TwentevsQarabag
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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| Consensus |
Twente 2/5 models |
Twente -0.5 1/5 models |
yes 3/5 models |
Twente 3/5 models |
Twente 3/5 models |
over 3/5 models |
Draw / Qarabag 2/5 models |
2-1 3/5 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
50%
Twente |
50%
Twente |
55%
yes |
48%
Twente |
55%
Twente |
60%
over |
50%
Twente / Twente |
25%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Twente Given the close nature of the match, a one-goal margin of victory is plausible, making the home team a slight favorite to cover the spread.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Twente With the match expected to be closely contested, the home team is slightly favored to win, making the Asian handicap market lean towards the...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities, suggesting a higher probability of both teams scoring in this match.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Twente Twente's home advantage and recent form, including a 3-1 victory over PEC Zwolle, suggest a slight edge over Qarabag. ([idman.biz](https://w...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Twente Considering Twente's home advantage and recent form, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market lean towards the home team.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown the ability to score multiple goals in recent matches, indicating a likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this encounter.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Twente / Twente Twente's home advantage and recent form suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime, though the match could be competitive...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-1 Considering Twente's home advantage and recent form, a 2-1 victory for the home team is a plausible outcome, though other scorelines are als...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
38%
Qarabag -1 |
51%
Qarabag +0.25 |
52%
no |
42%
Qarabag |
48%
Qarabag |
55%
under |
29%
Draw / Qarabag |
18%
1-2 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
38%
Qarabag -1 Qarabag are expected to edge the match but a -1 spread is ambitious given Twente's home resilience. The visitors' last five away games produ...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Qarabag +0.25 Asian line at +0.25 for Qarabag captures the draw probability while reflecting their slight quality edge. Twente's mixed home form and Qarab...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Qarabag's away record shows only two goals conceded in five matches and they rarely concede first. Twente's home scoring is spread across mu...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Qarabag Qarabag have shown strong away form in recent European ties while Twente's home record is inconsistent. With only 3-4 rest days the fixture...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
Qarabag Draw no bet removes the draw risk where Qarabag have historically been resilient on the road. Twente conceded seven in five home matches whi...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both sides average under 2.5 goals in recent away/home European fixtures and set-piece threats are balanced. De Grolsch Veste tends to produ...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Qarabag Qarabag typically start cautiously away and accelerate after halftime. Twente often dominate early possession at home without converting. Th...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Most probable scorelines cluster around 1-1 and 0-1 given defensive away records. Qarabag's ability to nick late goals edges the 1-2 outcome... |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
50%
Qarabag +1 |
55%
Qarabag +0.5 |
58%
yes |
45%
Twente |
64%
Twente |
55%
over |
25%
Draw / Twente |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Qarabag +1 Twente winning by two or more goals against a defensively robust Qarabag side in a European fixture is a tough ask. Qarabag's ability to kee...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Qarabag +0.5 Qarabag +0.5 means Qarabag wins the bet if they draw or win the match outright. Given their strong defensive record and tendency for tight g...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Twente's attacking nature makes them likely to score, and their defense has shown vulnerabilities by conceding in 3 of their last 5 matches....
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Twente Twente, playing at home, is expected to be the slight favorite, leveraging their attacking style and the home advantage. However, Qarabag's...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
64%
Twente Removing the draw option, Twente remains the favored side due to their home advantage and offensive capabilities. Qarabag's defensive streng...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Twente's recent home matches have seen a high number of goals, averaging 4 goals per game in their last five. While Qarabag's matches tend t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Twente Considering Qarabag's defensive solidity, the first half is likely to be a cagey affair, potentially ending in a draw. However, Twente's hom...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 A 2-1 scoreline for Twente reflects their attacking home form and Qarabag's ability to score, even against strong opposition. It aligns with... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
51%
Qarabag |
51%
away_ 0.0 |
53%
no |
51%
Qarabag |
52%
Qarabag |
55%
under |
32%
Draw / Qarabag |
15%
0-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Qarabag Qarabag is favored to win this match by at least one goal. Their consistent form and defensive solidity suggest they have the edge over Twen...
