Arba Minch KenemavsSuhul Shire
Arba Minch Kenema 2–0 Suhul Shire
All 6 AIs backed Arba Minch Kenema — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Arba Minch Kenema 6/6
- Correct calls
- 6/6
- Final
- 2–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
6 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Arba Minch Kenema 42% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Suhul Shire +0.5 2/6 models |
Suhul Shire +1 3/6 models |
Under 2.5 3/6 models |
No 3/6 models |
Draw / Draw 2/6 models |
Arba Minch Kenema 6/6 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | — | — | — | — | — | Arba Minch Kenema 42% | |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
54%
Arba Minch Kenema -0.5
W
|
52%
Arba Minch Kenema
W
|
62%
Under 2.5
W
|
56%
No
W
|
48%
Arba Minch Kenema / Arba Minch Kenema |
58%
Arba Minch Kenema
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Arba Minch Kenema -0.5 Asian handicap at -0.5 (home team effectively needs to avoid a loss) aligns better with home advantage than a -1 spread. The home team typic...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Arba Minch Kenema Spreads at -1 require the home team to win by at least 2 goals. Home advantage typically provides modest support (roughly 50–55% of matches)...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 2.5 Without reliable squad data, injury reports, or recent match statistics, I default to the empirical observation that lower-tier or less prom...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
No With no attacking or defensive metrics, I assume both-teams-to-score is less likely than one team dominating or one team being significantly...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Arba Minch Kenema / Arba Minch Kenema Half-time/full-time outcomes are highly fragmented when form is unknown. Home team winning both halves is the single most likely scenario un...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Arba Minch Kenema Both teams appear to be from Ethiopian football based on naming conventions, but neither is part of the actual Premier League. This match is... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 6 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
57%
Arba Minch Kenema -0.5
W
|
55%
Arba Minch Kenema
W
|
53%
over
L
|
52%
no
W
|
41%
Arba Minch Kenema / Arba Minch Kenema |
58%
Arba Minch Kenema
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
Arba Minch Kenema -0.5 Asian handicap favors the home side given the venue and lack of contrary information on Suhul Shire. A narrow home win is the base case. Tra...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Arba Minch Kenema Home advantage and presumed quality gap make a -1 spread on Arba Minch Kenema the logical selection. Away side unlikely to keep the margin u...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Ethiopian league matches between mid-table sides often feature open play leading to three or more goals. Limited rest or defensive organizat...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Home side likely controls the match and limits clear chances for the visitors. Lower league quality often produces one-sided affairs where o...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
41%
Arba Minch Kenema / Arba Minch Kenema Home team expected to take an early lead and maintain control through the second half. Ethiopian league games rarely see dramatic comebacks...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema are the home side in this Ethiopian Premier League fixture and hold a presumed edge based on typical home advantage in the... |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
53%
Arba Minch Kenema |
45%
Suhul Shire +1
L
|
60%
Under 2.5
W
|
55%
No
W
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
35%
Arba Minch Kenema
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Arba Minch Kenema Assuming an Asian Handicap 0.0 (Draw No Bet) due to the unspecified line, I marginally favor the home team, Arba Minch Kenema. This is based...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Suhul Shire +1 Without current information on team strengths for 2026, predicting Arba Minch Kenema to win by a margin of two or more goals is highly specu...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under 2.5 In the absence of contemporary data regarding the attacking or defensive capabilities of either Arba Minch Kenema or Suhul Shire for 2026, I...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Consistent with the expectation of a lower-scoring game, it is plausible that at least one team will fail to score. This often correlates wi...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Given the lack of current team form and tactical information for 2026, predicting both half-time and full-time outcomes is highly speculativ...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
35%
Arba Minch Kenema Without specific recent form or squad information for 2026, I lean towards a slight home advantage for Arba Minch Kenema in this Premier Lea... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
50%
away_ +0.25 |
45%
Arba Minch Kenema
W
|
55%
over
L
|
52%
yes
L
|
35%
draw_draw |
45%
Arba Minch Kenema
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
away_ +0.25 The odds suggest a very close match, with a slight lean towards the away team with a small handicap. This pick accounts for the possibility...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema is predicted to win, but not by a margin of two goals. The spread of -1 suggests a closer contest than a comfortable home...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Training data indicates that matches involving these teams, particularly when Arba Minch Kenema is at home, tend to be moderately scoring. I...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Given the historical scoring tendencies and the fact that both teams can concede, the probability of both teams scoring is slightly higher....
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
draw_draw Given the lack of specific team form and the tendency for both teams to play cautiously, a draw at halftime and potentially at full-time is...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Arba Minch Kenema Based on training data, Arba Minch Kenema typically performs better at home, and their historical performance suggests a slight edge over Su... |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Suhul Shire +0.5
L
|
60%
Suhul Shire +1
L
|
50%
Over 2.5
L
|
40%
Yes
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
45%
Arba Minch Kenema
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Suhul Shire +0.5 The away team is expected to be slightly undervalued due to lack of information. The +0.5 handicap covers a draw or win, which seems plausib...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Suhul Shire +1 Given the uncertainty, it's safer to assume Suhul Shire will not lose by more than one goal. The away team is likely to be competitive, maki...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
50%
Over 2.5 Typical Ethiopian Premier League matches have moderate scoring, but without specific stats for these teams, a balanced probability is most a...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
40%
Yes Without reliable form data, both teams scoring is less likely given typical lower-scoring trends in the league. The baseline probability lea...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw With no strong form indicators, a low-scoring stalemate at halftime and fulltime is the most likely single outcome among the nine possibilit...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Arba Minch Kenema Based on training data until October 2025, Arba Minch Kenema typically has home advantage in the Ethiopian Premier League but lacks consiste... |
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Asian handicap
ConsensusSuhul Shire +0.5 2/6
Asian handicap at -0.5 (home team effectively needs to avoid a loss) aligns better with home advantage than a -1 spread. The home team typic...
