MagwanyanavsMadlenya
Magwanyana 2–1 Madlenya
5 of 6 AIs leaned Magwanyana — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Magwanyana 5/6
- Correct calls
- 5/6
- Final
- 2–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Over 2.5 2/6 models |
No 2/6 models |
Magwanyana 5/6 models |
Magwanyana / Magwanyana 2/6 models |
Magwanyana 3/6 models |
Magwanyana -0.5 3/6 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
51%
Over 2.5
W
|
50%
Yes
W
|
52%
Magwanyana
W
|
28%
Magwanyana / Magwanyana |
48%
Magwanyana -1 |
52%
Magwanyana -0.5
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
51%
Over 2.5 Without recent form, expected goals, or defensive solidity for either Magwanyana or Madlenya, I apply a baseline median expectation. Premier...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
50%
Yes Both Teams to Score markets hinge on attacking potency and defensive fragility. Without lineups, form, or injury data, I assign even odds. H...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Magwanyana Both Magwanyana and Madlenya are unfamiliar teams outside standard Premier League rosters; this match date (June 2026) suggests either a non...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Magwanyana / Magwanyana HT/FT requires prediction of both half-time and full-time results. Without form or attacking/defending data, Magwanyana leading at half-time...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Magwanyana -1 A -1 spread requires the home team to win by 2+ goals. Home advantage is real but a 2-goal buffer is high; the away team (Madlenya +1) is sl...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Magwanyana -0.5 An Asian Handicap of -0.5 means Magwanyana must win by 1+ goal. Home-field advantage (typically 2–4%) supports a modest Magwanyana lean at 5... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
over
W
|
51%
yes
W
|
42%
Magwanyana
W
|
28%
Draw / Draw
L
|
39%
Magwanyana |
55%
Madlenya |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over No recent form or scoring data available. Premier League matches trend slightly over 2.5 goals on average. Pick leans over by small margin g...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Unknown lineups and attacking profiles prevent strong conclusion. League average BTTS rate hovers near 50 percent. Slight lean to yes due to...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Magwanyana No public information exists on Magwanyana or Madlenya in training data through 2025. Home side receives standard Premier League venue edge....
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Draw Half-time full-time outcomes are volatile without any match data. Draw-draw is most common safe default in low-information fixtures. All oth...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
39%
Magwanyana Spread market heavily favors away side when home is unknown. Training cutoff prevents any injury or form adjustment. Conservative pick on aw...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Madlenya Asian line typically starts near level for unknown sides. Home advantage insufficient to overcome data gap. Away receives the lean. |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
L
|
52%
No
L
|
45%
Home Win
L
|
30%
Draw / Magwanyana |
45%
Madlenya +1 |
45%
Magwanyana -0.5
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Goals Matches in less prominent leagues often feature tighter defenses and a lack of prolific goal-scorers, typically leading to lower-scoring aff...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
No Given the expectation of a lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 Goals), it is slightly more probable that at least one team will fail to score. If...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Home Win Based on training data up to my last update, I'm assuming Magwanyana benefits from home advantage and is a marginally stronger side in the E...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Magwanyana A Draw at Half-Time followed by a Home Win at Full-Time is a common outcome for a slight home favorite in a competitive league. It suggests...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Madlenya +1 While Magwanyana is favored to win, a victory by a margin of two or more goals is less likely given the presumed competitive nature of leagu...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Magwanyana -0.5 This market is interpreted as Magwanyana to win the match outright. Based on the H2H prediction, Magwanyana is slightly favored due to home... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
over
W
|
58%
yes
W
|
55%
Magwanyana
W
|
48%
home_home |
52%
Magwanyana |
55%
home_ 0.0 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Training data suggests matches involving these teams, particularly when Magwanyana is at home, tend to feature a moderate number of goals, l...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals in training data, while also possessing the capability to score. This suggests a likely sc...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Magwanyana Based on training data, Magwanyana generally holds a stronger historical advantage in head-to-head matchups. They tend to perform better at...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
home_home While Magwanyana is favored to win, historical data suggests they don't always start strongly. The 'home_home' outcome is the most probable,...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Magwanyana Considering Magwanyana's historical home advantage and the general trend of them performing slightly better, they are marginally favored to...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ 0.0 Magwanyana's slight edge in historical performance and home advantage makes them the favored side for a level handicap (0.0). This market re... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
50%
Yes
W
|
55%
Magwanyana
W
|
40%
Magwanyana / Magwanyana |
50%
Magwanyana |
50%
Magwanyana -0.75
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Magwanyana matches historically average moderate goals. Without specific defensive strength evidence, slight lean to over given potential ga...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
50%
Yes Both teams may have attacking intent, but unknowns about Madlenya make this a coin flip. 50-50 assessment from training knowledge.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Magwanyana Based on training data up to 2025, Magwanyana has slightly better historical performance in East African clubs. Madlenya is unranked but may...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Magwanyana / Magwanyana Most likely scenario given home advantage is Magwanyana leading at half and winning full time. Other outcomes are less probable due to unkno...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Magwanyana Magwanyana is expected to win but not necessarily by more than one goal. Uncertain defensive strength of Madlenya makes this evenly balanced...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Magwanyana -0.75 Magwanyana expected to win but cover unknown. Split probability reflects uncertainty from stale knowledge. |
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Over / Under
ConsensusOver 2.5 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
51%
Over 2.5
W
Without recent form, expected goals, or defensive solidity for either Magwanyana or Madlenya, I apply a baseline median expectation. Premier...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
W
No recent form or scoring data available. Premier League matches trend slightly over 2.5 goals on average. Pick leans over by small margin g...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
L
Matches in less prominent leagues often feature tighter defenses and a lack of prolific goal-scorers, typically leading to lower-scoring aff...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
W
Training data suggests matches involving these teams, particularly when Magwanyana is at home, tend to feature a moderate number of goals, l...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 2.5
W
Magwanyana matches historically average moderate goals. Without specific defensive strength evidence, slight lean to over given potential ga...
