Ecuador vs Curaçao
Kickoff · Sun, Jun 21 · 00:00 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
c6b3fc065f21e2ee…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Jun 21 · 00:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 385,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "FIFA World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-06-21T00:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 21 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Curaçao",
"home": "Ecuador"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-19T00:17:34+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 18.5,
"draw": 7.8,
"home": 1.23
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.18,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.05,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.21,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 15,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.18,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.18,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.2,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 15,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.2,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 15,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.18,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 15,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.18,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 17,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.19,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.22,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.22,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.19,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 14.5,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.2,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 14,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.18,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 12,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.18,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.05,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.21,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 15,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.18,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.89,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.23,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 16,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.23,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 16,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.2,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.18,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.2,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 14,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.22,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 15.5,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.2,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 15,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.22,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 17,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.33,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.66,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.3,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.67,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.75,
"price": 1.98,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.75,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.11,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.67,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.67,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.75,
"price": 1.98,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.75,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.33,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.66,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.75,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.75,
"price": 1.84,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3,
"price": 1.73,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3,
"price": 2.12,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Over"
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.25,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 17.5,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.25,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 17.5,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.25,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 17.51,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": -2,
"price": 1.98,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": -1.5,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 2.42,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": -2,
"price": 2.05,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": -2,
"price": 2.05,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": -2,
"price": 2.05,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": -1.5,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 2.42,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
},
{
"point": -2,
"price": 2.04,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.78,
"outcome": "Curaçao"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena7 markets · 7 models picked
Who picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Ecuador 83% |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
book: 2.5 · Over 60% |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
book: Ecuador -2.0 |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.7 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Sonnet 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
82%
Ecuador
~1.23
|
61%
Over 2.5
~2.21
|
68%
No
~1.30
|
74%
Ecuador -1
~1.45
|
63%
Ecuador -1.5
~1.76
|
56%
Ecuador / Ecuador |
28%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
82%
Ecuador Ecuador is a established FIFA World Cup nation with significantly higher competitive pedigree than Curaçao, who are a Caribbean nation with...
Odds: 1.23
Edge: +0.7%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
61%
Over 2.5 Ecuador's attacking strength and expected dominance in possession suggest they will create multiple scoring opportunities. Curaçao, despite...
Odds: 2.21
Edge: +15.8%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
No Ecuador will likely dominate the match and score at least once. Curaçao, as a defensive underdog, will struggle to break down Ecuador's defe...
Odds: 1.30
Edge: -8.9%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
74%
Ecuador -1 Ecuador should win by at least two goals given the quality disparity; a -1 spread is conservative for such a mismatch. Ecuador's technical s...
Odds: 1.45
Edge: +5.0%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
63%
Ecuador -1.5 Ecuador -1.5 (priced 1.62) strikes a balance: Ecuador wins by 2+ goals in most scenarios, but a 1–0 win would push. Given Ecuador's overwhel...
Odds: 1.76
Edge: +6.2%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
56%
Ecuador / Ecuador Ecuador leading at halftime and full-time is the most likely outcome given their superiority. They will likely score early and then control...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
28%
2-0 A 2–0 Ecuador victory is the most probable outcome: Ecuador dominates, scores twice, and keeps a clean sheet against a limited Curaçao attac... |
||||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
78%
Ecuador
~1.23
|
58%
Under
~2.18
|
60%
No
~1.30
|
60%
Ecuador
~1.13
|
52%
Ecuador -1.5
~1.76
|
38%
Draw / Ecuador |
30%
1-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
78%
Ecuador Ecuador are materially stronger on paper (top European-based centre‑backs and Moisés Caicedo shielding midfield) and the consensus markets h...
Odds: 1.23
Edge: -3.3%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under Ecuador's international identity under Beccacece is low-scoring and defensive (five goals conceded in 18 CONMEBOL qualifiers but also a mode...
Odds: 2.18
Edge: +12.1%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Ecuador showed attacking bluntness in the opener (0 goals vs Ivory Coast) while maintaining strong defensive structure; Curaçao can score (t...
Odds: 1.30
Edge: -16.9%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Ecuador Ecuador should be able to win and are the market favourite to cover a -1 spread given their defensive foundation and superior personnel; Cur...
