draw or win by small margins. Mexico's home advantage is neutralized on neutral venue. +0.5 is a safe be...
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 7/9
Claude Sonnet 4.6
54%
No
~1.91
W
Both Teams to Score 'No' is marginal but preferred here given Mexico's tendency to keep clean sheets in home tournament environments and Sou...
Claude Haiku 4.5
51%
Yes
~2.09
L
With Mexico favored to score and South Korea capable of transitional/set-piece threats, a both-teams-to-score outcome is near-neutral. The t...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
No
~1.91
W
Mexico have a compact, organised defensive base under Aguirre and kept South Africa scoreless despite late-game chaos, while South Korea's o...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Yes
~2.09
L
Both teams have potent attacking players capable of scoring, making it likely that both will find the net. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawk...
Grok 4.3
54%
No
~1.92
W
Mexico concedes sparingly in major tournaments while South Korea struggles finishing against compact defenses. Expect Mexico to keep clean s...
Grok 4 Fast
54%
No
~1.91
W
Mexico keeps clean sheets in 55 percent of matches against similar opposition. South Korea scores infrequently on the road in major tourname...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
~1.91
W
Given the expectation of a tight, potentially low-scoring match (Under 2.5), it's more probable that at least one team will fail to score. M...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
51%
No
~1.91
W
Given the prediction of a potentially tighter game with fewer than 2.5 goals, it suggests that at least one of the teams might fail to score...
DeepSeek V3
52%
No
~1.91
W
Both teams have clean sheets in recent matches. Mexico's attack is not elite, and South Korea can be toothless. A 1-0 or 0-0 scenario is pla...
Spread
ConsensusSouth Korea 3/9
Claude Sonnet 4.6
62%
South Korea +1
~1.67
The spreads_-1 market asks whether Mexico wins by 2+ goals (covering -1) or South Korea covers +1 (loses by 0 or 1, or wins). Mexico winning...
Claude Haiku 4.5
45%
Mexico -1
~2.48
The -1 spread (Mexico -1 vs South Korea +1) is the closest analog to a 'spread' in this data. Mexico at -1 is priced 1.95–2.02, implying ~49...
GPT-5 Mini
68%
South Korea
~2.89
L
Mexico winning by a two-goal margin (covering -1) is less likely than a single-goal win or draw given South Korea's quality and the tighter...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Mexico
~1.53
Given Mexico's home advantage and superior head-to-head record, they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([aiscore.com](https://www.aisc...
Grok 4.3
48%
Mexico
~1.54
Mexico favored but only by half-goal on average. South Korea covers +1 frequently in similar mismatches. Consensus spread pricing near even...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Mexico
~1.53
Mexico favored by half a goal or more in consensus spreads. Historical results show Mexico winning by one goal margin often against Korea. S...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
South Korea +1
~1.67
While Mexico is favored to win, it's unlikely they will secure a victory by a margin of two goals or more against a disciplined South Korean...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
South Korea
~2.89
L
Mexico is favored to win, but South Korea is expected to put up a strong fight and potentially cover a -1 spread. Their attacking prowess, e...
DeepSeek V3
55%
South Korea
~2.89
L
Mexico is not strong enough to cover a -1 goal spread. South Korea can keep it close or lose by exactly one. The spread is attractive for Ko...
Bookmaker line: Mexico -0.5
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusMexico / Mexico 5/9
Claude Sonnet 4.6
28%
Mexico / Mexico
HT/FT 'Mexico/Mexico' is the single most likely individual double-result outcome when Mexico is the overall favorite, as a team that leads a...
Claude Haiku 4.5
28%
Mexico / Mexico
HT/FT Mexico-Mexico (Mexico leading at HT and FT) is the single most likely outcome at ~28%, reflecting Mexico's overall favoritism and like...
GPT-5 Mini
30%
Mexico / Mexico
A common World Cup pattern: co-hosts push early to control the game and may lead at half-time before closing out the win; Mexico's opener pr...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Mexico / Mexico
Mexico's home advantage and superior head-to-head record suggest they will lead at halftime and win the match. ([aiscore.com](https://www.ai...
Grok 4.3
28%
Draw / Mexico
Mexico likely to edge second half after cautious opening period. Half-time draws common when favorite opens tournament. South Korea capable...
