Hadiya HosaenavsFasil Ketema
Hadiya Hosaena 0–1 Fasil Ketema
4 of 6 AIs leaned Hadiya Hosaena — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Hadiya Hosaena 4/6
- Correct calls
- 2/6
- Final
- 0–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Draw 36% |
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Under 2.5 3/6 models |
Hadiya Hosaena -1 3/6 models |
No 3/6 models |
Hadiya Hosaena 4/6 models |
Draw / Hadiya Hosaena 2/6 models |
Hadiya Hosaena -0.5 2/6 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | — | — | — | Draw 36% | — | — | |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
62%
Under 2.5
W
|
52%
Hadiya Hosaena -1
L
|
60%
No
W
|
58%
Hadiya Hosaena
L
|
45%
Hadiya Hosaena / Hadiya Hosaena
L
|
55%
Hadiya Hosaena -0.5
L
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 2.5 Ethiopian Premier League matches typically feature lower goal tallies than Western European leagues, with defensive play and fewer clinical...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Hadiya Hosaena -1 Home-field advantage and marginal historical superiority suggest a slight lean toward Hadiya winning by at least one goal, but this is not a...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Both teams finding the net requires two functional attacking units and weak defenses; Ethiopian Premier League matches more often feature on...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena plays at home in the Ethiopian Premier League and historically holds a slight edge in this domestic rivalry. Without access t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Hadiya Hosaena / Hadiya Hosaena A clean home win (leading at halftime and full-time) is the most likely single outcome if Hadiya wins, but given the uncertainty around curr...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Hadiya Hosaena -0.5 The -0.5 handicap gives Hadiya a minimal edge, reflecting home advantage without overcommitting. This is the most conservative way to expres... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
under
W
|
42%
Hadiya Hosaena
L
|
55%
no
W
|
48%
Hadiya Hosaena
L
|
28%
Draw / Hadiya Hosaena
L
|
51%
Hadiya Hosaena -0.25
L
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Matches between these sides have frequently stayed under 2.5 goals in past seasons. Ethiopian league games tend to be low-scoring overall. T...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya at home rarely win by two clear goals versus Fasil. Training data through 2023 shows tight margins. Away side often keeps contests cl...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Both teams have shown defensive setups in head-to-heads, reducing the likelihood of both scoring. Training data indicates many clean sheets...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena hold a modest home edge in Ethiopian Premier League fixtures against Fasil Ketema based on historical patterns. Training data...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Hadiya Hosaena Common pattern in these fixtures is a cautious first half followed by home side pushing later. Training data through 2023 supports draw/home...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Hadiya Hosaena -0.25 Slight home favoritism exists for Hadiya but not enough for a full goal handicap. Training knowledge points to narrow home wins or draws. No... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Over 2.5
L
|
75%
Fasil Ketema |
58%
Yes
L
|
45%
Fasil Ketema
W
|
35%
Fasil Ketema / Fasil Ketema |
55%
Hadiya Hosaena (+0.5) |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Fasil Ketema, as a stronger attacking side, typically contributes to higher-scoring games. While the Ethiopian Premier League can be tight,...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Fasil Ketema The spread of -1 applies to the home team, Hadiya Hosaena. For Hadiya Hosaena (-1) to win, they would need to win by 2 or more goals. Given...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes Given Fasil Ketema's offensive strength, they are highly expected to score. Hadiya Hosaena, despite being the underdog, often performs bette...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Fasil Ketema Based on my training data, Fasil Ketema has historically been one of the stronger teams in the Ethiopian Premier League, often competing at...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Fasil Ketema / Fasil Ketema Considering Fasil Ketema's historical superiority, they are expected to assert dominance early in the match and maintain their lead. A Half-...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Hadiya Hosaena (+0.5) For the Asian Handicap of Fasil Ketema (-0.5), Fasil Ketema must win for the bet to be successful. Hadiya Hosaena (+0.5) means they win if H... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
over
L
|
51%
Hadiya Hosaena
L
|
52%
yes
L
|
45%
Fasil Ketema
W
|
35%
draw_draw |
48%
away_ 0.0 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over The historical performance between these two teams suggests a moderate number of goals, but leaning towards over 2.5. Without recent match d...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Hadiya Hosaena If Hadiya Hosaena is considered the home team, they might have a slight edge when factoring in a -1 handicap, suggesting they are capable of...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Given the historical tendency for both teams to score in their encounters, 'Both Teams To Score' is a plausible outcome. This prediction rel...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Fasil Ketema Based on my training data, Fasil Ketema has historically performed better against Hadiya Hosaena. Without current form or lineup data, I'm l...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
draw_draw Given the potential for a closely contested match and the historical tendency for draws between these teams, a 'Draw-Draw' outcome at halfti...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
away_ 0.0 The away team, Fasil Ketema, is slightly favored due to historical performance, making them the pick with a 0.0 handicap. This implies a pre... |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
57%
Under 2.5
W
|
30%
Hadiya Hosaena -1
L
|
53%
No
W
|
52%
Hadiya Hosaena
L
|
22%
Draw / Draw
L
|
50%
Hadiya Hosaena -0.25
L
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
Under 2.5 Training data through 2025-09. Both teams tend to play low-scoring matches, with Hadiya Hosaena averaging 1.2 goals per game and Fasil Ketem...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Hadiya Hosaena -1 Training data through 2025-09. Hadiya Hosaena rarely wins by more than one goal, making a -1 handicap risky. Expected tight match with low s...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
No Training data through 2025-09. Hadiya Hosaena keeps clean sheets often at home, while Fasil Ketema struggles to score away. Head-to-head mat...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Hadiya Hosaena Training data through 2025-09. Hadiya Hosaena has strong home form while Fasil Ketema struggles on the road. No recent lineups or injuries a...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
22%
Draw / Draw Training data through 2025-09. Teams often start slowly and matches are tight, making Draw/Draw a reasonable middle outcome. However, low co...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Hadiya Hosaena -0.25 Training data through 2025-09. Balanced matchup with slight home advantage. A -0.25 handicap offers marginal edge for home win, but the prob... |
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Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 2.5 3/6
Ethiopian Premier League matches typically feature lower goal tallies than Western European leagues, with defensive play and fewer clinical...
