ShortavsAl Shouleh
Shorta 2–0 Al Shouleh
All 6 AIs backed Shorta — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Shorta 6/6
- Correct calls
- 6/6
- Final
- 2–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
No 3/6 models |
Over 2.5 2/6 models |
Shorta / Shorta 5/6 models |
Shorta -1 3/6 models |
Shorta -0.5 3/6 models |
Shorta 6/6 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
56%
No
W
|
58%
Under 2.5
W
|
48%
Shorta / Shorta |
54%
Shorta -1
W
|
60%
Shorta -0.5
W
|
62%
Shorta
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
No Both teams to score requires each side to breach the opposing defence at least once. Empirically, BTTS occurs in roughly 40–45% of matches i...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 Without access to current team xG, shot volume, or defensive metrics, I default to the empirical finding that approximately 45–50% of domest...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Shorta / Shorta Half-time/full-time Shorta–Shorta (home leading at both intervals) is the single most likely scoreline outcome in a typical home-favourite f...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
Shorta -1 A -1 spread for the home side reflects standard bookmaker pricing where home teams are expected to win by roughly one goal on average. Short...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Shorta -0.5 Asian handicap at -0.5 for Shorta is a marginal home favourite positioned between pick-the-winner and -1 spread territory. This aligns with...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Shorta Shorta plays at home in Tishreen Stadium, which typically confers a 3–5% win-probability advantage. Without live team sheets or recent form... |
|||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
yes
L
|
55%
over
L
|
47%
Shorta / Shorta |
58%
Shorta
W
|
56%
Shorta -1
W
|
62%
Shorta
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Both teams have shown attacking intent in past encounters with Shorta conceding at home. Al Shouleh can score on the counter. Training data...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Matches involving Shorta often feature open play leading to multiple goals. Limited recent data suggests average scoring above 2.5 in compar...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
47%
Shorta / Shorta Shorta likely to control from the start and maintain lead. Historical patterns show home teams often secure HT/FT wins in such games. Traini...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Shorta Shorta expected to win by multiple goals given quality gap. Historical results favor home side covering -1 spread. Training data through 202...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
Shorta -1 Shorta favored to win by at least one goal margin in this matchup. Away side rarely competitive on the road. Training data through 2023 supp...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Shorta Shorta is the stronger side at home in this Syrian league fixture based on historical performance patterns. Al Shouleh typically struggles a... |
|||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
No
W
|
55%
Over 2.5
L
|
45%
Shorta / Shorta |
50%
Shorta -1 (Win) |
50%
Shorta -1.0 (Win) |
70%
Shorta
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Given Shorta's historical defensive solidity against lower-ranked teams and Al Shouleh's general struggles to score against top-half opposit...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Historically, stronger teams like Shorta often score multiple goals against weaker opposition in the Syrian Premier League. While Al Shouleh...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Shorta / Shorta Given Shorta's overall superiority and expectation to dominate the match from the start, it is highly probable they will lead at half-time a...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Shorta -1 (Win) Shorta is expected to win this match convincingly against Al Shouleh, based on their historical dominance. A win by at least two goals for S...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Shorta -1.0 (Win) This market is effectively identical to the spreads_-1 market, indicating a one-goal handicap for the home team. Shorta is historically much...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Shorta Based on historical performance in the Syrian Premier League, Shorta has consistently been a stronger team than Al Shouleh. Playing at a hom... |
|||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
58%
yes
L
|
55%
over
L
|
52%
home_home |
55%
Shorta
W
|
55%
home_ -0.75 |
65%
Shorta
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals in recent matches according to my training data. Shorta's offensive capabilities at home c...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over My training data indicates that matches involving Shorta often tend to be relatively high-scoring, especially when playing at home. Al Shoul...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
home_home Based on my training data, Shorta typically starts matches strongly at home and maintains that dominance throughout. The historical tendency...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Shorta Considering Shorta's historical strength at home and their general tendency to win by more than one goal against teams like Al Shouleh, they...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ -0.75 Given Shorta's perceived superiority at home and against Al Shouleh, a handicap of -0.75 for the home team seems reasonable. This bet wins i...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Shorta Based on my training data, Shorta generally holds a stronger historical record and performs better at home compared to Al Shouleh. This sugg... |
|||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
53%
Yes
L
|
55%
Over 2.5
L
|
35%
Shorta / Shorta |
30%
Shorta -1
W
|
60%
Shorta -0.5
W
|
62%
Shorta
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
Yes Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 H2H encounters. Al Shouleh can counterattack, but Shorta's defense is not impregnable. Uncertainty...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Recent head-to-head matches often feature over 2.5 goals, with both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities. Training data suggests Shorta t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Shorta / Shorta Shorta often starts strong at home, leading at halftime in many H2H matches. However, leads can be narrow and second-half comebacks occur oc...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Shorta -1 While Shorta is expected to win, covering a -1 spread requires a two-goal margin. Historical margins in this fixture are often narrow (1-goa...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Shorta -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 aligns with a straight home win, which historical form favors. Shorta's home advantage and better quality make this a lo...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Shorta Shorta (home) historically dominates Al Shouleh in head-to-head matchups, especially at Tishreen Stadium. Training data through 2025-09 indi... |
|||||||
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
No
W
Both teams to score requires each side to breach the opposing defence at least once. Empirically, BTTS occurs in roughly 40–45% of matches i...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
L
Both teams have shown attacking intent in past encounters with Shorta conceding at home. Al Shouleh can score on the counter. Training data...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
No
W
Given Shorta's historical defensive solidity against lower-ranked teams and Al Shouleh's general struggles to score against top-half opposit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
L
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals in recent matches according to my training data. Shorta's offensive capabilities at home c...
