SpainvsAustria
Spain 3–0 Austria
All 15 AIs backed Spain — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Spain 15/15
- Correct calls
- 15/15
- Final
- 3–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena8 markets · 15 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Spain 76% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
2-0 14/15 models |
Under 2.5 6/15 models |
Spain -1.5 5/15 models |
No 11/15 models |
Spain / Spain 14/15 models |
Spain 15/15 models |
Spain -1 9/15 models |
Spain 15/15 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Spain 76% | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
19%
2-0
L
|
55%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
|
52%
Austria +1.5
~2.00
L
|
66%
No
~1.25
W
|
50%
Spain / Spain |
90%
Spain
W
|
52%
Spain -1.5
~1.95
W
|
74%
Spain
~1.36
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
19%
2-0 Given Spain's low-scoring recent wins (1-0, 1-0, 4-0) and their clean-sheet run, 2-0 and 1-0 are the most likely scorelines. Austria's attac...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Spain's group games produced 0-0, 4-0, 1-0 — an average of ~1.7 goals per game, and Austria are likely to sit deep as heavy underdogs in a k...
Odds: 1.95
Edge: +3.7%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Austria +1.5 Same math as above but taking the underdog side of the -1.5 line. Spain's recent 1-0 wins over Uruguay suggest a single-goal margin is very...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +2.0%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
66%
No Spain haven't conceded since their opening game, keeping clean sheets against Saudi Arabia and Uruguay. Austria will be cautious, and their...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -14.0%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Spain / Spain Spain typically presses early and often takes leads before HT; they led at HT vs Saudi Arabia and Uruguay. But Spain also had a slow-startin...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
90%
Spain Removing the draw, Spain's win share dominates: 0.74/(0.74+0.08) ≈ 0.90. Spain has been defensively airtight and Austria's attack, especiall...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Spain -1.5 Spain -1.5 needs a 2+ goal margin. Their group results included a 4-0 rout and two 1-0 wins, so this is a coin-flip lean. In knockout footba...
Odds: 1.95
Edge: +0.7%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
74%
Spain Spain topped Group H with 5 goals scored and 0 conceded in competitive play, while Austria only scraped through Group J with a 96th-minute e...
Odds: 1.36
Edge: +0.5%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
16%
2-0
L
|
57%
Over 2.5
~1.83
W
|
45%
Spain -1.25
~2.00
W
|
60%
No
~1.25
W
|
42%
Spain / Spain |
80%
Spain
W
|
52%
Spain -1
~1.59
W
|
72%
Spain
~1.36
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
2-0 A 2-0 Spain win is the most likely single scoreline, reflecting Spain's ability to score without conceding. The 1-0 and 2-1 lines are close...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
Over 2.5 Austria's matches have averaged 4 goals per game in this World Cup, and they haven't kept a clean sheet in 12 straight World Cup fixtures. S...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +2.4%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Spain -1.25 The Asian handicap at -1.25 means Spain need to win by 2+ for a full payout and by exactly 1 for a half-loss. Given Spain's propensity for c...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: -5.0%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Spain's defense has been impenetrable in this World Cup, not conceding a single goal across three matches with an xG against of just 0.54. T...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -20.0%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Spain / Spain Spain are likely to control the game from the start with their possession-based style, and Austria haven't faced a first-half shot on target...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Spain Removing the draw option, Spain's dominance becomes even clearer. Their defensive solidity (0 goals conceded, best defensive xG in the tourn...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Spain -1 Spain winning by 2 or more goals is a realistic but far from certain outcome. Their group stage wins came by margins of 4 (vs Saudi Arabia)...
Odds: 1.59
Edge: -10.9%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Spain Spain are reigning European champions on a 34-match unbeaten run, with zero goals conceded in this World Cup (xG against just 0.54). Austria...
Odds: 1.36
Edge: -1.5%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
18%
2-0
L
|
58%
Over 2.5
~1.83
W
|
56%
Spain -1
~25.65
W
|
68%
No
~1.25
W
|
62%
Spain / Spain |
82%
Spain
W
|
55%
Spain -1.5
~1.95
W
|
75%
Spain
~1.36
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Spain's clean-sheet form and moderate scoring output favor a controlled 2-0 or similar low-conceding win. 1-0 and 3-0 are close alternatives...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 2.5 Market prices Over 2.5 at ~1.60-1.70, implying it is the favored side. Spain's attacking output combined with expected control against a wea...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +3.4%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
Spain -1 Spain -1 asian line offers a push safety net if they win by exactly one. Expected Spanish dominance points to a 2+ goal win, making the -1 l...
Odds: 25.65
Edge: +52.1%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
No Spain conceded zero in their last 5, indicating a very solid backline, while Austria's attack has been inconsistent. Bookmakers price BTTS N...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -12.0%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
62%
Spain / Spain Spain's habit of controlling matches and scoring early against weaker opposition points to them leading at half-time and closing out the win...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
82%
Spain With the draw removed, Spain's win probability dominates given their form edge and quality gap. Austria's offense (9 in 5) is modest and the...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Spain -1.5 Given Spain's superiority and Austria's defensive frailty (11 conceded in 5), a two-plus goal margin is plausible. Home -1.5 is priced at ~1...
Odds: 1.95
Edge: +3.7%
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Spain Spain enter as heavy favorites (1.29-1.36) with a strong recent run (4W-1D, 10 scored, 0 conceded) versus a struggling Austria side (1W-2D-2...
