Shakhtar DonetskvsAEK Athens FC
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 2 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Shakhtar Donetsk 2/2 models |
Shakhtar Donetsk 2/2 models |
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.75 1/2 models |
Shakhtar Donetsk 2/2 models |
over 2/2 models |
no 1/2 models |
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk 2/2 models |
1-1 1/2 models |
|
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
62%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
59%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
61%
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.75 |
68%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
55%
over |
58%
no |
48%
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk |
22%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar's perfect home record with 15 goals scored and 0 conceded in the last 5 matches dwarfs AEK's solid but less dominant away form. Tra...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
59%
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar's 15-0 goal difference at home gives them a strong chance to cover a -1 spread. Training data through 2025-09 shows similar form ed...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
61%
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.75 Shakhtar's dominant home record and rest edge make home-0.75 the strongest value. Training data through 2025-09 shows Shakhtar cover similar...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar's clean-sheet streak and superior recent scoring output make a home win the clear value over a draw or AEK victory. Training data t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Shakhtar average 3 goals per home game while AEK concede at a moderate rate on the road. Training data through 2025-09 shows European matche...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Shakhtar's zero goals conceded in five home games points to another clean sheet against AEK. Training data through 2025-09 indicates defensi...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar's scoring volume and defensive record favor leading at half-time and full-time. Training data through 2025-09 shows strong home sid...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-1 Shakhtar's clean-sheet home form and AEK's ability to nick goals point to a 2-1 or narrow home win. Training data through 2025-09 shows most... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
62%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
59%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
61%
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.75 |
68%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
55%
over |
58%
no |
48%
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk |
22%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar's perfect home record with 15 goals scored and 0 conceded in the last 5 matches dwarfs AEK's solid but less dominant away form. Tra...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
59%
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar's 15-0 goal difference at home gives them a strong chance to cover a -1 spread. Training data through 2025-09 shows similar form ed...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
61%
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.75 Shakhtar's dominant home record and rest edge make home-0.75 the strongest value. Training data through 2025-09 shows Shakhtar cover similar...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar's clean-sheet streak and superior recent scoring output make a home win the clear value over a draw or AEK victory. Training data t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Shakhtar average 3 goals per home game while AEK concede at a moderate rate on the road. Training data through 2025-09 shows European matche...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Shakhtar's zero goals conceded in five home games points to another clean sheet against AEK. Training data through 2025-09 indicates defensi...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar's scoring volume and defensive record favor leading at half-time and full-time. Training data through 2025-09 shows strong home sid...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-1 Shakhtar's clean-sheet home form and AEK's ability to nick goals point to a 2-1 or narrow home win. Training data through 2025-09 shows most... |
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|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
42%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
55%
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.5 |
62%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
57%
over |
55%
yes |
30%
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk |
13%
1-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Shakhtar Donetsk No live access, so this is from training data through 2025-09 plus the brief. Shakhtar have a perfect 5W-0D-0L, 15 goals scored and 0 conced...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Shakhtar Donetsk A -1 handicap requires Shakhtar to win by two or more, which is a high bar against an AEK side scoring 4.4 goals per game in the reference w...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.5 Shakhtar -0.5 only requires a straight win, which aligns with my h2h lean. Their defensive record and AEK's relatively weaker defensive numb...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Shakhtar Donetsk Removing the draw raises Shakhtar's share of the decisive outcomes. Shakhtar's clean-sheet run and superior defensive base make them the mor...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
over Both sides are scoring heavily in the reference window (Shakhtar 15 in 5, AEK 22 in 5) and both have strong attacking phases, which points t...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Shakhtar have not conceded recently, but that sample is small and against weaker opposition; AEK's attack (22 goals in 5) is the most produc...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar are the more defensively stable side and are most likely to take and hold a lead, making home/home the modal outcome. AEK's strong...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
1-1 Given Shakhtar's defensive strength and AEK's scoring form, a 1-1 draw is a reasonable modal scoreline at a neutral venue, though 1-0 and 2-... |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
42%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
55%
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.5 |
62%
Shakhtar Donetsk |
57%
over |
55%
yes |
30%
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk |
13%
1-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Shakhtar Donetsk No live access, so this is from training data through 2025-09 plus the brief. Shakhtar have a perfect 5W-0D-0L, 15 goals scored and 0 conced...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Shakhtar Donetsk A -1 handicap requires Shakhtar to win by two or more, which is a high bar against an AEK side scoring 4.4 goals per game in the reference w...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.5 Shakhtar -0.5 only requires a straight win, which aligns with my h2h lean. Their defensive record and AEK's relatively weaker defensive numb...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Shakhtar Donetsk Removing the draw raises Shakhtar's share of the decisive outcomes. Shakhtar's clean-sheet run and superior defensive base make them the mor...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
over Both sides are scoring heavily in the reference window (Shakhtar 15 in 5, AEK 22 in 5) and both have strong attacking phases, which points t...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Shakhtar have not conceded recently, but that sample is small and against weaker opposition; AEK's attack (22 goals in 5) is the most produc...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar are the more defensively stable side and are most likely to take and hold a lead, making home/home the modal outcome. AEK's strong...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
1-1 Given Shakhtar's defensive strength and AEK's scoring form, a 1-1 draw is a reasonable modal scoreline at a neutral venue, though 1-0 and 2-... |
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Match winner
ConsensusShakhtar Donetsk 2/2
Shakhtar's perfect home record with 15 goals scored and 0 conceded in the last 5 matches dwarfs AEK's solid but less dominant away form. Tra...
