Football FIFA World Cup

Final 2 – 1

South Korea vs Czech Republic

Final: 2 – 1

Picks locked at Jun 11 · 15:02 GMT+0000 24 picks recorded · 13 graded CLV +1.9% vs market close

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified


                    hash:
                    80233f9bc8adbfd3…

Sport: Fri, Jun 12 · 02:00 GMT+0000
Markets: h2h · totals_2.5 · btts · spreads_-1 · asian_handicap · ht_ft
Source: The Odds API · live
Research: AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 352,
        "sport": "football",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "FIFA World Cup",
        "starts_at": "2026-06-12T02:00:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Fri, 12 Jun 2026 02:00:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Czech Republic",
        "home": "South Korea"
    },
    "version": "v1",
    "built_at": "2026-06-12T02:51:19+00:00",
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": {
            "away": 3.9,
            "draw": 2.48,
            "home": 3.1
        },
        "note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
        "extra_markets": {
            "h2h": [
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.1,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.6,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.3,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.7,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.6,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.3,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.7,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.25,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.34,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.81,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.5,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.44,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.05,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.7,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.88,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.5,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.88,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.3,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.88,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.3,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.7,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.25,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.28,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.83,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.1,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.6,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.25,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.3,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.45,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.4,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.8,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.2,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.3,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.7,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.6,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.8,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.25,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.88,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.6,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.35,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.85,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.37,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.85,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.35,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.85,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.23,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.7,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.2,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.23,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.7,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.2,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.8,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.48,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.89,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.35,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.3,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.65,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.5,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.3,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.7,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.5,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.46,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.98,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.8,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.46,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.94,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.9,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                }
            ],
            "totals": [
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.66,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.48,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1,
                    "price": 2.18,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1,
                    "price": 1.58,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1,
                    "price": 2.18,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1,
                    "price": 1.58,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.6,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.18,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.65,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.63,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.23,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.59,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.4,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.63,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.23,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.54,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.1,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.06,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.57,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                }
            ],
            "h2h_lay": [
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.48,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.1,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.75,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.85,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.48,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.96,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.95,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                }
            ],
            "spreads": [
                {
                    "point": -0.5,
                    "price": 3.1,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0.5,
                    "price": 1.47,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": -0.5,
                    "price": 2.8,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0.5,
                    "price": 1.4,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0,
                    "price": 1.77,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0,
                    "price": 2.1,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0,
                    "price": 1.81,
                    "outcome": "South Korea"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0,
                    "price": 2.1,
                    "outcome": "Czech Republic"
                }
            ]
        }
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals_2.5",
        "btts",
        "spreads_-1",
        "asian_handicap",
        "ht_ft"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