Odds: 1.13
Edge: -28.5%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Ecuador -1.5 Given Curaçao's defensive frailties shown vs Germany and Ecuador's superior defensive and midfield core, there's a slight edge to Ecuador wi...
Odds: 1.76
Edge: -4.8%
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Draw / Ecuador Ecuador are likely to win the match overall but historically start slowly in tight tournaments; a halftime draw followed by an Ecuador win a...
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
1-0 A 1-0 Ecuador win is the most likely exact outcome given Ecuador's defensive strength combined with limited attacking output; Curaçao can ni...
🔍 researched
10 sources cited
|
||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
86%
Ecuador
~1.23
|
60%
Under
~2.18
|
65%
No
~1.30
|
70%
Ecuador
~1.13
|
65%
Ecuador -1.5
~1.76
|
60%
Ecuador / Ecuador |
60%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
86%
Ecuador Ecuador's strong defensive record and superior qualification performance make them favorites to win against Curaçao, who are debuting in the...
Odds: 1.23
Edge: +4.7%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under Ecuador's low-scoring pattern and defensive approach suggest a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.
Odds: 2.18
Edge: +14.1%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Ecuador's strong defense and Curaçao's scoring inconsistencies suggest a low likelihood of both teams scoring.
Odds: 1.30
Edge: -11.9%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Ecuador Ecuador's superior form and defensive strength make them likely to win by at least one goal.
Odds: 1.13
Edge: -18.5%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Ecuador -1.5 Ecuador's strong defensive record and superior qualification performance suggest they can win by at least two goals.
Odds: 1.76
Edge: +8.2%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Ecuador / Ecuador Ecuador's strong form and defensive reliability suggest they will lead at halftime and win the match.
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
60%
2-0 Ecuador's defensive strength and Curaçao's scoring inconsistencies suggest a 2-0 victory for Ecuador.
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
|
||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
88%
Ecuador
~1.23
|
71%
over
~1.65
|
78%
no
~1.30
|
75%
Ecuador
~8.96
|
68%
Ecuador -1.5 |
72%
Ecuador / Ecuador |
22%
3-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
88%
Ecuador Ecuador are a full international side with World Cup experience while Curaçao are a small CONCACAF nation rarely competitive against top tea...
Odds: 1.23
Edge: +6.7%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
71%
over Large quality gap leads to Ecuador dominating possession and creating many chances. Expect multiple goals from set pieces and open play agai...
Odds: 1.65
Edge: +10.4%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
78%
no Curaçao unlikely to score against organized Ecuador backline. Ecuador expected to keep clean sheet while scoring freely.
Odds: 1.30
Edge: +1.1%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Ecuador Ecuador favored to win by more than one goal given talent disparity. Consensus spreads price Ecuador -1.5 around even money supporting this...
Odds: 8.96
Edge: +63.8%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
68%
Ecuador -1.5 Asian line at -1.5 offers value on Ecuador covering given probable 3-0 or 4-0 type result.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
72%
Ecuador / Ecuador Ecuador lead at half time and extend advantage comfortably in second half as fitness gap widens.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
3-0 Most probable outcomes cluster around 3-0 and 4-0 reflecting Ecuador dominance and low chance of Curaçao reply. |
||||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
85%
Ecuador
~1.23
|
70%
Over 2.5
~2.21
|
65%
No
~1.30
|
68%
Ecuador -1
~1.45
|
65%
Ecuador -1.5
~1.76
|
75%
Ecuador / Ecuador |
18%
3-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Ecuador Ecuador is a significantly stronger footballing nation, consistently competing at a higher level in CONMEBOL qualifiers and past World Cups....
Odds: 1.23
Edge: +3.7%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
Over 2.5 Given Ecuador's offensive strength against a weaker Curaçao defense, it is highly probable they will score multiple goals. While Curaçao mig...
Odds: 2.21
Edge: +24.8%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Ecuador is expected to win comfortably and likely keep a clean sheet against a team of Curaçao's offensive capabilities. While Curaçao has s...
Odds: 1.30
Edge: -11.9%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
68%
Ecuador -1 Ecuador is heavily favored to win this match by a significant margin. A -1 handicap implies Ecuador needs to win by at least two goals for t...
