Columbus Crew IIvsNew England II
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
home_ -1 1/4 models |
home_ -0.5 1/4 models |
Columbus Crew II 3/4 models |
Columbus Crew II 3/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
Columbus Crew II / Columbus Crew II 2/4 models |
2-1 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
48%
home_ -1 |
55%
home_ -0.5 |
52%
Columbus Crew II |
62%
Columbus Crew II |
55%
over |
58%
yes |
32%
Columbus Crew II / Columbus Crew II |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
home_ -1 Columbus are the stronger side but the margin is narrow given New England II's attacking output. Five rest days for the home side helps but...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ -0.5 Columbus at home are expected to win outright more often than not. The handicap removes the draw and aligns with their better defensive numb...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Columbus Crew II Columbus Crew II enter with superior recent form and a strong home record at Historic Crew Stadium while New England II have lost four of th...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Columbus Crew II Columbus have home advantage and better results in the last five matches. New England II's poor away record makes backing the visitors witho...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both sides have leaky defenses especially New England II conceding 16 in five games. MLS Next Pro matches at this venue often produce goals...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes New England II concede frequently on the road while Columbus score regularly at home. The prior H2H finished 2-2 supporting both teams findi...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Columbus Crew II / Columbus Crew II Columbus are likely to take the lead and hold it given their home form and New England II's recent struggles. Early goals from the hosts fit...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 A 2-1 home win fits the expected goal flow with Columbus creating more chances at home and New England II still scoring on the break. Multip... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Columbus Crew II -1 |
45%
Columbus Crew II -1.5 |
52%
Columbus Crew II |
65%
Columbus Crew II |
62%
Over 2.5 |
68%
Yes |
38%
Columbus Crew II / Columbus Crew II |
15%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Columbus Crew II -1 Columbus Crew II has superior form and home advantage against a New England II team struggling defensively, conceding an average of 3.2 goal...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Columbus Crew II -1.5 Given New England II's significantly poor form, especially defensively (16 goals conceded in 5 games), Columbus Crew II has a good chance to...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Columbus Crew II Columbus Crew II has the home advantage and significantly better recent form (2W-0D-3L) compared to New England II's struggles (0W-1D-4L). W...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Columbus Crew II Removing the draw outcome, Columbus Crew II becomes a clearer favorite due to their better recent form and home advantage. New England II's...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Over 2.5 Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently; Columbus Crew II's last five averaged 3.6 goals, while New England II's aver...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
Yes Given that the only head-to-head match ended 2-2, both teams have a history of scoring against each other. Columbus Crew II scores consisten...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Columbus Crew II / Columbus Crew II With Columbus Crew II having better form and home advantage against a struggling New England II side, it's reasonable to expect them to take...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Based on Columbus Crew II averaging 2 goals scored per game and New England II conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game, a 2-1 or 3-1 home... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
New England II |
60%
New England II +0.5 |
45%
Draw |
47%
Draw |
60%
over |
58%
yes |
35%
Draw / Draw |
15%
1-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
New England II Columbus Crew II has a slightly better home record (2 wins in 5) compared to New England II's dismal away record (0 wins in 5). Despite New...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
New England II +0.5 New England II has a recent draw against Columbus Crew II, and despite their poor form, Columbus Crew II has not been dominant at home. New...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Draw The head-to-head record shows a recent draw between these two teams, and their recent form is poor. Columbus Crew II has a slightly better h...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
47%
Draw Given the draw's strong likelihood in the head-to-head market, selecting 'draw' as the 'draw no bet' outcome aligns with the prediction. The...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Although both teams have struggled recently, their combined goals scored and conceded over the last five matches suggest a tendency for goal...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes New England II's poor defensive record and Columbus Crew II's slightly better offensive output suggest that both teams are capable of scorin...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Draw Given the low scoring potential and the tendency for draws from both teams, a 'draw-draw' outcome seems most plausible. Neither team has sho...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Considering the recent 2-2 draw and the overall poor form of both teams, a 1-1 scoreline represents a likely outcome. It reflects a match wh... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
40%
Columbus Crew II |
52%
Columbus Crew II -0.5 |
50%
Columbus Crew II |
62%
Columbus Crew II |
65%
over |
68%
yes |
28%
Draw / Columbus Crew II |
14%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Columbus Crew II A -1 handicap is a big ask for a Columbus side that has lost three of five and conceded eight in five. While the away side is leaky, Columbu...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Columbus Crew II -0.5 On a -0.5 line the home team simply needs to win. Given the away side's collapse (four losses in five, 16 conceded) and home advantage, Colu...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
Columbus Crew II No live tool access, so this is based on training data through 2025-09 plus the brief. Columbus Crew II are at home and have the better rece...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Columbus Crew II Removing the draw from the equation, the home side is the stronger pick given New England II's poor defensive record (16 conceded in five) a...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over Recent scoring rates point strongly to goals: New England II have conceded 16 in five and scored 9, while Columbus have 10 scored and 8 conc...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
yes Both teams have shown they can score recently — New England II have 9 goals in five despite a poor record, and Columbus have 10 in five. The...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Columbus Crew II In an evenly matched, high-scoring MLS Next Pro fixture, half-time leads are hard to come by and late goals are common. A draw at the break...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
2-1 The scoring profile suggests a high-event game, so 2-1, 3-1 and 2-2 are the most likely scorelines. Columbus have the home edge and New Engl... |
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Spread
Consensushome_ -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
home_ -1
Columbus are the stronger side but the margin is narrow given New England II's attacking output. Five rest days for the home side helps but...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Columbus Crew II -1
Columbus Crew II has superior form and home advantage against a New England II team struggling defensively, conceding an average of 3.2 goal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
New England II
Columbus Crew II has a slightly better home record (2 wins in 5) compared to New England II's dismal away record (0 wins in 5). Despite New...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Columbus Crew II
A -1 handicap is a big ask for a Columbus side that has lost three of five and conceded eight in five. While the away side is leaky, Columbu...
