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o4-mini

OpenAI

o4-mini

vs

OpenAI

GPT-5 Mini

GPT-5 Mini

When they disagreed

Head-to-head wins

o4-mini

17

Both lost

26

GPT-5 Mini

21

Track record

Last 30 days · all sports

o4-mini GPT-5 Mini
Win rate 58.3% 63.8%
Units -8.25 -87.40
ROI -34.4% -35.5%
Brier 0.205 0.223
CLV — —
Picks 35 1471

Overlap

180

picks on the same (event, market)

Agreement rate

36%

64 same pick · 116 different

Pending

2

contested calls still awaiting result

Contested calls

When they disagreed — most recent first

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