Odds: 1.45
Edge: -1.0%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Ecuador -1.5 Ecuador's clear superiority makes them strong candidates for a decisive victory. For the -1.5 Asian Handicap to hit, Ecuador needs to win by...
Odds: 1.76
Edge: +8.2%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
75%
Ecuador / Ecuador Ecuador is expected to assert their dominance early and maintain it throughout the match. They are likely to take a lead into half-time and...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
3-0 Ecuador is expected to score multiple goals, likely two or more, while keeping Curaçao scoreless or limiting them to a single goal. A 3-0 sc... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
92%
Ecuador
~1.23
|
65%
Over
~1.65
|
68%
No
~1.30
|
75%
Ecuador
~1.13
|
62%
Ecuador -1.75
~1.76
|
70%
Ecuador / Ecuador |
25%
3-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
92%
Ecuador Ecuador is a significantly stronger team, consistently performing better in international competitions and qualifying for the World Cup, whi...
Odds: 1.23
Edge: +10.7%
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Over Ecuador possesses a more potent attack, and while Curaçao may struggle to score, Ecuador has the capability to score multiple goals, potenti...
Odds: 1.65
Edge: +4.4%
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
No Curaçao's attacking capabilities are limited, and they are unlikely to score against a defensively solid Ecuador. Ecuador is more likely to...
Odds: 1.30
Edge: -8.9%
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Ecuador Given Ecuador's superior quality and expected dominance, they are highly likely to win by at least two goals. Their recent victory over Cura...
Odds: 1.13
Edge: -13.5%
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
62%
Ecuador -1.75 Ecuador's dominance suggests they can cover a larger handicap. While they are expected to win by multiple goals, a -1.75 handicap accounts f...
Odds: 1.76
Edge: +5.2%
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
70%
Ecuador / Ecuador Ecuador is expected to assert dominance from the start and maintain control throughout the match, leading to a halftime and fulltime victory...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
3-0 Ecuador is expected to win comfortably, likely scoring multiple goals while keeping Curaçao scoreless or to a minimum. A 3-0 scoreline refle...
3 sources cited
|
||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
85%
Ecuador
~1.23
|
75%
over
~1.65
|
40%
yes
~4.38
|
70%
Ecuador
~8.96
|
65%
Ecuador -1.5 |
60%
Ecuador / Ecuador |
25%
3-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Ecuador Ecuador is a much stronger team historically and in FIFA rankings, while Curaçao is a minnow. Ecuador's recent form includes competitive mat...
Odds: 1.23
Edge: +3.7%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
over Ecuador is expected to dominate and score multiple goals, while Curaçao may also find the net. Historical matches between unequal sides ofte...
Odds: 1.65
Edge: +14.4%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
40%
yes While Ecuador is likely to score, Curaçao has limited attacking threat against a solid Ecuador defense. It's not impossible for Curaçao to s...
Odds: 4.38
Edge: +17.2%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Ecuador With a -1 spread, Ecuador needs to win by at least 2 goals. Given the quality gap, Ecuador should win by a comfortable margin. However, ther...
Odds: 8.96
Edge: +58.8%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Ecuador -1.5 Asian handicap -1.5 means Ecuador must win by 2+ goals. This is a strong line but Ecuador's quality suggests they can cover. However, there...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Ecuador / Ecuador Ecuador is expected to lead at halftime and win the match. The most likely scenario is a dominant performance from the start. Other outcomes...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
3-0 A clean sheet for Ecuador is likely given Curaçao's weak attack. Ecuador's typical scoreline against minnows is 3-0 or 2-0. 3-0 is the most... |
||||||||
|
Consensus |
Ecuador 7/7 |
Over 2.5 2/7 |
No 5/7 |
Ecuador 5/7 |
Ecuador -1.5 6/7 |
Ecuador / Ecuador 6/7 |
3-0 4/7 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
Ecuador 83% |
2.5 · Over 60% |
— |
Ecuador -2.0 |
— |
— |
— |
|
Match winner
ConsensusEcuador 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
82%
Ecuador
~1.23
Ecuador is a established FIFA World Cup nation with significantly higher competitive pedigree than Curaçao, who are a Caribbean nation with...
