North TexasvsHouston Dynamo FC II
North Texas 2–3 Houston Dynamo FC II
3 of 4 AIs leaned North Texas — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- North Texas 3/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 2–3
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
1-0 3/4 models |
North Texas 3/4 models |
North Texas -1 1/4 models |
North Texas 0 1/4 models |
Draw / North Texas 1/4 models |
North Texas 3/4 models |
under 2/4 models |
no 3/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
18%
1-0
L
|
62%
North Texas
L
|
48%
North Texas
L
|
62%
North Texas -0.5
L
|
35%
HT: Home / FT: Home
L
|
68%
North Texas
L
|
55%
over
W
|
60%
no
L
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 North Texas are favoured to win, but their high draw rate and moderate scoring profile make low-scoring wins (1-0, 2-0) and draws (1-1, 0-0)...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
North Texas North Texas has moderate home form (1W-3D-1L, 6 scored, 6 conceded) while Houston Dynamo FC II is in poor away form (0W-2D-3L, 3 scored, 9 c...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
North Texas North Texas favoured by -1 but with low confidence; they must win by 2+ goals to cover. While home advantage and Houston's defensive frailty...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
62%
North Texas -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 (0-0 push, win on North Texas victory) aligns with home form edge and Houston's defensive crisis. Less demanding than -1...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
HT: Home / FT: Home HT/FT markets are inherently volatile for teams with mixed form. North Texas's 3 draws suggest scorelines often settle 1-1 at halftime befor...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
North Texas Removing the draw, North Texas is a clear favourite given Houston's weak away record and poor defensive form (9 goals conceded in 5). North...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Combined scoring across both teams in recent form is modest (North Texas 6 in 5, Houston 3 in 5), but Houston's defensive fragility (9 conce...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Houston's poor away form includes 0 wins and only 3 goals scored in 5 matches, suggesting an attack that will struggle to score at Choctaw S... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
1-0
L
|
52%
North Texas
L
|
49%
North Texas -1
L
|
54%
North Texas 0
L
|
28%
Draw / North Texas
L
|
58%
North Texas
L
|
53%
under
L
|
51%
no
L
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low goal expectation from both recent forms points to 1-0 or 0-0. Home defensive edge likely prevails. Training data through 2025-09 confirm...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
North Texas North Texas home form (WDDDL) shows more resilience than Houston's poor away record (LLDDL). Training data through 2025-09 indicates home si...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
North Texas -1 North Texas slight home edge but draws frequent. Houston poor form makes covering +1 likely. Training data through 2025-09 shows these match...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
North Texas 0 Home side better organized per form split. Five rest days each levels fatigue. Training data through 2025-09 supports slight home Asian hand...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / North Texas Games often cagey early with home side improving after HT. Home form supports second-half push. Training data through 2025-09 shows draw/hom...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
North Texas North Texas conceded fewer goals at home and scored more overall. Houston's three losses in last five suggest they struggle on the road. Tra...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both teams average under 3 goals combined in recent matches. Outdoor venue and limited rest may suppress scoring. Training data through 2025...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
no Houston's low scoring away (3 goals in 5) pairs with North Texas defensive home record. Set-piece focus noted in league often leads to clean... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
20%
1-1
L
|
40%
Draw
L
|
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II |
40%
away_ 0.0 |
25%
draw_draw |
45%
Draw
L
|
55%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 Considering the recent form and goal-scoring/conceding records, a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome. Both teams have struggled for...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
Draw Based on the provided recent form, both teams have struggled to secure wins, with Houston Dynamo FC II having no wins in their last 5 matche...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II Given Houston Dynamo FC II's defensive frailties (9 goals conceded in 5 games) and their struggle to win, they are more likely to cover a -1...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
40%
away_ 0.0 The Asian Handicap of 0.0 essentially makes this a draw no bet market. Given the perceived slight edge for Houston to avoid defeat based on...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
draw_draw Given the strong possibility of a draw in the full-time result and the general struggles of both teams to consistently score or maintain a l...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Draw Given the high likelihood of a draw and the even distribution of poor recent form between the two teams, leaning towards a draw with the dra...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over While both teams have struggled for wins, they have also conceded a reasonable number of goals. North Texas has scored 6 and conceded 6 in t...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown a propensity to concede goals in recent matches. Houston has conceded 9 goals in their last 5, and North Texas has con... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
20%
1-0
L
|
45%
North Texas
L
|
60%
away_plus_ 1 |
55%
away_ +0.75 |
20%
draw_home |
55%
North Texas
L
|
52%
under
L
|
53%
no
L
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-0 The most likely outcome seems to be a narrow home win, with 1-0 being the most probable correct score. A 2-1 scoreline also has some chance...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
North Texas Based on training data through early 2025, North Texas and Houston Dynamo II are both developmental teams with inconsistent form. Home advan...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
away_plus_ 1 The spread is home -1, meaning the home team must win by 2+ to cover. Given the competitive nature of MLS Next Pro and the moderate differen...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away_ +0.75 Asian handicap of home -0.75 means the home team needs to win by at least one goal to win the bet fully, with a half loss if they win by exa...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
draw_home Given the expected tight and low-scoring nature, a draw at half-time is plausible, with North Texas pulling ahead in the second half. Howeve...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
North Texas Removing the draw, North Texas appears stronger based on home advantage and better recent form. Houston's away struggles increase the likeli...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
under Both teams have modest scoring and defensive records; North Texas averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, Houston 0.6 scored and 1.8 con...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
no Houston has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, often failing to score. North Texas also has a relatively low scoring rate. The pro... |
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Correct score
Consensus1-0 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
18%
1-0
L
North Texas are favoured to win, but their high draw rate and moderate scoring profile make low-scoring wins (1-0, 2-0) and draws (1-1, 0-0)...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
L
Low goal expectation from both recent forms points to 1-0 or 0-0. Home defensive edge likely prevails. Training data through 2025-09 confirm...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
1-1
L
Considering the recent form and goal-scoring/conceding records, a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome. Both teams have struggled for...
