Football FIFA World Cup

Final 1 – 1

Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

Final: 1 – 1

Picks locked at Jun 12 · 16:14 GMT+0000 64 picks recorded · 26 graded CLV -0.7% vs market close

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified


                    hash:
                    f1ec9760a3971122…

Sport: Fri, Jun 12 · 19:02 GMT+0000
Markets: h2h · totals_2.5 · btts · spreads_-1 · asian_handicap · ht_ft
Source: The Odds API · live
Research: AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 353,
        "sport": "football",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "FIFA World Cup",
        "starts_at": "2026-06-12T19:00:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Fri, 12 Jun 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Bosnia & Herzegovina",
        "home": "Canada"
    },
    "version": "v1",
    "built_at": "2026-06-12T16:15:28+00:00",
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": {
            "away": 5.2,
            "draw": 3.65,
            "home": 1.86
        },
        "note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
        "extra_markets": {
            "h2h": [
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.57,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.87,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.8,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.8,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 2.88,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.73,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.5,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.77,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 5,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.65,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.84,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.6,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.8,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.6,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.49,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.81,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.8,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.65,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.86,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 5.2,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.6,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.8,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.5,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.6,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.86,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 5,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.85,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.4,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.8,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.6,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.33,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.45,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.85,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.95,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.64,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.45,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.85,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.95,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.45,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.82,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.75,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.6,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.8,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.6,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.82,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.6,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.8,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.42,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.84,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.7,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.3,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.8,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.5,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.8,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.4,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.75,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.75,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.6,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.8,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.35,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 4.6,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                }
            ],
            "totals": [
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.67,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.32,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.65,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.35,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3,
                    "price": 1.3,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3,
                    "price": 3.55,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.65,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.27,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.58,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.6,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.35,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.66,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.25,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.6,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.35,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.64,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2,
                    "price": 2.14,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2,
                    "price": 1.72,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.62,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.55,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.08,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                }
            ],
            "h2h_lay": [
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 3.7,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.87,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 5.3,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                }
            ],
            "spreads": [
                {
                    "point": -0.5,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0.5,
                    "price": 2.04,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": -0.5,
                    "price": 1.8,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0.5,
                    "price": 2.05,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": -0.5,
                    "price": 1.82,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0.5,
                    "price": 2.02,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": -0.5,
                    "price": 1.86,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0.5,
                    "price": 2.12,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": -1.5,
                    "price": 3.4,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 1.33,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": -0.5,
                    "price": 1.81,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0.5,
                    "price": 1.97,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                },
                {
                    "point": -0.5,
                    "price": 1.83,
                    "outcome": "Canada"
                },
                {
                    "point": 0.5,
                    "price": 1.99,
                    "outcome": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
                }
            ]
        }
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals_2.5",
        "btts",
        "spreads_-1",
        "asian_handicap",
        "ht_ft"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

