St. Louis City IIvsHouston Dynamo FC II
St. Louis City II 2–2 Houston Dynamo FC II
All 8 AIs backed St. Louis City II — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- St. Louis City II 8/8
- Correct calls
- 0/8
- Final
- 2–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
2-1 4/8 models |
St. Louis City II 8/8 models |
Houston Dynamo FC II 2/8 models |
over 6/8 models |
St. Louis City II -0.5 2/8 models |
draw_home 4/8 models |
St. Louis City II 8/8 models |
yes 6/8 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
2-1
L
|
48%
St. Louis City II
L
|
51%
home_ -1 |
53%
over
W
|
59%
home_ -0.5 |
31%
draw_home |
62%
St. Louis City II |
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected low-to-mid scoring game with home edge. Home defense limits away to one goal while hosts edge ahead late. Training data through 202...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
St. Louis City II Home side shows stronger recent form with only 3 goals conceded in 5 matches versus away's 7. Only one prior h2h favors away but that was on...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
home_ -1 Home side's defensive edge and rest advantage support covering a narrow spread. Away side's road record is porous. Training data through 202...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both teams average over 2.8 goals per game in recent outings and defensive lines are thin. MLS Next Pro tends toward open games. Training da...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
home_ -0.5 Home form and venue give them the edge to win outright. Away side struggles to keep clean sheets on the road. Training data through 2025-09...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
31%
draw_home Home side often starts slowly but finishes stronger given defensive organization. Training data through 2025-09 shows many similar fixtures...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
St. Louis City II Home defensive record and extra rest days point to them avoiding defeat. Away side has shown inconsistency on the road. Single prior h2h doe...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both sides concede regularly and lack clean-sheet consistency. Home side's recent matches feature goals at both ends. Training data through... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
2-1
L
|
48%
St. Louis City II
L
|
51%
home_ -1 |
53%
over
W
|
59%
home_ -0.5 |
31%
draw_home |
62%
St. Louis City II |
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected low-to-mid scoring game with home edge. Home defense limits away to one goal while hosts edge ahead late. Training data through 202...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
St. Louis City II Home side shows stronger recent form with only 3 goals conceded in 5 matches versus away's 7. Only one prior h2h favors away but that was on...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
home_ -1 Home side's defensive edge and rest advantage support covering a narrow spread. Away side's road record is porous. Training data through 202...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both teams average over 2.8 goals per game in recent outings and defensive lines are thin. MLS Next Pro tends toward open games. Training da...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
home_ -0.5 Home form and venue give them the edge to win outright. Away side struggles to keep clean sheets on the road. Training data through 2025-09...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
31%
draw_home Home side often starts slowly but finishes stronger given defensive organization. Training data through 2025-09 shows many similar fixtures...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
St. Louis City II Home defensive record and extra rest days point to them avoiding defeat. Away side has shown inconsistency on the road. Single prior h2h doe...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both sides concede regularly and lack clean-sheet consistency. Home side's recent matches feature goals at both ends. Training data through... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
18%
2-1
L
|
50%
St. Louis City II
L
|
40%
Draw -1 |
52%
Under 2.5
L
|
58%
St. Louis City II -0.5
L
|
38%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II
L
|
70%
St. Louis City II |
60%
Yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 St. Louis City II has a strong defense but also scores reliably, making 1-0 or 2-0 plausible. However, with Houston's ability to score (4/5...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II has shown better recent form, especially defensively, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Coupled with home ad...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Draw -1 Given St. Louis City II's solid defense and better form, they are expected to win. However, Houston has shown they can score, suggesting a t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under 2.5 St. Louis City II has a strong defensive record, conceding just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, which suggests lower-scoring games. While H...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
St. Louis City II -0.5 This market is equivalent to betting on St. Louis City II to win the match outright. Given their better recent form and strong defensive rec...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II St. Louis City II's superior form and home advantage suggest they will start strong and maintain their lead. Their solid defense should help...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
