New York RB IIvsFC Cincinnati II
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 2/4 models |
New York RB II 4/4 models |
New York RB II 4/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
New York RB II 2/4 models |
New York RB II 1/4 models |
New York RB II / New York RB II 3/4 models |
2-1 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
over |
52%
New York RB II |
65%
New York RB II |
58%
yes |
48%
New York RB II |
51%
New York RB II |
38%
New York RB II / New York RB II |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both teams average over 4.5 goals per game in recent outings and defensive records are porous. Home side scores freely while away concedes o...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
New York RB II Home side enters with strong recent form of 4 wins in 5 while away side has only 1 win in 5. The single prior H2H ended in a draw. Training...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
New York RB II Home form advantage and shorter rest suggest they are more likely to avoid defeat. Away side has conceded heavily on the road recently. Trai...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both sides concede regularly and have scored in most recent fixtures. The prior H2H produced goals for both teams. Training data through 202...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
New York RB II Home side favored by form but away team has rest advantage and may keep margin close. Training data through 2025-09.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
New York RB II Slight home edge from form and venue but limited margin expected given recent H2H draw. Training data through 2025-09.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
New York RB II / New York RB II Home side likely starts strongly given form and should hold on. Away side struggles to win on road. Training data through 2025-09.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected open game with home edge points to narrow home win. Both defenses leaky. Training data through 2025-09. |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
72%
Over 2.5 Goals |
64%
New York RB II |
78%
New York RB II |
68%
Yes |
58%
New York RB II -1 |
55%
New York RB II -1.5 |
48%
New York RB II / New York RB II |
15%
3-1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
72%
Over 2.5 Goals New York RB II has scored 15 goals in their last five matches, averaging 3 goals per game, while FC Cincinnati II has conceded 14 goals in t...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
64%
New York RB II New York RB II comes into this match in dominant form with four wins from their last five, scoring heavily. FC Cincinnati II, conversely, ha...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
New York RB II Given New York RB II's superior form and home advantage, they are highly favored to win this match outright. The draw no bet market reduces...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
Yes New York RB II has been prolific in scoring, but they've also conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches. FC Cincinnati II, despite their poor fo...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
New York RB II -1 New York RB II's strong attacking form and FC Cincinnati II's defensive vulnerabilities suggest the home side can win by at least a two-goal...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
New York RB II -1.5 Following from the confidence in New York RB II winning by more than one goal, a -1.5 Asian Handicap is a logical step. Their current form a...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
New York RB II / New York RB II Given New York RB II's strong form and home advantage, they are expected to start strong and maintain their lead. Their high goal-scoring av...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
3-1 New York RB II has scored an average of 3 goals per game in their last five, while FC Cincinnati II has conceded an average of 2.8 goals. Co... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
53%
over |
55%
New York RB II |
58%
New York RB II |
55%
yes |
52%
New York RB II |
58%
home_ 0.0 |
45%
home_home |
15%
2-1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both teams have shown scoring potential in their recent matches, and the head-to-head fixture also ended with multiple goals. While FC Cinci...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
New York RB II New York RB II has superior recent form, winning their last four matches, compared to FC Cincinnati II's four losses in their last five. Des...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
New York RB II Given New York RB II's strong winning run and FC Cincinnati II's struggles, the home team is the favorite. Even if the match ends in a draw,...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes FC Cincinnati II has conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches, indicating defensive frailties. Conversely, New York RB II has a strong recent s...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
New York RB II New York RB II's current form and winning streak make them the more likely team to cover a -1 handicap. FC Cincinnati II has struggled signi...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
home_ 0.0 The handicap of 0.0 means this market is essentially a draw no bet. Given New York RB II's superior form and home advantage, they are the st...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
home_home New York RB II's strong recent form, particularly their winning streak, suggests they are likely to start strong and maintain their advantag...
2 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Considering New York RB II's strong attack and FC Cincinnati II's leaky defense, a 2-1 victory for the home side seems plausible. The recent...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
68%
Over 2.5 |
62%
New York RB II |
72%
New York RB II |
66%
Yes |
50%
New York RB II -1 |
52%
New York RB II -1.0 |
38%
New York RB II / New York RB II |
11%
3-1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
68%
Over 2.5 Both teams have been shipping and scoring goals at a high rate: NYRB II matches averaged 4.8 goals over their last five, Cincinnati's 4.4, i...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
New York RB II No live access, predicting from training knowledge through 2025-09 plus the supplied settled-results database. NYRB II arrive on a four-win-...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
72%
New York RB II Stripping the draw (which I price around 22%) leaves NYRB II heavy favourites given the four-win-in-five run and Cincinnati's leaky defence....
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
66%
Yes Cincinnati II have scored in volume (8 goals in five) even while losing, and the July meeting saw both teams score. NYRB II's own conceded r...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
New York RB II -1 Given the gulf in form, a one-goal handicap is a fair line rather than a value one; I make the home side roughly a coin flip to win by two o...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
New York RB II -1.0 A -1.0 line refunds the stake on a one-goal home win while paying on any larger margin, which suits the favourite's profile. The high-scorin...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
New York RB II / New York RB II The favourite leading at the break and winning outright is the single most likely combination given their fast starts and three-goals-a-game...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
11%
3-1 The goal-heavy profiles of both sides point to a scoreline in the three-to-four goal range, with NYRB II favoured to win. Cincinnati's habit... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Both teams average over 4.5 goals per game in recent outings and defensive records are porous. Home side scores freely while away concedes o...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
New York RB II has scored 15 goals in their last five matches, averaging 3 goals per game, while FC Cincinnati II has conceded 14 goals in t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
over
Both teams have shown scoring potential in their recent matches, and the head-to-head fixture also ended with multiple goals. While FC Cinci...