AI predictions

Featured · open arena

6 markets · 11 models picked

Who picked what

15 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning

High Mid Low

Model	Half-time / Full-time ?	Over / Under ? book: 2.5 · Over 45%	Match winner ? book: Draw 61%	Both teams to score ?	Spread ? book: Canada -0.5	Asian handicap ?
Claude Opus 4.7 Flagship Anthropic · 4-5 -1.2u	22% Draw/Canada V	58% Under ~1.64 W	50% Canada ~1.86 V	54% No ~2.03 L	62% Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 ~1.41 V	50% Canada -0.5 ~2.51 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 22% Draw/Canada World Cup openers often start cautiously with both sides feeling each other out before the favourite breaks through. Canada's pattern of cle... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Over / Under ? 58% Under Canada have produced six clean sheets in their last eight matches, suggesting a defensively solid setup. World Cup openers tend to be cautio... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.64 Edge: -3.0% 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Match winner ? 50% Canada Canada are home at BMO Field with an excellent record at the venue and are unbeaten in their last eight, while the Opta supercomputer favour... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.86 Edge: -3.8% 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Both teams to score ? 54% No Canada's defensive run (six clean sheets in eight) plus the absence of Davies suggesting a conservative approach push slightly toward No. Ho... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Spread ? 62% Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 While Canada are favoured to win, a two-goal margin is unlikely in a cagey World Cup opener against a Bosnia side that just eliminated Italy... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.41 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Asian handicap ? 50% Canada -0.5 This is effectively the moneyline for Canada to win outright. Home advantage, the Opta model's 52.7% win projection, and Canada's recent unb... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.51 🔍 researched 3 sources cited
Claude Opus 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 5-5 -0.3u	26% Draw/Canada V	62% Under 2.5 ~1.84 W	48% Canada ~1.86 V	54% No ~2.03 L	58% Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 ~1.41 V	52% Bosnia & Herzegovina +0.5 ~1.66 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 26% Draw/Canada World Cup openers are typically tight first halves with teams feeling each other out, especially when a side like Bosnia plays for structure... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 12 sources cited Over / Under ? 62% Under 2.5 Bosnia have drawn 1-1 in three consecutive competitive matches and concede sparingly when organized, averaging 0.8 goals conceded per game.... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.84 🔍 researched 12 sources cited Match winner ? 48% Canada Canada have home advantage at BMO Field in their historic first home World Cup match with a passionate crowd, plus superior individual quali... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.86 Edge: -5.8% 🔍 researched 12 sources cited Both teams to score ? 54% No Canada have kept eight clean sheets in their last ten matches and concede only 0.6 goals per game over the last 5. Bosnia struggle to score,... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 🔍 researched 12 sources cited Spread ? 58% Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 Bosnia have shown they can compete with top European sides, drawing with Italy, Wales, and Austria in competitive play and winning through o... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.41 🔍 researched 12 sources cited Asian handicap ? 52% Bosnia & Herzegovina +0.5 Bosnia's draw-heavy recent form (five consecutive draws) makes the +0.5 Asian handicap attractive as it covers a draw result. Canada are fav... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.66 🔍 researched 12 sources cited
Claude Opus 4 Flagship Anthropic	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 125-128 -87.1u	38% Canada/Canada V	60% Under 2.5 ~1.84 W	55% Canada ~1.88 V	57% No ~2.03 L	55% Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 ~1.41 V	55% Canada -0.5 ~2.51 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 38% Canada/Canada Canada leading at half time and winning at full time (Canada/Canada) is the most probable single HT/FT combination given their overall match... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 60% Under 2.5 The bookmaker consensus strongly favors Under 2.5 at implied probability ~60% (price ~1.65). Canada's style under Jesse Marsch has been defe... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.84 Match winner ? 55% Canada Canada are hosting the 2026 FIFA World Cup and enter this tournament with significant home advantage, having qualified automatically as co-h... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.88 Edge: +1.8% Both teams to score ? 57% No Given the Under 2.5 lean and Bosnia's likely defensive posture, both teams scoring is less probable. Bosnia may struggle to breach a well-or... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 Spread ? 55% Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 Winning by 2 or more goals (Canada -1 spread) is a higher bar than simply winning; the market prices Canada -1 at around 1.83-1.88 suggestin... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.41 Asian handicap ? 55% Canada -0.5 The Asian Handicap at -0.5 for Canada is essentially backing Canada to win the match outright, which aligns with the h2h market where Canada... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.51