Matches between these sides have frequently stayed under 2.5 goals in past seasons. Ethiopian league games tend to be low-scoring overall. T...
Fasil Ketema, as a stronger attacking side, typically contributes to higher-scoring games. While the Ethiopian Premier League can be tight,...
The historical performance between these two teams suggests a moderate number of goals, but leaning towards over 2.5. Without recent match d...
Training data through 2025-09. Both teams tend to play low-scoring matches, with Hadiya Hosaena averaging 1.2 goals per game and Fasil Ketem...
Spread
ConsensusHadiya Hosaena -1 3/6
Home-field advantage and marginal historical superiority suggest a slight lean toward Hadiya winning by at least one goal, but this is not a...
Hadiya at home rarely win by two clear goals versus Fasil. Training data through 2023 shows tight margins. Away side often keeps contests cl...
The spread of -1 applies to the home team, Hadiya Hosaena. For Hadiya Hosaena (-1) to win, they would need to win by 2 or more goals. Given...
If Hadiya Hosaena is considered the home team, they might have a slight edge when factoring in a -1 handicap, suggesting they are capable of...
Training data through 2025-09. Hadiya Hosaena rarely wins by more than one goal, making a -1 handicap risky. Expected tight match with low s...
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 3/6
Both teams finding the net requires two functional attacking units and weak defenses; Ethiopian Premier League matches more often feature on...
Both teams have shown defensive setups in head-to-heads, reducing the likelihood of both scoring. Training data indicates many clean sheets...
Given Fasil Ketema's offensive strength, they are highly expected to score. Hadiya Hosaena, despite being the underdog, often performs bette...
Given the historical tendency for both teams to score in their encounters, 'Both Teams To Score' is a plausible outcome. This prediction rel...
Training data through 2025-09. Hadiya Hosaena keeps clean sheets often at home, while Fasil Ketema struggles to score away. Head-to-head mat...
Match winner
ConsensusHadiya Hosaena 4/6
Hadiya Hosaena plays at home in the Ethiopian Premier League and historically holds a slight edge in this domestic rivalry. Without access t...
Hadiya Hosaena hold a modest home edge in Ethiopian Premier League fixtures against Fasil Ketema based on historical patterns. Training data...
Based on my training data, Fasil Ketema has historically been one of the stronger teams in the Ethiopian Premier League, often competing at...
Based on my training data, Fasil Ketema has historically performed better against Hadiya Hosaena. Without current form or lineup data, I'm l...
Training data through 2025-09. Hadiya Hosaena has strong home form while Fasil Ketema struggles on the road. No recent lineups or injuries a...
Bookmaker line: Draw 36%
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Hadiya Hosaena 2/6
A clean home win (leading at halftime and full-time) is the most likely single outcome if Hadiya wins, but given the uncertainty around curr...
Common pattern in these fixtures is a cautious first half followed by home side pushing later. Training data through 2023 supports draw/home...
Considering Fasil Ketema's historical superiority, they are expected to assert dominance early in the match and maintain their lead. A Half-...
Given the potential for a closely contested match and the historical tendency for draws between these teams, a 'Draw-Draw' outcome at halfti...
Training data through 2025-09. Teams often start slowly and matches are tight, making Draw/Draw a reasonable middle outcome. However, low co...
Asian handicap
ConsensusHadiya Hosaena -0.5 2/6
The -0.5 handicap gives Hadiya a minimal edge, reflecting home advantage without overcommitting. This is the most conservative way to expres...
Slight home favoritism exists for Hadiya but not enough for a full goal handicap. Training knowledge points to narrow home wins or draws. No...
For the Asian Handicap of Fasil Ketema (-0.5), Fasil Ketema must win for the bet to be successful. Hadiya Hosaena (+0.5) means they win if H...
The away team, Fasil Ketema, is slightly favored due to historical performance, making them the pick with a 0.0 handicap. This implies a pre...
Training data through 2025-09. Balanced matchup with slight home advantage. A -0.25 handicap offers marginal edge for home win, but the prob...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerClaude Haiku 4.5
Hadiya Hosaena
DeepSeek V3
Hadiya Hosaena
Grok 4 Fast
Hadiya Hosaena
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Fasil Ketema
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Fasil Ketema
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Hadiya Hosaena
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
11 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Hadiya Hosaena | Draw | Fasil Ketema |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | 2.06 | — |
| Unibet | — | 2.75 | — |
| 10bet | — | 2.45 | — |
| 1xbet | — | 2.36 | — |
| Betano | — | 2.45 | — |
| Betfair | — | 2.55 | — |
| Betvictor | — | 2.70 | — |
| Dafabet | — | 2.47 | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.36 | — |
| Sbo | — | 2.51 | — |
| Superbet | — | 2.12 | — |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — | — |
| Superbet | — | — | — |
| Book | Hadiya Hosaena | Fasil Ketema |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
c586364f14f39fc8…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Jun 15 · 15:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1850,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-15T15:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 15 Jun 2026 15:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Fasil Ketema",
"home": "Hadiya Hosaena"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T06:24:46+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.