Seattle MarinersvsChicago Cubs
AI predictions
4 markets · 7 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Seattle Mariners 6/14 models |
Seattle Mariners -1.5 4/14 models |
Seattle Mariners 6/14 models |
over 6/14 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
52%
Under 4.5 |
55%
Chicago Cubs +1.5 |
58%
Chicago Cubs |
54%
Under 8.5 |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
52%
Under 4.5 The first five innings typically feature starting pitchers in their best form with fresh bullpen support not yet deployed. Seattle's defensi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Chicago Cubs +1.5 Chicago's superior recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and marginally higher run output support a closer contest than the 1.5-run line implies. The...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Chicago Cubs Chicago enters with superior recent form (3W-2L vs Seattle's 2W-3L over the last 5 matches) and has scored 21 runs against Seattle's 20 in t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
Under 8.5 The away team (Cubs) has conceded 33 runs across 5 matches, indicating vulnerable or fatigued pitching, but the home team (Mariners) has con... |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
52%
Under 4.5 |
55%
Chicago Cubs +1.5 |
58%
Chicago Cubs |
54%
Under 8.5 |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
52%
Under 4.5 The first five innings typically feature starting pitchers in their best form with fresh bullpen support not yet deployed. Seattle's defensi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Chicago Cubs +1.5 Chicago's superior recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and marginally higher run output support a closer contest than the 1.5-run line implies. The...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Chicago Cubs Chicago enters with superior recent form (3W-2L vs Seattle's 2W-3L over the last 5 matches) and has scored 21 runs against Seattle's 20 in t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
Under 8.5 The away team (Cubs) has conceded 33 runs across 5 matches, indicating vulnerable or fatigued pitching, but the home team (Mariners) has con... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
58%
Seattle Mariners +1.5 |
56%
Chicago Cubs |
62%
under |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Chicago Cubs First-five outcomes hinge heavily on the starting pitchers; with starters not universally confirmed I lean to the Cubs leading after five du...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Seattle Mariners +1.5 The +1.5 runline on the Mariners is the lower-variance choice: T‑Mobile Park reduces upside for big Cubs run totals, and Seattle's bullpen s...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Chicago Cubs Between these clubs the Cubs present a slightly stronger season profile and more consistent recent form, while the Mariners benefit from hom...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
under T‑Mobile Park historically suppresses run scoring late in summer thanks to the marine layer and low wind carry; NWS/AccuWeather forecasts sh...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
58%
Seattle Mariners +1.5 |
56%
Chicago Cubs |
62%
under |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Chicago Cubs First-five outcomes hinge heavily on the starting pitchers; with starters not universally confirmed I lean to the Cubs leading after five du...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Seattle Mariners +1.5 The +1.5 runline on the Mariners is the lower-variance choice: T‑Mobile Park reduces upside for big Cubs run totals, and Seattle's bullpen s...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Chicago Cubs Between these clubs the Cubs present a slightly stronger season profile and more consistent recent form, while the Mariners benefit from hom...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
under T‑Mobile Park historically suppresses run scoring late in summer thanks to the marine layer and low wind carry; NWS/AccuWeather forecasts sh...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
Seattle Mariners |
55%
Seattle Mariners |
55%
Seattle Mariners |
60%
over |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Seattle Mariners The Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest they are likely to lead after the first five innings. The favorable hittin...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Seattle Mariners The Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest they are likely to win by at least one run. The favorable hitting conditio...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Seattle Mariners The Seattle Mariners have a strong home advantage at T-Mobile Park, with a solid home record this season. The Chicago Cubs have struggled on...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring patterns recently, but the Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest a higher...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
|
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
Seattle Mariners |
55%
Seattle Mariners |
55%
Seattle Mariners |
60%
over |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Seattle Mariners The Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest they are likely to lead after the first five innings. The favorable hittin...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Seattle Mariners The Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest they are likely to win by at least one run. The favorable hitting conditio...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Seattle Mariners The Seattle Mariners have a strong home advantage at T-Mobile Park, with a solid home record this season. The Chicago Cubs have struggled on...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring patterns recently, but the Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest a higher...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
Mariners |
51%
Mariners -1.5 |
56%
Mariners |
52%
over |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
Mariners Early-game advantage leans to the home starter based on historical platoon splits. Mariners have held leads after five innings more often at...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Mariners -1.5 Seattle bullpen depth gives them the edge to close out games. Cubs have struggled to cover run lines on the road. Training data through 2025...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Mariners Mariners hold home-field edge at T-Mobile Park. Cubs recent form shows offensive inconsistency while Mariners pitching staff has kept games...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Warm August conditions at T-Mobile Park historically boost offense. Both teams have averaged over 9 runs per game in recent outings. Trainin... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