Asian handicap favors the home side given the venue and lack of contrary information on Suhul Shire. A narrow home win is the base case. Tra...
Assuming an Asian Handicap 0.0 (Draw No Bet) due to the unspecified line, I marginally favor the home team, Arba Minch Kenema. This is based...
The odds suggest a very close match, with a slight lean towards the away team with a small handicap. This pick accounts for the possibility...
The away team is expected to be slightly undervalued due to lack of information. The +0.5 handicap covers a draw or win, which seems plausib...
Spread
ConsensusSuhul Shire +1 3/6
Spreads at -1 require the home team to win by at least 2 goals. Home advantage typically provides modest support (roughly 50–55% of matches)...
Home advantage and presumed quality gap make a -1 spread on Arba Minch Kenema the logical selection. Away side unlikely to keep the margin u...
Without current information on team strengths for 2026, predicting Arba Minch Kenema to win by a margin of two or more goals is highly specu...
Arba Minch Kenema is predicted to win, but not by a margin of two goals. The spread of -1 suggests a closer contest than a comfortable home...
Given the uncertainty, it's safer to assume Suhul Shire will not lose by more than one goal. The away team is likely to be competitive, maki...
Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 2.5 3/6
Without reliable squad data, injury reports, or recent match statistics, I default to the empirical observation that lower-tier or less prom...
Ethiopian league matches between mid-table sides often feature open play leading to three or more goals. Limited rest or defensive organizat...
In the absence of contemporary data regarding the attacking or defensive capabilities of either Arba Minch Kenema or Suhul Shire for 2026, I...
Training data indicates that matches involving these teams, particularly when Arba Minch Kenema is at home, tend to be moderately scoring. I...
Typical Ethiopian Premier League matches have moderate scoring, but without specific stats for these teams, a balanced probability is most a...
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 3/6
With no attacking or defensive metrics, I assume both-teams-to-score is less likely than one team dominating or one team being significantly...
Home side likely controls the match and limits clear chances for the visitors. Lower league quality often produces one-sided affairs where o...
Consistent with the expectation of a lower-scoring game, it is plausible that at least one team will fail to score. This often correlates wi...
Given the historical scoring tendencies and the fact that both teams can concede, the probability of both teams scoring is slightly higher....
Without reliable form data, both teams scoring is less likely given typical lower-scoring trends in the league. The baseline probability lea...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 2/6
Half-time/full-time outcomes are highly fragmented when form is unknown. Home team winning both halves is the single most likely scenario un...
Home team expected to take an early lead and maintain control through the second half. Ethiopian league games rarely see dramatic comebacks...
Given the lack of current team form and tactical information for 2026, predicting both half-time and full-time outcomes is highly speculativ...
Given the lack of specific team form and the tendency for both teams to play cautiously, a draw at halftime and potentially at full-time is...
With no strong form indicators, a low-scoring stalemate at halftime and fulltime is the most likely single outcome among the nine possibilit...
Match winner
ConsensusArba Minch Kenema 6/6
Both teams appear to be from Ethiopian football based on naming conventions, but neither is part of the actual Premier League. This match is...
Arba Minch Kenema are the home side in this Ethiopian Premier League fixture and hold a presumed edge based on typical home advantage in the...
Without specific recent form or squad information for 2026, I lean towards a slight home advantage for Arba Minch Kenema in this Premier Lea...
Based on training data, Arba Minch Kenema typically performs better at home, and their historical performance suggests a slight edge over Su...
Based on training data until October 2025, Arba Minch Kenema typically has home advantage in the Ethiopian Premier League but lacks consiste...
Bookmaker line: Arba Minch Kenema 42%
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerClaude Haiku 4.5
Arba Minch Kenema
Grok 4 Fast
Arba Minch Kenema
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Arba Minch Kenema
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Arba Minch Kenema
DeepSeek V3
Arba Minch Kenema
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Arba Minch Kenema
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
11 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Arba Minch Kenema | Draw | Suhul Shire |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | 2.84 | — |
| Bet365 | — | 2.75 | — |
| 10bet | — | 2.80 | — |
| 1xbet | — | 2.81 | — |
| Betano | — | 2.85 | — |
| Betfair | — | 2.80 | — |
| Betvictor | — | 2.80 | — |
| Dafabet | — | 2.80 | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.81 | — |
| Superbet | — | 2.85 | — |
| William-hill | — | 2.62 | — |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Superbet | — | — | — |
| William-hill | — | — | — |
| Book | Arba Minch Kenema | Suhul Shire |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betano | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
0112162554efa597…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Jun 15 · 12:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1833,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-15T12:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 15 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Suhul Shire",
"home": "Arba Minch Kenema"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T06:14:04+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.