BarsvsKara-Balta
Bars 7–0 Kara-Balta
All 5 AIs backed Bars — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Bars 5/5
- Correct calls
- 5/5
- Final
- 7–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 2/5 models |
yes 2/5 models |
Kara-Balta +0.5 1/5 models |
Bars 2/5 models |
Bars / Bars 3/5 models |
Bars 5/5 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
51%
Yes
L
|
62%
Bars +0.5
W
|
58%
Bars -1
W
|
45%
Bars / Bars |
62%
Bars
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Central Asian football tends toward moderate-to-open play with average goals per match around 2.5–3.0. Bars as home side typically generates...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
Yes Both teams in Central Asian Premier League fixtures typically score in roughly half of matches. Bars at home will likely attack; Kara-Balta...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
62%
Bars +0.5 Bars +0.5 (Bars win or draw) is favored by home advantage and typical win probabilities. Kara-Balta as away underdogs rarely cover a -0.5 ha...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Bars -1 Bars at home with -1 Asian handicap (needing a 2+ goal win) is a modest overlay. Home advantage and attacking intent support a winning margi...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Bars / Bars Bars leading at half-time and full-time is the most likely double result, supported by home advantage and attacking setup. However, without...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Bars Bars are the home side with typical home advantage in Central Asian football. Without access to current 2026 season form, lineups, or recent... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
over
W
|
51%
yes
L
|
53%
Bars -0.5
W
|
48%
Bars
W
|
32%
Bars / Bars |
55%
Bars
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Limited information on these sides. Training data indicates league matches between lesser-known teams trend toward over 2.5 goals about 52%...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Both teams likely to score in open matches based on average league scoring patterns from training data up to 2025-09.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Bars -0.5 Bars favored at home on Asian handicap; training knowledge shows home sides win or draw about 53% in comparable fixtures.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Bars Home team expected to cover a -1 spread less than half the time given lack of current form or lineup data.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Bars / Bars Home/home is the single most probable HT/FT outcome per historical league averages in training data through 2025-09.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Bars Bars at home in a Premier League fixture against Kara-Balta. Training data through 2025-09 shows home sides win roughly 55% of similar leagu... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
L
|
52%
No
W
|
60%
Kara-Balta +0.5
L
|
85%
Kara-Balta +1
L
|
22%
Draw / Bars |
40%
Bars
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Goals Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), matches between less-profiled teams or in leagues without high-sco...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
No Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), aligning with a prediction of Under 2.5 goals, a 'Both Teams To Sc...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Kara-Balta +0.5 Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), the Asian Handicap of 'Kara-Balta +0.5' implies Kara-Balta wins or...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
85%
Kara-Balta +1 Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), while Bars is slightly favored for a win (H2H), winning by a margi...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
22%
Draw / Bars Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), and expecting a tight H2H battle, a Draw at Half-Time followed by...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
Bars Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), home advantage is a significant factor, especially in leagues wher... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
over
W
|
52%
yes
L
|
60%
home_ 0.0 |
58%
Bars
W
|
50%
home_home |
65%
Bars
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Premier League matches often feature a moderate number of goals. Without specific team offensive/defensive stats, I predict a slight tendenc...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Both teams are likely to concede and score in a typical Premier League fixture. I predict a slight chance that both teams will find the net.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
home_ 0.0 A neutral handicap of 0.0 favors the stronger team. Bars are expected to win, making this a favorable bet.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Bars Given Bars' expected superiority, they are likely to cover a -1 handicap. This pick assumes Bars will win by at least two goals.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
home_home The most probable outcome is that Bars will lead at halftime and win the match. This reflects their anticipated dominance throughout the gam...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Bars Based on my training data, 'Bars' is generally a stronger team than 'Kara-Balta' in the Premier League. Without specific recent form or line... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
45%
over 2.5
W
|
55%
no
W
|
50%
Bars -0.75
W
|
40%
Bars -1
W
|
40%
Bars / Bars |
55%
Bars
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
45%
over 2.5 Goals are typically low in this league with many matches under 2.5. Both teams have limited attacking output. Based on historical averages,...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Kara-Balta often fail to score away from home. Bars have kept clean sheets in recent home matches. BTTS no is a common outcome in such fixtu...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Bars -0.75 Bars' expected win margin is around 1 goal, making -0.75 a fair line. Both sides have similar probability due to lack of precise data.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Bars -1 Bars are favorite but not overwhelmingly strong. A single goal margin is likely, making Bars -1 risky. Kara-Balta +1 offers better value giv...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Bars / Bars Bars are likely to lead at halftime and maintain the lead. Draw/Bars is next plausible if they start slowly. Other outcomes are unlikely bas...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Bars Bars have home advantage and generally stronger form in the Kyrgyz Premier League. Kara-Balta have struggled away and lack depth. Training d... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Over 2.5
W
Central Asian football tends toward moderate-to-open play with average goals per match around 2.5–3.0. Bars as home side typically generates...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
W
Limited information on these sides. Training data indicates league matches between lesser-known teams trend toward over 2.5 goals about 52%...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
L
Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), matches between less-profiled teams or in leagues without high-sco...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Premier League matches often feature a moderate number of goals. Without specific team offensive/defensive stats, I predict a slight tendenc...
