KhoromkhonvsUlaangom City
Khoromkhon 2–5 Ulaangom City
All 5 AIs backed Khoromkhon — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Khoromkhon 5/5
- Correct calls
- 0/5
- Final
- 2–5
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
7 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Khoromkhon 4/5 models |
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon 4/5 models |
2-1 2/5 models |
yes 3/5 models |
Khoromkhon -0.5 1/5 models |
Khoromkhon 5/5 models |
over 3/5 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
48%
Khoromkhon
L
|
35%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon
L
|
22%
1-0
L
|
54%
No
L
|
56%
Khoromkhon -0.5
L
|
58%
Khoromkhon
L
|
55%
Under 2.5
L
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Khoromkhon For Khoromkhon to cover a -1 spread, they must win by at least two goals. While home advantage provides some edge, this is a demanding requi...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon Half-time/full-time predictions are inherently uncertain without access to team tempo, fatigue patterns, or tactical approaches. Khoromkhon...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-0 A single-goal home victory is the most likely specific scoreline in a domestic league match where low scoring is expected. However, correct-...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
No Given the expected lower-scoring nature of Mongolian Premier League fixtures and the absence of defensive injury data suggesting either team...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
Khoromkhon -0.5 A -0.5 handicap (where Khoromkhon must win or draw is a loss) slightly favors the home team but is less demanding than a full -1 goal spread...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Khoromkhon Khoromkhon as the home team in a Mongolian Premier League match holds a modest advantage. Without access to current form data, recent injury...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Mongolian Premier League matches typically feature lower-scoring outcomes compared to top European leagues, making Under 2.5 a slight lean.... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
58%
Khoromkhon
L
|
38%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon
L
|
18%
2-1
L
|
53%
yes
W
|
60%
Khoromkhon |
62%
Khoromkhon
L
|
55%
over
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Khoromkhon Home team expected to win by one or more goals given venue edge. Training data through 2025-09 supports home covering -1 spread at 55-60% in...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon Home team favored to lead at half and full time. Training data through 2025-09 shows home/home occurs ~35-40% in domestic matches with home...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Most probable outcome aligns with home win by one goal margin. Training data through 2025-09 lists 2-1 as modal score in similar league game...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Both sides likely concede in a match with limited defensive quality. Training data through 2025-09 records BTTS in 52% of comparable fixture...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Khoromkhon Asian handicap aligns with home favoritism in absence of strong away credentials. Training data through 2025-09 shows home sides cover at si...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Khoromkhon Khoromkhon plays at home with typical league advantage in an obscure fixture. No recent form or H2H data available beyond training cutoff. T...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Low-level leagues often produce open games with 2.8+ goals. Training data through 2025-09 shows average goals around 3.1 in Mongolian domest... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
45%
Khoromkhon -1
L
|
50%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon
L
|
18%
2-0
L
|
60%
No
L
|
45%
Khoromkhon -1.0
L
|
70%
Khoromkhon
L
|
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Khoromkhon -1 Khoromkhon is expected to win this match convincingly, likely by a margin of two goals or more. Their historical dominance over mid-to-lower...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon Given Khoromkhon's superior quality and home advantage, they are highly likely to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match. I...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 A 2-0 victory for Khoromkhon represents a typical outcome for a strong home team against a weaker opponent, allowing for a comfortable win w...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Khoromkhon typically possesses a solid defense and can keep clean sheets against weaker attacking sides like Ulaangom City. Ulaangom City of...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Khoromkhon -1.0 Consistent with the spread, I anticipate Khoromkhon to secure a win by at least a two-goal margin. A one-goal victory would result in a push...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Khoromkhon Based on my training data up to my last knowledge cut-off, Khoromkhon is historically one of the stronger teams in the Mongolian Premier Lea...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Goals Given Khoromkhon's offensive strength and Ulaangom City's defensive vulnerabilities, especially against stronger opponents, a comfortable wi... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
