Chicago Fire IIvsPhiladelphia Union II
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Philadelphia Union II 4/4 models |
Philadelphia Union II 4/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
Philadelphia Union II -1 2/4 models |
away_ 0.0 1/4 models |
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II 3/4 models |
1-2 3/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
42%
Philadelphia Union II |
55%
Philadelphia Union II |
52%
over |
57%
yes |
48%
away_ -1 |
51%
Philadelphia Union II |
31%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II |
14%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II enter with stronger recent results (4W-0D-1L) than Chicago Fire II (2W-0D-3L). Both sides have identical rest, but awa...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Philadelphia Union II No-draw market favors the side with better win rate in last five. Philadelphia's attacking output (12 goals) exceeds Chicago's (6 goals). Tr...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Combined goals per game in recent samples exceed 4.0; both defenses have conceded double-digit tallies. Outdoor venue in September does not...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
yes Both teams concede frequently while scoring at solid rates, raising likelihood both nets ripple. Form samples show only one clean sheet comb...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
away_ -1 Philadelphia's superior recent win rate makes them viable at -1 despite away status. Chicago's leaky defense increases chance of multi-goal...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Philadelphia Union II Asian line removes draw risk and still tilts slightly to the higher-scoring, better-performing side. Eight rest days for both remove fatigue...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
31%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II Away side's strong form suggests they can lead at half and close at full time. Home side's three losses in five indicate vulnerability to su...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
1-2 1-2 aligns with away side's scoring edge and typical MLS Next Pro margins. Both sides average over 3 goals per game in samples. Training dat... |
|||||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Philadelphia Union II |
70%
Philadelphia Union II |
65%
Over 2.5 |
60%
Yes |
45%
Philadelphia Union II -1 |
45%
Philadelphia Union II -1.0 |
35%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II |
15%
1-3 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II shows significantly better recent form, scoring more goals and having a stronger win record. Chicago Fire II's home fo...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Philadelphia Union II Given Philadelphia Union II's superior form and attacking output, they are favored to win outright. The draw no bet market provides a safer...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Over 2.5 Both teams have shown tendencies towards high-scoring games based on their recent form, with Philadelphia Union II scoring 12 and conceding...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes Both Chicago Fire II and Philadelphia Union II have shown defensive vulnerabilities in their recent matches, conceding 11 and 10 goals respe...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Philadelphia Union II -1 Philadelphia Union II's attacking prowess and Chicago Fire II's defensive struggles suggest that Philadelphia is capable of winning by more...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Philadelphia Union II -1.0 Considering Philadelphia Union II's strong offensive output and Chicago Fire II's defensive weaknesses, an Asian Handicap of -1.0 for Philad...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II's superior overall form and ability to score goals suggest they are likely to take an early lead and maintain it throu...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-3 Given Philadelphia Union II's average of 2.4 goals scored per game and Chicago Fire II's average of 2.2 goals conceded, a score of 1-3 to th... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
Philadelphia Union II |
48%
Philadelphia Union II |
55%
over |
58%
yes |
40%
Philadelphia Union II |
45%
away_ 0.0 |
20%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II |
12%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II has a stronger recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches compared to Chicago Fire II's 2 wins in their last 5. Th...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
Philadelphia Union II Given Philadelphia Union II's superior recent form, they are favored to win. In a draw-no-bet market, backing them offers a slightly higher...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Philadelphia Union II has scored 12 goals in their last 5 games, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Chicago Fire II has conceded 11 goals i...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Philadelphia Union II has a strong offense (12 goals in last 5), and Chicago Fire II has shown defensive frailties (11 goals conceded in las...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Philadelphia Union II While Philadelphia Union II is favored, Chicago Fire II's home advantage might help them keep the scoreline within one goal. Philadelphia Un...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
away_ 0.0 This is essentially a draw-no-bet market. Philadelphia Union II's stronger recent form makes them the preferred selection, with the handicap...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II's stronger form suggests they are more likely to win the second half. Given Chicago Fire II's inconsistent form, a sce...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Considering Philadelphia Union II's better form and offensive capabilities, a narrow away win seems likely. A 1-2 scoreline reflects their a... |
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
52%
Philadelphia Union II |
65%
Philadelphia Union II |
62%
over |
66%
yes |
40%
Philadelphia Union II -1 |
55%
Philadelphia Union II -0.25 |
32%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II |
14%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II arrive in far better form, winning 4 of their last 5 while scoring 12 goals, whereas Chicago Fire II have lost 3 of 5...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Philadelphia Union II With the draw removed, the gap in current form and scoring output points clearly to Philadelphia Union II. Chicago Fire II have been leaky a...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
over Both teams' recent matches have been high-scoring: Union II's last five produced 22 goals total, Fire II's produced 17. Neither defense is r...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
66%
yes Both defenses have leaked regularly: Union II conceded in every recent match except one, and Chicago Fire II have kept very few clean sheets...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Philadelphia Union II -1 Philadelphia Union II have the better form but their concession rate makes a multi-goal win less certain. Chicago Fire II at home can keep t...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Philadelphia Union II -0.25 A quarter-ball away handicap reflects Union II's form edge while protecting against a narrow draw. Given the likely open nature, a one-goal...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II If Union II's superior attacking output translates early, away/away is the single most likely HT/FT combination. Chicago Fire II have starte...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
1-2 A narrow away win such as 1-2 or 2-1 fits the pattern of Union II's high-scoring recent games against a leaky Fire II defense. Both teams sc... |
|||||||||
Match winner
ConsensusPhiladelphia Union II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II enter with stronger recent results (4W-0D-1L) than Chicago Fire II (2W-0D-3L). Both sides have identical rest, but awa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II shows significantly better recent form, scoring more goals and having a stronger win record. Chicago Fire II's home fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II has a stronger recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches compared to Chicago Fire II's 2 wins in their last 5. Th...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II arrive in far better form, winning 4 of their last 5 while scoring 12 goals, whereas Chicago Fire II have lost 3 of 5...
