VillarrealvsNapoli
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 2 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Napoli 1/2 models |
Napoli -0.25 1/2 models |
Villarreal 1/2 models |
Over 2.5 1/2 models |
no 1/2 models |
Napoli -1 1/2 models |
Draw / Villarreal 1/2 models |
2-1 1/2 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
42%
Napoli |
51%
Napoli -0.25 |
55%
Napoli |
53%
under |
52%
no |
38%
Napoli -1 |
29%
Draw / Napoli |
18%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Napoli Napoli's superior squad depth and recent European pedigree give them the edge even away from home. Villarreal's home form has been inconsist...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Napoli -0.25 The half-goal handicap reflects Napoli's slight favoritism while accounting for Villarreal's home resilience. Low expected goal volume favor...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Napoli Napoli's better underlying metrics and attacking quality outweigh Villarreal's home advantage. The three rest days for both sides reduce fat...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both teams average under 2.8 goals per game in recent European matches and set-piece efficiency is moderate. The 3-day turnaround and likely...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Napoli's low concession rate on the road and Villarreal's patchy finishing suggest a clean sheet is probable. Both sides show defensive orga...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
38%
Napoli -1 Napoli are expected to win by one goal on average given squad quality gap. Villarreal rarely keep clean sheets against top Italian sides. Tr...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Napoli Napoli tend to start cautiously away and accelerate after half-time. Villarreal's home record shows frequent first-half draws. Training data...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 A narrow Napoli win is the modal outcome given their defensive record and Villarreal's home scoring pattern. Low totals align with expected... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
42%
Napoli |
51%
Napoli -0.25 |
55%
Napoli |
53%
under |
52%
no |
38%
Napoli -1 |
29%
Draw / Napoli |
18%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Napoli Napoli's superior squad depth and recent European pedigree give them the edge even away from home. Villarreal's home form has been inconsist...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Napoli -0.25 The half-goal handicap reflects Napoli's slight favoritism while accounting for Villarreal's home resilience. Low expected goal volume favor...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Napoli Napoli's better underlying metrics and attacking quality outweigh Villarreal's home advantage. The three rest days for both sides reduce fat...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both teams average under 2.8 goals per game in recent European matches and set-piece efficiency is moderate. The 3-day turnaround and likely...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Napoli's low concession rate on the road and Villarreal's patchy finishing suggest a clean sheet is probable. Both sides show defensive orga...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
38%
Napoli -1 Napoli are expected to win by one goal on average given squad quality gap. Villarreal rarely keep clean sheets against top Italian sides. Tr...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Napoli Napoli tend to start cautiously away and accelerate after half-time. Villarreal's home record shows frequent first-half draws. Training data...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 A narrow Napoli win is the modal outcome given their defensive record and Villarreal's home scoring pattern. Low totals align with expected... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
42%
Villarreal |
58%
Napoli +0.5 |
57%
Villarreal |
55%
Over 2.5 |
57%
Yes |
22%
Villarreal -1 |
20%
Draw / Villarreal |
13%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Villarreal No live tool access, so this is based on training data through 2025-09 plus the supplied reference form. Villarreal at La Cerámica in a Cham...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Napoli +0.5 Getting half a goal on Napoli in Spain is attractive. They are the stronger squad on paper, defensively solid, and even a narrow draw covers...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
57%
Villarreal Removing the draw, the home advantage at La Cerámica plus Villarreal's scoring output tips the balance their way. Napoli's defensive record...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Villarreal's home games have produced goals (16 in 5 combined), while Napoli combine a solid defence with a real attacking threat. Both team...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
Yes Both sides carry genuine attacking quality and Villarreal's home record shows they concede as well as score. Napoli have the tools to break...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
22%
Villarreal -1 Backing the home side to win by two or more is a long shot against a Napoli team that rarely loses heavily. The handicap is priced aggressiv...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Villarreal Champions League nights at La Cerámica often start cagey, with the home side finding a breakthrough after the interval. I weight the draw-to...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 A narrow home win with both teams scoring fits the pattern of Villarreal's home games and Napoli's ability to grab an away goal. 1-1 is the... |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
42%
Villarreal |
58%
Napoli +0.5 |
57%
Villarreal |
55%
Over 2.5 |
57%
Yes |
22%
Villarreal -1 |
20%
Draw / Villarreal |
13%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Villarreal No live tool access, so this is based on training data through 2025-09 plus the supplied reference form. Villarreal at La Cerámica in a Cham...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Napoli +0.5 Getting half a goal on Napoli in Spain is attractive. They are the stronger squad on paper, defensively solid, and even a narrow draw covers...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
57%
Villarreal Removing the draw, the home advantage at La Cerámica plus Villarreal's scoring output tips the balance their way. Napoli's defensive record...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Villarreal's home games have produced goals (16 in 5 combined), while Napoli combine a solid defence with a real attacking threat. Both team...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
Yes Both sides carry genuine attacking quality and Villarreal's home record shows they concede as well as score. Napoli have the tools to break...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
22%
Villarreal -1 Backing the home side to win by two or more is a long shot against a Napoli team that rarely loses heavily. The handicap is priced aggressiv...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Villarreal Champions League nights at La Cerámica often start cagey, with the home side finding a breakthrough after the interval. I weight the draw-to...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 A narrow home win with both teams scoring fits the pattern of Villarreal's home games and Napoli's ability to grab an away goal. 1-1 is the... |
|||||||||
Match winner
ConsensusNapoli 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Napoli
Napoli's superior squad depth and recent European pedigree give them the edge even away from home. Villarreal's home form has been inconsist...