GPT-5 Mini
78%
Ecuador
~1.23
Ecuador are materially stronger on paper (top European-based centre‑backs and Moisés Caicedo shielding midfield) and the consensus markets h...
GPT-4o Mini
86%
Ecuador
~1.23
Ecuador's strong defensive record and superior qualification performance make them favorites to win against Curaçao, who are debuting in the...
Grok 4 Fast
88%
Ecuador
~1.23
Ecuador are a full international side with World Cup experience while Curaçao are a small CONCACAF nation rarely competitive against top tea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Ecuador
~1.23
Ecuador is a significantly stronger footballing nation, consistently competing at a higher level in CONMEBOL qualifiers and past World Cups....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
92%
Ecuador
~1.23
Ecuador is a significantly stronger team, consistently performing better in international competitions and qualifying for the World Cup, whi...
DeepSeek V3
85%
Ecuador
~1.23
Ecuador is a much stronger team historically and in FIFA rankings, while Curaçao is a minnow. Ecuador's recent form includes competitive mat...
Bookmaker line: Ecuador 83%
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 2.5 2/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
61%
Over 2.5
~2.21
Ecuador's attacking strength and expected dominance in possession suggest they will create multiple scoring opportunities. Curaçao, despite...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
Under
~2.18
Ecuador's international identity under Beccacece is low-scoring and defensive (five goals conceded in 18 CONMEBOL qualifiers but also a mode...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Under
~2.18
Ecuador's low-scoring pattern and defensive approach suggest a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.
Grok 4 Fast
71%
over
~1.65
Large quality gap leads to Ecuador dominating possession and creating many chances. Expect multiple goals from set pieces and open play agai...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Over 2.5
~2.21
Given Ecuador's offensive strength against a weaker Curaçao defense, it is highly probable they will score multiple goals. While Curaçao mig...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Over
~1.65
Ecuador possesses a more potent attack, and while Curaçao may struggle to score, Ecuador has the capability to score multiple goals, potenti...
DeepSeek V3
75%
over
~1.65
Ecuador is expected to dominate and score multiple goals, while Curaçao may also find the net. Historical matches between unequal sides ofte...
Bookmaker line: 2.5 · Over 60%
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 5/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
No
~1.30
Ecuador will likely dominate the match and score at least once. Curaçao, as a defensive underdog, will struggle to break down Ecuador's defe...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
No
~1.30
Ecuador showed attacking bluntness in the opener (0 goals vs Ivory Coast) while maintaining strong defensive structure; Curaçao can score (t...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
No
~1.30
Ecuador's strong defense and Curaçao's scoring inconsistencies suggest a low likelihood of both teams scoring.
Grok 4 Fast
78%
no
~1.30
Curaçao unlikely to score against organized Ecuador backline. Ecuador expected to keep clean sheet while scoring freely.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
No
~1.30
Ecuador is expected to win comfortably and likely keep a clean sheet against a team of Curaçao's offensive capabilities. While Curaçao has s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
68%
No
~1.30
Curaçao's attacking capabilities are limited, and they are unlikely to score against a defensively solid Ecuador. Ecuador is more likely to...
DeepSeek V3
40%
yes
~4.38
While Ecuador is likely to score, Curaçao has limited attacking threat against a solid Ecuador defense. It's not impossible for Curaçao to s...
Spread
ConsensusEcuador 5/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
74%
Ecuador -1
~1.45
Ecuador should win by at least two goals given the quality disparity; a -1 spread is conservative for such a mismatch. Ecuador's technical s...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
Ecuador
~1.13
Ecuador should be able to win and are the market favourite to cover a -1 spread given their defensive foundation and superior personnel; Cur...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
Ecuador
~1.13
Ecuador's superior form and defensive strength make them likely to win by at least one goal.
