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MLB
Upcoming · in 89h 24m
Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles DodgersvsArizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Kickoff Locked 28picks

Your call

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AI predictions

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Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Match winner

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 6/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers show stronger recent form (3W-2L vs Diamondbacks 2W-3L) and hold a home-field advantage at Dodger Stadium. Both teams have had 3...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 68% Los Angeles Dodgers

Probable starters are Emmet Sheehan (LAD) vs Zac Gallen (ARI); Sheehan has been middling but has two recent low-run outings while Gallen has...

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🔍 researched 7 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 35% Arizona Diamondbacks

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a strong home record and have been performing well recently, making them favorites in this matchup. However, th...

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🔍 researched 6 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 68% Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers hold superior roster talent and home advantage at Dodger Stadium. Diamondbacks recent form shows inconsistency while Dodgers have mo...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 68% Los Angeles Dodgers

Based on historical performance from my training data (through mid-2024), the Los Angeles Dodgers are a consistently strong team, especially...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers, playing at home, have a slight edge due to their strong roster and recent performance. While both teams have similar recent for...

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4 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 63% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers have a stronger overall roster and historical home advantage at Dodger Stadium. Arizona's recent form is slightly worse (2-3) co...

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Over / Under

Consensus
over 4/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Over 8.5

Both teams averaged 3.8–4.0 runs per game over their last 5 matches, suggesting a combined expectation of 7.6–8.0 runs. Dodger Stadium sits...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 62% over

Despite Dodger Stadium's mild run suppression, Zac Gallen's recent run allowance and the likelihood he gets pulled early increase bullpen ex...

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🔍 researched 7 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% over

Both teams have potent offenses, and the Dodgers' home ballpark is known for favoring hitters, suggesting a higher likelihood of runs being...

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🔍 researched 6 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 55% over

Both teams average above league run totals in recent outings with 19-20 runs scored over last five. Rest days are equal so bullpens should b...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Under 8.5

Given the lack of specific starting pitcher information for this future game, and assuming a standard MLB park like Dodger Stadium which can...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 52% over

While the weather is not extreme, both teams have shown a capacity to score runs. The Dodgers' lineup is potent, and the Diamondbacks can pu...

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4 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% Over 8.5

Dodger Stadium is a neutral ballpark, but both offenses have been scoring consistently, averaging around 4 runs per game in recent outings....

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Spread

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 4/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 52% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Dodgers' recent form edge (3-2 vs 2-3) and home-field advantage support a modest run-line pick. The 1.5-run threshold is tight; both teams a...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 55% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

I expect the Dodgers to win by multiple runs more often than not thanks to the starter matchup (Gallen's poor recent form) and home lineup d...

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🔍 researched 7 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 55% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers' strong home performance and recent form give them an edge to cover the -1 spread, though the Diamondbacks' potential for an ups...

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🔍 researched 6 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 52% home_ -1.5

Dodgers expected to win by multiple runs given talent edge and home field. Arizona's road performance has been weaker historically. Training...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 58% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers, based on my training data up to mid-2024, frequently win their home games by more than one run against division riv...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 53% Los Angeles Dodgers

Given the slight lean towards the Dodgers in head-to-head and their offensive potential, they are favored to cover a small spread. While not...

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4 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 45% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

While the Dodgers are favorites to win, covering a -1.5 run line requires a multi-run margin. Arizona's pitching can keep games close, and t...

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First 5 innings

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 7/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 56% Los Angeles Dodgers

First-five-inning outcomes are heavily tilted by starting-pitcher quality and early-inning lineup matchups. Without live starting-pitcher in...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 61% Los Angeles Dodgers

Gallen's tendency to allow early runs in several recent starts increases the probability the Dodgers lead after five innings; Sheehan tends...

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🔍 researched 7 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 50% Los Angeles Dodgers

Both teams have capable starting pitchers, and the game's early innings could be closely contested, making the home team's slight advantage...

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🔍 researched 6 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 62% Los Angeles Dodgers

Starting pitcher advantage and lineup depth give Dodgers the edge through five innings. Early game script favors the home side at their ball...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 65% Los Angeles Dodgers

The first five innings heavily depend on the starting pitchers. Historically, the Dodgers possess strong rotation options capable of dominat...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 54% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers' starting pitcher, assuming they have a solid starter, combined with their home advantage, suggests they may lead after five inn...

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4 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 60% Los Angeles Dodgers

The first five innings heavily favor the starting pitcher and early lineup. Even without specific starter info, the Dodgers' top of the orde...

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Model confidence

Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-5 Mini

GPT-5 Mini

Los Angeles Dodgers

68
Grok 4 Fast

Grok 4 Fast

Los Angeles Dodgers

68
Gemini 2.5 Flash

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Los Angeles Dodgers

68
DeepSeek V3

DeepSeek V3

Los Angeles Dodgers

63
Claude Haiku 4.5

Claude Haiku 4.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

58
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Los Angeles Dodgers

55
GPT-4o Mini

GPT-4o Mini

Arizona Diamondbacks

35

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 131–87 · 60%
+69.2u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 1000–759 · 57%
-562.9u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 140–110 · 56%
-14.7u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 647–544 · 54%
-324.7u
o4-mini
o4-mini 79–70 · 53%
+75.9u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 117–108 · 52%
+110.9u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 179–168 · 52%
-45.9u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 1081–1058 · 51%
-872.7u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 170–170 · 50%
-59.8u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 713–727 · 50%
-485.5u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 118–121 · 49%
+93.0u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 967–994 · 49%
-685.4u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 828–886 · 48%
-684.8u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 445–477 · 48%
-322.0u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 971–1059 · 48%
-896.0u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 140–174 · 45%
-70.6u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

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Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: 335b0174efed8237…
Kickoff
Sun, Jul 12 · 01:10 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 12059,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-07-12T01:10:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sun, 12 Jul 2026 01:10:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "home": "Los Angeles Dodgers"
    },
    "version": "v2",
    "sport_focus": [
        "The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
        "Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
        "Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
        "Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
        "Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
    ],
    "team_context": {
        "note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
        "away_form": {
            "last": "LWLWL",
            "record": "2W-0D-3L",
            "scored": 19,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 17
        },
        "home_form": {
            "last": "LWLWW",
            "record": "3W-0D-2L",
            "scored": 20,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 19
        },
        "rest_days": {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 3
        }
    },
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

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