DeepSeek V3
20%
1-0
L
The most likely outcome seems to be a narrow home win, with 1-0 being the most probable correct score. A 2-1 scoreline also has some chance...
Match winner
ConsensusNorth Texas 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
North Texas
L
North Texas has moderate home form (1W-3D-1L, 6 scored, 6 conceded) while Houston Dynamo FC II is in poor away form (0W-2D-3L, 3 scored, 9 c...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
North Texas
L
North Texas home form (WDDDL) shows more resilience than Houston's poor away record (LLDDL). Training data through 2025-09 indicates home si...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw
L
Based on the provided recent form, both teams have struggled to secure wins, with Houston Dynamo FC II having no wins in their last 5 matche...
DeepSeek V3
45%
North Texas
L
Based on training data through early 2025, North Texas and Houston Dynamo II are both developmental teams with inconsistent form. Home advan...
Spread
ConsensusNorth Texas -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
North Texas
L
North Texas favoured by -1 but with low confidence; they must win by 2+ goals to cover. While home advantage and Houston's defensive frailty...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
49%
North Texas -1
L
North Texas slight home edge but draws frequent. Houston poor form makes covering +1 likely. Training data through 2025-09 shows these match...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II
Given Houston Dynamo FC II's defensive frailties (9 goals conceded in 5 games) and their struggle to win, they are more likely to cover a -1...
DeepSeek V3
60%
away_plus_ 1
The spread is home -1, meaning the home team must win by 2+ to cover. Given the competitive nature of MLS Next Pro and the moderate differen...
Asian handicap
ConsensusNorth Texas 0 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
North Texas -0.5
L
Asian handicap -0.5 (0-0 push, win on North Texas victory) aligns with home form edge and Houston's defensive crisis. Less demanding than -1...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
North Texas 0
L
Home side better organized per form split. Five rest days each levels fatigue. Training data through 2025-09 supports slight home Asian hand...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
away_ 0.0
The Asian Handicap of 0.0 essentially makes this a draw no bet market. Given the perceived slight edge for Houston to avoid defeat based on...
DeepSeek V3
55%
away_ +0.75
Asian handicap of home -0.75 means the home team needs to win by at least one goal to win the bet fully, with a half loss if they win by exa...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / North Texas 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
35%
HT: Home / FT: Home
L
HT/FT markets are inherently volatile for teams with mixed form. North Texas's 3 draws suggest scorelines often settle 1-1 at halftime befor...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
28%
Draw / North Texas
L
Games often cagey early with home side improving after HT. Home form supports second-half push. Training data through 2025-09 shows draw/hom...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
draw_draw
Given the strong possibility of a draw in the full-time result and the general struggles of both teams to consistently score or maintain a l...
DeepSeek V3
20%
draw_home
Given the expected tight and low-scoring nature, a draw at half-time is plausible, with North Texas pulling ahead in the second half. Howeve...
Draw no bet
ConsensusNorth Texas 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
North Texas
L
Removing the draw, North Texas is a clear favourite given Houston's weak away record and poor defensive form (9 goals conceded in 5). North...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
North Texas
L
North Texas conceded fewer goals at home and scored more overall. Houston's three losses in last five suggest they struggle on the road. Tra...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
Given the high likelihood of a draw and the even distribution of poor recent form between the two teams, leaning towards a draw with the dra...
DeepSeek V3
55%
North Texas
L
Removing the draw, North Texas appears stronger based on home advantage and better recent form. Houston's away struggles increase the likeli...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
over
W
Combined scoring across both teams in recent form is modest (North Texas 6 in 5, Houston 3 in 5), but Houston's defensive fragility (9 conce...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
L
Both teams average under 3 goals combined in recent matches. Outdoor venue and limited rest may suppress scoring. Training data through 2025...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
While both teams have struggled for wins, they have also conceded a reasonable number of goals. North Texas has scored 6 and conceded 6 in t...
DeepSeek V3
52%
under
L
Both teams have modest scoring and defensive records; North Texas averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, Houston 0.6 scored and 1.8 con...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
60%
no
L
Houston's poor away form includes 0 wins and only 3 goals scored in 5 matches, suggesting an attack that will struggle to score at Choctaw S...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
no
L
Houston's low scoring away (3 goals in 5) pairs with North Texas defensive home record. Set-piece focus noted in league often leads to clean...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
W
Both teams have shown a propensity to concede goals in recent matches. Houston has conceded 9 goals in their last 5, and North Texas has con...
DeepSeek V3
53%
no
L
Houston has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, often failing to score. North Texas also has a relatively low scoring rate. The pro...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
North Texas
Grok 4 Fast
North Texas
DeepSeek V3
North Texas
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
e8ab30bbe3a6f1c1…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Sep 10 · 00:45 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 39826,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Choctaw Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-10T00:45:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:45:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Houston Dynamo FC II",
"home": "North Texas"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLDDL",
"record": "0W-2D-3L",
"scored": 3,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 9
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDDDL",
"record": "1W-3D-1L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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