Odds: 1.36
Edge: +1.5%
|
|||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
22%
2-0
L
|
58%
Over 2.5
~1.83
W
|
57%
Spain -1.5
~2.00
W
|
75%
No
~1.25
W
|
62%
Spain / Spain |
82%
Spain
W
|
62%
Spain -1
~1.59
W
|
76%
Spain
~1.36
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 Spain winning 2-0 is the modal scoreline given their clean-sheet dominance and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities. A 3-0 scoreline is the s...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 2.5 Spain have scored 10 goals in 5 matches (2.0 per game average) and Austria conceded 11 in 5 (2.2 per game), suggesting Spain alone could con...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +3.4%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
Spain -1.5 Spain winning by 2 or more goals is the single most likely margin class in this matchup. Austria's 11 goals conceded in 5 matches (2.2 per g...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +7.0%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
75%
No Spain have conceded zero goals across their last 5 matches, suggesting an elite defensive structure that Austria is unlikely to breach. Aust...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -5.0%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
62%
Spain / Spain Given Spain's dominant form and Austria's defensive fragility, Spain leading at half-time and winning at full-time is the most probable HT/F...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
82%
Spain Removing the draw, Spain win this matchup with very high probability. Austria's poor defensive record (11 goals conceded in 5 matches) again...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
62%
Spain -1 Spain winning by 2+ goals is the modal outcome given Austria's defensive fragility and Spain's offensive quality. The spreads market has Hom...
Odds: 1.59
Edge: -0.9%
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
76%
Spain Spain enter this 2026 World Cup round-of-16 fixture as heavy favourites, having gone 4W-1D across their group stage with a perfect defensive...
Odds: 1.36
Edge: +2.5%
|
|||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
22%
2-0
L
|
58%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
|
46%
Spain -1.25
~84.38
W
|
70%
No
~1.25
W
|
54%
Spain / Spain |
92%
Spain
W
|
48%
Spain -1
~1.50
W
|
77%
Spain
~1.36
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 A controlled Spain win without conceding is the most common script given their shot suppression and group-stage clean sheets. Austria's thre...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 Spain have managed knockout-type games by control and clean sheets, and Austria's best route is limited chances in transition rather than su...
Odds: 1.95
Edge: +6.7%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
46%
Spain -1.25 Covering Spain by two or more aligns with the expected control and Austria's tendency to concede in bunches, but the 1-goal Spain scenario r...
Odds: 84.38
Edge: +44.8%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
No Spain's defensive record this tournament is pristine and Austria's attack is likelier to be starved of territory against Rodri's screen and...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -10.0%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
54%
Spain / Spain Spain typically establish territorial control early, making a halftime lead plausible before seeing it out. Austria's best hope is to muddy...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
92%
Spain With Spain's win probability high and Austria's path more variance-driven, eliminating the draw heavily favors Spain. Spain's defense has be...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Spain -1 The modal outcomes cluster around Spain by one or two, with a strong chance of a narrow, controlled win and a significant push risk at exact...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: -18.7%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
77%
Spain Spain's group stage featured three clean sheets and strong control metrics, while Austria have looked open defensively with six conceded in...
Odds: 1.36
Edge: +3.5%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
30%
1-0
L
|
60%
under
L
|
55%
Spain -1
W
|
58%
yes
L
|
45%
Draw / Spain |
78%
Spain
W
|
46%
Spain -1
W
|
65%
Spain
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
1-0 The most likely exact score in a cautious knockout clash with a defensively strong Spain is a narrow Spain win (1-0), with 2-0 also reasonab...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Knockout games at this stage trend more cautious; Spain's recent defensive record is excellent and Austria, while capable of scoring, also c...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Spain -1 On the Asian line, Spain -1 is attractive because it pays if Spain win by two; Spain's defensive form, squad depth, and Austria missing a ke...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Austria have shown they can score (three in the last group game) and Spain's attack can create chances even if they defend well; Baumgartner...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Draw / Spain A common knockout pattern is a cagey first half followed by the favourite finding a breakthrough in the second half; Spain's superior fitnes...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
Spain Draw-no-bet reduces the risk of an upset and better reflects Spain's defensive solidity and squad depth versus Austria's more volatile profi...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
46%
Spain -1 Spain winning by two or more is plausible given their defensive strength and superior squad, but Austria's ability to score and Spain's caut...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Spain Spain enter this knockout tie as the superior side on paper with a settled backline, no confirmed absences and home/neutral advantage, while...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
25%
2-0
L
|
70%
under
L
|
65%
Spain |
70%
no
W
|
60%
Spain / Spain |
75%
Spain
W
|
65%
Spain
W
|
75%
Spain
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-0 Spain's strong defensive record and Austria's occasional struggles to score against disciplined defenses suggest a 2-0 victory for Spain. ([...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
under Spain's strong defensive record and Austria's occasional struggles to score against disciplined defenses suggest a low-scoring match. ([spor...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Spain Spain's superior form and defensive strength make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([sports.betmgm.com](https://sports.betmgm.com/en...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
no Spain's strong defensive record and Austria's occasional struggles to score against disciplined defenses suggest that both teams are unlikel...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Spain / Spain Spain's strong form and defensive record suggest they will lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([sports.betmgm.com](https://sports.betmgm.co...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
75%
Spain Given Spain's superior form and defensive strength, they are likely to secure a win, making the draw no bet market favorable for them. ([spo...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Spain Spain's superior form and defensive strength make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([sports.betmgm.com](https://sports.betmgm.com/en...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Spain Spain's strong defensive record and Austria's occasional struggles to score against disciplined defenses suggest a home victory. ([sports.be...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
30%
2-0
L
|
65%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
|
58%
Spain -1.25
~84.38
W
|
82%
No
~1.25
W
|
45%
Spain / Spain |
92%
Spain
W
|
65%
Spain -1
~1.50
W
|
75%
Spain
~1.36
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
2-0 Spain's predicted 2-0 victory aligns with their shutout trend and ability to score two goals based on recent form, with 1-0 and 2-1 as secon...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Under 2.5 Spain's group stage produced just two goals across three matches with a 100% clean sheet record, and Austria have conceded an average of ove...
