UlaanbaatarvsKhoromkhon
Ulaanbaatar 7–0 Khoromkhon
All 6 AIs backed Ulaanbaatar — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Ulaanbaatar 6/6
- Correct calls
- 6/6
- Final
- 7–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Under 2.5 2/6 models |
No 3/6 models |
Ulaanbaatar -1 4/6 models |
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar 5/6 models |
Ulaanbaatar -0.5 2/6 models |
Ulaanbaatar 6/6 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
62%
Under 2.5
L
|
60%
No
W
|
52%
Ulaanbaatar -1
W
|
44%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar |
56%
Ulaanbaatar -0.5
W
|
58%
Ulaanbaatar
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 2.5 Mongolian domestic football has historically lower scoring rates than European top leagues, partly due to technical quality variance and sma...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Given the likely low-scoring nature of Mongolian domestic matches and absence of injury or team-form data suggesting high attacking threat f...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Ulaanbaatar -1 Home advantage in a low-scoring league suggests a modest victory margin. A 1–0 or 2–1 Ulaanbaatar win is a reasonable modal outcome given ca...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
44%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar Half-time/full-time outcomes are inherently fragmented; Ulaanbaatar leading and winning at full-time is the most likely scenario but still c...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
Ulaanbaatar -0.5 The -0.5 line (half-goal) reflects mild home favouritism without over-committing. It balances capital advantage and home field with the unce...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Ulaanbaatar Both teams appear to be from Mongolia's football system; without live fixture data, current season form, or recent head-to-head records, I r... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
over
W
|
58%
no
W
|
61%
home_ -1 |
48%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar |
53%
home_ -1.5 |
72%
Ulaanbaatar
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Mongolian league matches average around 3 goals when top sides play weaker opponents. Ulaanbaatar's attacking style tends to produce open ga...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Khoromkhon rarely scores against stronger sides while Ulaanbaatar keeps clean sheets in most home fixtures. Training knowledge indicates low...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
61%
home_ -1 The expected margin favors Ulaanbaatar by more than one goal given historical results. Training data through 2025 shows the home side coveri...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar Ulaanbaatar typically takes control early and maintains leads against weaker sides. Training data through 2025 shows home/home as the most f...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
home_ -1.5 Quality gap suggests Ulaanbaatar should win by two or more goals often enough to justify the -1.5 line. Training data through 2025 supports...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Ulaanbaatar Ulaanbaatar is historically the dominant side in Mongolian football and should overpower Khoromkhon at home. Training data through 2025 show... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
55%
No
W
|
50%
Ulaanbaatar -1
W
|
40%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar |
50%
Ulaanbaatar -1.0
W
|
65%
Ulaanbaatar
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 2.5 Goals Matches in the Mongolian Premier League, especially when a stronger team like Ulaanbaatar plays a comparatively weaker opponent, tend to be...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No While Ulaanbaatar is expected to score, their historical dominance often includes keeping clean sheets against weaker opposition. Khoromkhon...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Ulaanbaatar -1 Given Ulaanbaatar's historical superiority, they are very capable of winning by a margin of two goals or more against Khoromkhon. While a si...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar Ulaanbaatar, as the historically stronger side, is expected to assert their dominance early and maintain it throughout the match. It's highl...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Ulaanbaatar -1.0 Assuming an Asian Handicap line of Ulaanbaatar -1.0, a win by two or more goals for Ulaanbaatar is a strong possibility given their historic...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Ulaanbaatar Based on historical performance captured in my training data (through 2025-09), Ulaanbaatar has consistently been a stronger team in the Mon... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
over
W
|
55%
yes
L
|
50%
Ulaanbaatar
W
|
40%
Draw / Ulaanbaatar |
50%
Ulaanbaatar |
55%
Ulaanbaatar
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Given the lack of specific team information, I'm defaulting to a common outcome in football matches where offensive play can often lead to o...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes In many football leagues, matches often see both teams scoring. Without specific defensive or offensive statistics for these teams, I'm lean...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Ulaanbaatar As I don't have precise team strengths or current form, predicting against a handicap of -1 goal is highly speculative. I'll assign equal pr...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Draw / Ulaanbaatar Given the uncertainty and lack of specific data, predicting the Half-Time/Full-Time market is highly speculative. I've assigned a slightly h...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Ulaanbaatar Without any specific handicap line or team data, predicting the Asian Handicap market is impossible. I am assigning equal probability to bot...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Ulaanbaatar Without specific match data or bookmaker odds, I am relying on general knowledge. Ulaanbaatar is typically a stronger team than Khoromkhon i... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
65%
Over 2.5
W
|
55%
Yes
L
|
60%
Ulaanbaatar -1
W
|
55%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar |
60%
Ulaanbaatar -1.0
W
|
70%
Ulaanbaatar
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Over 2.5 Ulaanbaatar usually scores multiple goals and Khoromkhon can concede. Average goal totals in this fixture often exceed 2.5.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Khoromkhon may occasionally score while Ulaanbaatar is likely to net. But clean sheets are possible for Ulaanbaatar. Slight edge to both sco...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Ulaanbaatar -1 Ulaanbaatar should win by at least 2 goals given their strength. But margin of victory is uncertain. Slight confidence.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar Ulaanbaatar likely to lead at half and extend lead in second half. But if they score later, could be draw at half. Most probable outcome is...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Ulaanbaatar -1.0 Similar reasoning to -1 spread. Expect Ulaanbaatar to win by a margin that covers the handicap.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Ulaanbaatar Ulaanbaatar historically dominates Khoromkhon in the Mongolian Premier League. Recent form is not available but home advantage and squad dep... |
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Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 2.5 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Under 2.5
L
Mongolian domestic football has historically lower scoring rates than European top leagues, partly due to technical quality variance and sma...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
W
Mongolian league matches average around 3 goals when top sides play weaker opponents. Ulaanbaatar's attacking style tends to produce open ga...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Matches in the Mongolian Premier League, especially when a stronger team like Ulaanbaatar plays a comparatively weaker opponent, tend to be...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
W
Given the lack of specific team information, I'm defaulting to a common outcome in football matches where offensive play can often lead to o...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Over 2.5
W
Ulaanbaatar usually scores multiple goals and Khoromkhon can concede. Average goal totals in this fixture often exceed 2.5.
