TP Mazembe vs Saint Eloi Lupopo
Final: 0 – 0
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
172335721bb3bea2…
- Sport
- Sun, Jun 14 · 13:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h · totals_2.5 · btts · spreads_-1 · asian_handicap · ht_ft
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1610,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Ligue 1",
"starts_at": "2026-06-14T14:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 14 Jun 2026 14:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Saint Eloi Lupopo",
"home": "TP Mazembe"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T05:45:32+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
AI predictions
6 markets · 6 models picked
Who picked what
15 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic · 4-5 -1.2u |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 5-5 -0.3u |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 125-128 -87.1u |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u |
49%
Mazembe / Mazembe
V
|
54%
TP Mazembe -1
V
|
63%
Mazembe -0.5
V
|
62%
No
W
|
68%
TP Mazembe
V
|
59%
Under 2.5
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
49%
Mazembe / Mazembe Half-time/full-time Mazembe/Mazembe is the most likely outcome given Mazembe's quality and home advantage, suggesting they lead at HT and co...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
TP Mazembe -1 Mazembe is a heavy favorite but -1 spreads require not just a win but a win by at least 2 goals. While Mazembe should dominate, Saint Eloi L...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
63%
Mazembe -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 for Mazembe is essentially a moneyline with slight overround elimination. Given Mazembe's historical dominance and home...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
No Saint Eloi Lupopo likely lacks the attacking depth to trouble Mazembe's defense while also preventing goals. Mazembe, as favorites, may adop...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
TP Mazembe TP Mazembe is historically one of the most successful clubs in African football with a strong domestic pedigree in the DR Congo. Saint Eloi...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
59%
Under 2.5 Without access to current team statistics, betting patterns, or recent scoring trends, this prediction is based on general patterns for Cong... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o3 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Heavy FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u |
41%
home/home
V
|
49%
TP Mazembe
V
|
47%
home -1
V
|
58%
no
W
|
62%
TP Mazembe
V
|
53%
under
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
41%
home/home Mazembe likely to control the game from the start and maintain lead given home strength. Training data through 2025-09 supports strong home/...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
TP Mazembe Mazembe favored to win by one goal margin given home advantage but Lupopo capable of narrow results. Training knowledge indicates tight cont...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
47%
home -1 Mazembe expected to edge the match by a single goal on home soil based on historical supremacy. Asian line reflects the narrow expected marg...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Mazembe defense is typically solid at home while Lupopo struggles to score away against top sides. Historical encounters often see one team...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
TP Mazembe TP Mazembe historically dominate Saint Eloi Lupopo at home in Congolese league fixtures based on training data through 2025-09. Mazembe's su...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Congolese top-flight matches often feature cautious play and low goal tallies, especially in high-stakes derbies. Training data shows averag... |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro FlagshipGoogle · 4-7 -1.8u |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u |
45%
TP Mazembe / TP Mazembe
V
|
50%
TP Mazembe -1
V
|
65%
Saint Eloi Lupopo +1.5
V
|
55%
No
W
|
65%
TP Mazembe
V
|
60%
Under 2.5
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
TP Mazembe / TP Mazembe TP Mazembe, when playing at home, typically starts strong and looks to establish an early lead. Given their overall dominance and the import...
1 source cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
TP Mazembe -1 While TP Mazembe is favored to win, covering a -1 handicap against a strong rival like Saint Eloi Lupopo is a more challenging proposition....
1 source cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Saint Eloi Lupopo +1.5 Betting on TP Mazembe to win by two or more goals (-1.5 Asian Handicap) is quite difficult in a fierce derby. While Mazembe often wins at ho...
1 source cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Following the expectation of a low-scoring derby, it's plausible that at least one team will fail to score. TP Mazembe's strong home defense...
1 source cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
TP Mazembe TP Mazembe possesses a strong historical record and significant home advantage, especially against rivals in the Congolese Ligue 1. Their ov...
1 source cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under 2.5 Derby matches, especially between two major rivals in African football, tend to be cagey affairs with a focus on defensive solidity. The hig...
1 source cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u |
50%
home_home
V
|
55%
TP Mazembe
V
|
55%
home_0.0
V
|
55%
yes
L
|
55%
TP Mazembe
V
|
60%
over
L
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
home_home Given TP Mazembe's slight historical advantage and perceived stronger status, the most probable outcome is that they lead at halftime and se...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
TP Mazembe Considering TP Mazembe as the slightly favored side, they are expected to win by at least one goal against Saint Eloi Lupopo. While not a do...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_0.0 With TP Mazembe being the slightly favored team, a pick on them with a 0.0 Asian Handicap offers a balance of risk and reward. This means a...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Given the perceived strengths and potential attacking intent of both TP Mazembe and Saint Eloi Lupopo, it's plausible that both teams will f...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
TP Mazembe TP Mazembe and Saint Eloi Lupopo are both prominent clubs in the DR Congo Premier League. Historically, TP Mazembe has a slight edge in thei...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Matches involving TP Mazembe often feature a good number of goals, reflecting the attacking nature of the DR Congo Premier League. While spe... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u |
50%
Home / Home
V
|
55%
TP Mazembe -1.0
V
|
50%
Saint Eloi Lupopo +0.5
V
|
60%
No
W
|
65%
TP Mazembe
V
|
55%
Under 2.5
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Home / Home TP Mazembe typically starts strong at home and often leads at halftime. They have the quality to hold onto a lead. Other outcomes like draw/...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
TP Mazembe -1.0 TP Mazembe often win by 1-0 or 2-0 margins at home against Lupopo. The spread -1 means a win by at least two goals, which is possible but no...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Saint Eloi Lupopo +0.5 Asian handicap +0.5 for the away side means they win on draw. While TP Mazembe is favorite, a draw is plausible (25% probability). The handi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Both teams have clean sheets in recent matches, especially Saint Eloi Lupopo who struggle to score away. TP Mazembe's defense is solid, like...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
TP Mazembe TP Mazembe historically dominates this Congolese derby, especially at home. Saint Eloi Lupopo have struggled away against top sides. No rece...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Derbies in Ligue 1 (DR Congo) tend to be tight and low-scoring, especially with high stakes. TP Mazembe's recent matches have seen under 2.5... |
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Consensus |
TP Mazembe / TP Mazembe 2/6 |
TP Mazembe -1 3/6 |
home_0.0 1/6 |
No 4/6 |
TP Mazembe 6/6 |
Under 2.5 4/6 |
|
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Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 1 source
1 citation captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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