Saudi ArabiavsUruguay
Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay
All 11 AIs backed Uruguay — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Uruguay 11/11
- Correct calls
- 0/11
- Final
- 1–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena7 markets · 11 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
book: Saudi Arabia +1.0 |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Uruguay 66% |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
book: 2.5 · Over 51% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
No 9/11 models |
Uruguay / Uruguay 9/11 models |
Uruguay 7/11 models |
Uruguay -1.25 4/11 models |
0-1 2/6 models |
Uruguay 11/11 models |
Under 5/11 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | — | — | Saudi Arabia +1.0 | — | — | Uruguay 66% | 2.5 · Over 51% | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
62%
No
~1.54
L
|
36%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
|
55%
Saudi Arabia +1
~2.42
W
|
66%
Saudi Arabia +1.5
~1.83
W
|
18%
0-1
L
|
66%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
58%
Under
~1.81
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
No Saudi Arabia are unlikely to score against Uruguay's elite center-back pairing of Ronald Araújo and José María Giménez. Saudi's recent attac...
Odds: 1.54
Edge: -2.9%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
36%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay-Uruguay is the modal outcome given they're heavy favorites. However, opener nerves and Saudi's deep block raise the chance of a goal...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Saudi Arabia +1 Uruguay are clear favorites but winning by 2+ goals is a different proposition - the books expect a controlled, low-scoring afternoon rather...
Odds: 2.42
Edge: +13.7%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
66%
Saudi Arabia +1.5 For Uruguay to cover -1.5 they need to win by 2+ goals. Given Uruguay's recent scoring issues, Saudi Arabia's compact defensive setup, and t...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +11.4%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
0-1 1-0 Uruguay (recorded as 0-1 home-away) is the most likely scoreline given Uruguay's recent low-scoring form, Saudi Arabia's deep defensive...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
66%
Uruguay Uruguay are heavy favorites with a squad packed with European-based stars like Valverde, Núñez and Araújo, while Saudi Arabia rely on a dome...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -2.0%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under The books expect a controlled, low-scoring afternoon rather than a rout, with under 2.5 priced around 1.78-1.85. Uruguay have struggled to s...
Odds: 1.81
Edge: +2.8%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
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|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
55%
No
~1.54
L
|
28%
Draw / Uruguay
L
|
52%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
|
45%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.20
L
|
16%
1-0
L
|
63%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
53%
Under 2.5
~1.83
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Saudi Arabia's attacking quality is limited at the international level, and Uruguay under Bielsa typically defend well in structured setups....
Odds: 1.54
Edge: -9.9%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Uruguay World Cup group openers typically start cautiously, with teams feeling each other out. Uruguay are likely to be patient and break down Saudi...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Uruguay -1 Uruguay's superior quality should see them win, and the question is whether they win by 2 or more. The class gap is significant — Uruguay ha...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -6.5%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Uruguay -1.25 At -1.25, Uruguay need to win by 2 goals for a full payout, with a 1-goal win returning half. Given that Uruguay's recent matches have been...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: -0.5%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
1-0 The 2018 WC meeting ended 1-0 to Uruguay and the pattern of tight, controlled Bielsa wins points to a narrow Uruguay victory. A 1-0 scorelin...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
63%
Uruguay Uruguay are the far superior side with Bielsa's tactical structure, world-class players like Valverde and Núñez, and a strong recent run of...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -5.0%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Under 2.5 Uruguay tend to play low-scoring games under Bielsa — only 2 of their last 7 produced more than 2 goals. Their 2018 WC meeting ended 1-0. Ho...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: -1.6%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
|
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|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
60%
No
~1.54
L
|
45%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
|
52%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
|
53%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
|
— |
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
57%
Under 2.5
~1.83
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Saudi Arabia scoring against Uruguay's compact defensive unit is far from guaranteed. Uruguay's defense has historically been one of the sti...
