Bishkek CityvsAsia Talas
Bishkek City 2–3 Asia Talas
2 of 4 AIs leaned Bishkek City — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Bishkek City 2/4
- Correct calls
- 2/4
- Final
- 2–3
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
No 2/4 models |
Bishkek City 2/4 models |
over 2/4 models |
Talas / Talas 1/3 models |
Bishkek City -0.5 1/3 models |
Bishkek City -1 1/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
52%
No
L
|
58%
Asia Talas
W
|
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
42%
Talas / Talas
L
|
56%
Asia Talas -0.5
W
|
60%
Over -1 |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
No Without defensive data or clean sheet records for either team, BTTS is a near coin-flip. Slight edge to No given the absence of evidence tha...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Asia Talas Asia Talas showed attacking strength in a recent 3-1 victory and appears to have momentum heading into this fixture. Limited historical data...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Asia Talas' recent 3-1 win demonstrates offensive capability and goal-scoring threat. Without detailed defensive metrics for either team, a...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Talas / Talas Half-time/Full-time is highly speculative with limited data. Talas/Talas reflects confidence in away team form but with low confidence given...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
Asia Talas -0.5 Asia Talas' recent form and away-team status suggest a narrow edge. AH -0.5 reflects the view that Talas is marginally more likely to win or...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Over -1 Given Asia Talas' recent 3-1 attacking performance and slight favoritism in h2h, -1 spread (implying a 2+ goal margin) is reasonable but not...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
65%
yes
W
|
75%
Asia Talas
W
|
70%
over
W
|
60%
Asia Talas / Asia Talas |
70%
Asia Talas |
70%
Asia Talas |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
yes Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, with Asia Talas averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, and Bish...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Asia Talas Asia Talas has a strong away record with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 away matches, while Bishkek City has struggled at home with 1 wi...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
over Asia Talas has an average of 2.4 goals scored per match and 1.4 goals conceded, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring games. ([betmines.c...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Asia Talas / Asia Talas Asia Talas's strong form and away performance suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([footystats.org](https://footy...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
70%
Asia Talas Asia Talas's superior form and away performance suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([footystats.org](https://footystats.or...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Asia Talas Asia Talas's superior form and away performance suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([footystats.org](https://footystats.or...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
|
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
51%
yes
W
|
52%
Bishkek City
L
|
53%
over
W
|
35%
HH |
52%
Bishkek City -0.5
L
|
48%
Bishkek City -1
L
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Both teams likely to attack without strong defensive structure in training knowledge. No injury or lineup information exists. Slight edge to...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Bishkek City Bishkek City are the home side in a domestic fixture with presumed home advantage. No recent form or lineups available in training data thro...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Lower-league matches in Central Asia often produce open games. Training data shows no specific defensive records for either side. Slight lea...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
HH Home side expected to lead at half and full time on average. No specific first-half data in training set. HH is the modal outcome for home f...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Bishkek City -0.5 Standard home favorite pricing in an unknown matchup. No head-to-head or rest data available. Pick mirrors h2h lean.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Bishkek City -1 Home advantage exists but margin of victory uncertain for these sides. Training cutoff prevents any form analysis. Slight lean away from hom... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
No
L
|
55%
Bishkek City
L
|
52%
Under 2.5
L
|
— | — |
60%
Asia Talas +1
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Bishkek City has a strong defense at home, often keeping clean sheets. Asia Talas struggles to score away from home historically. With both...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Bishkek City Training data through 2025-09 shows Bishkek City historically stronger in the Kyrgyz Premier League. Home advantage and likely better squad...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under 2.5 Kyrgyz Premier League matches historically have moderate scoring. Bishkek City tends to win with controlled, low-scoring games. Without rece...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Asia Talas +1 Even though Bishkek City is favored, winning by more than one goal is not guaranteed. Asia Talas often loses by narrow margins. The +1 sprea... |
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Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
No
L
Without defensive data or clean sheet records for either team, BTTS is a near coin-flip. Slight edge to No given the absence of evidence tha...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
65%
yes
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, with Asia Talas averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, and Bish...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
W
Both teams likely to attack without strong defensive structure in training knowledge. No injury or lineup information exists. Slight edge to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
No
L
Bishkek City has a strong defense at home, often keeping clean sheets. Asia Talas struggles to score away from home historically. With both...
Match winner
ConsensusBishkek City 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Asia Talas
W
Asia Talas showed attacking strength in a recent 3-1 victory and appears to have momentum heading into this fixture. Limited historical data...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
75%
Asia Talas
W
Asia Talas has a strong away record with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 away matches, while Bishkek City has struggled at home with 1 wi...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Bishkek City
L
Bishkek City are the home side in a domestic fixture with presumed home advantage. No recent form or lineups available in training data thro...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Bishkek City
L
Training data through 2025-09 shows Bishkek City historically stronger in the Kyrgyz Premier League. Home advantage and likely better squad...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Over 2.5
W
Asia Talas' recent 3-1 win demonstrates offensive capability and goal-scoring threat. Without detailed defensive metrics for either team, a...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
70%
over
W
Asia Talas has an average of 2.4 goals scored per match and 1.4 goals conceded, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring games. ([betmines.c...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
W
Lower-league matches in Central Asia often produce open games. Training data shows no specific defensive records for either side. Slight lea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
52%
Under 2.5
L
Kyrgyz Premier League matches historically have moderate scoring. Bishkek City tends to win with controlled, low-scoring games. Without rece...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusTalas / Talas 1/3
Claude Haiku 4.5
42%
Talas / Talas
L
Half-time/Full-time is highly speculative with limited data. Talas/Talas reflects confidence in away team form but with low confidence given...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Asia Talas / Asia Talas
Asia Talas's strong form and away performance suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([footystats.org](https://footy...
Grok 4 Fast
35%
HH
Home side expected to lead at half and full time on average. No specific first-half data in training set. HH is the modal outcome for home f...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
—
Asian handicap
ConsensusBishkek City -0.5 1/3
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Asia Talas -0.5
W
Asia Talas' recent form and away-team status suggest a narrow edge. AH -0.5 reflects the view that Talas is marginally more likely to win or...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
70%
Asia Talas
Asia Talas's superior form and away performance suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([footystats.org](https://footystats.or...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Bishkek City -0.5
L
Standard home favorite pricing in an unknown matchup. No head-to-head or rest data available. Pick mirrors h2h lean.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
—
Spread
ConsensusBishkek City -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
60%
Over -1
Given Asia Talas' recent 3-1 attacking performance and slight favoritism in h2h, -1 spread (implying a 2+ goal margin) is reasonable but not...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
70%
Asia Talas
Asia Talas's superior form and away performance suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([footystats.org](https://footystats.or...
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Bishkek City -1
L
Home advantage exists but margin of victory uncertain for these sides. Training cutoff prevents any form analysis. Slight lean away from hom...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
60%
Asia Talas +1
W
Even though Bishkek City is favored, winning by more than one goal is not guaranteed. Asia Talas often loses by narrow margins. The +1 sprea...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini
Asia Talas
Claude Haiku 4.5
Asia Talas
DeepSeek V3
Bishkek City
Grok 4 Fast
Bishkek City
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
20970d1fb4500a4c…
- Kickoff
- Fri, Jun 12 · 15:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 810,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-12T15:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 12 Jun 2026 15:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Asia Talas",
"home": "Bishkek City"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-12T03:55:21+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
18 tool calls · 1 source
1 citation captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
6 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.