Grok 4 Fast
34%
Mexico / Mexico
Mexico typically leads at half in favorable matchups and maintains lead. Korea starts slowly in away fixtures. HT/FT Mexico/Mexico is the si...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
Draw / Mexico
Mexico is favored, but South Korea's defensive organization means the first half could be tight. Mexico often grows into games and has the q...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Mexico / Draw
L
Mexico is favored to win, but a slow start or a second-half resurgence from South Korea could lead to a draw at halftime followed by a Mexic...
DeepSeek V3
18%
Draw / Mexico
Most likely outcome is Mexico leading at halftime and winning, but a 0-0 draw at half is also plausible given cautious starts. Draw at half...
Correct score
Consensus1-0 7/9
Claude Sonnet 4.6
18%
1-0
W
A 1-0 Mexico win is the single most probable correct score outcome, consistent with their status as a slight favorite in a low-scoring tourn...
Claude Haiku 4.5
16%
1-0
W
In a Mexico-favored, moderately open World Cup match, 1-0 Mexico (Mexico winning 1-0) is the modal outcome at 16%, reflecting a narrow Mexic...
GPT-5 Mini
22%
1-0
W
A 1-0 home win is the single likeliest scoreline given Mexico's home advantage and expected cautious approach; Mexico scored first in their...
GPT-4o Mini
40%
2-1
L
A 2-1 victory for Mexico is a plausible outcome, considering their home advantage and attacking capabilities. ([squawka.com](https://www.squ...
Grok 4.3
18%
1-0
W
Low-event match expected with Mexico grinding narrow win. 1-0 and 2-0 historically frequent outcomes for Mexico in World Cup group games ver...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
W
Low scoring profile points to 1-0 or 2-0 as likeliest results. Mexico rarely concedes first against Korea historically. 1-0 edges out due to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
1-0
W
Consistent with Mexico being the favorite and a low-scoring match prediction (Under 2.5, BTTS No), a 1-0 victory for Mexico is the most prob...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
2-1
L
Considering Mexico's slight favoritism and historical edge, a narrow victory is most likely. A 2-1 scoreline reflects Mexico's ability to sc...
DeepSeek V3
50%
1-0
W
Mexico's defense and home advantage suggest a narrow win. 1-0 is the most common scoreline in tight World Cup matches. South Korea likely to...
Match winner
ConsensusMexico 9/9
Claude Sonnet 4.6
52%
Mexico
~2.03
W
Mexico enters this 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage match as the host nation (or co-host), which typically provides a significant psychologic...
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Mexico
~2.03
W
Mexico is favored at ~2.0 implied odds (49.3% probability). Mexico has structural advantages at the 2026 World Cup: home confederation suppo...
GPT-5 Mini
52%
Mexico
~2.03
W
Mexico are playing in front of a hostile home crowd in Guadalajara and are favored by bookmakers; they opened the tournament with a 2-0 win...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Mexico
~2.03
W
Mexico has a strong home advantage and a superior head-to-head record against South Korea, winning 4 out of 6 encounters. Their recent form,...
Grok 4.3
49%
Mexico
~2.15
W
Mexico holds historical edge over South Korea and enters as slight favorite per consensus odds around 2.0. Both sides lack recent competitiv...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Mexico
~2.03
W
Mexico holds a historical edge in H2H and superior squad depth for World Cup qualifiers and friendlies through 2024. South Korea struggles a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Mexico
~2.03
W
Based on historical performance and team strength from training data, Mexico is generally stronger in group stage matches. They often benefi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Mexico
~2.03
W
Mexico has a historical advantage in head-to-head matches against South Korea, winning 2 out of 3 encounters. While both teams have talented...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Mexico
~2.03
W
Mexico historically strong in World Cup group stages and have home continent advantage. However, South Korea is a disciplined side with rece...