Odds: 1.95
Edge: +13.7%
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Spain -1.25 Applying a -1.25 Asian handicap demands a two-goal margin for full payout, which matches the expected outcome of a comfortable Spain victory...
Odds: 84.38
Edge: +56.8%
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
82%
No Spain have kept five straight clean sheets, and their defensive unit has not allowed a single first-half shot on target in the tournament, m...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: +2.0%
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Spain / Spain Spain often start strongly and maintain momentum, with a high likelihood of leading at half-time and seeing out the win by full-time. Their...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
92%
Spain With Spain's win probability so high and Austria's chance of victory under 10%, the draw no bet market strongly favors Spain while providing...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Spain -1 Spain are favorites not only to win but to cover a -1 handicap, given their defensive shutout streak and Austria's propensity to concede mul...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: -1.7%
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Spain Spain have been defensively impregnable in this tournament, keeping clean sheets in all group matches and conceding zero goals across their...
Odds: 1.36
Edge: +1.5%
🔍 researched
1 source cited
|
|||||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
22%
2-0
L
|
55%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
|
59%
Spain -1.5
~2.00
W
|
71%
No
~1.25
W
|
67%
Spain / Spain |
88%
Spain
W
|
63%
Spain -1
~1.50
W
|
82%
Spain
~1.36
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 Spain's clean-sheet form and Austria's inability to score consistently point to a 2-0 or 3-0 result. Low-scoring patterns from both teams' r...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Spain's clean-sheet streak and controlled style point to a low-scoring game. Austria's leaky defense is offset by likely conservative approa...
Odds: 1.95
Edge: +3.7%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
Spain -1.5 Spain's attacking depth and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities make a 2+ goal margin probable. The four-day rest edge for Spain also suppor...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +9.0%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
71%
No Spain have kept five clean sheets in their last five matches while Austria have failed to keep clean sheets regularly. The talent gap makes...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -9.0%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
67%
Spain / Spain Spain are likely to take an early lead and maintain control. Their recent results show consistent first-half dominance followed by closing o...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
88%
Spain With Spain's defensive record and Austria's poor away results, a draw is unlikely. Spain should win comfortably enough that backing them wit...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
63%
Spain -1 Spain are expected to win by more than one goal given the quality differential and home form. Austria's recent results do not suggest they c...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: -3.7%
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
82%
Spain Spain's recent form shows four wins and a draw with zero goals conceded while Austria has a mixed record conceding more than they score. Spa...
Odds: 1.36
Edge: +8.5%
|
|||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
22%
2-0
L
|
53%
over
W
|
58%
Spain -1.5
W
|
62%
no
W
|
55%
Spain / Spain |
80%
Spain
W
|
65%
Spain
W
|
72%
Spain
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 Spain's clean-sheet home record and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities point to a 2-0 or narrow win. Low-scoring controlled games are typic...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Spain's attack creates high-quality chances while Austria concede frequently. Recent home scoring trends point to at least three goals in th...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Spain -1.5 Spain's expected scoreline of 2-0 or 3-1 makes the -1.5 line attractive. Austria lack the firepower to stay within one goal. Training data t...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
no Spain's defensive record at home (zero conceded in last five) suggests they will keep a clean sheet. Austria average over two goals conceded...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Spain / Spain Spain typically control matches from the first whistle and maintain leads. Their home scoring pattern supports a half-time lead followed by...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Spain With Spain heavily favored on talent and recent clean-sheet form, the draw-no-bet home selection offers value. Austria have struggled to sco...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Spain Spain are expected to win by two or more goals given the quality gap and Austria's leaky defense. Home form supports a comfortable margin. T...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Spain Spain enter with superior squad depth and a recent home record of four wins and one draw while conceding zero goals. Austria's last five mat... |
|||||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
30%
2-0
L
|
55%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
|
55%
Austria +1.5
~2.00
L
|
75%
No
~1.25
W
|
45%
Spain / Spain |
90%
Spain
W
|
67%
Spain -1
~1.50
W
|
75%
Spain
~1.36
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
2-0 A 2-0 scoreline perfectly aligns with Spain's methodical attacking style and unblemished defensive record. Without their starting left-wing...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Spain's matches have averaged exactly 1.67 total goals in this World Cup, with Luis de la Fuente prioritizing game control and shape over en...