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u	52% Canada / Canada V	58% Under 2.5 ~1.84 W	62% Canada ~1.88 V	64% No ~2.03 L	49% Canada -1 ~3.45 V	60% Canada -0.5 ~2.51 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 52% Canada / Canada Half-time full-time Canada/Canada is the most probable single outcome (~52%), reflecting Canada's dominance and expected early pressure. Gro... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 58% Under 2.5 The under is priced at ~1.66 with the over at ~2.25, implying approximately 60% under probability. Group-stage World Cup matches involving d... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.84 Match winner ? 62% Canada Canada is the clear bookmaker favourite (1.88 consensus), reflecting their status as hosts with stronger recent World Cup qualifying form an... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.88 Edge: +8.8% Both teams to score ? 64% No No explicit BTTS odds provided in the brief, but implied from totals and H2H markets suggests under 2.5 is favoured at 60%. For both teams t... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 Spread ? 49% Canada -1 Canada spread at -1 (roughly -0.75 to -1.0 in Asian markets) is fairly priced but slightly unattractive. Canada as strong favourites should... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.45 Asian handicap ? 60% Canada -0.5 Canadian -0.5 handicap is effectively a half-goal advantage, aligning with bookmaker consensus that Canada win ~53% of outcomes. A -0.5 line... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.51
GPT-5 Flagship Openai	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u	40% Draw/Canada V	68% Under ~1.62 W	58% Canada ~1.86 V	58% No ~2.03 L	72% Bosnia & Herzegovina ~2.14 L	60% Canada -0.5 ~2.51 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 40% Draw/Canada The most probable match flow is a tight first half (draw at HT) followed by Canada edging the game through a second-half goal as Bosnia tire... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Over / Under ? 68% Under Multiple previews and models expect a low-scoring opening match as Bosnia prefer a compact, set-piece-driven approach while Canada will be c... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.62 Edge: +6.3% 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Match winner ? 58% Canada Canada start at home with strong attacking options (Jonathan David, Cyle Larin) and a clear home-field edge; bookmakers also favour Canada.... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.86 Edge: +4.2% 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Both teams to score ? 58% No Given an expectation of a low-scoring, tightly-contested opener the probability of both sides scoring is below even odds; Canada have attack... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Spread ? 72% Bosnia & Herzegovina Canada winning by two or more (covering -1) is a lower-probability outcome because Bosnia are compact, dangerous on set-pieces, and Canada w... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.14 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Asian handicap ? 60% Canada -0.5 On the Asian -0.5 line (equivalent to pick-the-match win), Canada are the favoured side at home and are expected to edge the match given sup... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.51 🔍 researched 9 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u	55% Home/Home V	60% Under ~1.64 W	55% Canada ~1.86 V	65% No ~2.03 L	55% Canada ~1.88 L	55% Canada -0.5 ~2.51 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 55% Home/Home Canada's strong home advantage and recent form, including an eight-match unbeaten streak, suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime a... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Over / Under ? 60% Under Both teams have shown defensive solidity in recent matches, with Canada maintaining six clean sheets in their last eight games. Bosnia & Her... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.64 Edge: -1.0% 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Match winner ? 55% Canada Canada enters the match with a strong home advantage and an eight-match unbeaten streak, including a 2-0 victory over Uzbekistan. Despite th... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.86 Edge: +1.2% 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Both teams to score ? 65% No Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive performances recently, with Canada keeping six clean sheets in their last eight matches and Bo... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Spread ? 55% Canada Canada's home advantage and recent form, including an eight-match unbeaten streak, provide them with a slight edge over Bosnia & Herzegovina... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.88 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Asian handicap ? 55% Canada -0.5 With Canada having a strong home advantage and an eight-match unbeaten streak, they are favored to win by at least one goal. The absence of... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.51 🔍 researched 3 sources cited
o3 Flagship Openai	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Grok 4 Heavy Flagship Xai	—	—	—	—	—	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u	38% Canada/Canada V	52% Under ~1.64 W	55% Canada ~1.86 V	53% No ~2.03 L	51% Canada -1 ~3.45 V	54% Canada -0.5 ~2.51 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 38% Canada/Canada Canada/Canada is the modal HT/FT outcome given home dominance expectations. Early lead probability is elevated for the stronger side. Bosnia... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 52% Under Bookmaker lines lean slightly toward Under 2.5 at 1.65-1.67. Both sides tend toward controlled styles in major tournaments per historical pa... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.64 Edge: -9.0% Match winner ? 55% Canada Canada enters as clear favorites per consensus odds around 1.83. Bosnia & Herzegovina have shown limited recent international pedigree in tr... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.86 Edge: +1.2% Both teams to score ? 53% No Canada's defensive organization and Bosnia's modest scoring record make both teams to score unlikely. Consensus pricing and typical World Cu... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 Spread ? 51% Canada -1 Canada -1 is available near even money and aligns with their favoritism. Expected goal edge and home support provide marginal value on the h... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.45 Asian handicap ? 54% Canada -0.5 Asian handicap on Canada -0.5 mirrors the outright favorite status. Training data shows Canada outperforming mid-tier European sides in simi... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.51