Bookmaker line: Mexico 47%
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini
Mexico
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Mexico
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Mexico
Claude Haiku 4.5
Mexico
GPT-5 Mini
Mexico
Grok 4 Fast
Mexico
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Mexico
Grok 4.3
Mexico
DeepSeek V3
Mexico
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
47 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Mexico | Draw | South Korea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.38 | 4.27 |
| Draftkings | 2.00 | 3.35 | 4.10 |
| Fanduel | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Betmgm | 1.98 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| Betfair Exchange UK | 2.02 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Betfair Exchange EU | 2.02 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Betanysports | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.15 |
| Betclic FR | 1.94 | 3.35 | 4.25 |
| Betfred | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| BetOnline | 2.00 | 3.35 | 4.23 |
| Betrivers | 1.96 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Betus | 1.95 | 3.35 | 4.20 |
| Betway | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Bovada | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.15 |
| Boylesports | 1.95 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Casumo | 1.96 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Codere It | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.10 |
| Coolbet | 1.98 | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| Coral | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Everygame | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Fanatics | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94 | 3.35 | 3.95 |
| Gtbets | 2.00 | 3.38 | 4.18 |
| Ladbrokes | 2.00 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| Leovegas | 1.96 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Leovegas Se | 1.96 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Livescorebet | 1.94 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| LowVig | 2.00 | 3.35 | 4.23 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.38 | 4.10 |
| Matchbook | 2.02 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| MyBookie | 2.00 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| Onexbet | 2.03 | 3.42 | 4.16 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Pmu | 1.93 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Skybet | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Smarkets | 2.00 | 3.45 | 4.30 |
| Sport888 | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| Tipico | 1.93 | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| Unibet | 1.95 | 3.35 | 4.20 |
| Unibet Nl | 2.00 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Unibet Se | 2.00 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Virginbet | 1.94 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Williamhill | 1.94 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Winamax | 1.88 | 3.15 | 3.75 |
| Winamax | 1.86 | 3.10 | 3.65 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.0 | 1.86 | 2.04 |
| Betmgm | 2.5 | 2.45 | 1.57 |
| William Hill | 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.57 |
| Betanysports | 1.5 | 1.48 | 2.70 |
| BetOnline | 2.0 | 1.79 | 2.10 |
| Betrivers | 2.5 | 2.28 | 1.60 |
| Betus | 2.0 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Bovada | 2.0 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Casumo | 2.5 | 2.28 | 1.60 |
| Codere It | 2.5 | 2.29 | 1.53 |
| Coolbet | 2.0 | 1.80 | 2.02 |
| Grosvenor | 2.5 | 2.28 | 1.60 |
| Gtbets | 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.56 |
| Leovegas | 2.5 | 2.28 | 1.60 |
| LowVig | 2.0 | 1.79 | 2.10 |
| Matchbook | 2.5 | 2.50 | 1.64 |
| MyBookie | 2.0 | 1.74 | 1.98 |
| Onexbet | 2.5 | 2.40 | 1.59 |
| Pmu | 2.5 | 2.23 | 1.56 |
| Unibet Nl | 2.5 | 2.28 | 1.60 |
| Unibet Se | 2.5 | 2.33 | 1.62 |
| Book | Mexico | South Korea |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | -0.5 @ 1.99 | +0.5 @ 1.92 |
| Betanysports | -0.5 @ 1.95 | +0.5 @ 1.87 |
| BetOnline | -0.5 @ 2.00 | +0.5 @ 1.86 |
| Betus | -0.5 @ 1.95 | +0.5 @ 1.87 |
| Bovada | -0.5 @ 1.95 | +0.5 @ 1.87 |
| Gtbets | -0.5 @ 2.00 | +0.5 @ 1.79 |
| LowVig | -0.5 @ 2.00 | +0.5 @ 1.86 |
| Matchbook | -0.5 @ 2.02 | +0.5 @ 1.96 |
| MyBookie | -0.5 @ 1.94 | +0.5 @ 1.77 |
| Onexbet | 0.0 @ 1.43 | 0.0 @ 2.87 |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
2dd67991b90307eb…
- Kickoff
- Fri, Jun 19 · 01:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 378,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "FIFA World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-06-19T01:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 19 Jun 2026 01:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "South Korea",
"home": "Mexico"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-15T08:49:44+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 4.4,
"draw": 3.5,
"home": 2.03
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.25,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.8,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.35,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.23,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.35,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.02,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.15,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.25,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.3,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.15,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.75,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.9,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.8,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.25,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.98,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.25,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.35,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.25,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.35,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.15,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.35,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.23,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.38,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.27,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.98,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.02,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.02,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.45,
"outcome": "Draw"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 2,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.79,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 2.7,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.53,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.29,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.57,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.25,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.57,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.45,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.79,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 2.04,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Over"
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.04,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.04,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.04,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.04,
"outcome": "Mexico"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.96,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 2.02,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Mexico"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "South Korea"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 1.99,
"outcome": "Mexico"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
56 tool calls · 9 sources
9 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
7 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.