Odds: 1.95
Edge: +3.7%
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Austria +1.5 While Spain is the clear favorite, covering a 1.5 goal handicap requires them to break through the Austrian lines multiple times without the...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +5.0%
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
75%
No Spain's defense, anchored by Unai Simon and Aymeric Laporte, has been entirely impenetrable against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay. A...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -5.0%
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Spain / Spain Spain typically dominates the ball from the opening whistle, suffocating opponents and crafting high-quality chances through sustained press...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
90%
Spain Spain's elite defensive structure effectively removes the possibility of an upset loss against a vulnerable Austrian backline. Even if Austr...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
67%
Spain -1 Spain's relentless ball retention will leave Austria with very few transition moments to score. If Spain finds an early breakthrough, they w...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: +0.3%
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Spain Spain has been immaculate defensively, finishing the group stage with seven points and zero goals conceded. Austria's energetic high press w...
Odds: 1.36
Edge: +1.5%
2 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
20%
2-0
L
|
54%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
|
52%
Spain -1.5
~2.00
W
|
78%
No
~1.25
W
|
50%
Spain / Spain |
90%
Spain
W
|
58%
Spain -1
~1.59
W
|
74%
Spain
~1.36
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
2-0 A 2-0 scoreline perfectly encapsulates the expected game script: Spanish dominance, defensive solidity, and enough offensive prowess to bypa...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
Under 2.5 Spain's defense is the dominant factor here, having kept five consecutive clean sheets. While they have the firepower to score multiple goal...
Odds: 1.95
Edge: +2.7%
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Spain -1.5 While a narrow Spanish win is possible, the mismatch in quality combined with Austria's poor defensive form suggests Spain can win by two or...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +2.0%
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
78%
No This prediction hinges entirely on Spain's incredible defensive record. It is difficult to see Austria's attack, despite its pressing intens...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -2.0%
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Spain / Spain As the dominant side, Spain will likely look to assert control from the outset and score an early goal to settle the nerves of a knockout ti...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
90%
Spain Given the strong likelihood of a Spanish victory, this market offers a very safe pick. Austria's recent defensive frailties, having conceded...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Spain -1 Spain has the offensive quality to win this match by more than a single goal. Austria has shown significant defensive weakness, conceding 11...
Odds: 1.59
Edge: -4.9%
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
74%
Spain Spain's form is nearly perfect, especially defensively where they've conceded zero goals in their last five matches. They possess superior t...
Odds: 1.36
Edge: +0.5%
3 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
18%
2-0
L
|
60%
Over 2.5
W
|
50%
Spain -1.5
W
|
65%
No
W
|
50%
Spain / Spain |
85%
Spain
W
|
55%
Spain -1
W
|
70%
Spain
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 A 2-0 victory for Spain is a highly plausible outcome, reflecting their strong defense and ability to score multiple goals. While 3-0 and 2-...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 2.5 While Spain has kept clean sheets, their attack has scored 10 goals in 5 matches, and Austria has conceded 11 goals in 5 matches. Spain is c...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Spain -1.5 For Spain to cover the -1.5 Asian Handicap, they need to win by two or more goals. This is a reasonable expectation given their superior qua...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Spain boasts an exceptional defensive record, conceding zero goals in their last five matches. Facing a stronger opponent like Spain, Austri...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Spain / Spain Spain's dominance and higher quality should allow them to establish an early lead and maintain it until full-time. They are accustomed to co...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Spain Considering Spain's superior quality and dominant recent form, a win for Spain is the most probable outcome. The draw no bet market reduces...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Spain -1 Given Spain's overall quality and dominant form, a multi-goal victory is a strong possibility against Austria. While World Cup knockout game...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Spain Based on historical performance and general team quality from my training data through 2025-09, Spain are significantly stronger than Austri... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
2-0
L
|
65%
over
W
|
58%
Spain |
60%
no
W
|
50%
Spain / Spain |
78%
Spain
W
|
55%
Spain
W
|
75%
Spain
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-0 Spain's recent defensive solidity (0 goals conceded in 5 games) combined with their consistent attacking threat suggests a low-scoring victo...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over While Spain's defense is strong, their attack is also potent, and they are playing at a major tournament. Austria has conceded a significant...
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Spain Considering Spain's superior form, defensive strength, and historical advantage, they are the clear favorites to win this match and cover an...
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Spain's recent defensive record is exceptional, having conceded zero goals in their last five matches. Austria's recent form shows they have...
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Spain / Spain Spain's dominant form suggests they will control the game from the start and maintain their lead throughout. They have a strong attacking re...
4 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
Spain Given Spain's overwhelming home form and defensive solidity, the draw no bet market strongly favors them. Austria's offensive struggles and...
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Spain Spain's strong form and defensive record suggest they are capable of overcoming a -1 handicap. Austria has shown a tendency to concede goals...
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Spain Spain has shown exceptional form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding no goals. Austria's recent form is weaker with more losses...
4 sources cited
|
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
20%
2-0
L
|
58%
Over
W
|
65%
Spain -1.0
W
|
62%
No
W
|
50%
Spain / Spain |
82%
Spain
W
|
65%
Spain
W
|
72%
Spain
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
2-0 Given Spain's clean sheet streak and Austria's defensive woes, a straightforward 2-0 win is most likely. Historical data shows Spain often w...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over Spain averages 2 goals per game at home, and Austria concedes 2.2 per game. Austria's attack has scored 9 in 5, so both sides can contribute...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Spain -1.0 Similar to spread -1, Spain's superiority and Austria's poor defense make a win by at least 2 goals plausible. The handicap of -1 is fair gi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
No Spain's defense has been impenetrable in recent matches, keeping 5 consecutive clean sheets. Austria's attack is inconsistent and may strugg...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Spain / Spain Spain tends to start matches strongly and has scored early in recent games. Austria may hold out for a half, but Spain's depth should lead t...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
82%
Spain Spain's unbeaten run and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities make a Spanish win highly probable. Spain's ability to dictate possession and c...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Spain Spain's home form suggests they can win by more than one goal. Austria's defensive record (2.2 conceded per game) supports a multi-goal marg...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Spain Spain's dominant home form (4W-1D-0L, 10 scored, 0 conceded) contrasts with Austria's inconsistency (1W-2D-2L, 11 conceded). Spain's World C... |
|||||||||
Correct score
Consensus2-0 14/15
Claude Opus 4.7
19%
2-0
L
Given Spain's low-scoring recent wins (1-0, 1-0, 4-0) and their clean-sheet run, 2-0 and 1-0 are the most likely scorelines. Austria's attac...