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
away_ 0.0 Qarabag is slightly favored given their stronger recent form and defensive record. They have a good chance of securing at least a draw, maki...
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
no Qarabag's strong defensive record suggests they are capable of keeping a clean sheet, particularly away from home. Twente's inconsistent att...
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
51%
Qarabag Qarabag has a superior recent form and a stronger defensive record compared to Twente. While Twente has a home advantage, Qarabag's consiste...
4 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
52%
Qarabag Given Qarabag's recent form and defensive solidity, they are favored to get at least a draw. Their away performance in European qualifiers h...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both teams have shown defensive capabilities in their recent matches, with Qarabag particularly strong in conceding few goals. Twente's home...
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Draw / Qarabag Qarabag is expected to be the stronger side, but Twente might hold their own in the first half at home. A draw at halftime followed by an aw...
4 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-1 Considering Qarabag's strong defense and Twente's inconsistent attack, a low-scoring game is anticipated. A 0-1 victory for Qarabag reflects...
4 sources cited
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
35%
Twente |
45%
Twente -0.5 |
52%
yes |
45%
Twente |
55%
Twente |
55%
over |
22%
home_home |
12%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
35%
Twente The -1 spread means Twente must win by 2+. Twente's inconsistency and Qarabag's defensive solidity make a two-goal margin unlikely. Qarabag...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Twente -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 is essentially a home win. Twente have a slight edge at home, but Qarabag's form suggests they might avoid defeat. The h...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Twente score and concede regularly, while Qarabag are defensively solid but can be breached. Historically both teams have scored in similar...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Twente Twente have home advantage and higher scoring output recently, but their form is inconsistent. Qarabag are solid defensively and in good for...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Twente With the draw removed, Twente's home advantage and attacking threat give them a slight edge. Qarabag are solid but may struggle to break dow...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Twente have been involved in high-scoring games recently (13 scored, 7 conceded in 5). Qarabag are more defensive but Twente's attacking sty...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
22%
home_home Twente often start fast but can fade; Qarabag are resilient. The most likely half-time/full-time outcome is a home win throughout, but a dra...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Considering Twente's scoring power and Qarabag's defensive solidity, a 2-1 home win is a common outcome. Other plausible scores include 1-1... |
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Spread
ConsensusTwente 2/5
Given the close nature of the match, a one-goal margin of victory is plausible, making the home team a slight favorite to cover the spread.
Qarabag are expected to edge the match but a -1 spread is ambitious given Twente's home resilience. The visitors' last five away games produ...
Twente winning by two or more goals against a defensively robust Qarabag side in a European fixture is a tough ask. Qarabag's ability to kee...
Qarabag is favored to win this match by at least one goal. Their consistent form and defensive solidity suggest they have the edge over Twen...
The -1 spread means Twente must win by 2+. Twente's inconsistency and Qarabag's defensive solidity make a two-goal margin unlikely. Qarabag...
Asian handicap
ConsensusTwente -0.5 1/5
With the match expected to be closely contested, the home team is slightly favored to win, making the Asian handicap market lean towards the...
Asian line at +0.25 for Qarabag captures the draw probability while reflecting their slight quality edge. Twente's mixed home form and Qarab...
Qarabag +0.5 means Qarabag wins the bet if they draw or win the match outright. Given their strong defensive record and tendency for tight g...
Qarabag is slightly favored given their stronger recent form and defensive record. They have a good chance of securing at least a draw, maki...
Asian handicap -0.5 is essentially a home win. Twente have a slight edge at home, but Qarabag's form suggests they might avoid defeat. The h...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/5
Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities, suggesting a higher probability of both teams scoring in this match.
Qarabag's away record shows only two goals conceded in five matches and they rarely concede first. Twente's home scoring is spread across mu...