AI predictions

Featured · open arena

6 markets · 4 models picked

Who picked what

15 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning

High Mid Low

Model	Half-time / Full-time ?	Match winner ? book: South Korea 23%	Both teams to score ?	Over / Under ? book: 2.5 · Over 45%	Spread ? book: South Korea 0.0	Asian handicap ?
Claude Opus 4.7 Flagship Anthropic · 4-5 -1.2u	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Claude Opus 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 5-5 -0.3u	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Claude Opus 4 Flagship Anthropic	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 125-128 -87.1u	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
GPT-5 Flagship Openai	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u	35% draw / draw V	35% Draw ~2.48 L	60% no ~1.55 L	65% under ~1.73 L	55% Czech Republic ~5.29 V	55% Czech Republic ~5.29 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 35% draw / draw Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive records and have been involved in closely contested matches recently. This suggests a balanced... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 5 sources cited Match winner ? 35% Draw Both teams have shown strong defensive records and have been involved in closely contested matches recently. South Korea has been unbeaten i... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.48 Edge: -5.3% 🔍 researched 5 sources cited Both teams to score ? 60% no Both teams have been involved in matches with low goal counts recently, and their defensive records suggest a low-scoring game. This makes i... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.55 🔍 researched 5 sources cited Over / Under ? 65% under Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, with South Korea conceding only 0.67 goals per game in their last six fixtures a... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.73 🔍 researched 5 sources cited Spread ? 55% Czech Republic The Czech Republic has shown resilience in recent matches, including a 3-1 victory over Guatemala and a 2-1 win against Kosovo. Their recent... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 5.29 🔍 researched 5 sources cited Asian handicap ? 55% Czech Republic The Czech Republic's recent form, including a 3-1 victory over Guatemala and a 2-1 win against Kosovo, indicates they have the capability to... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 5.29 🔍 researched 5 sources cited
o3 Flagship Openai	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Grok 4 Heavy Flagship Xai	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u	28% Draw/Draw V	42% South Korea ~2.76 W	53% No ~1.55 L	55% Under ~1.70 L	38% South Korea ~1.23 V	41% South Korea ~1.23 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 28% Draw/Draw Low scoring profile favors draw at half and full time. Training knowledge shows cagey opening matches for both nations in tournaments. Conse... Unlock reasoning · Pro Match winner ? 42% South Korea Training data through 2023 shows South Korea with better recent results and squad depth than Czech Republic. Consensus odds slightly favor h... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.76 Edge: +5.8% Both teams to score ? 53% No Both sides average under 2.5 goals in recent qualifiers per training data. Defensive setups expected in World Cup opener. Under total suppor... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.55 Over / Under ? 55% Under Consensus odds lean under 2.5 at 1.6-1.7. Both teams typically play controlled styles in major tournaments. Training data indicates low-scor... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.70 Spread ? 38% South Korea Spread at -1 favors Czech at shorter prices in consensus. South Korea not dominant enough historically to cover -1 vs European sides. Traini... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.23 Asian handicap ? 41% South Korea Asian lines cluster around level ball with slight home lean in prices. South Korea home advantage in neutral venue World Cup but Czech count... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.23
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship Google · 4-7 -1.8u	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u	38% Draw-Draw V	35% Draw ~2.48 L	55% No ~1.55 L	60% Under ~1.69 L	52% Czech Republic ~5.29 L	52% Czech Republic +0.5 ~3.49 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 38% Draw-Draw Given the expected tightness of the match and the tactical approaches of both teams, it's probable that the game will be a cagey affair, esp... Unlock reasoning · Pro 10 sources cited Match winner ? 35% Draw The head-to-head record between these two nations is perfectly balanced, with one win, one draw, and one loss each in their previous three m... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.48 Edge: -5.3% 10 sources cited Both teams to score ? 55% No While South Korea has attacking talent and Czech Republic has shown goal-scoring ability, their recent defensive performances and tactical a... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.55 10 sources cited Over / Under ? 60% Under While both teams have attacking threats, their recent defensive performances suggest a tendency towards tighter games. South Korea, despite... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.69 10 sources cited Spread ? 52% Czech Republic Czech Republic has shown a more consistent and resilient recent form compared to South Korea, who have experienced significant defeats again... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 5.29 10 sources cited Asian handicap ? 52% Czech Republic +0.5 Given the closely matched nature of the two teams and their respective forms, it's likely that this game will be a tight affair. Czech Repub... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.49 10 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u	25% draw/draw V	35% Draw ~3.20 L	55% no ~1.55 L	60% under ~1.62 L	30% South Korea ~5.29 V	55% away +0.25 ~3.49 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 25% draw/draw Most likely outcome is a draw at halftime and full time, given even strength and cautious approach. Other combinations less probable. Unlock reasoning · Pro Match winner ? 35% Draw Training data through 2023. South Korea and Czech Republic are evenly matched based on historical strength and recent performances. The draw... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.20 Edge: +3.8% Both teams to score ? 55% no Given the low-scoring nature of both teams and the importance of not losing the opener, both teams may fail to score. However, some attackin... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.55 Over / Under ? 60% under Both teams have historically averaged fewer than 2.5 goals per game in recent major tournaments. Defensive organization is prioritized in gr... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.62 Spread ? 30% South Korea Spread of -1 for home team means South Korea must win by 2+ goals. Given even odds, this is unlikely. The prediction is a pass, but we pick... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 5.29 Asian handicap ? 55% away +0.25 Asian handicap +0.25 for Czech Republic gives half win on draw and full win on away win. Given even matchup, this offers value as draw yield... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.49
Consensus	Draw-Draw 1/4	Draw 3/4	No 2/4	under 2/4	South Korea 2/4	South Korea 1/4
Bookmaker line	—	South Korea 23%	—	2.5 · Over 45%	South Korea 0.0	—

Ⓟ

Polymarket: tournament odds

Implied probability · live

What real money is betting on each team to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy.