Claude Opus 4.6
16%
2-0
L
A 2-0 Spain win is the most likely single scoreline, reflecting Spain's ability to score without conceding. The 1-0 and 2-1 lines are close...
Claude Opus 4.8
18%
2-0
L
Spain's clean-sheet form and moderate scoring output favor a controlled 2-0 or similar low-conceding win. 1-0 and 3-0 are close alternatives...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
22%
2-0
L
Spain winning 2-0 is the modal scoreline given their clean-sheet dominance and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities. A 3-0 scoreline is the s...
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5
22%
2-0
L
A controlled Spain win without conceding is the most common script given their shot suppression and group-stage clean sheets. Austria's thre...
GPT-5 Mini
30%
1-0
L
The most likely exact score in a cautious knockout clash with a defensively strong Spain is a narrow Spain win (1-0), with 2-0 also reasonab...
GPT-4o Mini
25%
2-0
L
Spain's strong defensive record and Austria's occasional struggles to score against disciplined defenses suggest a 2-0 victory for Spain. ([...
o4-mini
30%
2-0
L
Spain's predicted 2-0 victory aligns with their shutout trend and ability to score two goals based on recent form, with 1-0 and 2-1 as secon...
Grok 4.3
22%
2-0
L
Spain's clean-sheet form and Austria's inability to score consistently point to a 2-0 or 3-0 result. Low-scoring patterns from both teams' r...
Grok 4 Fast
22%
2-0
L
Spain's clean-sheet home record and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities point to a 2-0 or narrow win. Low-scoring controlled games are typic...
Gemini 3.1 Pro
30%
2-0
L
A 2-0 scoreline perfectly aligns with Spain's methodical attacking style and unblemished defensive record. Without their starting left-wing...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
20%
2-0
L
A 2-0 scoreline perfectly encapsulates the expected game script: Spanish dominance, defensive solidity, and enough offensive prowess to bypa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-0
L
A 2-0 victory for Spain is a highly plausible outcome, reflecting their strong defense and ability to score multiple goals. While 3-0 and 2-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-0
L
Spain's recent defensive solidity (0 goals conceded in 5 games) combined with their consistent attacking threat suggests a low-scoring victo...
DeepSeek V3
20%
2-0
L
Given Spain's clean sheet streak and Austria's defensive woes, a straightforward 2-0 win is most likely. Historical data shows Spain often w...
Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 2.5 6/15
Claude Opus 4.7
55%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
Spain's group games produced 0-0, 4-0, 1-0 — an average of ~1.7 goals per game, and Austria are likely to sit deep as heavy underdogs in a k...
Claude Opus 4.6
57%
Over 2.5
~1.83
W
Austria's matches have averaged 4 goals per game in this World Cup, and they haven't kept a clean sheet in 12 straight World Cup fixtures. S...
Claude Opus 4.8
58%
Over 2.5
~1.83
W
Market prices Over 2.5 at ~1.60-1.70, implying it is the favored side. Spain's attacking output combined with expected control against a wea...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
58%
Over 2.5
~1.83
W
Spain have scored 10 goals in 5 matches (2.0 per game average) and Austria conceded 11 in 5 (2.2 per game), suggesting Spain alone could con...
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5
58%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
Spain have managed knockout-type games by control and clean sheets, and Austria's best route is limited chances in transition rather than su...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
under
L
Knockout games at this stage trend more cautious; Spain's recent defensive record is excellent and Austria, while capable of scoring, also c...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
under
L
Spain's strong defensive record and Austria's occasional struggles to score against disciplined defenses suggest a low-scoring match. ([spor...
o4-mini
65%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
Spain's group stage produced just two goals across three matches with a 100% clean sheet record, and Austria have conceded an average of ove...
Grok 4.3
55%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
Spain's clean-sheet streak and controlled style point to a low-scoring game. Austria's leaky defense is offset by likely conservative approa...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
W
Spain's attack creates high-quality chances while Austria concede frequently. Recent home scoring trends point to at least three goals in th...
Gemini 3.1 Pro
55%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
Spain's matches have averaged exactly 1.67 total goals in this World Cup, with Luis de la Fuente prioritizing game control and shape over en...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
54%
Under 2.5
~1.95
L
Spain's defense is the dominant factor here, having kept five consecutive clean sheets. While they have the firepower to score multiple goal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over 2.5
W
While Spain has kept clean sheets, their attack has scored 10 goals in 5 matches, and Austria has conceded 11 goals in 5 matches. Spain is c...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
over
W
While Spain's defense is strong, their attack is also potent, and they are playing at a major tournament. Austria has conceded a significant...
DeepSeek V3
58%
Over
W
Spain averages 2 goals per game at home, and Austria concedes 2.2 per game. Austria's attack has scored 9 in 5, so both sides can contribute...