Twente's attacking nature makes them likely to score, and their defense has shown vulnerabilities by conceding in 3 of their last 5 matches....
Qarabag's strong defensive record suggests they are capable of keeping a clean sheet, particularly away from home. Twente's inconsistent att...
Twente score and concede regularly, while Qarabag are defensively solid but can be breached. Historically both teams have scored in similar...
Match winner
ConsensusTwente 3/5
Twente's home advantage and recent form, including a 3-1 victory over PEC Zwolle, suggest a slight edge over Qarabag. ([idman.biz](https://w...
Qarabag have shown strong away form in recent European ties while Twente's home record is inconsistent. With only 3-4 rest days the fixture...
Twente, playing at home, is expected to be the slight favorite, leveraging their attacking style and the home advantage. However, Qarabag's...
Qarabag has a superior recent form and a stronger defensive record compared to Twente. While Twente has a home advantage, Qarabag's consiste...
Twente have home advantage and higher scoring output recently, but their form is inconsistent. Qarabag are solid defensively and in good for...
Draw no bet
ConsensusTwente 3/5
Considering Twente's home advantage and recent form, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market lean towards the home team.
Draw no bet removes the draw risk where Qarabag have historically been resilient on the road. Twente conceded seven in five home matches whi...
Removing the draw option, Twente remains the favored side due to their home advantage and offensive capabilities. Qarabag's defensive streng...
Given Qarabag's recent form and defensive solidity, they are favored to get at least a draw. Their away performance in European qualifiers h...
With the draw removed, Twente's home advantage and attacking threat give them a slight edge. Qarabag are solid but may struggle to break dow...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/5
Both teams have shown the ability to score multiple goals in recent matches, indicating a likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this encounter.
Both sides average under 2.5 goals in recent away/home European fixtures and set-piece threats are balanced. De Grolsch Veste tends to produ...
Twente's recent home matches have seen a high number of goals, averaging 4 goals per game in their last five. While Qarabag's matches tend t...
Both teams have shown defensive capabilities in their recent matches, with Qarabag particularly strong in conceding few goals. Twente's home...
Twente have been involved in high-scoring games recently (13 scored, 7 conceded in 5). Qarabag are more defensive but Twente's attacking sty...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Qarabag 2/5
Twente's home advantage and recent form suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime, though the match could be competitive...
Qarabag typically start cautiously away and accelerate after halftime. Twente often dominate early possession at home without converting. Th...
Considering Qarabag's defensive solidity, the first half is likely to be a cagey affair, potentially ending in a draw. However, Twente's hom...
Qarabag is expected to be the stronger side, but Twente might hold their own in the first half at home. A draw at halftime followed by an aw...
Twente often start fast but can fade; Qarabag are resilient. The most likely half-time/full-time outcome is a home win throughout, but a dra...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 3/5
Considering Twente's home advantage and recent form, a 2-1 victory for the home team is a plausible outcome, though other scorelines are als...
Most probable scorelines cluster around 1-1 and 0-1 given defensive away records. Qarabag's ability to nick late goals edges the 1-2 outcome...
A 2-1 scoreline for Twente reflects their attacking home form and Qarabag's ability to score, even against strong opposition. It aligns with...
Considering Qarabag's strong defense and Twente's inconsistent attack, a low-scoring game is anticipated. A 0-1 victory for Qarabag reflects...
Considering Twente's scoring power and Qarabag's defensive solidity, a 2-1 home win is a common outcome. Other plausible scores include 1-1...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerGemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Qarabag
GPT-4o Mini
Twente
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Twente
DeepSeek V3
Twente
Grok 4 Fast
Qarabag
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
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Near kickoffRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
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Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
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Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
14e32f5cce6269af…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 20 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 27962,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "De Grolsch Veste",
"league": "UEFA Europa Conference League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-20T18:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 20 Aug 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Qarabag",
"home": "Twente"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLDD",
"record": "2W-2D-1L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 2
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDLWL",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 13,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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