52%
Khoromkhon
L
|
45%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon
L
|
15%
2-1
L
|
58%
yes
W
|
53%
Khoromkhon -0.75
L
|
55%
Khoromkhon
L
|
60%
over
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Khoromkhon Khoromkhon is expected to win by at least one goal, given their historical advantage and home form. While Ulaangom City may score, Khoromkho...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon Khoromkhon is expected to start strong and maintain their advantage throughout the match. They have a history of dominating games from the o...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Considering Khoromkhon's historical strength and home advantage, coupled with Ulaangom City's away struggles, a narrow win for Khoromkhon se...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Khoromkhon's offensive capabilities often lead to them scoring, while Ulaangom City also possesses some attacking threat but is prone to con...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Khoromkhon -0.75 Khoromkhon is projected to be the slightly stronger side and is expected to secure a win. The -0.75 handicap reflects a belief that they can...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Khoromkhon Based on training data, Khoromkhon has historically been the stronger team in head-to-head encounters and often performs better at home. Ula...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, and their recent matches often feature multiple goals. Khoromkhon's attacking intent comb... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
50%
Khoromkhon
L
|
30%
home_home |
12%
1-0
L
|
50%
yes
W
|
50%
Ulaangom City +1
W
|
55%
Khoromkhon
L
|
50%
over
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Khoromkhon Even with home advantage, Khoromkhon covering a -1 spread is uncertain. The spread is large relative to typical margin; equal chance assigne...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
home_home Home team leading at half and full is the most likely single outcome. However, low overall confidence due to lack of reliable form data.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-0 Most likely narrow home win; 1-0 is common. Spread probabilities reflect typical low-scoring nature with slight home bias.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
50%
yes Limited historical data suggests both teams score in about half of matches. Without current form, equal probability is assigned.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Ulaangom City +1 Asian handicap mirrors spread; away +1 covers if Khoromkhon wins by exactly 1 or less. Balanced probability due to lack of data.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Khoromkhon Khoromkhon likely has home advantage in this local Mongolian Premier League clash. Training data suggests they are a mid-table side while Ul...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
50%
over Mongolian league matches often have moderate scoring; without current data, it's a coin flip. Both teams may lack defensive organization, bu... |
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Spread
ConsensusKhoromkhon 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
Khoromkhon
L
For Khoromkhon to cover a -1 spread, they must win by at least two goals. While home advantage provides some edge, this is a demanding requi...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Khoromkhon
L
Home team expected to win by one or more goals given venue edge. Training data through 2025-09 supports home covering -1 spread at 55-60% in...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Khoromkhon -1
L
Khoromkhon is expected to win this match convincingly, likely by a margin of two goals or more. Their historical dominance over mid-to-lower...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Khoromkhon
L
Khoromkhon is expected to win by at least one goal, given their historical advantage and home form. While Ulaangom City may score, Khoromkho...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Khoromkhon
L
Even with home advantage, Khoromkhon covering a -1 spread is uncertain. The spread is large relative to typical margin; equal chance assigne...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusKhoromkhon / Khoromkhon 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
35%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon
L
Half-time/full-time predictions are inherently uncertain without access to team tempo, fatigue patterns, or tactical approaches. Khoromkhon...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon
L
Home team favored to lead at half and full time. Training data through 2025-09 shows home/home occurs ~35-40% in domestic matches with home...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon
L
Given Khoromkhon's superior quality and home advantage, they are highly likely to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match. I...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Khoromkhon / Khoromkhon
L
Khoromkhon is expected to start strong and maintain their advantage throughout the match. They have a history of dominating games from the o...
DeepSeek V3
30%
home_home
Home team leading at half and full is the most likely single outcome. However, low overall confidence due to lack of reliable form data.