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Napoli
Napoli's superior squad depth and recent European pedigree give them the edge even away from home. Villarreal's home form has been inconsist...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
42%
Villarreal
No live tool access, so this is based on training data through 2025-09 plus the supplied reference form. Villarreal at La Cerámica in a Cham...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Villarreal
No live tool access, so this is based on training data through 2025-09 plus the supplied reference form. Villarreal at La Cerámica in a Cham...
Asian handicap
ConsensusNapoli -0.25 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Napoli -0.25
The half-goal handicap reflects Napoli's slight favoritism while accounting for Villarreal's home resilience. Low expected goal volume favor...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Napoli -0.25
The half-goal handicap reflects Napoli's slight favoritism while accounting for Villarreal's home resilience. Low expected goal volume favor...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
58%
Napoli +0.5
Getting half a goal on Napoli in Spain is attractive. They are the stronger squad on paper, defensively solid, and even a narrow draw covers...
DeepSeek V3
58%
Napoli +0.5
Getting half a goal on Napoli in Spain is attractive. They are the stronger squad on paper, defensively solid, and even a narrow draw covers...
Draw no bet
ConsensusVillarreal 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Napoli
Napoli's better underlying metrics and attacking quality outweigh Villarreal's home advantage. The three rest days for both sides reduce fat...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Napoli
Napoli's better underlying metrics and attacking quality outweigh Villarreal's home advantage. The three rest days for both sides reduce fat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
57%
Villarreal
Removing the draw, the home advantage at La Cerámica plus Villarreal's scoring output tips the balance their way. Napoli's defensive record...
DeepSeek V3
57%
Villarreal
Removing the draw, the home advantage at La Cerámica plus Villarreal's scoring output tips the balance their way. Napoli's defensive record...
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 2.5 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
Both teams average under 2.8 goals per game in recent European matches and set-piece efficiency is moderate. The 3-day turnaround and likely...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
Both teams average under 2.8 goals per game in recent European matches and set-piece efficiency is moderate. The 3-day turnaround and likely...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 2.5
Villarreal's home games have produced goals (16 in 5 combined), while Napoli combine a solid defence with a real attacking threat. Both team...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 2.5
Villarreal's home games have produced goals (16 in 5 combined), while Napoli combine a solid defence with a real attacking threat. Both team...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
no
Napoli's low concession rate on the road and Villarreal's patchy finishing suggest a clean sheet is probable. Both sides show defensive orga...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
no
Napoli's low concession rate on the road and Villarreal's patchy finishing suggest a clean sheet is probable. Both sides show defensive orga...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
57%
Yes
Both sides carry genuine attacking quality and Villarreal's home record shows they concede as well as score. Napoli have the tools to break...
DeepSeek V3
57%
Yes
Both sides carry genuine attacking quality and Villarreal's home record shows they concede as well as score. Napoli have the tools to break...
Spread
ConsensusNapoli -1 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Napoli -1
Napoli are expected to win by one goal on average given squad quality gap. Villarreal rarely keep clean sheets against top Italian sides. Tr...
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Napoli -1
Napoli are expected to win by one goal on average given squad quality gap. Villarreal rarely keep clean sheets against top Italian sides. Tr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
22%
Villarreal -1
Backing the home side to win by two or more is a long shot against a Napoli team that rarely loses heavily. The handicap is priced aggressiv...
DeepSeek V3
22%
Villarreal -1
Backing the home side to win by two or more is a long shot against a Napoli team that rarely loses heavily. The handicap is priced aggressiv...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Villarreal 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Napoli
Napoli tend to start cautiously away and accelerate after half-time. Villarreal's home record shows frequent first-half draws. Training data...
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Napoli
Napoli tend to start cautiously away and accelerate after half-time. Villarreal's home record shows frequent first-half draws. Training data...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Villarreal
Champions League nights at La Cerámica often start cagey, with the home side finding a breakthrough after the interval. I weight the draw-to...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Villarreal
Champions League nights at La Cerámica often start cagey, with the home side finding a breakthrough after the interval. I weight the draw-to...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
A narrow Napoli win is the modal outcome given their defensive record and Villarreal's home scoring pattern. Low totals align with expected...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
A narrow Napoli win is the modal outcome given their defensive record and Villarreal's home scoring pattern. Low totals align with expected...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
13%
2-1
A narrow home win with both teams scoring fits the pattern of Villarreal's home games and Napoli's ability to grab an away goal. 1-1 is the...
DeepSeek V3
13%
2-1
A narrow home win with both teams scoring fits the pattern of Villarreal's home games and Napoli's ability to grab an away goal. 1-1 is the...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Napoli
Grok 4 Fast
Napoli
DeepSeek V3
Villarreal
DeepSeek V3
Villarreal
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Call the exact final score
Free account. Pick the exact final score, lock it before kickoff, beat the AI consensus across the WC and win a lifetime free plan.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
22ce4934ee970e50…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Oct 13 · 19:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 58693,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Estadio de la Cerámica",
"league": "UEFA Champions League",
"starts_at": "2026-10-13T19:00:00+02:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 13 Oct 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Napoli",
"home": "Villarreal"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDWWL",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 2
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWWWL",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 3
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.