USA vs Netherlands
NKickoff · Sun, Jun 14 · 18:00 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
7275adb18fc25f52…
- Sport
- Sun, Jun 14 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 1. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 1, in this order): h2h
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 4514,
"sport": "cricket",
"venue": null,
"league": "One Day Internationals",
"starts_at": "2026-06-14T14:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 14 Jun 2026 14:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Netherlands",
"home": "USA"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-13T18:58:00+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 2.2,
"home": 1.8
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.68,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.64,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Netherlands"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
AI predictions
1 markets · 6 models picked
Who picked what
15 models × 1 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: USA 56% |
|
|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic · 4-5 -1.2u |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 5-5 -0.3u |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Opus 4 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 125-128 -87.1u |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u |
58%
USA
~1.80
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
USA USA is playing at home (or hosts more often in ODI series) and holds a structural advantage in ODI cricket where home conditions favour esta...
Odds: 1.80
Edge: +2.4%
|
||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
||
|
o3 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
Grok 4 Heavy FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u |
58%
USA
~1.80
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
USA USA enters as the home side with improving associate-nation pedigree from 2024-2025 cycles. Netherlands remains competitive but has shown in...
Odds: 1.80
Edge: +2.4%
|
||
Gemini 2.5 Pro FlagshipGoogle · 4-7 -1.8u |
Flagship picks across 1 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u |
53%
Netherlands
~2.20
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
53%
Netherlands This prediction relies on training data available prior to June 2026, as no live access or specific team news for this future match date is...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +7.5%
|
||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u |
60%
USA
~1.80
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
USA The USA has shown recent improvement in One Day International cricket and is playing at home in this series. While both teams are relatively...
Odds: 1.80
Edge: +4.4%
2 sources cited
|
||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u |
55%
Netherlands
~2.20
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Netherlands Training data through October 2025 shows the Netherlands have a stronger ODI pedigree and more experience at associate level, while the US i...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +9.6%
|
||
|
Consensus |
USA 4/6 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
USA 56% |
|
Ask the AIs · Post-match analysis
Reverse-engineer the match
Ask any AI to explain what happened or grade the consensus call.
Sign in to ask the AIs about this match. Pro adds in-play + post-match calls, alerts, and the reasoning behind every pick.
Bookmaker odds
10 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | USA | Draw | Netherlands |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draftkings ↗ | 1.69 | — | 2.15 |
| Boylesports | 1.80 | — | 1.91 |
| Casumo | 1.64 | — | 2.20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64 | — | 2.20 |
| Leovegas | 1.64 | — | 2.20 |
| Leovegas Se | 1.64 | — | 2.20 |
| Livescorebet | 1.64 | — | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | — | 2.08 |
| Unibet Se | 1.64 | — | 2.20 |
| Virginbet | 1.64 | — | 2.20 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|
| Book | USA | Netherlands |
|---|
Line movement (h2h)
Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first
USA Netherlands
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.