TolucavsSantos Laguna
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 2 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Toluca 2/2 models |
2-1 2/2 models |
Toluca 2/2 models |
over 2/2 models |
yes 2/2 models |
Toluca 1/2 models |
Toluca -1 1/2 models |
Toluca / Toluca 2/2 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
72%
Toluca |
18%
2-1 |
80%
Toluca |
56%
over |
53%
yes |
65%
Toluca |
62%
Toluca -1 |
48%
Toluca / Toluca |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Toluca Toluca enter with a perfect 5W-0D-0L home record and 14 goals scored against only 4 conceded. Santos Laguna show mixed away form of 2W-1D-2L...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Toluca's 2.8 goals per home game and Santos' leaky defense point to a 2-1 or 3-1 result. Training data through 2023 indicates these scores d...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Toluca Toluca's home dominance and superior recent scoring output make them the clear side to back without the draw. Santos have only managed 4 goa...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
over Toluca average nearly 3 goals per home game in their current streak while Santos concede regularly on the road. Fixture offers attacking qua...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Both sides have scored in most recent outings and Toluca's high-scoring home games often see responses from visitors. Santos netted in 3 of...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Toluca Toluca's 10-goal home advantage in recent results supports covering a -1 spread. Santos struggle to keep clean sheets away. Training data th...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
62%
Toluca -1 Home side's scoring rate and clean-sheet record at Estadio Nemesio Diez make -1 the value selection. Santos have lost two of their last five...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca typically establish leads early at home and maintain them given their form. Santos away record suggests limited comeback ability. Tra... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
72%
Toluca |
18%
2-1 |
80%
Toluca |
56%
over |
53%
yes |
65%
Toluca |
62%
Toluca -1 |
48%
Toluca / Toluca |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Toluca Toluca enter with a perfect 5W-0D-0L home record and 14 goals scored against only 4 conceded. Santos Laguna show mixed away form of 2W-1D-2L...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Toluca's 2.8 goals per home game and Santos' leaky defense point to a 2-1 or 3-1 result. Training data through 2023 indicates these scores d...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Toluca Toluca's home dominance and superior recent scoring output make them the clear side to back without the draw. Santos have only managed 4 goa...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
over Toluca average nearly 3 goals per home game in their current streak while Santos concede regularly on the road. Fixture offers attacking qua...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Both sides have scored in most recent outings and Toluca's high-scoring home games often see responses from visitors. Santos netted in 3 of...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Toluca Toluca's 10-goal home advantage in recent results supports covering a -1 spread. Santos struggle to keep clean sheets away. Training data th...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
62%
Toluca -1 Home side's scoring rate and clean-sheet record at Estadio Nemesio Diez make -1 the value selection. Santos have lost two of their last five...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca typically establish leads early at home and maintain them given their form. Santos away record suggests limited comeback ability. Tra... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
62%
Toluca |
13%
2-1 |
76%
Toluca |
56%
over |
57%
yes |
42%
Toluca -1 |
54%
Toluca -0.75 |
34%
Toluca / Toluca |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Toluca No live tools were available, so this is built from training knowledge through 2025-09 plus the brief's reference form. Toluca at the Nemesi...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 Toluca's home scoring profile clusters around two goals, while Santos' away record suggests they can nick one on the counter. 2-1 and 2-0 ar...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
76%
Toluca Stripping the draw out of a 62/21/17 split gives Toluca roughly a 78% share of the decisive outcome, trimmed slightly for their shorter rest...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
over Toluca's reference home form averages around 2.8 goals scored per match, which pushes the expected total up, but both sides also concede ste...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
yes Both teams have conceded in roughly 80% of their reference matches (4 each in 5), and Santos have scored in four of their last five. Toluca'...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Toluca -1 Toluca winning by two or more is plausible given the 14-goal home return, but a one-goal margin is the single most likely scoreline in this...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Toluca -0.75 A -0.75 line splits the difference between a one-goal and two-goal Toluca win: half the stake pushes on a one-goal margin. Given the strong...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
34%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca's habit of fast starts at home makes home/home the modal HT/FT combination, though altitude games often tighten after the interval. D... |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
62%
Toluca |
13%
2-1 |
76%
Toluca |
56%
over |
57%
yes |
42%
Toluca -1 |
54%
Toluca -0.75 |
34%
Toluca / Toluca |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Toluca No live tools were available, so this is built from training knowledge through 2025-09 plus the brief's reference form. Toluca at the Nemesi...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 Toluca's home scoring profile clusters around two goals, while Santos' away record suggests they can nick one on the counter. 2-1 and 2-0 ar...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
76%
Toluca Stripping the draw out of a 62/21/17 split gives Toluca roughly a 78% share of the decisive outcome, trimmed slightly for their shorter rest...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
over Toluca's reference home form averages around 2.8 goals scored per match, which pushes the expected total up, but both sides also concede ste...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
yes Both teams have conceded in roughly 80% of their reference matches (4 each in 5), and Santos have scored in four of their last five. Toluca'...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Toluca -1 Toluca winning by two or more is plausible given the 14-goal home return, but a one-goal margin is the single most likely scoreline in this...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Toluca -0.75 A -0.75 line splits the difference between a one-goal and two-goal Toluca win: half the stake pushes on a one-goal margin. Given the strong...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
34%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca's habit of fast starts at home makes home/home the modal HT/FT combination, though altitude games often tighten after the interval. D... |
|||||||||
Match winner
ConsensusToluca 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Toluca
Toluca enter with a perfect 5W-0D-0L home record and 14 goals scored against only 4 conceded. Santos Laguna show mixed away form of 2W-1D-2L...