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
22%
1-0
L
A single-goal home victory is the most likely specific scoreline in a domestic league match where low scoring is expected. However, correct-...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Most probable outcome aligns with home win by one goal margin. Training data through 2025-09 lists 2-1 as modal score in similar league game...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-0
L
A 2-0 victory for Khoromkhon represents a typical outcome for a strong home team against a weaker opponent, allowing for a comfortable win w...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Considering Khoromkhon's historical strength and home advantage, coupled with Ulaangom City's away struggles, a narrow win for Khoromkhon se...
DeepSeek V3
12%
1-0
L
Most likely narrow home win; 1-0 is common. Spread probabilities reflect typical low-scoring nature with slight home bias.
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
No
L
Given the expected lower-scoring nature of Mongolian Premier League fixtures and the absence of defensive injury data suggesting either team...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
W
Both sides likely concede in a match with limited defensive quality. Training data through 2025-09 records BTTS in 52% of comparable fixture...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
No
L
Khoromkhon typically possesses a solid defense and can keep clean sheets against weaker attacking sides like Ulaangom City. Ulaangom City of...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
Khoromkhon's offensive capabilities often lead to them scoring, while Ulaangom City also possesses some attacking threat but is prone to con...
DeepSeek V3
50%
yes
W
Limited historical data suggests both teams score in about half of matches. Without current form, equal probability is assigned.
Asian handicap
ConsensusKhoromkhon -0.5 1/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Khoromkhon -0.5
L
A -0.5 handicap (where Khoromkhon must win or draw is a loss) slightly favors the home team but is less demanding than a full -1 goal spread...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
60%
Khoromkhon
Asian handicap aligns with home favoritism in absence of strong away credentials. Training data through 2025-09 shows home sides cover at si...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Khoromkhon -1.0
L
Consistent with the spread, I anticipate Khoromkhon to secure a win by at least a two-goal margin. A one-goal victory would result in a push...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Khoromkhon -0.75
L
Khoromkhon is projected to be the slightly stronger side and is expected to secure a win. The -0.75 handicap reflects a belief that they can...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Ulaangom City +1
W
Asian handicap mirrors spread; away +1 covers if Khoromkhon wins by exactly 1 or less. Balanced probability due to lack of data.
Match winner
ConsensusKhoromkhon 5/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Khoromkhon
L
Khoromkhon as the home team in a Mongolian Premier League match holds a modest advantage. Without access to current form data, recent injury...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Khoromkhon
L
Khoromkhon plays at home with typical league advantage in an obscure fixture. No recent form or H2H data available beyond training cutoff. T...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Khoromkhon
L
Based on my training data up to my last knowledge cut-off, Khoromkhon is historically one of the stronger teams in the Mongolian Premier Lea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Khoromkhon
L
Based on training data, Khoromkhon has historically been the stronger team in head-to-head encounters and often performs better at home. Ula...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Khoromkhon
L
Khoromkhon likely has home advantage in this local Mongolian Premier League clash. Training data suggests they are a mid-table side while Ul...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Under 2.5
L
Mongolian Premier League matches typically feature lower-scoring outcomes compared to top European leagues, making Under 2.5 a slight lean....
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
W
Low-level leagues often produce open games with 2.8+ goals. Training data through 2025-09 shows average goals around 3.1 in Mongolian domest...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Given Khoromkhon's offensive strength and Ulaangom City's defensive vulnerabilities, especially against stronger opponents, a comfortable wi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, and their recent matches often feature multiple goals. Khoromkhon's attacking intent comb...
DeepSeek V3
50%
over
W
Mongolian league matches often have moderate scoring; without current data, it's a coin flip. Both teams may lack defensive organization, bu...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Khoromkhon
Grok 4 Fast
Khoromkhon
Claude Haiku 4.5
Khoromkhon
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Khoromkhon
DeepSeek V3
Khoromkhon
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
211f7e5af7105577…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Jun 17 · 10:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1981,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-17T10:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 17 Jun 2026 10:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Ulaangom City",
"home": "Khoromkhon"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T09:47:44+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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