Odds: 1.54
Edge: -4.9%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay winning at both half time and full time (Away/Away) is the most likely single HT/FT outcome given their overall superiority. Strong...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Uruguay -1 Uruguay winning by 2 or more goals is achievable given the quality gap, but World Cup group stage games are rarely one-sided blowouts as def...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -6.5%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Uruguay -1 On the Asian Handicap at -1, Uruguay need to win by 2+ goals to win the bet, with a win by exactly 1 typically resulting in a push/half-stak...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -5.5%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Uruguay Uruguay are a significantly stronger footballing nation with a World Cup pedigree, featuring quality players like Nunez, Valverde, and Benta...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -0.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
Under 2.5 Uruguay under Marcelo Bielsa (or successor) have historically been defensively disciplined, and Saudi Arabia typically set up to frustrate s...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +2.4%
|
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
64%
No
~1.54
L
|
52%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
|
62%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
|
60%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.20
L
|
— |
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
58%
Under 2.5
~1.83
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
64%
No Saudi Arabia is unlikely to generate sufficient attacking threat against a defensively organized Uruguay. While Uruguay will create chances...
Odds: 1.54
Edge: -0.9%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay leading at halftime and winning at full-time is the most likely scenario given their superiority. A 1–0 or 2–0 halftime lead convert...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
62%
Uruguay Uruguay winning by at least 2 goals (cover -1 spread) aligns with the skill and tournament experience gap. Bookmaker prices around 1.68–1.71...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: +3.5%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Uruguay -1.25 Asian handicap at -1.25 (priced ~2.08) represents a split between -1 and -1.5 spreads, balancing the high likelihood of a 2+ goal Uruguay wi...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +14.6%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Uruguay Uruguay is a perennial World Cup contender with strong technical quality, while Saudi Arabia has historically struggled against elite teams...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -0.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 Bookmaker consensus leans Under with prices around 1.78–1.85, suggesting market expects tight, lower-scoring play. Early-round World Cup mat...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +3.4%
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
54%
Yes
~2.84
W
|
30%
Draw / Uruguay
L
|
56%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
|
50%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.20
L
|
28%
0-1
L
|
70%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
62%
Under 2.5
~1.83
W
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
Yes Both teams have credible attacking threats — Saudi with Salem Al‑Dawsari/Musab Al‑Juwayr and Uruguay with Darwin Núñez — so both finding the...
Odds: 2.84
Edge: +18.8%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Uruguay Openers frequently show a first-half feeling-out period (draw HT) followed by the stronger side breaking through later; Uruguay are the like...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
56%
Uruguay Uruguay are favoured to win by at least one goal; the market prices (around 1.70) suggest a single-goal margin is the likeliest winning scen...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -2.5%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Uruguay -1.25 A -1.25 Asian line balances reward and risk: Uruguay have enough quality to win by a goal and possibly two, but Saudi can keep the score clo...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +4.5%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
28%
0-1 The likeliest precise outcome is a narrow Uruguay win (0-1) given defensive emphasis and Uruguay's ability to nick a goal; 1-1 and 0-0 are t...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Uruguay Bookmakers and model guides make Uruguay clear favourites; they bring higher-quality midfield and forward options (Valverde, Ugarte, Darwin...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: +2.0%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 2.5 Openers at major tournaments are often cautious; Uruguay's structure under Bielsa and Saudi's tendency to invite pressure make a low-scoring...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +7.4%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
70%
No
~1.54
L
|
55%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
|
60%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
|
60%
Uruguay
~1.23
|
50%
2-0
L
|
75%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
65%
Under
~1.81
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
No Uruguay's strong defense and Saudi Arabia's limited attacking prowess suggest a clean sheet for Uruguay. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka....
Odds: 1.54
Edge: +5.1%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay is expected to dominate from the start, maintaining control throughout the match. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/us/news/wor...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Uruguay Uruguay's superior squad depth and quality are likely to secure a win by at least one goal. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/us/news/w...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: +1.5%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Uruguay Uruguay's superior squad depth and quality are likely to secure a win by at least one goal. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/us/news/w...