St. Louis City II Based on their superior recent form and defensive solidity, St. Louis City II is favored to win this match. Removing the draw option further...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes Both teams have scored in 4 out of their last 5 matches, indicating offensive capability. Houston Dynamo FC II has also conceded in all of t... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
18%
2-1
L
|
50%
St. Louis City II
L
|
40%
Draw -1 |
52%
Under 2.5
L
|
58%
St. Louis City II -0.5
L
|
38%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II
L
|
70%
St. Louis City II |
60%
Yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 St. Louis City II has a strong defense but also scores reliably, making 1-0 or 2-0 plausible. However, with Houston's ability to score (4/5...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II has shown better recent form, especially defensively, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Coupled with home ad...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Draw -1 Given St. Louis City II's solid defense and better form, they are expected to win. However, Houston has shown they can score, suggesting a t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under 2.5 St. Louis City II has a strong defensive record, conceding just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, which suggests lower-scoring games. While H...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
St. Louis City II -0.5 This market is equivalent to betting on St. Louis City II to win the match outright. Given their better recent form and strong defensive rec...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II St. Louis City II's superior form and home advantage suggest they will start strong and maintain their lead. Their solid defense should help...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
St. Louis City II Based on their superior recent form and defensive solidity, St. Louis City II is favored to win this match. Removing the draw option further...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes Both teams have scored in 4 out of their last 5 matches, indicating offensive capability. Houston Dynamo FC II has also conceded in all of t... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
1-1
L
|
45%
St. Louis City II
L
|
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
55%
over
W
|
48%
home_ 0.0 |
30%
draw_draw |
50%
St. Louis City II |
60%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Considering both teams' scoring and conceding records, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most likely correct score. The previous head-to-head was...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II has a slightly better home record and a more positive recent trajectory, despite a close head-to-head result in their only...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II Given the relatively even form and the single head-to-head result favoring Houston Dynamo FC II by a single goal, a handicap spread of -1 is...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals while also being capable of scoring. Their recent form indicates a moderate likelihood of...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
home_ 0.0 The slight home advantage for St. Louis City II and their better defensive record at home suggest they are marginally more likely to avoid d...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
draw_draw Given the relatively even nature of the teams and the potential for a cagey affair, a draw at halftime followed by another draw seems the mo...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II's home advantage and slightly better overall recent form suggest they are more likely to secure at least a draw. The recen...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities in their recent matches. The scoring and conceding records...
2 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
1-1
L
|
45%
St. Louis City II
L
|
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
55%
over
W
|
48%
home_ 0.0 |
30%
draw_draw |
50%
St. Louis City II |
60%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Considering both teams' scoring and conceding records, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most likely correct score. The previous head-to-head was...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II has a slightly better home record and a more positive recent trajectory, despite a close head-to-head result in their only...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II Given the relatively even form and the single head-to-head result favoring Houston Dynamo FC II by a single goal, a handicap spread of -1 is...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals while also being capable of scoring. Their recent form indicates a moderate likelihood of...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
home_ 0.0 The slight home advantage for St. Louis City II and their better defensive record at home suggest they are marginally more likely to avoid d...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
draw_draw Given the relatively even nature of the teams and the potential for a cagey affair, a draw at halftime followed by another draw seems the mo...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II's home advantage and slightly better overall recent form suggest they are more likely to secure at least a draw. The recen...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities in their recent matches. The scoring and conceding records...