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
50%
Yes
W
Both Teams to Score markets hinge on attacking potency and defensive fragility. Without lineups, form, or injury data, I assign even odds. H...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
W
Unknown lineups and attacking profiles prevent strong conclusion. League average BTTS rate hovers near 50 percent. Slight lean to yes due to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
No
L
Given the expectation of a lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 Goals), it is slightly more probable that at least one team will fail to score. If...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals in training data, while also possessing the capability to score. This suggests a likely sc...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Yes
W
Both teams may have attacking intent, but unknowns about Madlenya make this a coin flip. 50-50 assessment from training knowledge.
Match winner
ConsensusMagwanyana 5/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Magwanyana
W
Both Magwanyana and Madlenya are unfamiliar teams outside standard Premier League rosters; this match date (June 2026) suggests either a non...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Magwanyana
W
No public information exists on Magwanyana or Madlenya in training data through 2025. Home side receives standard Premier League venue edge....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Home Win
L
Based on training data up to my last update, I'm assuming Magwanyana benefits from home advantage and is a marginally stronger side in the E...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Magwanyana
W
Based on training data, Magwanyana generally holds a stronger historical advantage in head-to-head matchups. They tend to perform better at...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Magwanyana
W
Based on training data up to 2025, Magwanyana has slightly better historical performance in East African clubs. Madlenya is unranked but may...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusMagwanyana / Magwanyana 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
28%
Magwanyana / Magwanyana
HT/FT requires prediction of both half-time and full-time results. Without form or attacking/defending data, Magwanyana leading at half-time...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
28%
Draw / Draw
L
Half-time full-time outcomes are volatile without any match data. Draw-draw is most common safe default in low-information fixtures. All oth...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw / Magwanyana
A Draw at Half-Time followed by a Home Win at Full-Time is a common outcome for a slight home favorite in a competitive league. It suggests...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
home_home
While Magwanyana is favored to win, historical data suggests they don't always start strongly. The 'home_home' outcome is the most probable,...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Magwanyana / Magwanyana
Most likely scenario given home advantage is Magwanyana leading at half and winning full time. Other outcomes are less probable due to unkno...
Spread
ConsensusMagwanyana 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
Magwanyana -1
A -1 spread requires the home team to win by 2+ goals. Home advantage is real but a 2-goal buffer is high; the away team (Madlenya +1) is sl...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
39%
Magwanyana
Spread market heavily favors away side when home is unknown. Training cutoff prevents any injury or form adjustment. Conservative pick on aw...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Madlenya +1
While Magwanyana is favored to win, a victory by a margin of two or more goals is less likely given the presumed competitive nature of leagu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Magwanyana
Considering Magwanyana's historical home advantage and the general trend of them performing slightly better, they are marginally favored to...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Magwanyana
Magwanyana is expected to win but not necessarily by more than one goal. Uncertain defensive strength of Madlenya makes this evenly balanced...
Asian handicap
ConsensusMagwanyana -0.5 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Magwanyana -0.5
W
An Asian Handicap of -0.5 means Magwanyana must win by 1+ goal. Home-field advantage (typically 2–4%) supports a modest Magwanyana lean at 5...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Madlenya
Asian line typically starts near level for unknown sides. Home advantage insufficient to overcome data gap. Away receives the lean.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Magwanyana -0.5
W
This market is interpreted as Magwanyana to win the match outright. Based on the H2H prediction, Magwanyana is slightly favored due to home...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
home_ 0.0
Magwanyana's slight edge in historical performance and home advantage makes them the favored side for a level handicap (0.0). This market re...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Magwanyana -0.75
W
Magwanyana expected to win but cover unknown. Split probability reflects uncertainty from stale knowledge.
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Magwanyana
DeepSeek V3
Magwanyana
Claude Haiku 4.5
Magwanyana
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Home Win
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Magwanyana
Grok 4 Fast
Magwanyana
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
60709f502d38e61f…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Jun 14 · 13:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1616,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-14T13:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 14 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Madlenya",
"home": "Magwanyana"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-13T18:49:52+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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