Draw no bet
ConsensusPhiladelphia Union II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Philadelphia Union II
No-draw market favors the side with better win rate in last five. Philadelphia's attacking output (12 goals) exceeds Chicago's (6 goals). Tr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Philadelphia Union II
Given Philadelphia Union II's superior form and attacking output, they are favored to win outright. The draw no bet market provides a safer...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
Philadelphia Union II
Given Philadelphia Union II's superior recent form, they are favored to win. In a draw-no-bet market, backing them offers a slightly higher...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Philadelphia Union II
With the draw removed, the gap in current form and scoring output points clearly to Philadelphia Union II. Chicago Fire II have been leaky a...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
Combined goals per game in recent samples exceed 4.0; both defenses have conceded double-digit tallies. Outdoor venue in September does not...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Over 2.5
Both teams have shown tendencies towards high-scoring games based on their recent form, with Philadelphia Union II scoring 12 and conceding...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
Philadelphia Union II has scored 12 goals in their last 5 games, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Chicago Fire II has conceded 11 goals i...
DeepSeek V3
62%
over
Both teams' recent matches have been high-scoring: Union II's last five produced 22 goals total, Fire II's produced 17. Neither defense is r...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
yes
Both teams concede frequently while scoring at solid rates, raising likelihood both nets ripple. Form samples show only one clean sheet comb...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Yes
Both Chicago Fire II and Philadelphia Union II have shown defensive vulnerabilities in their recent matches, conceding 11 and 10 goals respe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
Philadelphia Union II has a strong offense (12 goals in last 5), and Chicago Fire II has shown defensive frailties (11 goals conceded in las...
DeepSeek V3
66%
yes
Both defenses have leaked regularly: Union II conceded in every recent match except one, and Chicago Fire II have kept very few clean sheets...
Spread
ConsensusPhiladelphia Union II -1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
away_ -1
Philadelphia's superior recent win rate makes them viable at -1 despite away status. Chicago's leaky defense increases chance of multi-goal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Philadelphia Union II -1
Philadelphia Union II's attacking prowess and Chicago Fire II's defensive struggles suggest that Philadelphia is capable of winning by more...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Philadelphia Union II
While Philadelphia Union II is favored, Chicago Fire II's home advantage might help them keep the scoreline within one goal. Philadelphia Un...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Philadelphia Union II -1
Philadelphia Union II have the better form but their concession rate makes a multi-goal win less certain. Chicago Fire II at home can keep t...
Asian handicap
Consensusaway_ 0.0 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Philadelphia Union II
Asian line removes draw risk and still tilts slightly to the higher-scoring, better-performing side. Eight rest days for both remove fatigue...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Philadelphia Union II -1.0
Considering Philadelphia Union II's strong offensive output and Chicago Fire II's defensive weaknesses, an Asian Handicap of -1.0 for Philad...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
away_ 0.0
This is essentially a draw-no-bet market. Philadelphia Union II's stronger recent form makes them the preferred selection, with the handicap...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Philadelphia Union II -0.25
A quarter-ball away handicap reflects Union II's form edge while protecting against a narrow draw. Given the likely open nature, a one-goal...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusPhiladelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
31%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II
Away side's strong form suggests they can lead at half and close at full time. Home side's three losses in five indicate vulnerability to su...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II's superior overall form and ability to score goals suggest they are likely to take an early lead and maintain it throu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II's stronger form suggests they are more likely to win the second half. Given Chicago Fire II's inconsistent form, a sce...
DeepSeek V3
32%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II
If Union II's superior attacking output translates early, away/away is the single most likely HT/FT combination. Chicago Fire II have starte...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
14%
1-2
1-2 aligns with away side's scoring edge and typical MLS Next Pro margins. Both sides average over 3 goals per game in samples. Training dat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
1-3
Given Philadelphia Union II's average of 2.4 goals scored per game and Chicago Fire II's average of 2.2 goals conceded, a score of 1-3 to th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
12%
1-2
Considering Philadelphia Union II's better form and offensive capabilities, a narrow away win seems likely. A 1-2 scoreline reflects their a...
DeepSeek V3
14%
1-2
A narrow away win such as 1-2 or 2-1 fits the pattern of Union II's high-scoring recent games against a leaky Fire II defense. Both teams sc...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Philadelphia Union II
DeepSeek V3
Philadelphia Union II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Philadelphia Union II
Grok 4 Fast
Philadelphia Union II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Call the exact final score
Free account. Pick the exact final score, lock it before kickoff, beat the AI consensus across the WC and win a lifetime free plan.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
c14856d11509196d…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Sep 13 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 43041,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "SeatGeek Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-13T18:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 13 Sep 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Philadelphia Union II",
"home": "Chicago Fire II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLWW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 10
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLWLW",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 8,
"home": 8
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.