Odds: 1.23
Edge: -21.3%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
50%
2-0 A 2-0 victory for Uruguay is the most likely outcome, given their superior squad and expected dominance. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka....
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Uruguay Uruguay's squad boasts players from top European clubs, providing a significant quality advantage over Saudi Arabia's domestically-based tea...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: +7.0%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Under Both teams are expected to play cautiously in the opening match, leading to a low-scoring game. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/us/ne...
Odds: 1.81
Edge: +9.8%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
61%
No
~1.54
L
|
49%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
|
59%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
|
57%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
|
— |
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
53%
Under
~1.81
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
61%
No Saudi Arabia average under 0.8 goals per game against top opposition. Uruguay's organized defense limits clear chances for weaker teams. Exp...
Odds: 1.54
Edge: -3.9%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
49%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay are expected to take an early lead and maintain control through the second half. Historical patterns show favored South American tea...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
59%
Uruguay Uruguay should win by more than one goal given the quality gap. Consensus spread price of 1.71 implies about 58 percent probability for Urug...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: +0.5%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
Uruguay -1 Asian handicap removes the draw and still heavily favors Uruguay. The 1.71 price on Uruguay -1 aligns with expected goal differential of rou...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -1.5%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Uruguay Uruguay are significantly stronger on paper with better squad depth and historical pedigree in World Cup matches. Saudi Arabia have struggle...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -0.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Under World Cup group-stage openers between mismatched sides often stay under 2.5 goals. Uruguay tend to control games without running up large sc...
Odds: 1.81
Edge: -2.2%
|
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
62%
no
~1.54
L
|
45%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
|
48%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
|
50%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.20
L
|
18%
0-2
L
|
69%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
55%
under
~1.81
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
no Uruguay's defense, marshalled by players like Ronald Araújo, is a formidable unit that will be difficult for Saudi Arabia to break down. Sau...
Odds: 1.54
Edge: -2.9%
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay is expected to assert dominance early in the match and should aim to take the lead before halftime. Given their superior quality, if...
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Uruguay Uruguay's offensive talent suggests they are more than capable of winning by a multi-goal margin. A -1 spread means they need to win by at l...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -10.5%
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Uruguay -1.25 This feels like a match Uruguay should control and win comfortably, likely by two goals. Taking the -1.25 handicap offers a decent price on...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +4.5%
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
0-2 A clean-sheet victory for Uruguay is the most logical outcome. A 2-0 scoreline reflects their superiority without being an overwhelming rout...
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
69%
Uruguay Uruguay possesses a far superior squad with world-class talent like Federico Valverde and Darwin Núñez, and they have been impressive in the...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: +1.0%
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under World Cup opening matches can often be tense and low-scoring affairs as teams feel each other out. Uruguay's defense is typically well-organ...
Odds: 1.81
Edge: -0.2%
5 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
No
~1.54
L
|
55%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
|
60%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
|
58%
Uruguay -1.5
~2.20
L
|
— |
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
52%
Over 2.5
~2.20
L
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Uruguay typically maintains a solid defensive structure, especially against teams considered weaker in attack. Saudi Arabia has historically...
Odds: 1.54
Edge: +0.1%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Uruguay / Uruguay Given Uruguay's status as the strong favorite, they are expected to assert dominance early in the match, likely leading by half-time. They s...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Uruguay Given Uruguay's superior quality and the expectation of a comfortable win, it's highly probable they will secure a victory by at least two g...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: +1.5%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Uruguay -1.5 Uruguay's technical superiority and offensive capabilities make them likely to win this match convincingly. A victory by at least a two-goal...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +12.6%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Uruguay Uruguay is historically a stronger footballing nation with a more consistent record in major tournaments compared to Saudi Arabia. Based on...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -0.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over 2.5 Uruguay is expected to be dominant and capable of scoring multiple goals against Saudi Arabia. If they establish an early lead and continue...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +6.5%
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
No
~1.54
L
|
50%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
|
70%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
|
75%
Uruguay
~1.23
|
15%
2-0
L
|
80%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
60%
Under
~1.81
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Given Uruguay's defensive capabilities and Saudi Arabia's tendency to be more defensive against stronger opposition, it's likely that at lea...