Asian handicap
ConsensusSpain -1.5 5/15
Claude Opus 4.7
52%
Austria +1.5
~2.00
L
Same math as above but taking the underdog side of the -1.5 line. Spain's recent 1-0 wins over Uruguay suggest a single-goal margin is very...
Claude Opus 4.6
45%
Spain -1.25
~2.00
W
The Asian handicap at -1.25 means Spain need to win by 2+ for a full payout and by exactly 1 for a half-loss. Given Spain's propensity for c...
Claude Opus 4.8
56%
Spain -1
~25.65
W
Spain -1 asian line offers a push safety net if they win by exactly one. Expected Spanish dominance points to a 2+ goal win, making the -1 l...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
57%
Spain -1.5
~2.00
W
Spain winning by 2 or more goals is the single most likely margin class in this matchup. Austria's 11 goals conceded in 5 matches (2.2 per g...
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5
46%
Spain -1.25
~84.38
W
Covering Spain by two or more aligns with the expected control and Austria's tendency to concede in bunches, but the 1-goal Spain scenario r...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Spain -1
W
On the Asian line, Spain -1 is attractive because it pays if Spain win by two; Spain's defensive form, squad depth, and Austria missing a ke...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Spain
Spain's superior form and defensive strength make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([sports.betmgm.com](https://sports.betmgm.com/en...
o4-mini
58%
Spain -1.25
~84.38
W
Applying a -1.25 Asian handicap demands a two-goal margin for full payout, which matches the expected outcome of a comfortable Spain victory...
Grok 4.3
59%
Spain -1.5
~2.00
W
Spain's attacking depth and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities make a 2+ goal margin probable. The four-day rest edge for Spain also suppor...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Spain -1.5
W
Spain's expected scoreline of 2-0 or 3-1 makes the -1.5 line attractive. Austria lack the firepower to stay within one goal. Training data t...
Gemini 3.1 Pro
55%
Austria +1.5
~2.00
L
While Spain is the clear favorite, covering a 1.5 goal handicap requires them to break through the Austrian lines multiple times without the...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
52%
Spain -1.5
~2.00
W
While a narrow Spanish win is possible, the mismatch in quality combined with Austria's poor defensive form suggests Spain can win by two or...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Spain -1.5
W
For Spain to cover the -1.5 Asian Handicap, they need to win by two or more goals. This is a reasonable expectation given their superior qua...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Spain
Considering Spain's superior form, defensive strength, and historical advantage, they are the clear favorites to win this match and cover an...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Spain -1.0
W
Similar to spread -1, Spain's superiority and Austria's poor defense make a win by at least 2 goals plausible. The handicap of -1 is fair gi...
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 11/15
Claude Opus 4.7
66%
No
~1.25
W
Spain haven't conceded since their opening game, keeping clean sheets against Saudi Arabia and Uruguay. Austria will be cautious, and their...
Claude Opus 4.6
60%
No
~1.25
W
Spain's defense has been impenetrable in this World Cup, not conceding a single goal across three matches with an xG against of just 0.54. T...
Claude Opus 4.8
68%
No
~1.25
W
Spain conceded zero in their last 5, indicating a very solid backline, while Austria's attack has been inconsistent. Bookmakers price BTTS N...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
75%
No
~1.25
W
Spain have conceded zero goals across their last 5 matches, suggesting an elite defensive structure that Austria is unlikely to breach. Aust...
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5
70%
No
~1.25
W
Spain's defensive record this tournament is pristine and Austria's attack is likelier to be starved of territory against Rodri's screen and...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
yes
L
Austria have shown they can score (three in the last group game) and Spain's attack can create chances even if they defend well; Baumgartner...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
no
W
Spain's strong defensive record and Austria's occasional struggles to score against disciplined defenses suggest that both teams are unlikel...
o4-mini
82%
No
~1.25
W
Spain have kept five straight clean sheets, and their defensive unit has not allowed a single first-half shot on target in the tournament, m...
Grok 4.3
71%
No
~1.25
W
Spain have kept five clean sheets in their last five matches while Austria have failed to keep clean sheets regularly. The talent gap makes...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
no
W
Spain's defensive record at home (zero conceded in last five) suggests they will keep a clean sheet. Austria average over two goals conceded...
Gemini 3.1 Pro
75%
No
~1.25
W
Spain's defense, anchored by Unai Simon and Aymeric Laporte, has been entirely impenetrable against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay. A...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
78%
No
~1.25
W
This prediction hinges entirely on Spain's incredible defensive record. It is difficult to see Austria's attack, despite its pressing intens...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
No
W
Spain boasts an exceptional defensive record, conceding zero goals in their last five matches. Facing a stronger opponent like Spain, Austri...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
no
W
Spain's recent defensive record is exceptional, having conceded zero goals in their last five matches. Austria's recent form shows they have...
DeepSeek V3
62%
No
W
Spain's defense has been impenetrable in recent matches, keeping 5 consecutive clean sheets. Austria's attack is inconsistent and may strugg...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusSpain / Spain 14/15
Claude Opus 4.7
50%
Spain / Spain
Spain typically presses early and often takes leads before HT; they led at HT vs Saudi Arabia and Uruguay. But Spain also had a slow-startin...
Claude Opus 4.6
42%
Spain / Spain
Spain are likely to control the game from the start with their possession-based style, and Austria haven't faced a first-half shot on target...