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship Google · 4-7 -1.8u	—	65% Under ~1.62 W	40% Draw ~3.65 W	58% no ~2.03 L	75% Bosnia & Herzegovina ~2.14 V	—
Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? 65% Under Nine of Canada's last ten matches have gone under 2.5 goals, highlighting their defensive solidity but occasional lack of firepower. The los... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.62 Edge: +3.3% 6 sources cited Match winner ? 40% Draw Canada's home advantage is significantly negated by the confirmed absence of their superstar Alphonso Davies, who is crucial to their attack... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.65 Edge: +12.6% 6 sources cited Both teams to score ? 58% no This prediction aligns with a low-scoring game. Canada has kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing a strong defensive... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 6 sources cited Spread ? 75% Bosnia & Herzegovina This market corresponds to a -1 handicap for Canada. The 'away' pick wins if Bosnia & Herzegovina wins or draws the match. Given the strong... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.14 6 sources cited Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u	35% Draw/Canada V	60% Under ~1.67 W	52% Canada ~1.88 V	55% No ~2.03 L	48% Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 ~1.41 V	52% Canada -0.5 ~2.51 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 35% Draw/Canada My analysis is based on training data through early 2025. This prediction combines Canada's favoritism with the likelihood of a cautious Wor... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 60% Under My analysis is based on training data through early 2025. World Cup group stage opening matches often tend to be cagey and low-scoring as te... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.67 Edge: +0.1% Match winner ? 52% Canada My analysis is based on training data through early 2025. Canada has shown significant improvement in recent years, with a talented squad th... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.88 Edge: -1.2% Both teams to score ? 55% No My analysis is based on training data through early 2025. Given the expectation of a cautious, potentially low-scoring affair as indicated b... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 Spread ? 48% Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 My analysis is based on training data through early 2025. While Canada is favored, a strong win by two goals or more (Canada -1) is less pro... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.41 Asian handicap ? 52% Canada -0.5 My analysis is based on training data through early 2025. Canada is the stronger team and the bookmaker favorite to win this match. A 'Canad... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.51
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u	30% Draw-Draw V	60% Under ~1.64 W	57% Canada ~1.86 V	55% No ~2.03 L	53% Canada ~1.88 L	58% Canada_-0.5 ~2.51 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 30% Draw-Draw This is a low-confidence pick reflecting the difficulty in predicting halftime/fulltime outcomes. Given that both teams have shown a tendenc... Unlock reasoning · Pro 4 sources cited Over / Under ? 60% Under Both teams have shown a tendency towards lower-scoring games in their recent matches. Canada has struggled to score more than one goal in ma... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.64 Edge: -1.0% 4 sources cited Match winner ? 57% Canada Canada enters this match as the favorite, supported by their recent form which includes two wins and three draws in their last five matches.... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.86 Edge: +3.2% 4 sources cited Both teams to score ? 55% No Considering the recent form of both teams, a low-scoring affair is expected. Canada has a tendency to concede goals, but their offensive out... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 4 sources cited Spread ? 53% Canada Canada is favored in this matchup, and while they haven't always won by large margins, their recent performance against Bosnia and Herzegovi... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.88 4 sources cited Asian handicap ? 58% Canada_-0.5 Canada is projected to win this match, making them the favorite for the Asian Handicap of -0.5. Their recent form and the head-to-head recor... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.51 4 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u	35% Canada/Canada V	58% Under ~1.62 W	55% Canada ~1.87 V	55% No ~2.03 L	30% Canada -1 ~3.45 V	55% Canada -0.5 ~2.51 V
Half-time / Full-time ? 35% Canada/Canada Canada leading at half and winning full-time is the most likely outcome given their status as favorites, but the probability is limited due... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 58% Under Both teams have had recent matches with low scoring; Canada's defensive organization and Bosnia's cautious approach in big games suggest und... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.62 Edge: -3.7% Match winner ? 55% Canada Training data through 2025-09: Canada has shown strong form in CONCACAF competitions, while Bosnia & Herzegovina have been inconsistent. Can... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.87 Edge: +1.5% Both teams to score ? 55% No Both teams have decent defensive records; Canada kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 matches, Bosnia in 2. World Cup matches often start cautio... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.03 Spread ? 30% Canada -1 Canada are favorites to win but not by a large margin; a one-goal spread is risky as draw or narrow win is plausible. Bosnia have the qualit... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.45 Asian handicap ? 55% Canada -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 for Canada aligns with the h2h market; Canada are expected to win outright. The slight edge to Canada is based on recent... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.51
Consensus	Draw/Canada 4/10	Under 8/11	Canada 10/11	No 10/11	Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 4/11	Canada -0.5 8/10
Bookmaker line	—	2.5 · Over 45%	Draw 61%	—	Canada -0.5	—