2 sources cited
|
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
12%
1-1
L
|
45%
St. Louis City II
L
|
40%
St. Louis City II
L
|
55%
over
W
|
50%
home_ -0.25 |
15%
draw_home |
55%
St. Louis City II |
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-1 The most likely scoreline is 1-1 given both teams' scoring ability and defensive records. A 2-1 home win is also plausible. The overall prob...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II are at home with better recent form (2W-2D-1L) and a strong defensive record (3 goals conceded in last 5), while Houston D...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
St. Louis City II The spread of -1 for St. Louis City II is a big margin given the expected closeness. The head-to-head loss and the away team's scoring abili...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown goals in their matches: St. Louis City II scored 7 in their last 5, and Houston scored 7 in 5 as well. The only head-t...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
home_ -0.25 The Asian handicap of -0.25 gives a small edge to St. Louis City II, reflecting their home advantage and better form. But the recent H2H los...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
15%
draw_home This is a low-scoring tight match expected. Most likely outcome is a draw at half-time, with St. Louis City II ultimately winning, given the...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II have been more solid at home and have a better defensive record. The home advantage and recent form tip the scales slightl...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Houston Dynamo II have scored in most of their recent matches (7 goals in 5), and St. Louis City II have scored as well. The previous H2H sa... |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
12%
1-1
L
|
45%
St. Louis City II
L
|
40%
St. Louis City II
L
|
55%
over
W
|
50%
home_ -0.25 |
15%
draw_home |
55%
St. Louis City II |
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-1 The most likely scoreline is 1-1 given both teams' scoring ability and defensive records. A 2-1 home win is also plausible. The overall prob...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II are at home with better recent form (2W-2D-1L) and a strong defensive record (3 goals conceded in last 5), while Houston D...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
St. Louis City II The spread of -1 for St. Louis City II is a big margin given the expected closeness. The head-to-head loss and the away team's scoring abili...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown goals in their matches: St. Louis City II scored 7 in their last 5, and Houston scored 7 in 5 as well. The only head-t...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
home_ -0.25 The Asian handicap of -0.25 gives a small edge to St. Louis City II, reflecting their home advantage and better form. But the recent H2H los...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
15%
draw_home This is a low-scoring tight match expected. Most likely outcome is a draw at half-time, with St. Louis City II ultimately winning, given the...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II have been more solid at home and have a better defensive record. The home advantage and recent form tip the scales slightl...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Houston Dynamo II have scored in most of their recent matches (7 goals in 5), and St. Louis City II have scored as well. The previous H2H sa... |
|||||||||
Correct score
Consensus2-1 4/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Expected low-to-mid scoring game with home edge. Home defense limits away to one goal while hosts edge ahead late. Training data through 202...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Expected low-to-mid scoring game with home edge. Home defense limits away to one goal while hosts edge ahead late. Training data through 202...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-1
L
St. Louis City II has a strong defense but also scores reliably, making 1-0 or 2-0 plausible. However, with Houston's ability to score (4/5...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-1
L
St. Louis City II has a strong defense but also scores reliably, making 1-0 or 2-0 plausible. However, with Houston's ability to score (4/5...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
L
Considering both teams' scoring and conceding records, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most likely correct score. The previous head-to-head was...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
L
Considering both teams' scoring and conceding records, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most likely correct score. The previous head-to-head was...
DeepSeek V3
12%
1-1
L
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 given both teams' scoring ability and defensive records. A 2-1 home win is also plausible. The overall prob...
DeepSeek V3
12%
1-1
L
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 given both teams' scoring ability and defensive records. A 2-1 home win is also plausible. The overall prob...
Match winner
ConsensusSt. Louis City II 8/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
St. Louis City II
L
Home side shows stronger recent form with only 3 goals conceded in 5 matches versus away's 7. Only one prior h2h favors away but that was on...
Grok 4 Fast
48%
St. Louis City II
L
Home side shows stronger recent form with only 3 goals conceded in 5 matches versus away's 7. Only one prior h2h favors away but that was on...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
St. Louis City II
L
St. Louis City II has shown better recent form, especially defensively, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Coupled with home ad...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
St. Louis City II
L
St. Louis City II has shown better recent form, especially defensively, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Coupled with home ad...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
St. Louis City II
L
St. Louis City II has a slightly better home record and a more positive recent trajectory, despite a close head-to-head result in their only...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
St. Louis City II
L
St. Louis City II has a slightly better home record and a more positive recent trajectory, despite a close head-to-head result in their only...
