Adama KenemavsEthiopia Nigd Bank
Adama Kenema 2–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
All 6 AIs backed Adama Kenema — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Adama Kenema 6/6
- Correct calls
- 6/6
- Final
- 2–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Adama Kenema 38% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Under 2.5 2/6 models |
No 3/6 models |
Draw / Adama Kenema 2/6 models |
Adama Kenema -1 2/6 models |
Adama Kenema -0.5 4/6 models |
Adama Kenema 6/6 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | — | — | — | — | — | Adama Kenema 38% | |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Under 2.5
L
|
64%
No
L
|
48%
HT: Home / FT: Home
L
|
55%
Adama Kenema -1 |
61%
Adama Kenema -0.5
W
|
62%
Adama Kenema
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 African football leagues, especially matches involving clubs with less international prominence, typically feature lower goal-scoring rates...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
64%
No In lower-tier African football, both teams scoring together is less common than in elite leagues due to more uneven squad quality and defens...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
HT: Home / FT: Home Half-time/full-time markets reward dominant home performances. Adama Kenema leading at half and winning is the single most likely outcome gi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Adama Kenema -1 Adama Kenema at home with slight form/reputation advantage warrants a mild spread in their favor. However, spreads of -1 (win by 2+ goals) a...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
61%
Adama Kenema -0.5 Asian handicap at -0.5 (Adama Kenema wins or draws to cover) is softer than -1 and aligns with home advantage in African football. The home...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema plays at home with typical home-field advantage in African football. Ethiopia Nigd Bank is a less established club name in my t... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
over
W
|
51%
yes
W
|
35%
Adama Kenema / Adama Kenema |
48%
Adama Kenema |
52%
Adama Kenema -0.5
W
|
52%
Adama Kenema
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Ethiopian league matches often produce goals when mid-table sides meet. Training data through 2023 indicates over 2.5 goals occurs slightly...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Both teams tend to concede regularly in league play. Training data through 2023 shows BTTS yes slightly favored in Adama home games.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Adama Kenema / Adama Kenema Home teams in this league often lead at half time and hold on. Training data through 2023 shows home/home as the single most common HT/FT ou...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Adama Kenema Home side rarely wins by two or more goals in this matchup historically. Training data through 2023 supports away covering the -1 spread mor...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Adama Kenema -0.5 Adama Kenema benefit from home ground in Ethiopian Premier League. Training data through 2023 favors the home team on the -0.5 line in compa...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema play at home against Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Ethiopian Premier League. Training data through 2023 shows home sides in this le... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
L
|
55%
No
L
|
25%
Draw / Adama Kenema |
50%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank +1 |
45%
Adama Kenema -0.5
W
|
45%
Adama Kenema
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under 2.5 Goals The Ethiopian Premier League often sees matches with fewer goals, suggesting a tendency towards lower-scoring encounters. Lacking recent tea...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Consistent with the expectation of a lower-scoring match, it is more probable that only one or neither team will score. Tight defenses or le...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Adama Kenema This pick reflects a tight contest where the teams are evenly matched in the first half, resulting in a draw at halftime. However, Adama Ken...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank +1 While Adama Kenema is favored slightly due to home advantage, winning by two or more goals against a competitive opponent is a significant c...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Adama Kenema -0.5 Aligning with the slight home advantage given to Adama Kenema in the head-to-head market, this pick anticipates them securing a victory. The...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Adama Kenema Based on general football principles, the home team, Adama Kenema, is given a slight advantage. Without current form or detailed statistics... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
over
W
|
58%
yes
W
|
50%
home_home |
55%
Adama Kenema |
55%
home_ 0.0 |
55%
Adama Kenema
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in matches with over 2.5 goals, particularly when Adama Kenema is playing at home. Their att...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Adama Kenema's home matches frequently see both teams scoring, indicating a potential for offensive effectiveness from both sides. Ethiopia...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
home_home Adama Kenema has a tendency to start matches strongly at home and maintain that advantage through to halftime and the final whistle. They ar...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema is expected to win by at least one goal, given their historical home advantage and perceived stronger performance. They are lik...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ 0.0 The handicap of 0.0 indicates a prediction for Adama Kenema to at least avoid defeat, aligning with their historical home advantage. They ar...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Adama Kenema Based on training data, Adama Kenema generally performs better at home against Ethiopia Nigd Bank. The home team often has a slight edge in... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
45%
over 2.5
W
|
50%
yes
W
|
14%
Adama Kenema / Adama Kenema |
55%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank +1 |
48%
Adama Kenema 0.0
W
|
48%
Adama Kenema
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
45%
over 2.5 Both teams have moderate scoring records, but defensive lapses are common in this league. The lack of recent match data and uncertain condit...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
50%
yes Both teams have shown ability to score and concede in recent games. The league has a high percentage of BTTS matches, but no current lineup...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
14%
Adama Kenema / Adama Kenema Probabilities are evenly spread due to low information. Draw/draw is the most common HT/FT outcome in similar low-scoring matches. Home/home...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank +1 Adama Kenema rarely wins by more than one goal, and Ethiopia Nigd Bank often keeps games close. The away +1 spread offers a safety margin. S...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Adama Kenema 0.0 With no clear favorite, the Asian Handicap 0.0 is essentially a draw-no-bet. Home advantage gives a slight edge but not enough to confidentl...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema has a historical edge at home in the Ethiopian Premier League, but recent form is inconsistent. Ethiopia Nigd Bank is competiti... |
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Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 2.5 2/6
African football leagues, especially matches involving clubs with less international prominence, typically feature lower goal-scoring rates...