Odds: 1.54
Edge: -9.9%
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay is expected to assert dominance from the start and maintain control throughout the match, leading to a half-time and full-time win....
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Uruguay Uruguay is expected to win by at least one goal, given their superior squad quality and historical performance. They have the ability to con...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: +11.5%
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
75%
Uruguay Uruguay is a significantly stronger team and is expected to win this match comfortably. Their offensive and defensive capabilities should se...
Odds: 1.23
Edge: -6.3%
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-0 Uruguay is the stronger team and is expected to win, likely keeping a clean sheet given their defensive capabilities. A 2-0 scoreline reflec...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
80%
Uruguay Uruguay is a historically stronger footballing nation with a better World Cup pedigree. While Saudi Arabia has improved, Uruguay's experienc...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: +12.0%
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under Uruguay often adopts a pragmatic approach, focusing on defensive solidity, which can lead to lower-scoring games. Saudi Arabia's attacking o...
Odds: 1.81
Edge: +4.8%
3 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
60%
No
~1.54
L
|
55%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
|
55%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
|
55%
Uruguay -1.0
~1.71
L
|
— |
70%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
|
55%
Under
~1.81
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Given Uruguay's defensive strength and Saudi Arabia's struggle to score against top teams, it's more likely that only one side scores. Saudi...
Odds: 1.54
Edge: -4.9%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay is the stronger team and likely to take an early lead, maintaining it throughout the match. They have a tendency to control games fr...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Uruguay -1 Uruguay is strong enough to win by at least one goal, but Saudi Arabia's defense can keep the margin narrow. The spread at -1 is balanced, b...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -3.5%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Uruguay -1.0 Similar to spreads, Uruguay is expected to win by one or more goals. The Asian handicap -1.0 pushes if Uruguay wins by exactly one, but give...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -3.5%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Uruguay Uruguay has a much stronger squad overall, with key players like Valverde and Darwin Núñez, while Saudi Arabia's best asset is their defensi...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: +2.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under Saudi Arabia typically plays a compact defensive style, especially against stronger opponents, which can limit goal-scoring opportunities. U...
Odds: 1.81
Edge: -0.2%
|
||||||||
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 9/11
Claude Opus 4.7
62%
No
~1.54
L
Saudi Arabia are unlikely to score against Uruguay's elite center-back pairing of Ronald Araújo and José María Giménez. Saudi's recent attac...
Claude Opus 4.6
55%
No
~1.54
L
Saudi Arabia's attacking quality is limited at the international level, and Uruguay under Bielsa typically defend well in structured setups....
Claude Sonnet 4.6
60%
No
~1.54
L
Saudi Arabia scoring against Uruguay's compact defensive unit is far from guaranteed. Uruguay's defense has historically been one of the sti...
Claude Haiku 4.5
64%
No
~1.54
L
Saudi Arabia is unlikely to generate sufficient attacking threat against a defensively organized Uruguay. While Uruguay will create chances...
GPT-5 Mini
54%
Yes
~2.84
W
Both teams have credible attacking threats — Saudi with Salem Al‑Dawsari/Musab Al‑Juwayr and Uruguay with Darwin Núñez — so both finding the...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
No
~1.54
L
Uruguay's strong defense and Saudi Arabia's limited attacking prowess suggest a clean sheet for Uruguay. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka....
Grok 4 Fast
61%
No
~1.54
L
Saudi Arabia average under 0.8 goals per game against top opposition. Uruguay's organized defense limits clear chances for weaker teams. Exp...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
62%
no
~1.54
L
Uruguay's defense, marshalled by players like Ronald Araújo, is a formidable unit that will be difficult for Saudi Arabia to break down. Sau...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
No
~1.54
L
Uruguay typically maintains a solid defensive structure, especially against teams considered weaker in attack. Saudi Arabia has historically...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
No
~1.54
L
Given Uruguay's defensive capabilities and Saudi Arabia's tendency to be more defensive against stronger opposition, it's likely that at lea...
