Bhutan U19vsParo
Bhutan U19 1–4 Paro
3 of 6 AIs leaned Bhutan U19 — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Bhutan U19 3/6
- Correct calls
- 3/6
- Final
- 1–4
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
7 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 3/6 models |
no 3/6 models |
0-2 1/2 models |
Bhutan U19 / Bhutan U19 3/6 models |
Bhutan U19 3/6 models |
Paro 2/6 models |
Paro 2/6 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
62%
Under 2.5
L
|
58%
No
L
|
— |
52%
Bhutan U19 / Bhutan U19
L
|
68%
Bhutan U19
L
|
64%
Bhutan U19 -0.5
L
|
55%
Bhutan U 19 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 2.5 Youth football matches (U19) typically feature lower goal-scoring rates than senior fixtures due to technical variability, fitness differenc...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
No Both teams scoring is less common in youth football due to defensive frailty but also occasional one-sided matches. Bhutanese domestic youth...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
Bhutan U19 / Bhutan U19 Half-time/Full-time favours the home team winning at both stages. Bhutan U19 should establish dominance early if they are the superior squad...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Bhutan U19 Bhutan U19 as the home side in a domestic youth league context typically commands advantage. Paro is a regional/club team with limited inter...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
64%
Bhutan U19 -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 requires only a win (not a draw) for Bhutan U19. Home advantage in a domestic youth league context strongly favours the...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Bhutan U 19 Spreads of -1 goal favour the home team if they win by at least 2 goals. Bhutan U19 at home should be favoured on aggregate, but a 2-goal ma... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
62%
over
W
|
58%
no
L
|
— |
65%
Paro / Paro |
78%
Paro
W
|
74%
Paro |
71%
Paro
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
over Quality gap suggests Paro will create many chances and likely score multiple times against an inexperienced U19 defense. Youth sides often p...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Bhutan U19 defense is expected to struggle keeping clean sheets but may fail to score against Paro's organized senior backline. Historical p...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
65%
Paro / Paro Paro is likely to establish control early and maintain it through the second half against a U19 side. Training knowledge shows top teams in...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
78%
Paro Paro FC is a dominant senior side in the Bhutan Premier League while Bhutan U19 is a youth team with limited experience against top oppositi...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
74%
Paro Asian handicap on away side aligns with Paro being clear favorites. Youth teams rarely hold senior sides to draws or narrow wins in league p...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
71%
Paro Paro should cover a -1 spread comfortably given the level difference. Training data indicates top Bhutan clubs regularly win by 2+ goals ver... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
75%
over_2.5
W
|
65%
no
L
|
20%
3-0
L
|
60%
Paro / Paro |
80%
Paro
W
|
80%
Paro -1.5
W
|
70%
away_ -1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
over_2.5 Given Paro FC's expected offensive dominance against a U19 side, they are likely to score multiple goals. The U19 team might struggle to con...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
no Paro FC's defense is expected to be solid against a U19 team, likely limiting scoring opportunities for Bhutan U19. While the youth team mig...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
3-0 Paro FC is expected to win decisively, and a 3-0 scoreline reflects both their offensive capability and the likelihood of keeping a clean sh...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Paro / Paro Paro FC's superior strength and experience should allow them to assert dominance from the first whistle. It is highly likely they will estab...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
80%
Paro Paro FC is a dominant team in the Bhutan Premier League, consistently competing for the title. Bhutan U19, as a national youth team, would g...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
80%
Paro -1.5 Based on the significant quality difference, Paro FC is expected to win by at least two goals. Covering an Asian Handicap of -1.5 requires a...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
away_ -1 Paro FC is anticipated to secure a comfortable victory, likely by a margin of two goals or more. A one-goal victory would result in a push o... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
over
W
|
65%
no
L
|
20%
0-2
L
|
50%
Paro / Paro |
70%
Paro
W
|
60%
Paro |
55%
Paro
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over While Bhutanese football generally sees lower-scoring games, Paro's strength suggests they could score multiple goals. The U19 team might co...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
no Given the significant difference in quality between a top club like Paro and a youth national team, it's probable that Bhutan U19 will strug...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-2 Considering Paro's dominance, they are expected to score at least two goals while Bhutan U19 struggles to find the net. A 2-0 scoreline is t...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Paro / Paro Paro's expected superiority suggests they will lead at halftime and extend that lead in the second half. While other outcomes are possible,...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Paro Paro FC is a dominant force in Bhutanese football, consistently winning the league. Bhutan U19, representing a national youth team, is unlik...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Paro The Asian Handicap market typically offers a slightly different line than simple spreads. Given Paro's expected dominance, they are likely t...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Paro Paro is expected to win, and likely by more than one goal. While a significant margin is anticipated, the U19s might get a consolation goal...