South Korea

to win World Cup

0.4%

Czech Republic

to win World Cup

0.2%

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Bookmaker odds

51 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted

Book	South Korea	Draw	Czech Republic
Pinnacle ↗	4.42	1.49	6.63
Draftkings ↗	1.14	6.00	51.00
Fanduel ↗	1.13	5.70	36.00
Betmgm	3.10	1.91	4.20
William Hill	2.45	2.90	3.00
Betfair Exchange UK	1.18	6.80	70.00
Betfair Exchange EU	1.18	6.80	75.00
Betanysports	2.59	3.07	2.98
Betclic FR	1.11	5.10	35.00
Betfair UK	2.38	2.63	2.80
Betfred	2.60	3.10	2.80
BetOnline	2.59	3.12	3.10
Betrivers	1.09	6.75	36.00
Betsson	1.12	5.80	43.00
Betus	2.60	3.10	2.95
Betvictor	1.13	6.00	34.00
Betway	1.13	6.50	29.00
Bovada	1.14	5.50	51.00
Boylesports	1.14	6.50	51.00
Casumo	1.11	7.50	46.00
Codere It	2.60	3.05	3.00
Coolbet	1.15	6.50	72.00
Coral	1.12	6.00	41.00
Everygame	2.60	3.05	2.95
Fanatics	1.16	6.00	61.00
Grosvenor	1.10	6.75	36.00
Gtbets	2.65	3.09	2.92
Ladbrokes	1.11	6.50	41.00
Leovegas	1.10	6.25	34.00
Leovegas Se	1.08	6.50	34.00
Livescorebet	1.10	6.50	34.00
LowVig	2.63	3.11	3.05
Marathonbet	6.80	1.21	7.20
Matchbook	1.19	6.60	65.00
MyBookie	1.15	5.25	13.75
Nordicbet	1.12	5.80	47.00
Onexbet	2.46	3.15	3.25
Paddy Power	1.12	5.50	41.00
Pmu	1.08	6.25	34.00
Skybet	1.14	5.00	51.00
Smarkets	1.17	6.20	64.94
Sport888	1.12	6.00	41.00
Tipico	1.15	5.00	50.00
Unibet	2.60	3.15	3.00
Unibet Nl	1.12	7.00	41.00
Unibet Se	1.11	7.50	46.00
Unibet	2.60	3.00	2.88
Virginbet	1.10	6.75	36.00
Williamhill	1.16	5.50	36.00
Winamax	1.12	5.80	42.00
Winamax	1.14	5.70	44.00

Book	Line	Over	Under
Pinnacle ↗	1.0	1.97	1.91
Betmgm	0.5	1.53	2.30
William Hill	2.5	2.20	1.62
Betanysports	1.5	1.37	3.10
BetOnline	2.5	2.21	1.73
Betrivers	0.5	1.61	2.14
Betsson	0.5	1.52	2.28
Betus	2.0	1.67	2.30
Bovada	0.5	1.54	2.52
Casumo	0.5	1.65	2.18
Codere It	2.5	2.10	1.63
Coolbet	0.5	1.60	2.35
Grosvenor	0.5	1.63	2.16
Gtbets	2.5	2.25	1.64
Leovegas	0.5	1.60	2.12
LowVig	2.0	1.65	2.36
Matchbook	0.5	1.65	2.50
MyBookie	0.5	1.50	2.15
Nordicbet	0.5	1.52	2.28
Onexbet	2.5	2.18	1.73
Pmu	0.5	1.56	2.07
Unibet Nl	0.5	1.63	2.20
Unibet Se	0.5	1.65	2.18

Book	South Korea	Czech Republic
Pinnacle ↗	0.0 @ 1.61	0.0 @ 2.45
Betanysports	0.0 @ 1.79	0.0 @ 2.06
BetOnline	0.0 @ 1.77	0.0 @ 2.14
Betus	0.0 @ 1.77	0.0 @ 2.10
Bovada	-1.0 @ 1.91	0.0 @ 2.10
Gtbets	-1.5 @ 5.67	+0.5 @ 1.49
LowVig	0.0 @ 1.79	-0.3 @ 2.55
Matchbook	-0.5 @ 1.18	0.0 @ 2.14
MyBookie	-1.5 @ 4.90	0.0 @ 2.03
Onexbet	0.0 @ 1.75	0.0 @ 2.15

Line movement (h2h)

Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first

Pinnacle

Betanysports

Betclic

Betfair Ex

Betfair Sb

Betfred

Betmgm

Betonlineag

Betrivers

Betsson

Betus

Betvictor

Betway

Bovada

Boylesports

Casumo

Codere It

Coolbet

Coral

Draftkings

Everygame

Fanatics

Fanduel

Grosvenor

Gtbets

Ladbrokes

Leovegas

Leovegas Se

Livescorebet

Lowvig

Marathonbet

Matchbook

Mybookieag

Nordicbet

Onexbet

Paddypower

Pmu

Skybet

Smarkets

Sport888

Tipico

Unibet

Unibet Nl

Unibet Se

Unibet

Virginbet

Williamhill

Winamax

South Korea Czech Republic

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
0 tool calls · 8 sources

8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
DeepSeek V3
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Grok 4 Fast
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
GPT-4o Mini
6 tool calls · 5 sources

5 citations captured — unlock with Pro

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