DeepSeek V3
45%
St. Louis City II
L
St. Louis City II are at home with better recent form (2W-2D-1L) and a strong defensive record (3 goals conceded in last 5), while Houston D...
DeepSeek V3
45%
St. Louis City II
L
St. Louis City II are at home with better recent form (2W-2D-1L) and a strong defensive record (3 goals conceded in last 5), while Houston D...
Spread
ConsensusHouston Dynamo FC II 2/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ -1
Home side's defensive edge and rest advantage support covering a narrow spread. Away side's road record is porous. Training data through 202...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ -1
Home side's defensive edge and rest advantage support covering a narrow spread. Away side's road record is porous. Training data through 202...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Draw -1
Given St. Louis City II's solid defense and better form, they are expected to win. However, Houston has shown they can score, suggesting a t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Draw -1
Given St. Louis City II's solid defense and better form, they are expected to win. However, Houston has shown they can score, suggesting a t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Given the relatively even form and the single head-to-head result favoring Houston Dynamo FC II by a single goal, a handicap spread of -1 is...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Given the relatively even form and the single head-to-head result favoring Houston Dynamo FC II by a single goal, a handicap spread of -1 is...
DeepSeek V3
40%
St. Louis City II
L
The spread of -1 for St. Louis City II is a big margin given the expected closeness. The head-to-head loss and the away team's scoring abili...
DeepSeek V3
40%
St. Louis City II
L
The spread of -1 for St. Louis City II is a big margin given the expected closeness. The head-to-head loss and the away team's scoring abili...
Over / Under
Consensusover 6/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
W
Both teams average over 2.8 goals per game in recent outings and defensive lines are thin. MLS Next Pro tends toward open games. Training da...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
W
Both teams average over 2.8 goals per game in recent outings and defensive lines are thin. MLS Next Pro tends toward open games. Training da...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Under 2.5
L
St. Louis City II has a strong defensive record, conceding just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, which suggests lower-scoring games. While H...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Under 2.5
L
St. Louis City II has a strong defensive record, conceding just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, which suggests lower-scoring games. While H...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals while also being capable of scoring. Their recent form indicates a moderate likelihood of...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals while also being capable of scoring. Their recent form indicates a moderate likelihood of...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
W
Both teams have shown goals in their matches: St. Louis City II scored 7 in their last 5, and Houston scored 7 in 5 as well. The only head-t...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
W
Both teams have shown goals in their matches: St. Louis City II scored 7 in their last 5, and Houston scored 7 in 5 as well. The only head-t...
Asian handicap
ConsensusSt. Louis City II -0.5 2/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
59%
home_ -0.5
Home form and venue give them the edge to win outright. Away side struggles to keep clean sheets on the road. Training data through 2025-09...
Grok 4 Fast
59%
home_ -0.5
Home form and venue give them the edge to win outright. Away side struggles to keep clean sheets on the road. Training data through 2025-09...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
St. Louis City II -0.5
L
This market is equivalent to betting on St. Louis City II to win the match outright. Given their better recent form and strong defensive rec...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
St. Louis City II -0.5
L
This market is equivalent to betting on St. Louis City II to win the match outright. Given their better recent form and strong defensive rec...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
home_ 0.0
The slight home advantage for St. Louis City II and their better defensive record at home suggest they are marginally more likely to avoid d...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
home_ 0.0
The slight home advantage for St. Louis City II and their better defensive record at home suggest they are marginally more likely to avoid d...
DeepSeek V3
50%
home_ -0.25
The Asian handicap of -0.25 gives a small edge to St. Louis City II, reflecting their home advantage and better form. But the recent H2H los...
DeepSeek V3
50%
home_ -0.25
The Asian handicap of -0.25 gives a small edge to St. Louis City II, reflecting their home advantage and better form. But the recent H2H los...