Shakhtar's perfect home record with 15 goals scored and 0 conceded in the last 5 matches dwarfs AEK's solid but less dominant away form. Tra...
No live access, so this is from training data through 2025-09 plus the brief. Shakhtar have a perfect 5W-0D-0L, 15 goals scored and 0 conced...
No live access, so this is from training data through 2025-09 plus the brief. Shakhtar have a perfect 5W-0D-0L, 15 goals scored and 0 conced...
Spread
ConsensusShakhtar Donetsk 2/2
Shakhtar's 15-0 goal difference at home gives them a strong chance to cover a -1 spread. Training data through 2025-09 shows similar form ed...
Shakhtar's 15-0 goal difference at home gives them a strong chance to cover a -1 spread. Training data through 2025-09 shows similar form ed...
A -1 handicap requires Shakhtar to win by two or more, which is a high bar against an AEK side scoring 4.4 goals per game in the reference w...
A -1 handicap requires Shakhtar to win by two or more, which is a high bar against an AEK side scoring 4.4 goals per game in the reference w...
Asian handicap
ConsensusShakhtar Donetsk -0.75 1/2
Shakhtar's dominant home record and rest edge make home-0.75 the strongest value. Training data through 2025-09 shows Shakhtar cover similar...
Shakhtar's dominant home record and rest edge make home-0.75 the strongest value. Training data through 2025-09 shows Shakhtar cover similar...
Shakhtar -0.5 only requires a straight win, which aligns with my h2h lean. Their defensive record and AEK's relatively weaker defensive numb...
Shakhtar -0.5 only requires a straight win, which aligns with my h2h lean. Their defensive record and AEK's relatively weaker defensive numb...
Draw no bet
ConsensusShakhtar Donetsk 2/2
Shakhtar's clean-sheet streak and superior recent scoring output make a home win the clear value over a draw or AEK victory. Training data t...
Shakhtar's clean-sheet streak and superior recent scoring output make a home win the clear value over a draw or AEK victory. Training data t...
Removing the draw raises Shakhtar's share of the decisive outcomes. Shakhtar's clean-sheet run and superior defensive base make them the mor...
Removing the draw raises Shakhtar's share of the decisive outcomes. Shakhtar's clean-sheet run and superior defensive base make them the mor...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/2
Shakhtar average 3 goals per home game while AEK concede at a moderate rate on the road. Training data through 2025-09 shows European matche...
Shakhtar average 3 goals per home game while AEK concede at a moderate rate on the road. Training data through 2025-09 shows European matche...
Both sides are scoring heavily in the reference window (Shakhtar 15 in 5, AEK 22 in 5) and both have strong attacking phases, which points t...
Both sides are scoring heavily in the reference window (Shakhtar 15 in 5, AEK 22 in 5) and both have strong attacking phases, which points t...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 1/2
Shakhtar's zero goals conceded in five home games points to another clean sheet against AEK. Training data through 2025-09 indicates defensi...
Shakhtar's zero goals conceded in five home games points to another clean sheet against AEK. Training data through 2025-09 indicates defensi...
Shakhtar have not conceded recently, but that sample is small and against weaker opposition; AEK's attack (22 goals in 5) is the most produc...
Shakhtar have not conceded recently, but that sample is small and against weaker opposition; AEK's attack (22 goals in 5) is the most produc...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusShakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk 2/2
Shakhtar's scoring volume and defensive record favor leading at half-time and full-time. Training data through 2025-09 shows strong home sid...
Shakhtar's scoring volume and defensive record favor leading at half-time and full-time. Training data through 2025-09 shows strong home sid...
Shakhtar are the more defensively stable side and are most likely to take and hold a lead, making home/home the modal outcome. AEK's strong...
Shakhtar are the more defensively stable side and are most likely to take and hold a lead, making home/home the modal outcome. AEK's strong...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 1/2
Shakhtar's clean-sheet home form and AEK's ability to nick goals point to a 2-1 or narrow home win. Training data through 2025-09 shows most...
Shakhtar's clean-sheet home form and AEK's ability to nick goals point to a 2-1 or narrow home win. Training data through 2025-09 shows most...
Given Shakhtar's defensive strength and AEK's scoring form, a 1-1 draw is a reasonable modal scoreline at a neutral venue, though 1-0 and 2-...
Given Shakhtar's defensive strength and AEK's scoring form, a 1-1 draw is a reasonable modal scoreline at a neutral venue, though 1-0 and 2-...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerGrok 4 Fast
Shakhtar Donetsk
Grok 4 Fast
Shakhtar Donetsk
DeepSeek V3
Shakhtar Donetsk
DeepSeek V3
Shakhtar Donetsk
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
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Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
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Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
6e3ac78929012b27…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Oct 14 · 19:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 58925,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Stamford Bridge",
"league": "UEFA Champions League",
"starts_at": "2026-10-14T19:00:00+02:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 14 Oct 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "AEK Athens FC",
"home": "Shakhtar Donetsk"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWWD",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 22,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWW",
"record": "5W-0D-0L",
"scored": 15,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 0
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.