Claude Opus 4.8
62%
Spain / Spain
Spain's habit of controlling matches and scoring early against weaker opposition points to them leading at half-time and closing out the win...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
62%
Spain / Spain
Given Spain's dominant form and Austria's defensive fragility, Spain leading at half-time and winning at full-time is the most probable HT/F...
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5
54%
Spain / Spain
Spain typically establish territorial control early, making a halftime lead plausible before seeing it out. Austria's best hope is to muddy...
GPT-5 Mini
45%
Draw / Spain
A common knockout pattern is a cagey first half followed by the favourite finding a breakthrough in the second half; Spain's superior fitnes...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Spain / Spain
Spain's strong form and defensive record suggest they will lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([sports.betmgm.com](https://sports.betmgm.co...
o4-mini
45%
Spain / Spain
Spain often start strongly and maintain momentum, with a high likelihood of leading at half-time and seeing out the win by full-time. Their...
Grok 4.3
67%
Spain / Spain
Spain are likely to take an early lead and maintain control. Their recent results show consistent first-half dominance followed by closing o...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Spain / Spain
Spain typically control matches from the first whistle and maintain leads. Their home scoring pattern supports a half-time lead followed by...
Gemini 3.1 Pro
45%
Spain / Spain
Spain typically dominates the ball from the opening whistle, suffocating opponents and crafting high-quality chances through sustained press...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
50%
Spain / Spain
As the dominant side, Spain will likely look to assert control from the outset and score an early goal to settle the nerves of a knockout ti...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Spain / Spain
Spain's dominance and higher quality should allow them to establish an early lead and maintain it until full-time. They are accustomed to co...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Spain / Spain
Spain's dominant form suggests they will control the game from the start and maintain their lead throughout. They have a strong attacking re...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Spain / Spain
Spain tends to start matches strongly and has scored early in recent games. Austria may hold out for a half, but Spain's depth should lead t...
Draw no bet
ConsensusSpain 15/15
Claude Opus 4.7
90%
Spain
W
Removing the draw, Spain's win share dominates: 0.74/(0.74+0.08) ≈ 0.90. Spain has been defensively airtight and Austria's attack, especiall...
Claude Opus 4.6
80%
Spain
W
Removing the draw option, Spain's dominance becomes even clearer. Their defensive solidity (0 goals conceded, best defensive xG in the tourn...
Claude Opus 4.8
82%
Spain
W
With the draw removed, Spain's win probability dominates given their form edge and quality gap. Austria's offense (9 in 5) is modest and the...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
82%
Spain
W
Removing the draw, Spain win this matchup with very high probability. Austria's poor defensive record (11 goals conceded in 5 matches) again...
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5
92%
Spain
W
With Spain's win probability high and Austria's path more variance-driven, eliminating the draw heavily favors Spain. Spain's defense has be...
GPT-5 Mini
78%
Spain
W
Draw-no-bet reduces the risk of an upset and better reflects Spain's defensive solidity and squad depth versus Austria's more volatile profi...
GPT-4o Mini
75%
Spain
W
Given Spain's superior form and defensive strength, they are likely to secure a win, making the draw no bet market favorable for them. ([spo...
o4-mini
92%
Spain
W
With Spain's win probability so high and Austria's chance of victory under 10%, the draw no bet market strongly favors Spain while providing...
Grok 4.3
88%
Spain
W
With Spain's defensive record and Austria's poor away results, a draw is unlikely. Spain should win comfortably enough that backing them wit...
Grok 4 Fast
80%
Spain
W
With Spain heavily favored on talent and recent clean-sheet form, the draw-no-bet home selection offers value. Austria have struggled to sco...
Gemini 3.1 Pro
90%
Spain
W
Spain's elite defensive structure effectively removes the possibility of an upset loss against a vulnerable Austrian backline. Even if Austr...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
90%
Spain
W
Given the strong likelihood of a Spanish victory, this market offers a very safe pick. Austria's recent defensive frailties, having conceded...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Spain
W
Considering Spain's superior quality and dominant recent form, a win for Spain is the most probable outcome. The draw no bet market reduces...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
78%
Spain
W
Given Spain's overwhelming home form and defensive solidity, the draw no bet market strongly favors them. Austria's offensive struggles and...
DeepSeek V3
82%
Spain
W
Spain's unbeaten run and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities make a Spanish win highly probable. Spain's ability to dictate possession and c...
Spread
ConsensusSpain -1 9/15
Claude Opus 4.7
52%
Spain -1.5
~1.95
W
Spain -1.5 needs a 2+ goal margin. Their group results included a 4-0 rout and two 1-0 wins, so this is a coin-flip lean. In knockout footba...
Claude Opus 4.6
52%
Spain -1
~1.59
W
Spain winning by 2 or more goals is a realistic but far from certain outcome. Their group stage wins came by margins of 4 (vs Saudi Arabia)...
Claude Opus 4.8
55%
Spain -1.5
~1.95
W
Given Spain's superiority and Austria's defensive frailty (11 conceded in 5), a two-plus goal margin is plausible. Home -1.5 is priced at ~1...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
62%
Spain -1
~1.59
W
Spain winning by 2+ goals is the modal outcome given Austria's defensive fragility and Spain's offensive quality. The spreads market has Hom...
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5
48%
Spain -1
~1.50
W
The modal outcomes cluster around Spain by one or two, with a strong chance of a narrow, controlled win and a significant push risk at exact...