Half-time / Full-time
Consensusdraw_home 4/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
31%
draw_home
Home side often starts slowly but finishes stronger given defensive organization. Training data through 2025-09 shows many similar fixtures...
Grok 4 Fast
31%
draw_home
Home side often starts slowly but finishes stronger given defensive organization. Training data through 2025-09 shows many similar fixtures...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II
L
St. Louis City II's superior form and home advantage suggest they will start strong and maintain their lead. Their solid defense should help...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II
L
St. Louis City II's superior form and home advantage suggest they will start strong and maintain their lead. Their solid defense should help...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
draw_draw
Given the relatively even nature of the teams and the potential for a cagey affair, a draw at halftime followed by another draw seems the mo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
draw_draw
Given the relatively even nature of the teams and the potential for a cagey affair, a draw at halftime followed by another draw seems the mo...
DeepSeek V3
15%
draw_home
This is a low-scoring tight match expected. Most likely outcome is a draw at half-time, with St. Louis City II ultimately winning, given the...
DeepSeek V3
15%
draw_home
This is a low-scoring tight match expected. Most likely outcome is a draw at half-time, with St. Louis City II ultimately winning, given the...
Draw no bet
ConsensusSt. Louis City II 8/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
St. Louis City II
Home defensive record and extra rest days point to them avoiding defeat. Away side has shown inconsistency on the road. Single prior h2h doe...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
St. Louis City II
Home defensive record and extra rest days point to them avoiding defeat. Away side has shown inconsistency on the road. Single prior h2h doe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
St. Louis City II
Based on their superior recent form and defensive solidity, St. Louis City II is favored to win this match. Removing the draw option further...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
St. Louis City II
Based on their superior recent form and defensive solidity, St. Louis City II is favored to win this match. Removing the draw option further...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
St. Louis City II
St. Louis City II's home advantage and slightly better overall recent form suggest they are more likely to secure at least a draw. The recen...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
St. Louis City II
St. Louis City II's home advantage and slightly better overall recent form suggest they are more likely to secure at least a draw. The recen...
DeepSeek V3
55%
St. Louis City II
St. Louis City II have been more solid at home and have a better defensive record. The home advantage and recent form tip the scales slightl...
DeepSeek V3
55%
St. Louis City II
St. Louis City II have been more solid at home and have a better defensive record. The home advantage and recent form tip the scales slightl...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 6/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
yes
W
Both sides concede regularly and lack clean-sheet consistency. Home side's recent matches feature goals at both ends. Training data through...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
yes
W
Both sides concede regularly and lack clean-sheet consistency. Home side's recent matches feature goals at both ends. Training data through...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Yes
W
Both teams have scored in 4 out of their last 5 matches, indicating offensive capability. Houston Dynamo FC II has also conceded in all of t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Yes
W
Both teams have scored in 4 out of their last 5 matches, indicating offensive capability. Houston Dynamo FC II has also conceded in all of t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
yes
W
Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities in their recent matches. The scoring and conceding records...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
yes
W
Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities in their recent matches. The scoring and conceding records...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Houston Dynamo II have scored in most of their recent matches (7 goals in 5), and St. Louis City II have scored as well. The previous H2H sa...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Houston Dynamo II have scored in most of their recent matches (7 goals in 5), and St. Louis City II have scored as well. The previous H2H sa...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
St. Louis City II
Gemini 2.5 Flash
St. Louis City II
Grok 4 Fast
St. Louis City II
Grok 4 Fast
St. Louis City II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
St. Louis City II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
St. Louis City II
DeepSeek V3
St. Louis City II
DeepSeek V3
St. Louis City II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
597a4e9318c75ec5…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Aug 24 · 01:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 30563,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "CITYPARK",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-23T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 23 Aug 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Houston Dynamo FC II",
"home": "St. Louis City II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DLWLD",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDWDL",
"record": "2W-2D-1L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 6
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-07-11: Houston Dynamo FC II 2–1 St. Louis City II"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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