DeepSeek V3
60%
No
~1.54
L
Given Uruguay's defensive strength and Saudi Arabia's struggle to score against top teams, it's more likely that only one side scores. Saudi...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusUruguay / Uruguay 9/11
Claude Opus 4.7
36%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
Uruguay-Uruguay is the modal outcome given they're heavy favorites. However, opener nerves and Saudi's deep block raise the chance of a goal...
Claude Opus 4.6
28%
Draw / Uruguay
L
World Cup group openers typically start cautiously, with teams feeling each other out. Uruguay are likely to be patient and break down Saudi...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
45%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
Uruguay winning at both half time and full time (Away/Away) is the most likely single HT/FT outcome given their overall superiority. Strong...
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
Uruguay leading at halftime and winning at full-time is the most likely scenario given their superiority. A 1–0 or 2–0 halftime lead convert...
GPT-5 Mini
30%
Draw / Uruguay
L
Openers frequently show a first-half feeling-out period (draw HT) followed by the stronger side breaking through later; Uruguay are the like...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
Uruguay is expected to dominate from the start, maintaining control throughout the match. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/us/news/wor...
Grok 4 Fast
49%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
Uruguay are expected to take an early lead and maintain control through the second half. Historical patterns show favored South American tea...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
45%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
Uruguay is expected to assert dominance early in the match and should aim to take the lead before halftime. Given their superior quality, if...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
Given Uruguay's status as the strong favorite, they are expected to assert dominance early in the match, likely leading by half-time. They s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
Uruguay is expected to assert dominance from the start and maintain control throughout the match, leading to a half-time and full-time win....
DeepSeek V3
55%
Uruguay / Uruguay
L
Uruguay is the stronger team and likely to take an early lead, maintaining it throughout the match. They have a tendency to control games fr...
Spread
ConsensusUruguay 7/11
Claude Opus 4.7
55%
Saudi Arabia +1
~2.42
W
Uruguay are clear favorites but winning by 2+ goals is a different proposition - the books expect a controlled, low-scoring afternoon rather...
Claude Opus 4.6
52%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
Uruguay's superior quality should see them win, and the question is whether they win by 2 or more. The class gap is significant — Uruguay ha...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
52%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
Uruguay winning by 2 or more goals is achievable given the quality gap, but World Cup group stage games are rarely one-sided blowouts as def...
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
Uruguay winning by at least 2 goals (cover -1 spread) aligns with the skill and tournament experience gap. Bookmaker prices around 1.68–1.71...
GPT-5 Mini
56%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
Uruguay are favoured to win by at least one goal; the market prices (around 1.70) suggest a single-goal margin is the likeliest winning scen...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
Uruguay's superior squad depth and quality are likely to secure a win by at least one goal. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/us/news/w...
Grok 4 Fast
59%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
Uruguay should win by more than one goal given the quality gap. Consensus spread price of 1.71 implies about 58 percent probability for Urug...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
48%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
Uruguay's offensive talent suggests they are more than capable of winning by a multi-goal margin. A -1 spread means they need to win by at l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
Given Uruguay's superior quality and the expectation of a comfortable win, it's highly probable they will secure a victory by at least two g...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
Uruguay
~1.71
L
Uruguay is expected to win by at least one goal, given their superior squad quality and historical performance. They have the ability to con...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
Uruguay is strong enough to win by at least one goal, but Saudi Arabia's defense can keep the margin narrow. The spread at -1 is balanced, b...
Bookmaker line: Saudi Arabia +1.0
Asian handicap
ConsensusUruguay -1.25 4/11
Claude Opus 4.7
66%
Saudi Arabia +1.5
~1.83
W
For Uruguay to cover -1.5 they need to win by 2+ goals. Given Uruguay's recent scoring issues, Saudi Arabia's compact defensive setup, and t...