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
60%
No
W
Given the likely low-scoring nature of Mongolian domestic matches and absence of injury or team-form data suggesting high attacking threat f...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
no
W
Khoromkhon rarely scores against stronger sides while Ulaanbaatar keeps clean sheets in most home fixtures. Training knowledge indicates low...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
W
While Ulaanbaatar is expected to score, their historical dominance often includes keeping clean sheets against weaker opposition. Khoromkhon...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
L
In many football leagues, matches often see both teams scoring. Without specific defensive or offensive statistics for these teams, I'm lean...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Yes
L
Khoromkhon may occasionally score while Ulaanbaatar is likely to net. But clean sheets are possible for Ulaanbaatar. Slight edge to both sco...
Spread
ConsensusUlaanbaatar -1 4/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Ulaanbaatar -1
W
Home advantage in a low-scoring league suggests a modest victory margin. A 1–0 or 2–1 Ulaanbaatar win is a reasonable modal outcome given ca...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
61%
home_ -1
The expected margin favors Ulaanbaatar by more than one goal given historical results. Training data through 2025 shows the home side coveri...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Ulaanbaatar -1
W
Given Ulaanbaatar's historical superiority, they are very capable of winning by a margin of two goals or more against Khoromkhon. While a si...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Ulaanbaatar
W
As I don't have precise team strengths or current form, predicting against a handicap of -1 goal is highly speculative. I'll assign equal pr...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Ulaanbaatar -1
W
Ulaanbaatar should win by at least 2 goals given their strength. But margin of victory is uncertain. Slight confidence.
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusUlaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar 5/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
44%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar
Half-time/full-time outcomes are inherently fragmented; Ulaanbaatar leading and winning at full-time is the most likely scenario but still c...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar
Ulaanbaatar typically takes control early and maintains leads against weaker sides. Training data through 2025 shows home/home as the most f...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar
Ulaanbaatar, as the historically stronger side, is expected to assert their dominance early and maintain it throughout the match. It's highl...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw / Ulaanbaatar
Given the uncertainty and lack of specific data, predicting the Half-Time/Full-Time market is highly speculative. I've assigned a slightly h...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Ulaanbaatar / Ulaanbaatar
Ulaanbaatar likely to lead at half and extend lead in second half. But if they score later, could be draw at half. Most probable outcome is...
Asian handicap
ConsensusUlaanbaatar -0.5 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Ulaanbaatar -0.5
W
The -0.5 line (half-goal) reflects mild home favouritism without over-committing. It balances capital advantage and home field with the unce...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
home_ -1.5
Quality gap suggests Ulaanbaatar should win by two or more goals often enough to justify the -1.5 line. Training data through 2025 supports...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Ulaanbaatar -1.0
W
Assuming an Asian Handicap line of Ulaanbaatar -1.0, a win by two or more goals for Ulaanbaatar is a strong possibility given their historic...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Ulaanbaatar
Without any specific handicap line or team data, predicting the Asian Handicap market is impossible. I am assigning equal probability to bot...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Ulaanbaatar -1.0
W
Similar reasoning to -1 spread. Expect Ulaanbaatar to win by a margin that covers the handicap.
Match winner
ConsensusUlaanbaatar 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Ulaanbaatar
W
Both teams appear to be from Mongolia's football system; without live fixture data, current season form, or recent head-to-head records, I r...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Ulaanbaatar
W
Ulaanbaatar is historically the dominant side in Mongolian football and should overpower Khoromkhon at home. Training data through 2025 show...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Ulaanbaatar
W
Based on historical performance captured in my training data (through 2025-09), Ulaanbaatar has consistently been a stronger team in the Mon...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Ulaanbaatar
W
Without specific match data or bookmaker odds, I am relying on general knowledge. Ulaanbaatar is typically a stronger team than Khoromkhon i...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Ulaanbaatar
W
Ulaanbaatar historically dominates Khoromkhon in the Mongolian Premier League. Recent form is not available but home advantage and squad dep...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Ulaanbaatar
DeepSeek V3
Ulaanbaatar
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Ulaanbaatar
Claude Haiku 4.5
Ulaanbaatar
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Ulaanbaatar
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Ulaanbaatar
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
7a5e04b3348529f7…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Jun 14 · 10:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1533,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-14T10:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 14 Jun 2026 10:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Khoromkhon",
"home": "Ulaanbaatar"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-13T06:41:24+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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