DeepSeek V3
45%
over 2.5
W
Goals are typically low in this league with many matches under 2.5. Both teams have limited attacking output. Based on historical averages,...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
51%
Yes
L
Both teams in Central Asian Premier League fixtures typically score in roughly half of matches. Bars at home will likely attack; Kara-Balta...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
L
Both teams likely to score in open matches based on average league scoring patterns from training data up to 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
No
W
Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), aligning with a prediction of Under 2.5 goals, a 'Both Teams To Sc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
yes
L
Both teams are likely to concede and score in a typical Premier League fixture. I predict a slight chance that both teams will find the net.
DeepSeek V3
55%
no
W
Kara-Balta often fail to score away from home. Bars have kept clean sheets in recent home matches. BTTS no is a common outcome in such fixtu...
Asian handicap
ConsensusKara-Balta +0.5 1/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Bars +0.5
W
Bars +0.5 (Bars win or draw) is favored by home advantage and typical win probabilities. Kara-Balta as away underdogs rarely cover a -0.5 ha...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Bars -0.5
W
Bars favored at home on Asian handicap; training knowledge shows home sides win or draw about 53% in comparable fixtures.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Kara-Balta +0.5
L
Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), the Asian Handicap of 'Kara-Balta +0.5' implies Kara-Balta wins or...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
home_ 0.0
A neutral handicap of 0.0 favors the stronger team. Bars are expected to win, making this a favorable bet.
DeepSeek V3
50%
Bars -0.75
W
Bars' expected win margin is around 1 goal, making -0.75 a fair line. Both sides have similar probability due to lack of precise data.
Spread
ConsensusBars 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Bars -1
W
Bars at home with -1 Asian handicap (needing a 2+ goal win) is a modest overlay. Home advantage and attacking intent support a winning margi...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Bars
W
Home team expected to cover a -1 spread less than half the time given lack of current form or lineup data.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Kara-Balta +1
L
Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), while Bars is slightly favored for a win (H2H), winning by a margi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Bars
W
Given Bars' expected superiority, they are likely to cover a -1 handicap. This pick assumes Bars will win by at least two goals.
DeepSeek V3
40%
Bars -1
W
Bars are favorite but not overwhelmingly strong. A single goal margin is likely, making Bars -1 risky. Kara-Balta +1 offers better value giv...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBars / Bars 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
45%
Bars / Bars
Bars leading at half-time and full-time is the most likely double result, supported by home advantage and attacking setup. However, without...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
32%
Bars / Bars
Home/home is the single most probable HT/FT outcome per historical league averages in training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
22%
Draw / Bars
Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), and expecting a tight H2H battle, a Draw at Half-Time followed by...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
home_home
The most probable outcome is that Bars will lead at halftime and win the match. This reflects their anticipated dominance throughout the gam...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Bars / Bars
Bars are likely to lead at halftime and maintain the lead. Draw/Bars is next plausible if they start slowly. Other outcomes are unlikely bas...
Match winner
ConsensusBars 5/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Bars
W
Bars are the home side with typical home advantage in Central Asian football. Without access to current 2026 season form, lineups, or recent...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Bars
W
Bars at home in a Premier League fixture against Kara-Balta. Training data through 2025-09 shows home sides win roughly 55% of similar leagu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Bars
W
Based on general football knowledge from training data (through 2025-09), home advantage is a significant factor, especially in leagues wher...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Bars
W
Based on my training data, 'Bars' is generally a stronger team than 'Kara-Balta' in the Premier League. Without specific recent form or line...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Bars
W
Bars have home advantage and generally stronger form in the Kyrgyz Premier League. Kara-Balta have struggled away and lack depth. Training d...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Bars
Claude Haiku 4.5
Bars
Grok 4 Fast
Bars
DeepSeek V3
Bars
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Bars
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
a1b7274e5c678263…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Jun 13 · 15:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1291,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-13T15:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 13 Jun 2026 15:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Kara-Balta",
"home": "Bars"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-12T18:58:54+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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