AktobevsAltay
Aktobe 2–0 Altay
All 6 AIs backed Aktobe — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Aktobe 6/6
- Correct calls
- 6/6
- Final
- 2–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 2/6 models |
No 3/6 models |
Aktobe -1 3/6 models |
Aktobe -0.5 2/6 models |
Aktobe / Aktobe 4/6 models |
Aktobe 6/6 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
62%
Under 2.5
W
|
65%
No
W
|
52%
Aktobe -1
W
|
58%
Aktobe -0.5
W
|
42%
Aktobe / Aktobe |
58%
Aktobe
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 2.5 Kazakhstani domestic league football typically features lower-scoring matches (1.8–2.2 goals per game on average). Neither Aktobe nor Altay...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No BTTS requires both defences to be broken; Kazakhstan's domestic clubs typically play with compact, organised defending. Lower-tier clubs oft...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Aktobe -1 Aktobe must win by 2+ goals to cover -1 spread. Home advantage and historical domestic standing suggest slight edge, but the -1 line is chal...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Aktobe -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 (half goal) gives Aktobe a near-level footing on a neutral field. Home advantage (typically 0.3–0.5 goal equivalent) sup...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Aktobe / Aktobe HT/FT requires Aktobe to lead at half and full time, a narrow outcome in low-scoring matches. Home advantage and play style favour early Akt...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Aktobe Aktobe plays at home (Koblandy Batyr Stadium) which typically confers a 3–5% advantage in Kazakhstan's football environment. Both clubs are... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
over
L
|
51%
yes
L
|
48%
home_-1_yes |
55%
home_ -0.5 |
35%
home_home |
52%
Aktobe
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Matches involving Aktobe tend to produce goals when they control possession at home. Limited data on Altay suggests open games. Training dat...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Both teams have shown attacking intent in past encounters with goals at both ends. Home venue typically allows open play. Training data thro...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
home_-1_yes Aktobe can win by multiple goals against weaker visitors but draws remain possible. Training data through 2025-09 shows home win margins oft...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ -0.5 Home advantage points to Aktobe covering a small handicap. Away side struggles on the road per historical patterns. Training data through 20...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
home_home Aktobe often secures leads by half-time and holds on. Draw or away half-time outcomes less frequent at this venue. Training data through 202...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Aktobe Aktobe historically stronger at home in domestic fixtures based on pre-2025 results. Altay lacks consistent away pedigree against top-half s... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Under 2.5
W
|
65%
No
W
|
60%
Aktobe -1
W
|
65%
Aktobe -1.0
W
|
68%
Aktobe / Aktobe |
75%
Aktobe
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under 2.5 While Aktobe is strong at home, matches in the Kazakhstan Premier League often tend to be lower-scoring. Aktobe might secure a win with a 1-...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Given Aktobe's expected dominance and Altay's historical struggles, it is more likely that Aktobe will keep a clean sheet at home. Altay wil...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Aktobe -1 Aktobe is predicted to win this match convincingly. A -1 spread suggests they need to win by at least two goals for the pick to fully succee...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Aktobe -1.0 Similar to the spread, Aktobe -1.0 Asian Handicap offers a good return, with a win by one goal resulting in a push. Considering Aktobe's sig...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
68%
Aktobe / Aktobe Strong home teams like Aktobe typically assert dominance early in matches. It is highly probable they will lead at half-time and maintain th...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Aktobe Based on my training data up to its last update, Aktobe is historically a stronger team in the Kazakhstan Premier League, often competing fo... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
over
L
|
58%
yes
L
|
52%
Altay
L
|
53%
Altay +0.25
L
|
40%
Draw / Aktobe |
55%
Aktobe
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Premier League matches often feature a good number of goals. Assuming a standard competitive league, it's more likely than not that there wi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both teams are likely to score in a competitive Premier League fixture. While one team might have a slight edge, it's probable that both Akt...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Altay Given Aktobe is slightly favored to win (h2h market), a -1 handicap would mean they'd need to win by at least two goals. It's more probable...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Altay +0.25 With Aktobe being the nominal favorite at home, a small handicap favoring Altay seems reasonable. This pick suggests a slight lean towards A...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Draw / Aktobe While Aktobe is expected to win, the first half could be a cagey affair. A common scenario is for the home team to secure the win in the sec...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Aktobe Based on general knowledge of football league dynamics, the home team typically has an advantage due to crowd support and familiarity with t... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
50%
under 2.5
W
|
60%
no
W
|
55%
Altay
L
|
60%
Altay +1.0
L
|
30%
Aktobe / Aktobe |
55%
Aktobe
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
50%
under 2.5 Both teams are not known for high-scoring games in the Kazakh Premier League. Historical head-to-head matches often feature few goals. With...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Altay typically struggle to score away from home, and Aktobe's defense is decent. The most likely outcome is that at least one team fails to...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Altay Aktobe are not strong enough to cover a -1 spread against any opponent. Altay losing by more than one goal is unlikely. The away team on the...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Altay +1.0 Altay +1.0 covers if they lose by exactly one or better. Given the even matchup, that's a solid bet. Aktobe rarely dominate by two or more a...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Aktobe / Aktobe Home/home is the single most likely HT/FT outcome given home advantage, but still low confidence because many matches see early leads slip....