Ethiopian league matches often produce goals when mid-table sides meet. Training data through 2023 indicates over 2.5 goals occurs slightly...
The Ethiopian Premier League often sees matches with fewer goals, suggesting a tendency towards lower-scoring encounters. Lacking recent tea...
Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in matches with over 2.5 goals, particularly when Adama Kenema is playing at home. Their att...
Both teams have moderate scoring records, but defensive lapses are common in this league. The lack of recent match data and uncertain condit...
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 3/6
In lower-tier African football, both teams scoring together is less common than in elite leagues due to more uneven squad quality and defens...
Both teams tend to concede regularly in league play. Training data through 2023 shows BTTS yes slightly favored in Adama home games.
Consistent with the expectation of a lower-scoring match, it is more probable that only one or neither team will score. Tight defenses or le...
Adama Kenema's home matches frequently see both teams scoring, indicating a potential for offensive effectiveness from both sides. Ethiopia...
Both teams have shown ability to score and concede in recent games. The league has a high percentage of BTTS matches, but no current lineup...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Adama Kenema 2/6
Half-time/full-time markets reward dominant home performances. Adama Kenema leading at half and winning is the single most likely outcome gi...
Home teams in this league often lead at half time and hold on. Training data through 2023 shows home/home as the single most common HT/FT ou...
This pick reflects a tight contest where the teams are evenly matched in the first half, resulting in a draw at halftime. However, Adama Ken...
Adama Kenema has a tendency to start matches strongly at home and maintain that advantage through to halftime and the final whistle. They ar...
Probabilities are evenly spread due to low information. Draw/draw is the most common HT/FT outcome in similar low-scoring matches. Home/home...
Spread
ConsensusAdama Kenema -1 2/6
Adama Kenema at home with slight form/reputation advantage warrants a mild spread in their favor. However, spreads of -1 (win by 2+ goals) a...
Home side rarely wins by two or more goals in this matchup historically. Training data through 2023 supports away covering the -1 spread mor...
While Adama Kenema is favored slightly due to home advantage, winning by two or more goals against a competitive opponent is a significant c...
Adama Kenema is expected to win by at least one goal, given their historical home advantage and perceived stronger performance. They are lik...
Adama Kenema rarely wins by more than one goal, and Ethiopia Nigd Bank often keeps games close. The away +1 spread offers a safety margin. S...
Asian handicap
ConsensusAdama Kenema -0.5 4/6
Asian handicap at -0.5 (Adama Kenema wins or draws to cover) is softer than -1 and aligns with home advantage in African football. The home...
Adama Kenema benefit from home ground in Ethiopian Premier League. Training data through 2023 favors the home team on the -0.5 line in compa...
Aligning with the slight home advantage given to Adama Kenema in the head-to-head market, this pick anticipates them securing a victory. The...
The handicap of 0.0 indicates a prediction for Adama Kenema to at least avoid defeat, aligning with their historical home advantage. They ar...
With no clear favorite, the Asian Handicap 0.0 is essentially a draw-no-bet. Home advantage gives a slight edge but not enough to confidentl...
Match winner
ConsensusAdama Kenema 6/6
Adama Kenema plays at home with typical home-field advantage in African football. Ethiopia Nigd Bank is a less established club name in my t...
Adama Kenema play at home against Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Ethiopian Premier League. Training data through 2023 shows home sides in this le...
Based on general football principles, the home team, Adama Kenema, is given a slight advantage. Without current form or detailed statistics...
Based on training data, Adama Kenema generally performs better at home against Ethiopia Nigd Bank. The home team often has a slight edge in...
Adama Kenema has a historical edge at home in the Ethiopian Premier League, but recent form is inconsistent. Ethiopia Nigd Bank is competiti...
Bookmaker line: Adama Kenema 38%
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerClaude Haiku 4.5
Adama Kenema
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Adama Kenema
Grok 4 Fast
Adama Kenema
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Adama Kenema
DeepSeek V3
Adama Kenema
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Adama Kenema
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
12 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Adama Kenema | Draw | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | 2.46 | — |
| Unibet | — | 2.95 | — |
| 10bet | — | 2.70 | — |
| 1xbet | — | 2.54 | — |
| Betano | — | 2.65 | — |
| Betfair | — | 2.75 | — |
| Betvictor | — | 2.88 | — |
| Dafabet | — | 2.70 | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.54 | — |
| Sbo | — | 2.66 | — |
| Superbet | — | 2.47 | — |
| William-hill | — | 2.62 | — |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — | — |
| Superbet | — | — | — |
| William-hill | — | — | — |
| Book | Adama Kenema | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
cfbfb117c3edfc80…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Jun 15 · 13:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1840,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-15T13:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 15 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Ethiopia Nigd Bank",
"home": "Adama Kenema"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T06:16:37+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.