New Zealand Warriors vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
CSFinal: 8 – 10
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
e645d7fb7e4b25a6…
- Sport
- Sat, Jun 13 · 07:30 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 1. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 1, in this order): h2h
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 291,
"sport": "rugby",
"venue": null,
"league": "NRL",
"starts_at": "2026-06-13T07:35:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 13 Jun 2026 07:35:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks",
"home": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-12T10:37:51+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 3.2,
"draw": 30,
"home": 1.42
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.36,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.06,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 25,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.35,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.38,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.9,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 20,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.2,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 20,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.2,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 24,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.32,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 26,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.35,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.05,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 30,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.39,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.36,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.06,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 25,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.35,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.82,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.82,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 48.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.82,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 2.01,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.82,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.82,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 2.01,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.82,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
},
{
"point": 8.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Cronulla Sutherland Sharks"
},
{
"point": -8.5,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "New Zealand Warriors"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
AI predictions
1 markets · 6 models picked
Who picked what
15 models × 1 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 93% |
|
|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic · 4-5 -1.2u |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 5-5 -0.3u |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Opus 4 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 125-128 -87.1u |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u |
68%
New Zealand Warriors
~1.45
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
New Zealand Warriors The Warriors are heavily favored by bookmakers (consensus 1.45), which implies a 69% implied probability—a fair reflection of home advantage...
Odds: 1.45
Edge: -1.0%
|
||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||
|
o3 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
Grok 4 Heavy FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u |
62%
New Zealand Warriors
~1.44
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
New Zealand Warriors New Zealand Warriors are strong home favorites per the frozen consensus odds around 1.40. Warriors typically perform well in Auckland home g...
Odds: 1.44
Edge: -7.4%
|
||
Gemini 2.5 Pro FlagshipGoogle · 4-7 -1.8u |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u |
65%
New Zealand Warriors
~1.45
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
New Zealand Warriors Predicting solely based on historical team performance data available in my training set, as I cannot access real-time information for this...
Odds: 1.45
Edge: -4.0%
|
||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u |
55%
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
~3.20
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Cronulla Sharks are on a three-game winning streak, showing strong recent form. While the Warriors have a slight edge in recent head-to-head...
Odds: 3.20
Edge: +23.8%
8 sources cited
|
||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u |
75%
New Zealand Warriors
~1.44
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
New Zealand Warriors New Zealand Warriors are strong at home, and odds heavily favour them. While training data only goes to late 2025, Warriors have historicall...
Odds: 1.44
Edge: +5.6%
|
||
|
Consensus |
New Zealand Warriors 5/6 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 93% |
|
Ask the AIs · Post-match analysis
Reverse-engineer the match
Ask any AI to explain what happened or grade the consensus call.
Sign in to ask the AIs about this match. Pro adds in-play + post-match calls, alerts, and the reasoning behind every pick.
Bookmaker odds
18 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | New Zealand Warriors | Draw | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 1.39 | — | 3.08 |
| BetOnline | 1.41 | — | 3.01 |
| Betrivers | 1.38 | — | 3.00 |
| Betsson | 2.70 | 1.85 | 5.60 |
| Casumo | 7.50 | — | 1.08 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00 | — | 1.08 |
| Leovegas | 6.75 | — | 1.07 |
| Leovegas Se | 6.75 | — | 1.06 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 29.00 | 3.06 |
| Nordicbet | 4.00 | 1.55 | 5.00 |
| Tipico | 1.35 | 25.00 | 3.00 |
| Unibet Nl | 7.50 | — | 1.08 |
| Unibet Se | 7.50 | — | 1.08 |
| Winamax | 2.95 | 2.35 | 2.90 |
| Winamax | 2.80 | 2.25 | 2.75 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 48.5 | 2.15 | 1.75 |
| Draftkings ↗ | 22.5 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
| BetOnline | 47.5 | 1.90 | 1.92 |
| Betrivers | 47.5 | 1.85 | 1.92 |
| Casumo | 23.5 | 1.81 | 1.93 |
| Coolbet | 19.5 | 4.50 | 1.17 |
| Grosvenor | 23.5 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| Leovegas | 23.5 | 1.76 | 1.87 |
| Tipico | 48.5 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| Unibet Nl | 23.5 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Book | New Zealand Warriors | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -8.5 @ 2.02 | +8.5 @ 1.84 |
| Draftkings ↗ | -9.5 @ 1.91 | -0.5 @ 2.95 |
| BetOnline | -9.5 @ 1.87 | +8.5 @ 1.83 |
| Betsson | -9.5 @ 1.85 | +0.5 @ 1.98 |
| Casumo | -9.5 @ 1.91 | -1.5 @ 3.50 |
| Coolbet | -9.5 @ 1.85 | +0.5 @ 1.20 |
| Grosvenor | -9.5 @ 1.88 | -1.5 @ 3.35 |
| Leovegas | -9.5 @ 1.91 | -1.5 @ 3.30 |
| Leovegas Se | -9.5 @ 1.91 | -1.5 @ 3.25 |
| Livescorebet | +1.5 @ 1.22 | -1.5 @ 3.65 |
| Nordicbet | -9.5 @ 1.85 | +0.5 @ 1.98 |
| Unibet Nl | -9.5 @ 1.91 | -1.5 @ 3.50 |
| Unibet Se | -9.5 @ 1.91 | -1.5 @ 3.50 |
Line movement (h2h)
Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first
New Zealand Warriors Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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