DolphinsvsSydney Roosters
SRDolphins 48–10 Sydney Roosters
All 6 AIs backed Dolphins — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Dolphins 6/6
- Correct calls
- 6/6
- Final
- 48–10
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
1 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 1 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Dolphins 6/6 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
|
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
|
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
|
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
67%
Dolphins
~1.52
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
67%
Dolphins <cite index="2-28">Dolphins have a club-record five wins in a row</cite> and <cite index="3-21">have improved defence, allowing just 13.6 po...
Odds: 1.52
Edge: +1.2%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
|
||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
65%
Dolphins
~1.40
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Dolphins The Dolphins are on a five-game winning streak and have been strong at Suncorp Stadium, winning four of their last five home games. Despite...
Odds: 1.40
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
|
||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
|
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
54%
Dolphins
~1.52
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
54%
Dolphins Dolphins are at home and enter as clear favorites per consensus odds. Sydney Roosters remain a quality side but have shown inconsistency in...
Odds: 1.52
Edge: -11.8%
|
||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
|
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
68%
Dolphins
~1.52
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Dolphins The Dolphins are in exceptional form, riding a five-game winning streak and demonstrating strong attacking prowess, even with players out fo...
Odds: 1.52
Edge: +2.2%
7 sources cited
|
||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Dolphins
~1.52
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Dolphins Dolphins are strong at home with a well-balanced squad, while Roosters have key injuries. However, Roosters have shown resilience and can up...
Odds: 1.52
Edge: -10.8%
|
||
Match winner
ConsensusDolphins 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
67%
Dolphins
~1.52
W
<cite index="2-28">Dolphins have a club-record five wins in a row</cite> and <cite index="3-21">have improved defence, allowing just 13.6 po...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Dolphins
~1.40
W
The Dolphins are on a five-game winning streak and have been strong at Suncorp Stadium, winning four of their last five home games. Despite...
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Dolphins
~1.52
W
Dolphins are at home and enter as clear favorites per consensus odds. Sydney Roosters remain a quality side but have shown inconsistency in...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Dolphins
~1.52
W
The Dolphins are in exceptional form, riding a five-game winning streak and demonstrating strong attacking prowess, even with players out fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Dolphins
~1.52
W
Dolphins are strong at home with a well-balanced squad, while Roosters have key injuries. However, Roosters have shown resilience and can up...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Dolphins
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Dolphins
Claude Haiku 4.5
Dolphins
GPT-4o Mini
Dolphins
DeepSeek V3
Dolphins
Grok 4 Fast
Dolphins
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
b0ce89faad17e1c5…
- Kickoff
- Fri, Jun 12 · 09:59 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 1. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 1, in this order): h2h
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 290,
"sport": "rugby",
"venue": null,
"league": "NRL",
"starts_at": "2026-06-12T10:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 12 Jun 2026 10:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Sydney Roosters",
"home": "Dolphins"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-11T15:04:37+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 2.85,
"draw": 28,
"home": 1.52
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.61,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.56,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.52,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 22,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.7,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.43,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.7,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 20,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.8,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.52,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 20,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.8,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.52,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 22,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.55,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.43,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 23,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.65,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.46,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 28,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.7,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.47,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.61,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.56,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.52,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 22,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.7,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.43,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 51.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 51.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 51.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 51.5,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 51.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 51.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 51.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 51.5,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 50.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Over"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"price": 1.81,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 2.13,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"price": 1.73,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"price": 1.81,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"price": 2.13,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"price": 1.73,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
},
{
"point": -6.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Dolphins"
},
{
"point": 6.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Sydney Roosters"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
1 tool call · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
4 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
3 tool calls · 7 sources
7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 7 sources
7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.