Asian handicap
Consensushome_ -0.5 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
home_ -0.5
Columbus at home are expected to win outright more often than not. The handicap removes the draw and aligns with their better defensive numb...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Columbus Crew II -1.5
Given New England II's significantly poor form, especially defensively (16 goals conceded in 5 games), Columbus Crew II has a good chance to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
New England II +0.5
New England II has a recent draw against Columbus Crew II, and despite their poor form, Columbus Crew II has not been dominant at home. New...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Columbus Crew II -0.5
On a -0.5 line the home team simply needs to win. Given the away side's collapse (four losses in five, 16 conceded) and home advantage, Colu...
Match winner
ConsensusColumbus Crew II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Columbus Crew II
Columbus Crew II enter with superior recent form and a strong home record at Historic Crew Stadium while New England II have lost four of th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Columbus Crew II
Columbus Crew II has the home advantage and significantly better recent form (2W-0D-3L) compared to New England II's struggles (0W-1D-4L). W...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
The head-to-head record shows a recent draw between these two teams, and their recent form is poor. Columbus Crew II has a slightly better h...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Columbus Crew II
No live tool access, so this is based on training data through 2025-09 plus the brief. Columbus Crew II are at home and have the better rece...
Draw no bet
ConsensusColumbus Crew II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Columbus Crew II
Columbus have home advantage and better results in the last five matches. New England II's poor away record makes backing the visitors witho...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Columbus Crew II
Removing the draw outcome, Columbus Crew II becomes a clearer favorite due to their better recent form and home advantage. New England II's...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
47%
Draw
Given the draw's strong likelihood in the head-to-head market, selecting 'draw' as the 'draw no bet' outcome aligns with the prediction. The...
DeepSeek V3
62%
Columbus Crew II
Removing the draw from the equation, the home side is the stronger pick given New England II's poor defensive record (16 conceded in five) a...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
Both sides have leaky defenses especially New England II conceding 16 in five games. MLS Next Pro matches at this venue often produce goals...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
62%
Over 2.5
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently; Columbus Crew II's last five averaged 3.6 goals, while New England II's aver...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
Although both teams have struggled recently, their combined goals scored and conceded over the last five matches suggest a tendency for goal...
DeepSeek V3
65%
over
Recent scoring rates point strongly to goals: New England II have conceded 16 in five and scored 9, while Columbus have 10 scored and 8 conc...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
yes
New England II concede frequently on the road while Columbus score regularly at home. The prior H2H finished 2-2 supporting both teams findi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Yes
Given that the only head-to-head match ended 2-2, both teams have a history of scoring against each other. Columbus Crew II scores consisten...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
New England II's poor defensive record and Columbus Crew II's slightly better offensive output suggest that both teams are capable of scorin...
DeepSeek V3
68%
yes
Both teams have shown they can score recently — New England II have 9 goals in five despite a poor record, and Columbus have 10 in five. The...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusColumbus Crew II / Columbus Crew II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
32%
Columbus Crew II / Columbus Crew II
Columbus are likely to take the lead and hold it given their home form and New England II's recent struggles. Early goals from the hosts fit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Columbus Crew II / Columbus Crew II
With Columbus Crew II having better form and home advantage against a struggling New England II side, it's reasonable to expect them to take...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Draw / Draw
Given the low scoring potential and the tendency for draws from both teams, a 'draw-draw' outcome seems most plausible. Neither team has sho...
DeepSeek V3
28%
Draw / Columbus Crew II
In an evenly matched, high-scoring MLS Next Pro fixture, half-time leads are hard to come by and late goals are common. A draw at the break...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
A 2-1 home win fits the expected goal flow with Columbus creating more chances at home and New England II still scoring on the break. Multip...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
2-1
Based on Columbus Crew II averaging 2 goals scored per game and New England II conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game, a 2-1 or 3-1 home...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
Considering the recent 2-2 draw and the overall poor form of both teams, a 1-1 scoreline represents a likely outcome. It reflects a match wh...
DeepSeek V3
14%
2-1
The scoring profile suggests a high-event game, so 2-1, 3-1 and 2-2 are the most likely scorelines. Columbus have the home edge and New Engl...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Columbus Crew II
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Columbus Crew II
DeepSeek V3
Columbus Crew II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
29031faeb08cc1a9…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Sep 13 · 22:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 43181,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Historic Crew Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-13T22:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 13 Sep 2026 22:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "New England II",
"home": "Columbus Crew II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DLLLL",
"record": "0W-1D-4L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 16
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLWLW",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 8
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 8,
"home": 5
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-07-15: New England II 2–2 Columbus Crew II"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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