Mariners |
51%
Mariners -1.5 |
56%
Mariners |
52%
over |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
Mariners Early-game advantage leans to the home starter based on historical platoon splits. Mariners have held leads after five innings more often at...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Mariners -1.5 Seattle bullpen depth gives them the edge to close out games. Cubs have struggled to cover run lines on the road. Training data through 2025...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Mariners Mariners hold home-field edge at T-Mobile Park. Cubs recent form shows offensive inconsistency while Mariners pitching staff has kept games...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Warm August conditions at T-Mobile Park historically boost offense. Both teams have averaged over 9 runs per game in recent outings. Trainin... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
57%
Seattle Mariners |
52%
Seattle Mariners -1.5 |
55%
Seattle Mariners |
60%
under 7.5 |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
57%
Seattle Mariners The outcome of the first five innings heavily depends on the starting pitching matchup. Given T-Mobile Park's historical characteristics and...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Seattle Mariners -1.5 Given the lean towards the Mariners in the moneyline market and their historical strength in pitching at home, a win by more than one run is...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Seattle Mariners This prediction is based on general historical team performance and MLB trends, as specific real-time data for August 2026 is unavailable. T...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under 7.5 T-Mobile Park is renowned for suppressing runs due to its dimensions and atmospheric conditions, favoring lower-scoring games historically.... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
57%
Seattle Mariners |
52%
Seattle Mariners -1.5 |
55%
Seattle Mariners |
60%
under 7.5 |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
57%
Seattle Mariners The outcome of the first five innings heavily depends on the starting pitching matchup. Given T-Mobile Park's historical characteristics and...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Seattle Mariners -1.5 Given the lean towards the Mariners in the moneyline market and their historical strength in pitching at home, a win by more than one run is...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Seattle Mariners This prediction is based on general historical team performance and MLB trends, as specific real-time data for August 2026 is unavailable. T...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under 7.5 T-Mobile Park is renowned for suppressing runs due to its dimensions and atmospheric conditions, favoring lower-scoring games historically.... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
58%
over |
52%
Chicago Cubs |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
60%
over |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
over Both teams have shown the ability to score runs early in games. The starting pitchers are not expected to completely dominate, and with the...
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Chicago Cubs Given the slight edge in offensive form for the Cubs and the potential for a moderately scoring game, covering a -1 spread appears more like...
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Chicago Cubs The Chicago Cubs have a slight edge due to stronger recent offensive form, despite both teams having equal rest. Their higher scoring output...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Considering the offensive potential of both teams and the park factors at T-Mobile Park, which generally favors hitters, the game is likely...
4 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
58%
over |
52%
Chicago Cubs |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
60%
over |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
over Both teams have shown the ability to score runs early in games. The starting pitchers are not expected to completely dominate, and with the...
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Chicago Cubs Given the slight edge in offensive form for the Cubs and the potential for a moderately scoring game, covering a -1 spread appears more like...
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Chicago Cubs The Chicago Cubs have a slight edge due to stronger recent offensive form, despite both teams having equal rest. Their higher scoring output...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Considering the offensive potential of both teams and the park factors at T-Mobile Park, which generally favors hitters, the game is likely...
4 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
57%
Seattle Mariners |
50%
Seattle Mariners -1.5 |
62%
Seattle Mariners |
55%
Under 8.5 |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
57%
Seattle Mariners Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners' strong starting pitching should control the early innings, es...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Seattle Mariners -1.5 Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners' run prevention is elite, and they have a better bullpen, whic...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Seattle Mariners Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners have a strong pitching advantage at home with a top-tier rotat...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 8.5 Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. T-Mobile Park suppresses offense, and both teams project to have average li... |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
57%
Seattle Mariners |
50%
Seattle Mariners -1.5 |
62%
Seattle Mariners |
55%
Under 8.5 |
|
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
57%
Seattle Mariners Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners' strong starting pitching should control the early innings, es...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Seattle Mariners -1.5 Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners' run prevention is elite, and they have a better bullpen, whic...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Seattle Mariners Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners have a strong pitching advantage at home with a top-tier rotat...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 8.5 Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. T-Mobile Park suppresses offense, and both teams project to have average li... |
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First 5 innings
ConsensusSeattle Mariners 6/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Under 4.5
The first five innings typically feature starting pitchers in their best form with fresh bullpen support not yet deployed. Seattle's defensi...