Grok 4 Fast
75%
Ecuador
~8.96
Ecuador favored to win by more than one goal given talent disparity. Consensus spreads price Ecuador -1.5 around even money supporting this...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Ecuador -1
~1.45
Ecuador is heavily favored to win this match by a significant margin. A -1 handicap implies Ecuador needs to win by at least two goals for t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Ecuador
~1.13
Given Ecuador's superior quality and expected dominance, they are highly likely to win by at least two goals. Their recent victory over Cura...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Ecuador
~8.96
With a -1 spread, Ecuador needs to win by at least 2 goals. Given the quality gap, Ecuador should win by a comfortable margin. However, ther...
Bookmaker line: Ecuador -2.0
Asian handicap
ConsensusEcuador -1.5 6/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
63%
Ecuador -1.5
~1.76
Ecuador -1.5 (priced 1.62) strikes a balance: Ecuador wins by 2+ goals in most scenarios, but a 1–0 win would push. Given Ecuador's overwhel...
GPT-5 Mini
52%
Ecuador -1.5
~1.76
Given Curaçao's defensive frailties shown vs Germany and Ecuador's superior defensive and midfield core, there's a slight edge to Ecuador wi...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Ecuador -1.5
~1.76
Ecuador's strong defensive record and superior qualification performance suggest they can win by at least two goals.
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Ecuador -1.5
Asian line at -1.5 offers value on Ecuador covering given probable 3-0 or 4-0 type result.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Ecuador -1.5
~1.76
Ecuador's clear superiority makes them strong candidates for a decisive victory. For the -1.5 Asian Handicap to hit, Ecuador needs to win by...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
62%
Ecuador -1.75
~1.76
Ecuador's dominance suggests they can cover a larger handicap. While they are expected to win by multiple goals, a -1.75 handicap accounts f...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Ecuador -1.5
Asian handicap -1.5 means Ecuador must win by 2+ goals. This is a strong line but Ecuador's quality suggests they can cover. However, there...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusEcuador / Ecuador 6/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Ecuador / Ecuador
Ecuador leading at halftime and full-time is the most likely outcome given their superiority. They will likely score early and then control...
GPT-5 Mini
38%
Draw / Ecuador
Ecuador are likely to win the match overall but historically start slowly in tight tournaments; a halftime draw followed by an Ecuador win a...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Ecuador / Ecuador
Ecuador's strong form and defensive reliability suggest they will lead at halftime and win the match.
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Ecuador / Ecuador
Ecuador lead at half time and extend advantage comfortably in second half as fitness gap widens.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Ecuador / Ecuador
Ecuador is expected to assert their dominance early and maintain it throughout the match. They are likely to take a lead into half-time and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
Ecuador / Ecuador
Ecuador is expected to assert dominance from the start and maintain control throughout the match, leading to a halftime and fulltime victory...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Ecuador / Ecuador
Ecuador is expected to lead at halftime and win the match. The most likely scenario is a dominant performance from the start. Other outcomes...
Correct score
Consensus3-0 4/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
28%
2-0
A 2–0 Ecuador victory is the most probable outcome: Ecuador dominates, scores twice, and keeps a clean sheet against a limited Curaçao attac...
GPT-5 Mini
30%
1-0
A 1-0 Ecuador win is the most likely exact outcome given Ecuador's defensive strength combined with limited attacking output; Curaçao can ni...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
2-0
Ecuador's defensive strength and Curaçao's scoring inconsistencies suggest a 2-0 victory for Ecuador.
Grok 4 Fast
22%
3-0
Most probable outcomes cluster around 3-0 and 4-0 reflecting Ecuador dominance and low chance of Curaçao reply.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
3-0
Ecuador is expected to score multiple goals, likely two or more, while keeping Curaçao scoreless or limiting them to a single goal. A 3-0 sc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
3-0
Ecuador is expected to win comfortably, likely scoring multiple goals while keeping Curaçao scoreless or to a minimum. A 3-0 scoreline refle...
DeepSeek V3
25%
3-0
A clean sheet for Ecuador is likely given Curaçao's weak attack. Ecuador's typical scoreline against minnows is 3-0 or 2-0. 3-0 is the most...
Polymarket: tournament odds
What real money is betting on each team to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy.