Ⓟ

Polymarket: tournament odds

Implied probability · live

What real money is betting on each team to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy.

Canada

to win World Cup

0.3%

Bosnia & Herzegovina no market

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Bookmaker odds

51 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted

Book	Canada	Draw	Bosnia & Herzegovina
Pinnacle ↗	3.05	1.63	9.47
Draftkings ↗	18.00	1.03	36.00
Fanduel ↗	16.00	1.01	61.00
Betmgm	23.00	1.03	41.00
William Hill	1.80	3.30	4.60
Betfair Exchange UK	1.83	1.67	1.30
Betfair Exchange EU	1.83	1.61	1.41
Betanysports	1.80	3.50	4.80
Betclic FR	6.00	1.17	17.00
Betfair UK	1.73	2.88	4.20
Betfred	1.83	3.40	4.33
BetOnline	1.83	3.60	4.83
Betrivers	23.00	1.43	51.00
Betsson	17.00	1.02	41.00
Betus	1.80	3.55	4.70
Betvictor	7.50	1.12	19.00
Betway	9.00	1.11	17.00
Bovada	13.00	1.04	29.00
Boylesports	17.00	1.05	41.00
Casumo	23.00	1.02	71.00
Codere It	1.85	3.50	4.40
Coolbet	11.75	1.08	35.00
Coral	11.00	1.06	21.00
Everygame	1.83	3.50	4.50
Fanatics	18.00	1.02	101.00
Grosvenor	21.00	1.01	46.00
Gtbets	1.83	3.40	4.64
Ladbrokes	19.00	1.02	29.00
Leovegas	11.50	1.02	29.00
Leovegas Se	11.50	1.02	29.00
Livescorebet	11.50	1.03	29.00
LowVig	1.83	3.60	4.83
Marathonbet	6.45	1.18	9.20
Matchbook	18.00	1.05	160.00
MyBookie	3.85	1.25	9.25
Nordicbet	15.00	1.03	36.00
Onexbet	1.79	3.57	5.15
Paddy Power	21.00	1.03	26.00
Pmu	12.00	1.04	31.00
Skybet	18.00	1.03	71.00
Smarkets	21.98	1.01	90.09
Sport888	11.00	1.06	23.00
Tipico	13.00	1.03	25.00
Unibet	1.82	3.60	4.75
Unibet Nl	23.00	1.02	71.00
Unibet Se	23.00	1.02	71.00
Unibet	10.00	1.07	29.00
Virginbet	11.50	1.03	29.00
Williamhill	9.00	1.10	21.00
Winamax	8.50	1.08	22.00
Winamax	9.50	1.06	27.00

Book	Line	Over	Under
Pinnacle ↗	2.0	2.18	1.74
Betmgm	1.5	1.54	2.30
William Hill	2.5	2.10	1.67
Betanysports	3.0	3.30	1.33
BetOnline	2.5	2.31	1.68
Betrivers	1.5	1.51	2.33
Betsson	2.0	2.25	1.58
Betus	2.0	1.71	2.20
Bovada	1.5	1.54	2.52
Casumo	1.5	1.55	2.38
Codere It	2.5	2.13	1.61
Coolbet	2.0	2.40	1.60
Grosvenor	1.5	1.56	2.28
Gtbets	2.5	2.25	1.66
Leovegas	1.5	1.50	2.32
LowVig	2.5	2.31	1.68
Matchbook	1.5	1.60	2.64
MyBookie	1.5	1.45	2.20
Nordicbet	2.0	2.32	1.55
Onexbet	2.5	2.18	1.73
Pmu	1.5	1.50	2.30
Unibet Nl	1.5	1.55	2.38
Unibet Se	1.5	1.55	2.38

Book	Canada	Bosnia & Herzegovina
Pinnacle ↗	-0.8 @ 2.07	+0.3 @ 1.74
Betanysports	-1.0 @ 2.55	+0.5 @ 2.05
BetOnline	-0.5 @ 1.83	+0.5 @ 2.04
Betus	-0.5 @ 1.80	+0.5 @ 2.05
Bovada	-0.8 @ 2.08	-0.5 @ 1.77
Gtbets	-1.5 @ 3.45	+0.5 @ 1.98
LowVig	-0.5 @ 1.83	+0.5 @ 2.04
Matchbook	-0.8 @ 2.12	-0.5 @ 1.83
MyBookie	-0.5 @ 2.70	-0.5 @ 1.80
Onexbet	-1.5 @ 3.40	0.0 @ 3.54

Line movement (h2h)

Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first

Pinnacle

Betanysports

Betclic

Betfair Ex

Betfair Sb

Betfred

Betmgm

Betonlineag

Betrivers

Betsson

Betus

Betvictor

Betway

Bovada

Boylesports

Casumo

Codere It

Coolbet

Coral

Draftkings

Everygame

Fanatics

Fanduel

Grosvenor

Gtbets

Ladbrokes

Leovegas

Leovegas Se

Livescorebet

Lowvig

Marathonbet

Matchbook

Mybookieag

Nordicbet

Onexbet

Paddypower

Pmu

Skybet

Smarkets

Sport888

Tipico

Unibet

Unibet Nl

Unibet Se

Unibet

Virginbet

Williamhill

Winamax

Canada Bosnia & Herzegovina

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Grok 4 Fast
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
DeepSeek V3
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
GPT-5 Mini
30 tool calls · 9 sources

9 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
0 tool calls · 4 sources

4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Claude Haiku 4.5
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Claude Opus 4.6
30 tool calls · 12 sources

12 citations captured — unlock with Pro
GPT-4o Mini
6 tool calls · 3 sources

3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Claude Opus 4.7
6 tool calls · 3 sources

3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro
0 tool calls · 6 sources

6 citations captured — unlock with Pro

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