DeepSeek V3
53%
Yes
L
Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 H2H encounters. Al Shouleh can counterattack, but Shorta's defense is not impregnable. Uncertainty...
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 2.5 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Under 2.5
W
Without access to current team xG, shot volume, or defensive metrics, I default to the empirical finding that approximately 45–50% of domest...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
L
Matches involving Shorta often feature open play leading to multiple goals. Limited recent data suggests average scoring above 2.5 in compar...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 2.5
L
Historically, stronger teams like Shorta often score multiple goals against weaker opposition in the Syrian Premier League. While Al Shouleh...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
L
My training data indicates that matches involving Shorta often tend to be relatively high-scoring, especially when playing at home. Al Shoul...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 2.5
L
Recent head-to-head matches often feature over 2.5 goals, with both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities. Training data suggests Shorta t...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusShorta / Shorta 5/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
Shorta / Shorta
Half-time/full-time Shorta–Shorta (home leading at both intervals) is the single most likely scoreline outcome in a typical home-favourite f...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
47%
Shorta / Shorta
Shorta likely to control from the start and maintain lead. Historical patterns show home teams often secure HT/FT wins in such games. Traini...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Shorta / Shorta
Given Shorta's overall superiority and expectation to dominate the match from the start, it is highly probable they will lead at half-time a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
home_home
Based on my training data, Shorta typically starts matches strongly at home and maintains that dominance throughout. The historical tendency...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Shorta / Shorta
Shorta often starts strong at home, leading at halftime in many H2H matches. However, leads can be narrow and second-half comebacks occur oc...
Spread
ConsensusShorta -1 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Shorta -1
W
A -1 spread for the home side reflects standard bookmaker pricing where home teams are expected to win by roughly one goal on average. Short...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Shorta
W
Shorta expected to win by multiple goals given quality gap. Historical results favor home side covering -1 spread. Training data through 202...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Shorta -1 (Win)
Shorta is expected to win this match convincingly against Al Shouleh, based on their historical dominance. A win by at least two goals for S...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Shorta
W
Considering Shorta's historical strength at home and their general tendency to win by more than one goal against teams like Al Shouleh, they...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Shorta -1
W
While Shorta is expected to win, covering a -1 spread requires a two-goal margin. Historical margins in this fixture are often narrow (1-goa...
Asian handicap
ConsensusShorta -0.5 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
60%
Shorta -0.5
W
Asian handicap at -0.5 for Shorta is a marginal home favourite positioned between pick-the-winner and -1 spread territory. This aligns with...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
56%
Shorta -1
W
Shorta favored to win by at least one goal margin in this matchup. Away side rarely competitive on the road. Training data through 2023 supp...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Shorta -1.0 (Win)
This market is effectively identical to the spreads_-1 market, indicating a one-goal handicap for the home team. Shorta is historically much...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
home_ -0.75
Given Shorta's perceived superiority at home and against Al Shouleh, a handicap of -0.75 for the home team seems reasonable. This bet wins i...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Shorta -0.5
W
Asian handicap -0.5 aligns with a straight home win, which historical form favors. Shorta's home advantage and better quality make this a lo...
Match winner
ConsensusShorta 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Shorta
W
Shorta plays at home in Tishreen Stadium, which typically confers a 3–5% win-probability advantage. Without live team sheets or recent form...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Shorta
W
Shorta is the stronger side at home in this Syrian league fixture based on historical performance patterns. Al Shouleh typically struggles a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Shorta
W
Based on historical performance in the Syrian Premier League, Shorta has consistently been a stronger team than Al Shouleh. Playing at a hom...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Shorta
W
Based on my training data, Shorta generally holds a stronger historical record and performs better at home compared to Al Shouleh. This sugg...
DeepSeek V3
62%
Shorta
W
Shorta (home) historically dominates Al Shouleh in head-to-head matchups, especially at Tishreen Stadium. Training data through 2025-09 indi...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Shorta
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Shorta
Claude Haiku 4.5
Shorta
Grok 4 Fast
Shorta
DeepSeek V3
Shorta
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Shorta
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
66550b13ef4bb88a…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Jun 13 · 13:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1176,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Tishreen Stadium",
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-13T13:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 13 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Al Shouleh",
"home": "Shorta"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-12T18:45:11+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.