Ecuador
to win World Cup
Curaçao
to win World Cup
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Bookmaker odds
45 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Ecuador | Draw | Curaçao |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.18 | 7.20 | 11.89 |
| Draftkings | 1.20 | 7.50 | 14.00 |
| Fanduel | 1.20 | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| Betmgm | 1.19 | 5.75 | 11.00 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| Betfair Exchange UK | 1.23 | 7.40 | 16.00 |
| Betfair Exchange EU | 1.23 | 7.40 | 16.00 |
| Betanysports | 1.18 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| Betclic FR | 1.19 | 6.75 | 14.50 |
| Betfred | 1.20 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| BetOnline | 1.21 | 7.05 | 15.00 |
| Betrivers | 1.21 | 6.40 | 15.00 |
| Betus | 1.18 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| Betway | 1.18 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| Bovada | 1.18 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| Boylesports | 1.18 | 6.50 | 17.00 |
| Casumo | 1.21 | 6.40 | 15.00 |
| Codere It | 1.20 | 6.80 | 15.00 |
| Coolbet | 1.22 | 6.75 | 17.00 |
| Coral | 1.22 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Everygame | 1.18 | 7.50 | 12.00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20 | 6.25 | 15.00 |
| Gtbets | 1.20 | 6.48 | 14.69 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.22 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Leovegas | 1.21 | 6.40 | 15.00 |
| Leovegas Se | 1.21 | 6.40 | 15.00 |
| Livescorebet | 1.19 | 6.25 | 14.00 |
| LowVig | 1.21 | 7.05 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 6.70 | 18.25 |
| MyBookie | 1.19 | 6.70 | 14.25 |
| Onexbet | 1.21 | 6.87 | 18.50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Pmu | 1.19 | 6.25 | 14.00 |
| Skybet | 1.20 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| Smarkets | 1.22 | 6.80 | 15.50 |
| Sport888 | 1.18 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| Tipico | 1.17 | 7.80 | 14.00 |
| Unibet | 1.18 | 7.10 | 15.00 |
| Unibet Nl | 1.22 | 6.75 | 17.00 |
| Unibet Se | 1.22 | 6.75 | 17.00 |
| Unibet | 1.19 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| Virginbet | 1.19 | 6.25 | 14.00 |
| Winamax | 1.15 | 6.50 | 10.00 |
| Winamax | 1.14 | 6.25 | 9.50 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.8 | 1.84 | 1.95 |
| Betmgm | 2.5 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| William Hill | 2.5 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Betanysports | 2.8 | 1.85 | 1.98 |
| BetOnline | 2.5 | 1.66 | 2.33 |
| Betrivers | 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.18 |
| Betus | 2.5 | 1.67 | 2.30 |
| Bovada | 2.8 | 1.85 | 1.98 |
| Casumo | 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.18 |
| Codere It | 2.5 | 1.62 | 2.11 |
| Coolbet | 3.0 | 2.12 | 1.73 |
| Grosvenor | 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.18 |
| Gtbets | 2.5 | 1.68 | 2.15 |
| Leovegas | 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.18 |
| LowVig | 2.5 | 1.66 | 2.33 |
| Matchbook | 1.5 | 1.20 | 4.10 |
| MyBookie | 3.0 | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| Onexbet | 2.5 | 1.66 | 2.25 |
| Pmu | 2.5 | 1.62 | 2.12 |
| Unibet Nl | 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.18 |
| Unibet Se | 2.5 | 1.68 | 2.23 |
| Book | Ecuador | Curaçao |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | -2.0 @ 2.04 | +2.0 @ 1.78 |
| Betanysports | -2.0 @ 2.05 | +2.0 @ 1.80 |
| BetOnline | -1.5 @ 1.62 | +1.5 @ 2.42 |
| Betus | -2.0 @ 2.05 | +2.0 @ 1.80 |
| Bovada | -2.0 @ 2.05 | +2.0 @ 1.80 |
| Gtbets | -1.5 @ 1.62 | +1.5 @ 2.25 |
| LowVig | -1.5 @ 1.62 | +1.5 @ 2.42 |
| Matchbook | -2.0 @ 1.98 | +2.0 @ 1.69 |
| MyBookie | -2.0 @ 2.01 | +2.0 @ 1.71 |
| Onexbet | -1.5 @ 1.61 | +1.5 @ 2.34 |
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
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No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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7 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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91 tool calls · 10 sources
10 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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