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Aktobe Aktobe are playing at home in Koblandy Batyr Stadium, where they have strong historical form. Altay are generally weaker on the road and hav... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Under 2.5
W
Kazakhstani domestic league football typically features lower-scoring matches (1.8–2.2 goals per game on average). Neither Aktobe nor Altay...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
L
Matches involving Aktobe tend to produce goals when they control possession at home. Limited data on Altay suggests open games. Training dat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Under 2.5
W
While Aktobe is strong at home, matches in the Kazakhstan Premier League often tend to be lower-scoring. Aktobe might secure a win with a 1-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
L
Premier League matches often feature a good number of goals. Assuming a standard competitive league, it's more likely than not that there wi...
DeepSeek V3
50%
under 2.5
W
Both teams are not known for high-scoring games in the Kazakh Premier League. Historical head-to-head matches often feature few goals. With...
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
65%
No
W
BTTS requires both defences to be broken; Kazakhstan's domestic clubs typically play with compact, organised defending. Lower-tier clubs oft...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
L
Both teams have shown attacking intent in past encounters with goals at both ends. Home venue typically allows open play. Training data thro...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
No
W
Given Aktobe's expected dominance and Altay's historical struggles, it is more likely that Aktobe will keep a clean sheet at home. Altay wil...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
L
Both teams are likely to score in a competitive Premier League fixture. While one team might have a slight edge, it's probable that both Akt...
DeepSeek V3
60%
no
W
Altay typically struggle to score away from home, and Aktobe's defense is decent. The most likely outcome is that at least one team fails to...
Spread
ConsensusAktobe -1 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Aktobe -1
W
Aktobe must win by 2+ goals to cover -1 spread. Home advantage and historical domestic standing suggest slight edge, but the -1 line is chal...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
home_-1_yes
Aktobe can win by multiple goals against weaker visitors but draws remain possible. Training data through 2025-09 shows home win margins oft...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Aktobe -1
W
Aktobe is predicted to win this match convincingly. A -1 spread suggests they need to win by at least two goals for the pick to fully succee...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Altay
L
Given Aktobe is slightly favored to win (h2h market), a -1 handicap would mean they'd need to win by at least two goals. It's more probable...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Altay
L
Aktobe are not strong enough to cover a -1 spread against any opponent. Altay losing by more than one goal is unlikely. The away team on the...
Asian handicap
ConsensusAktobe -0.5 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Aktobe -0.5
W
Asian handicap -0.5 (half goal) gives Aktobe a near-level footing on a neutral field. Home advantage (typically 0.3–0.5 goal equivalent) sup...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
home_ -0.5
Home advantage points to Aktobe covering a small handicap. Away side struggles on the road per historical patterns. Training data through 20...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Aktobe -1.0
W
Similar to the spread, Aktobe -1.0 Asian Handicap offers a good return, with a win by one goal resulting in a push. Considering Aktobe's sig...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Altay +0.25
L
With Aktobe being the nominal favorite at home, a small handicap favoring Altay seems reasonable. This pick suggests a slight lean towards A...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Altay +1.0
L
Altay +1.0 covers if they lose by exactly one or better. Given the even matchup, that's a solid bet. Aktobe rarely dominate by two or more a...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusAktobe / Aktobe 4/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
42%
Aktobe / Aktobe
HT/FT requires Aktobe to lead at half and full time, a narrow outcome in low-scoring matches. Home advantage and play style favour early Akt...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
35%
home_home
Aktobe often secures leads by half-time and holds on. Draw or away half-time outcomes less frequent at this venue. Training data through 202...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Aktobe / Aktobe
Strong home teams like Aktobe typically assert dominance early in matches. It is highly probable they will lead at half-time and maintain th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw / Aktobe
While Aktobe is expected to win, the first half could be a cagey affair. A common scenario is for the home team to secure the win in the sec...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Aktobe / Aktobe
Home/home is the single most likely HT/FT outcome given home advantage, but still low confidence because many matches see early leads slip....
Match winner
ConsensusAktobe 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Aktobe
W
Aktobe plays at home (Koblandy Batyr Stadium) which typically confers a 3–5% advantage in Kazakhstan's football environment. Both clubs are...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Aktobe
W
Aktobe historically stronger at home in domestic fixtures based on pre-2025 results. Altay lacks consistent away pedigree against top-half s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Aktobe
W
Based on my training data up to its last update, Aktobe is historically a stronger team in the Kazakhstan Premier League, often competing fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Aktobe
W
Based on general knowledge of football league dynamics, the home team typically has an advantage due to crowd support and familiarity with t...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Aktobe
W
Aktobe are playing at home in Koblandy Batyr Stadium, where they have strong historical form. Altay are generally weaker on the road and hav...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Aktobe
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Aktobe
Claude Haiku 4.5
Aktobe
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Aktobe
DeepSeek V3
Aktobe
Grok 4 Fast
Aktobe
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
326166826651ee28…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Jun 14 · 15:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1666,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Koblandy Batyr Stadium",
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-14T15:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 14 Jun 2026 15:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Altay",
"home": "Aktobe"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-13T07:38:14+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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