Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
MWKickoff · Sat, Jun 20 · 09:35 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
07b83fce64f6e2b0…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Jun 20 · 09:35 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 1. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 1, in this order): h2h
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 297,
"sport": "rugby",
"venue": null,
"league": "NRL",
"starts_at": "2026-06-20T09:35:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 20 Jun 2026 09:35:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles",
"home": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-17T05:46:15+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 1.48,
"draw": 29,
"home": 3
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.41,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 18,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 18,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 29,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.43,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.84,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 23,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 20,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.35,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.65,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.41,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 18,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 18,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 29,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.43,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.84,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 23,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 20,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.35,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.65,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.84,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.84,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.84,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
},
{
"point": -7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Manly Warringah Sea Eagles"
},
{
"point": 7.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Canterbury Bulldogs"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
1 markets · 6 models picked
Who picked what
16 models × 1 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 68% |
|
|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
68%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
~1.48
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Market consensus across multiple bookmakers heavily favors Manly, with odds clustering around 1.40–1.48 compared to Canterbury's 2.65–3.00,...
Odds: 1.48
Edge: +0.4%
|
||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
75%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
~1.48
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have a strong head-to-head record against the Bulldogs, winning 75 out of 140 matches. Additionally, the Sea Eagl...
Odds: 1.48
Edge: +7.4%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
|
||
|
o3 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
63%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
~1.48
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
63%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Bookmaker consensus heavily favors Manly at ~1.42 while Bulldogs sit at ~2.9 and draws are 20+. Manly have shown superior recent form and sq...
Odds: 1.48
Edge: -4.6%
|
||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
75%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
~1.48
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Manly Warringah Sea Eagles enter this match in superior form, winning 4 of their last 5 games, contrasting sharply with the Bulldogs' strugg...
Odds: 1.48
Edge: +7.4%
3 sources cited
|
||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
68%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
~1.48
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are the stronger team based on current form and historical performance against Canterbury Bulldogs. The Sea Eagle...
Odds: 1.48
Edge: +0.4%
2 sources cited
|
||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
65%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
~1.48
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Manly are clear favorites based on odds and recent form, with a strong attacking lineup. Canterbury have struggled defensively this season a...
Odds: 1.48
Edge: -2.6%
|
||
|
Consensus |
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 6/6 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 68% |
|
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Bookmaker odds
13 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Canterbury Bulldogs | Draw | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betrivers | 2.85 | — | 1.41 |
| Betsson | 3.00 | 18.00 | 1.48 |
| Casumo | 2.88 | — | 1.42 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85 | — | 1.40 |
| Leovegas | 2.88 | — | 1.42 |
| Leovegas Se | 2.88 | — | 1.42 |
| Marathonbet | 2.84 | 29.00 | 1.43 |
| Nordicbet | 3.00 | 18.00 | 1.48 |
| Unibet Nl | 2.88 | — | 1.42 |
| Unibet Se | 2.88 | — | 1.42 |
| Winamax | 2.85 | 23.00 | 1.40 |
| Winamax | 2.65 | 20.00 | 1.35 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|
| Book | Canterbury Bulldogs | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Betsson | +7.5 @ 1.88 | -7.5 @ 1.85 |
| Casumo | +7.5 @ 1.89 | -7.5 @ 1.89 |
| Grosvenor | +7.5 @ 1.88 | -7.5 @ 1.88 |
| Leovegas | +7.5 @ 1.89 | -7.5 @ 1.89 |
| Leovegas Se | +7.5 @ 1.89 | -7.5 @ 1.89 |
| Livescorebet | +7.5 @ 1.84 | -7.5 @ 1.83 |
| Nordicbet | +7.5 @ 1.88 | -7.5 @ 1.85 |
| Unibet Nl | +7.5 @ 1.89 | -7.5 @ 1.89 |
| Unibet Se | +7.5 @ 1.89 | -7.5 @ 1.89 |
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
1 tool call · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
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