Claude Opus 4.6
45%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.20
L
At -1.25, Uruguay need to win by 2 goals for a full payout, with a 1-goal win returning half. Given that Uruguay's recent matches have been...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
53%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
On the Asian Handicap at -1, Uruguay need to win by 2+ goals to win the bet, with a win by exactly 1 typically resulting in a push/half-stak...
Claude Haiku 4.5
60%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.20
L
Asian handicap at -1.25 (priced ~2.08) represents a split between -1 and -1.5 spreads, balancing the high likelihood of a 2+ goal Uruguay wi...
GPT-5 Mini
50%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.20
L
A -1.25 Asian line balances reward and risk: Uruguay have enough quality to win by a goal and possibly two, but Saudi can keep the score clo...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Uruguay
~1.23
Uruguay's superior squad depth and quality are likely to secure a win by at least one goal. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/us/news/w...
Grok 4 Fast
57%
Uruguay -1
~1.71
L
Asian handicap removes the draw and still heavily favors Uruguay. The 1.71 price on Uruguay -1 aligns with expected goal differential of rou...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
50%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.20
L
This feels like a match Uruguay should control and win comfortably, likely by two goals. Taking the -1.25 handicap offers a decent price on...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Uruguay -1.5
~2.20
L
Uruguay's technical superiority and offensive capabilities make them likely to win this match convincingly. A victory by at least a two-goal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Uruguay
~1.23
Uruguay is a significantly stronger team and is expected to win this match comfortably. Their offensive and defensive capabilities should se...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Uruguay -1.0
~1.71
L
Similar to spreads, Uruguay is expected to win by one or more goals. The Asian handicap -1.0 pushes if Uruguay wins by exactly one, but give...
Correct score
Consensus0-1 2/6
Claude Opus 4.7
18%
0-1
L
1-0 Uruguay (recorded as 0-1 home-away) is the most likely scoreline given Uruguay's recent low-scoring form, Saudi Arabia's deep defensive...
Claude Opus 4.6
16%
1-0
L
The 2018 WC meeting ended 1-0 to Uruguay and the pattern of tight, controlled Bielsa wins points to a narrow Uruguay victory. A 1-0 scorelin...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
28%
0-1
L
The likeliest precise outcome is a narrow Uruguay win (0-1) given defensive emphasis and Uruguay's ability to nick a goal; 1-1 and 0-0 are t...
GPT-4o Mini
50%
2-0
L
A 2-0 victory for Uruguay is the most likely outcome, given their superior squad and expected dominance. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka....
Grok 4 Fast
—
Gemini 2.5 Pro
18%
0-2
L
A clean-sheet victory for Uruguay is the most logical outcome. A 2-0 scoreline reflects their superiority without being an overwhelming rout...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-0
L
Uruguay is the stronger team and is expected to win, likely keeping a clean sheet given their defensive capabilities. A 2-0 scoreline reflec...
DeepSeek V3
—
Match winner
ConsensusUruguay 11/11
Claude Opus 4.7
66%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay are heavy favorites with a squad packed with European-based stars like Valverde, Núñez and Araújo, while Saudi Arabia rely on a dome...
Claude Opus 4.6
63%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay are the far superior side with Bielsa's tactical structure, world-class players like Valverde and Núñez, and a strong recent run of...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay are a significantly stronger footballing nation with a World Cup pedigree, featuring quality players like Nunez, Valverde, and Benta...
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay is a perennial World Cup contender with strong technical quality, while Saudi Arabia has historically struggled against elite teams...
GPT-5 Mini
70%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Bookmakers and model guides make Uruguay clear favourites; they bring higher-quality midfield and forward options (Valverde, Ugarte, Darwin...
GPT-4o Mini
75%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay's squad boasts players from top European clubs, providing a significant quality advantage over Saudi Arabia's domestically-based tea...