GPT-5 Mini
46%
Spain -1
W
Spain winning by two or more is plausible given their defensive strength and superior squad, but Austria's ability to score and Spain's caut...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Spain
W
Spain's superior form and defensive strength make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([sports.betmgm.com](https://sports.betmgm.com/en...
o4-mini
65%
Spain -1
~1.50
W
Spain are favorites not only to win but to cover a -1 handicap, given their defensive shutout streak and Austria's propensity to concede mul...
Grok 4.3
63%
Spain -1
~1.50
W
Spain are expected to win by more than one goal given the quality differential and home form. Austria's recent results do not suggest they c...
Grok 4 Fast
65%
Spain
W
Spain are expected to win by two or more goals given the quality gap and Austria's leaky defense. Home form supports a comfortable margin. T...
Gemini 3.1 Pro
67%
Spain -1
~1.50
W
Spain's relentless ball retention will leave Austria with very few transition moments to score. If Spain finds an early breakthrough, they w...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
58%
Spain -1
~1.59
W
Spain has the offensive quality to win this match by more than a single goal. Austria has shown significant defensive weakness, conceding 11...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Spain -1
W
Given Spain's overall quality and dominant form, a multi-goal victory is a strong possibility against Austria. While World Cup knockout game...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Spain
W
Spain's strong form and defensive record suggest they are capable of overcoming a -1 handicap. Austria has shown a tendency to concede goals...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Spain
W
Spain's home form suggests they can win by more than one goal. Austria's defensive record (2.2 conceded per game) supports a multi-goal marg...
Match winner
ConsensusSpain 15/15
Claude Opus 4.7
74%
Spain
~1.36
W
Spain topped Group H with 5 goals scored and 0 conceded in competitive play, while Austria only scraped through Group J with a 96th-minute e...
Claude Opus 4.6
72%
Spain
~1.36
W
Spain are reigning European champions on a 34-match unbeaten run, with zero goals conceded in this World Cup (xG against just 0.54). Austria...
Claude Opus 4.8
75%
Spain
~1.36
W
Spain enter as heavy favorites (1.29-1.36) with a strong recent run (4W-1D, 10 scored, 0 conceded) versus a struggling Austria side (1W-2D-2...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
76%
Spain
~1.36
W
Spain enter this 2026 World Cup round-of-16 fixture as heavy favourites, having gone 4W-1D across their group stage with a perfect defensive...
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5
77%
Spain
~1.36
W
Spain's group stage featured three clean sheets and strong control metrics, while Austria have looked open defensively with six conceded in...
GPT-5 Mini
65%
Spain
W
Spain enter this knockout tie as the superior side on paper with a settled backline, no confirmed absences and home/neutral advantage, while...
GPT-4o Mini
75%
Spain
W
Spain's strong defensive record and Austria's occasional struggles to score against disciplined defenses suggest a home victory. ([sports.be...
o4-mini
75%
Spain
~1.36
W
Spain have been defensively impregnable in this tournament, keeping clean sheets in all group matches and conceding zero goals across their...
Grok 4.3
82%
Spain
~1.36
W
Spain's recent form shows four wins and a draw with zero goals conceded while Austria has a mixed record conceding more than they score. Spa...
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Spain
W
Spain enter with superior squad depth and a recent home record of four wins and one draw while conceding zero goals. Austria's last five mat...
Gemini 3.1 Pro
75%
Spain
~1.36
W
Spain has been immaculate defensively, finishing the group stage with seven points and zero goals conceded. Austria's energetic high press w...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
74%
Spain
~1.36
W
Spain's form is nearly perfect, especially defensively where they've conceded zero goals in their last five matches. They possess superior t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Spain
W
Based on historical performance and general team quality from my training data through 2025-09, Spain are significantly stronger than Austri...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Spain
W
Spain has shown exceptional form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding no goals. Austria's recent form is weaker with more losses...
DeepSeek V3
72%
Spain
W
Spain's dominant home form (4W-1D-0L, 10 scored, 0 conceded) contrasts with Austria's inconsistency (1W-2D-2L, 11 conceded). Spain's World C...
Bookmaker line: Spain 76%
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4.3
Spain
GPT-5
Spain
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Spain
Claude Opus 4.8
Spain
GPT-4o Mini
Spain
o4-mini
Spain
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Spain
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Spain
Claude Opus 4.7
Spain
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Spain
Claude Opus 4.6
Spain
Grok 4 Fast
Spain
DeepSeek V3
Spain
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Spain
GPT-5 Mini
Spain
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
confirmed starting lineups — see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
12 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Spain | Draw | Austria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 5.65 | 12.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| Unibet | 1.29 | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| 10bet | 1.06 | 5.25 | 10.50 |
| 1xbet | 1.31 | 5.96 | 11.60 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 5.50 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.50 | 13.00 |
| Betvictor | 1.06 | 5.50 | 11.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 5.60 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 5.70 | 10.75 |
| Sbo | 1.28 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| William-hill | 1.07 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | 11.00 | 1.05 |
| Unibet | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — | — |
| William-hill | — | — | — |
| Book | Spain | Austria |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betano | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
28a9d7b751236288…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Jul 2 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 8281,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "SoFi Stadium",
"league": "World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-07-02T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 02 Jul 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Austria",
"home": "Spain"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DDLLW",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWD",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 0
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
24 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
48 tool calls · 7 sources
7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
48 tool calls · 1 source
1 citation captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
80 tool calls · 7 sources
7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
8 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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