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Toluca
Toluca enter with a perfect 5W-0D-0L home record and 14 goals scored against only 4 conceded. Santos Laguna show mixed away form of 2W-1D-2L...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
62%
Toluca
No live tools were available, so this is built from training knowledge through 2025-09 plus the brief's reference form. Toluca at the Nemesi...
DeepSeek V3
62%
Toluca
No live tools were available, so this is built from training knowledge through 2025-09 plus the brief's reference form. Toluca at the Nemesi...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Toluca's 2.8 goals per home game and Santos' leaky defense point to a 2-1 or 3-1 result. Training data through 2023 indicates these scores d...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Toluca's 2.8 goals per home game and Santos' leaky defense point to a 2-1 or 3-1 result. Training data through 2023 indicates these scores d...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
13%
2-1
Toluca's home scoring profile clusters around two goals, while Santos' away record suggests they can nick one on the counter. 2-1 and 2-0 ar...
DeepSeek V3
13%
2-1
Toluca's home scoring profile clusters around two goals, while Santos' away record suggests they can nick one on the counter. 2-1 and 2-0 ar...
Draw no bet
ConsensusToluca 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
80%
Toluca
Toluca's home dominance and superior recent scoring output make them the clear side to back without the draw. Santos have only managed 4 goa...
Grok 4 Fast
80%
Toluca
Toluca's home dominance and superior recent scoring output make them the clear side to back without the draw. Santos have only managed 4 goa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
76%
Toluca
Stripping the draw out of a 62/21/17 split gives Toluca roughly a 78% share of the decisive outcome, trimmed slightly for their shorter rest...
DeepSeek V3
76%
Toluca
Stripping the draw out of a 62/21/17 split gives Toluca roughly a 78% share of the decisive outcome, trimmed slightly for their shorter rest...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
56%
over
Toluca average nearly 3 goals per home game in their current streak while Santos concede regularly on the road. Fixture offers attacking qua...
Grok 4 Fast
56%
over
Toluca average nearly 3 goals per home game in their current streak while Santos concede regularly on the road. Fixture offers attacking qua...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
56%
over
Toluca's reference home form averages around 2.8 goals scored per match, which pushes the expected total up, but both sides also concede ste...
DeepSeek V3
56%
over
Toluca's reference home form averages around 2.8 goals scored per match, which pushes the expected total up, but both sides also concede ste...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
Both sides have scored in most recent outings and Toluca's high-scoring home games often see responses from visitors. Santos netted in 3 of...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
Both sides have scored in most recent outings and Toluca's high-scoring home games often see responses from visitors. Santos netted in 3 of...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
57%
yes
Both teams have conceded in roughly 80% of their reference matches (4 each in 5), and Santos have scored in four of their last five. Toluca'...
DeepSeek V3
57%
yes
Both teams have conceded in roughly 80% of their reference matches (4 each in 5), and Santos have scored in four of their last five. Toluca'...
Spread
ConsensusToluca 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
65%
Toluca
Toluca's 10-goal home advantage in recent results supports covering a -1 spread. Santos struggle to keep clean sheets away. Training data th...
Grok 4 Fast
65%
Toluca
Toluca's 10-goal home advantage in recent results supports covering a -1 spread. Santos struggle to keep clean sheets away. Training data th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
42%
Toluca -1
Toluca winning by two or more is plausible given the 14-goal home return, but a one-goal margin is the single most likely scoreline in this...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Toluca -1
Toluca winning by two or more is plausible given the 14-goal home return, but a one-goal margin is the single most likely scoreline in this...
Asian handicap
ConsensusToluca -1 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Toluca -1
Home side's scoring rate and clean-sheet record at Estadio Nemesio Diez make -1 the value selection. Santos have lost two of their last five...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Toluca -1
Home side's scoring rate and clean-sheet record at Estadio Nemesio Diez make -1 the value selection. Santos have lost two of their last five...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
54%
Toluca -0.75
A -0.75 line splits the difference between a one-goal and two-goal Toluca win: half the stake pushes on a one-goal margin. Given the strong...
DeepSeek V3
54%
Toluca -0.75
A -0.75 line splits the difference between a one-goal and two-goal Toluca win: half the stake pushes on a one-goal margin. Given the strong...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusToluca / Toluca 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca typically establish leads early at home and maintain them given their form. Santos away record suggests limited comeback ability. Tra...
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca typically establish leads early at home and maintain them given their form. Santos away record suggests limited comeback ability. Tra...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
34%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca's habit of fast starts at home makes home/home the modal HT/FT combination, though altitude games often tighten after the interval. D...
DeepSeek V3
34%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca's habit of fast starts at home makes home/home the modal HT/FT combination, though altitude games often tighten after the interval. D...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Toluca
Grok 4 Fast
Toluca
DeepSeek V3
Toluca
DeepSeek V3
Toluca
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Near kickoffRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Call the exact final score
Free account. Pick the exact final score, lock it before kickoff, beat the AI consensus across the WC and win a lifetime free plan.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
2531a5cfc9ea8e12…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Sep 21 · 00:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 47694,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Estadio Nemesio Diez",
"league": "Liga MX",
"starts_at": "2026-09-21T00:00:00+02:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 20 Sep 2026 22:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Santos Laguna",
"home": "Toluca"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLLD",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 4,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWW",
"record": "5W-0D-0L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.