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay are significantly stronger on paper with better squad depth and historical pedigree in World Cup matches. Saudi Arabia have struggle...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
69%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay possesses a far superior squad with world-class talent like Federico Valverde and Darwin Núñez, and they have been impressive in the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay is historically a stronger footballing nation with a more consistent record in major tournaments compared to Saudi Arabia. Based on...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
80%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay is a historically stronger footballing nation with a better World Cup pedigree. While Saudi Arabia has improved, Uruguay's experienc...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Uruguay
~1.47
L
Uruguay has a much stronger squad overall, with key players like Valverde and Darwin Núñez, while Saudi Arabia's best asset is their defensi...
Bookmaker line: Uruguay 66%
Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 5/11
Claude Opus 4.7
58%
Under
~1.81
W
The books expect a controlled, low-scoring afternoon rather than a rout, with under 2.5 priced around 1.78-1.85. Uruguay have struggled to s...
Claude Opus 4.6
53%
Under 2.5
~1.83
W
Uruguay tend to play low-scoring games under Bielsa — only 2 of their last 7 produced more than 2 goals. Their 2018 WC meeting ended 1-0. Ho...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
57%
Under 2.5
~1.83
W
Uruguay under Marcelo Bielsa (or successor) have historically been defensively disciplined, and Saudi Arabia typically set up to frustrate s...
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Under 2.5
~1.83
W
Bookmaker consensus leans Under with prices around 1.78–1.85, suggesting market expects tight, lower-scoring play. Early-round World Cup mat...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Under 2.5
~1.83
W
Openers at major tournaments are often cautious; Uruguay's structure under Bielsa and Saudi's tendency to invite pressure make a low-scoring...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Under
~1.81
W
Both teams are expected to play cautiously in the opening match, leading to a low-scoring game. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/us/ne...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Under
~1.81
W
World Cup group-stage openers between mismatched sides often stay under 2.5 goals. Uruguay tend to control games without running up large sc...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
55%
under
~1.81
W
World Cup opening matches can often be tense and low-scoring affairs as teams feel each other out. Uruguay's defense is typically well-organ...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Over 2.5
~2.20
L
Uruguay is expected to be dominant and capable of scoring multiple goals against Saudi Arabia. If they establish an early lead and continue...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Under
~1.81
W
Uruguay often adopts a pragmatic approach, focusing on defensive solidity, which can lead to lower-scoring games. Saudi Arabia's attacking o...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under
~1.81
W
Saudi Arabia typically plays a compact defensive style, especially against stronger opponents, which can limit goal-scoring opportunities. U...
Bookmaker line: 2.5 · Over 51%
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Uruguay
GPT-4o Mini
Uruguay
GPT-5 Mini
Uruguay
DeepSeek V3
Uruguay
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Uruguay
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Uruguay
Claude Haiku 4.5
Uruguay
Grok 4 Fast
Uruguay
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Uruguay
Claude Opus 4.7
Uruguay
Claude Opus 4.6
Uruguay
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
51 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Saudi Arabia | Draw | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 8.19 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| Draftkings | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| Fanduel | 7.50 | 4.40 | 1.43 |
| Betmgm | 7.00 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| Betfair Exchange UK | 9.00 | 4.70 | 1.47 |
| Betfair Exchange EU | 9.00 | 4.70 | 1.47 |
| Betanysports | 8.10 | 4.55 | 1.44 |
| Betclic FR | 7.75 | 4.50 | 1.43 |
| Betfair UK | 7.00 | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| Betfred | 8.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| BetOnline | 8.10 | 4.55 | 1.44 |
| Betrivers | 9.00 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Betsson | 8.30 | 4.20 | 1.47 |
| Betus | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| Betvictor | 8.50 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| Betway | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| Bovada | 7.75 | 4.40 | 1.43 |
| Boylesports | 8.00 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| Casumo | 9.00 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Codere It | 7.60 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Coolbet | 8.60 | 4.50 | 1.46 |
| Coral | 7.00 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Everygame | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
| Fanatics | 8.10 | 4.70 | 1.38 |
| Grosvenor | 8.50 | 4.50 | 1.38 |
| Gtbets | 7.35 | 4.34 | 1.44 |
| Ladbrokes | 7.00 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| Leovegas | 9.00 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Leovegas Se | 9.00 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Livescorebet | 8.50 | 4.50 | 1.37 |
| LowVig | 8.10 | 4.55 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 8.50 | 4.45 | 1.43 |
| Matchbook | 9.00 | 4.70 | 1.47 |
| MyBookie | 7.80 | 4.36 | 1.42 |
| Nordicbet | 8.30 | 4.20 | 1.47 |
| Onexbet | 8.40 | 4.47 | 1.46 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| Pmu | 8.50 | 4.50 | 1.36 |
| Skybet | 7.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Smarkets | 8.80 | 4.60 | 1.47 |
| Sport888 | 7.50 | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| Tipico | 8.50 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
| Unibet | 8.00 | 4.60 | 1.43 |