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
85%
over
W
|
60%
yes
W
|
— |
80%
Bhutan U19 / Bhutan U19
L
|
95%
Bhutan U19
L
|
85%
Bhutan U19 -0.75
L
|
90%
Bhutan U 19
L
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
85%
over Bhutan U19 should control the game and score multiple goals. Youth team matches often have high scoring due to defensive inexperience. Paro...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Bhutan U19 is likely to score heavily, but Paro, as a local club, may find the net against a youth defense. Bhutan U19 might not keep a clea...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
80%
Bhutan U19 / Bhutan U19 Bhutan U19 should lead at halftime and win the match. The difference in quality likely secures an early lead and a comprehensive victory.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
95%
Bhutan U19 Bhutan U19 is a national youth side likely to face a domestic club team. Even without specific form data, youth national teams typically dom...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
85%
Bhutan U19 -0.75 A -0.75 Asian handicap means half the stake wins if home wins by 1, full if by 2+. Given expected dominance, Bhutan U19 should win by at lea...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
90%
Bhutan U 19 Bhutan U19 should win by at least 2 goals given the expected strength difference. The spread of -1 effectively means the home team must win... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 3/6
Youth football matches (U19) typically feature lower goal-scoring rates than senior fixtures due to technical variability, fitness differenc...
Quality gap suggests Paro will create many chances and likely score multiple times against an inexperienced U19 defense. Youth sides often p...
Given Paro FC's expected offensive dominance against a U19 side, they are likely to score multiple goals. The U19 team might struggle to con...
While Bhutanese football generally sees lower-scoring games, Paro's strength suggests they could score multiple goals. The U19 team might co...
Bhutan U19 should control the game and score multiple goals. Youth team matches often have high scoring due to defensive inexperience. Paro...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 3/6
Both teams scoring is less common in youth football due to defensive frailty but also occasional one-sided matches. Bhutanese domestic youth...
Bhutan U19 defense is expected to struggle keeping clean sheets but may fail to score against Paro's organized senior backline. Historical p...
Paro FC's defense is expected to be solid against a U19 team, likely limiting scoring opportunities for Bhutan U19. While the youth team mig...
Given the significant difference in quality between a top club like Paro and a youth national team, it's probable that Bhutan U19 will strug...
Bhutan U19 is likely to score heavily, but Paro, as a local club, may find the net against a youth defense. Bhutan U19 might not keep a clea...
Correct score
Consensus0-2 1/2
Paro FC is expected to win decisively, and a 3-0 scoreline reflects both their offensive capability and the likelihood of keeping a clean sh...
Considering Paro's dominance, they are expected to score at least two goals while Bhutan U19 struggles to find the net. A 2-0 scoreline is t...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBhutan U19 / Bhutan U19 3/6
Half-time/Full-time favours the home team winning at both stages. Bhutan U19 should establish dominance early if they are the superior squad...
Paro is likely to establish control early and maintain it through the second half against a U19 side. Training knowledge shows top teams in...
Paro FC's superior strength and experience should allow them to assert dominance from the first whistle. It is highly likely they will estab...
Paro's expected superiority suggests they will lead at halftime and extend that lead in the second half. While other outcomes are possible,...
Bhutan U19 should lead at halftime and win the match. The difference in quality likely secures an early lead and a comprehensive victory.
Match winner
ConsensusBhutan U19 3/6
Bhutan U19 as the home side in a domestic youth league context typically commands advantage. Paro is a regional/club team with limited inter...
Paro FC is a dominant senior side in the Bhutan Premier League while Bhutan U19 is a youth team with limited experience against top oppositi...
Paro FC is a dominant team in the Bhutan Premier League, consistently competing for the title. Bhutan U19, as a national youth team, would g...
Paro FC is a dominant force in Bhutanese football, consistently winning the league. Bhutan U19, representing a national youth team, is unlik...
Bhutan U19 is a national youth side likely to face a domestic club team. Even without specific form data, youth national teams typically dom...
Asian handicap
ConsensusParo 2/6
Asian handicap -0.5 requires only a win (not a draw) for Bhutan U19. Home advantage in a domestic youth league context strongly favours the...
Asian handicap on away side aligns with Paro being clear favorites. Youth teams rarely hold senior sides to draws or narrow wins in league p...
Based on the significant quality difference, Paro FC is expected to win by at least two goals. Covering an Asian Handicap of -1.5 requires a...
The Asian Handicap market typically offers a slightly different line than simple spreads. Given Paro's expected dominance, they are likely t...
A -0.75 Asian handicap means half the stake wins if home wins by 1, full if by 2+. Given expected dominance, Bhutan U19 should win by at lea...
Spread
ConsensusParo 2/6
Spreads of -1 goal favour the home team if they win by at least 2 goals. Bhutan U19 at home should be favoured on aggregate, but a 2-goal ma...
Paro should cover a -1 spread comfortably given the level difference. Training data indicates top Bhutan clubs regularly win by 2+ goals ver...
Paro FC is anticipated to secure a comfortable victory, likely by a margin of two goals or more. A one-goal victory would result in a push o...
Paro is expected to win, and likely by more than one goal. While a significant margin is anticipated, the U19s might get a consolation goal...
Bhutan U19 should win by at least 2 goals given the expected strength difference. The spread of -1 effectively means the home team must win...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerDeepSeek V3
Bhutan U19
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Paro
Grok 4 Fast
Paro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Paro
Claude Haiku 4.5
Bhutan U19
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Bhutan U19
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
6e212bd208ac7f0a…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Jun 15 · 12:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1834,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-15T12:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 15 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Paro",
"home": "Bhutan U19"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T06:08:10+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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