DeepSeek V3
68%
Over 2.5
Both teams have been shipping and scoring goals at a high rate: NYRB II matches averaged 4.8 goals over their last five, Cincinnati's 4.4, i...
Match winner
ConsensusNew York RB II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
New York RB II
Home side enters with strong recent form of 4 wins in 5 while away side has only 1 win in 5. The single prior H2H ended in a draw. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
64%
New York RB II
New York RB II comes into this match in dominant form with four wins from their last five, scoring heavily. FC Cincinnati II, conversely, ha...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
New York RB II
New York RB II has superior recent form, winning their last four matches, compared to FC Cincinnati II's four losses in their last five. Des...
DeepSeek V3
62%
New York RB II
No live access, predicting from training knowledge through 2025-09 plus the supplied settled-results database. NYRB II arrive on a four-win-...
Draw no bet
ConsensusNew York RB II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
65%
New York RB II
Home form advantage and shorter rest suggest they are more likely to avoid defeat. Away side has conceded heavily on the road recently. Trai...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
78%
New York RB II
Given New York RB II's superior form and home advantage, they are highly favored to win this match outright. The draw no bet market reduces...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
New York RB II
Given New York RB II's strong winning run and FC Cincinnati II's struggles, the home team is the favorite. Even if the match ends in a draw,...
DeepSeek V3
72%
New York RB II
Stripping the draw (which I price around 22%) leaves NYRB II heavy favourites given the four-win-in-five run and Cincinnati's leaky defence....
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
yes
Both sides concede regularly and have scored in most recent fixtures. The prior H2H produced goals for both teams. Training data through 202...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Yes
New York RB II has been prolific in scoring, but they've also conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches. FC Cincinnati II, despite their poor fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
FC Cincinnati II has conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches, indicating defensive frailties. Conversely, New York RB II has a strong recent s...
DeepSeek V3
66%
Yes
Cincinnati II have scored in volume (8 goals in five) even while losing, and the July meeting saw both teams score. NYRB II's own conceded r...
Spread
ConsensusNew York RB II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
New York RB II
Home side favored by form but away team has rest advantage and may keep margin close. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
New York RB II -1
New York RB II's strong attacking form and FC Cincinnati II's defensive vulnerabilities suggest the home side can win by at least a two-goal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
New York RB II
New York RB II's current form and winning streak make them the more likely team to cover a -1 handicap. FC Cincinnati II has struggled signi...
DeepSeek V3
50%
New York RB II -1
Given the gulf in form, a one-goal handicap is a fair line rather than a value one; I make the home side roughly a coin flip to win by two o...
Asian handicap
ConsensusNew York RB II 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
New York RB II
Slight home edge from form and venue but limited margin expected given recent H2H draw. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
New York RB II -1.5
Following from the confidence in New York RB II winning by more than one goal, a -1.5 Asian Handicap is a logical step. Their current form a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
home_ 0.0
The handicap of 0.0 means this market is essentially a draw no bet. Given New York RB II's superior form and home advantage, they are the st...
DeepSeek V3
52%
New York RB II -1.0
A -1.0 line refunds the stake on a one-goal home win while paying on any larger margin, which suits the favourite's profile. The high-scorin...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusNew York RB II / New York RB II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
New York RB II / New York RB II
Home side likely starts strongly given form and should hold on. Away side struggles to win on road. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
New York RB II / New York RB II
Given New York RB II's strong form and home advantage, they are expected to start strong and maintain their lead. Their high goal-scoring av...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
home_home
New York RB II's strong recent form, particularly their winning streak, suggests they are likely to start strong and maintain their advantag...
DeepSeek V3
38%
New York RB II / New York RB II
The favourite leading at the break and winning outright is the single most likely combination given their fast starts and three-goals-a-game...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Expected open game with home edge points to narrow home win. Both defenses leaky. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
3-1
New York RB II has scored an average of 3 goals per game in their last five, while FC Cincinnati II has conceded an average of 2.8 goals. Co...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
Considering New York RB II's strong attack and FC Cincinnati II's leaky defense, a 2-1 victory for the home side seems plausible. The recent...
DeepSeek V3
11%
3-1
The goal-heavy profiles of both sides point to a scoreline in the three-to-four goal range, with NYRB II favoured to win. Cincinnati's habit...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
New York RB II
DeepSeek V3
New York RB II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
New York RB II
Grok 4 Fast
New York RB II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
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Team news
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Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
08300d722b62edd1…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Sep 13 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 43193,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "MSU Soccer Park",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-13T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 13 Sep 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "FC Cincinnati II",
"home": "New York RB II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLWLL",
"record": "1W-0D-4L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 14
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWWWW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 15,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 9
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 9,
"home": 5
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-07-05: FC Cincinnati II 2–2 New York RB II"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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