| Unibet Nl | 9.50 | 4.80 | 1.42 |
| Unibet Se | 9.50 | 4.80 | 1.42 |
| Unibet | 7.50 | 4.35 | 1.42 |
| Virginbet | 8.50 | 4.50 | 1.37 |
| Williamhill | 7.50 | 4.30 | 1.43 |
| Winamax | 6.75 | 4.50 | 1.43 |
| Winamax | 6.75 | 4.40 | 1.41 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.3 | 1.83 | 2.08 |
| Betmgm | 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| William Hill | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Betanysports | 3.0 | 2.90 | 1.42 |
| BetOnline | 2.5 | 2.12 | 1.78 |
| Betrivers | 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Betsson | 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Betus | 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Bovada | 2.3 | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| Casumo | 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Codere It | 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.76 |
| Coolbet | 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.84 |
| Grosvenor | 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Gtbets | 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.80 |
| Leovegas | 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| LowVig | 2.5 | 2.12 | 1.78 |
| MyBookie | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.81 |
| Nordicbet | 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Onexbet | 2.5 | 2.03 | 1.81 |
| Pmu | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Unibet Nl | 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Unibet Se | 2.5 | 1.95 | 1.87 |
| Book | Saudi Arabia | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | +1.3 @ 1.86 | -1.3 @ 2.05 |
| Betanysports | +1.0 @ 2.21 | -1.0 @ 1.71 |
| BetOnline | +1.0 @ 2.24 | -1.0 @ 1.71 |
| Betus | +1.0 @ 2.20 | -1.0 @ 1.71 |
| Bovada | +1.3 @ 1.83 | -1.3 @ 2.00 |
| Gtbets | +1.5 @ 1.62 | -1.5 @ 2.27 |
| LowVig | +1.0 @ 2.24 | -1.0 @ 1.71 |
| Matchbook | +1.3 @ 1.87 | -1.3 @ 2.08 |
| MyBookie | +1.0 @ 2.06 | -1.0 @ 1.68 |
| Onexbet | +1.5 @ 1.63 | -1.5 @ 2.31 |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
4eb4b577268980b2…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Jun 15 · 22:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 365,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "FIFA World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-06-15T22:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 15 Jun 2026 22:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Uruguay",
"home": "Saudi Arabia"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T06:38:55+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 1.47,
"draw": 4.8,
"home": 9.5
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.1,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.33,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.38,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.1,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.43,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.6,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.1,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.47,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.47,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.46,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.4,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.33,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.5,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.5,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.43,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.75,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.47,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.3,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.5,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.34,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.35,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.47,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.3,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.43,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.75,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.41,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.75,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.36,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.8,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.33,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.36,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.5,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.1,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.5,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.78,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.12,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.76,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 3,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 3,
"price": 2.9,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.81,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.03,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.98,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.98,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.98,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.81,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.78,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.12,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Over"
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.2,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.24,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.21,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": -1.25,
"price": 2.08,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1.25,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": -1.5,
"price": 2.31,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 1.63,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": -1.5,
"price": 2.27,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.24,
"outcome": "Saudi Arabia"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
7 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
7 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
84 tool calls · 7 sources
7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
21 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.