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Under 4.5
The first five innings typically feature starting pitchers in their best form with fresh bullpen support not yet deployed. Seattle's defensi...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Chicago Cubs
First-five outcomes hinge heavily on the starting pitchers; with starters not universally confirmed I lean to the Cubs leading after five du...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Chicago Cubs
First-five outcomes hinge heavily on the starting pitchers; with starters not universally confirmed I lean to the Cubs leading after five du...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest they are likely to lead after the first five innings. The favorable hittin...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest they are likely to lead after the first five innings. The favorable hittin...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Mariners
Early-game advantage leans to the home starter based on historical platoon splits. Mariners have held leads after five innings more often at...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Mariners
Early-game advantage leans to the home starter based on historical platoon splits. Mariners have held leads after five innings more often at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
57%
Seattle Mariners
The outcome of the first five innings heavily depends on the starting pitching matchup. Given T-Mobile Park's historical characteristics and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
57%
Seattle Mariners
The outcome of the first five innings heavily depends on the starting pitching matchup. Given T-Mobile Park's historical characteristics and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
Both teams have shown the ability to score runs early in games. The starting pitchers are not expected to completely dominate, and with the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
Both teams have shown the ability to score runs early in games. The starting pitchers are not expected to completely dominate, and with the...
DeepSeek V3
57%
Seattle Mariners
Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners' strong starting pitching should control the early innings, es...
DeepSeek V3
57%
Seattle Mariners
Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners' strong starting pitching should control the early innings, es...
Spread
ConsensusSeattle Mariners -1.5 4/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Chicago Cubs +1.5
Chicago's superior recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and marginally higher run output support a closer contest than the 1.5-run line implies. The...
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Chicago Cubs +1.5
Chicago's superior recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and marginally higher run output support a closer contest than the 1.5-run line implies. The...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
Seattle Mariners +1.5
The +1.5 runline on the Mariners is the lower-variance choice: T‑Mobile Park reduces upside for big Cubs run totals, and Seattle's bullpen s...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
Seattle Mariners +1.5
The +1.5 runline on the Mariners is the lower-variance choice: T‑Mobile Park reduces upside for big Cubs run totals, and Seattle's bullpen s...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest they are likely to win by at least one run. The favorable hitting conditio...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest they are likely to win by at least one run. The favorable hitting conditio...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Mariners -1.5
Seattle bullpen depth gives them the edge to close out games. Cubs have struggled to cover run lines on the road. Training data through 2025...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Mariners -1.5
Seattle bullpen depth gives them the edge to close out games. Cubs have struggled to cover run lines on the road. Training data through 2025...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Seattle Mariners -1.5
Given the lean towards the Mariners in the moneyline market and their historical strength in pitching at home, a win by more than one run is...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Seattle Mariners -1.5
Given the lean towards the Mariners in the moneyline market and their historical strength in pitching at home, a win by more than one run is...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Chicago Cubs
Given the slight edge in offensive form for the Cubs and the potential for a moderately scoring game, covering a -1 spread appears more like...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Chicago Cubs
Given the slight edge in offensive form for the Cubs and the potential for a moderately scoring game, covering a -1 spread appears more like...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Seattle Mariners -1.5
Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners' run prevention is elite, and they have a better bullpen, whic...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Seattle Mariners -1.5
Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners' run prevention is elite, and they have a better bullpen, whic...
Match winner
ConsensusSeattle Mariners 6/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Chicago Cubs
Chicago enters with superior recent form (3W-2L vs Seattle's 2W-3L over the last 5 matches) and has scored 21 runs against Seattle's 20 in t...
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Chicago Cubs
Chicago enters with superior recent form (3W-2L vs Seattle's 2W-3L over the last 5 matches) and has scored 21 runs against Seattle's 20 in t...
GPT-5 Mini
56%
Chicago Cubs
Between these clubs the Cubs present a slightly stronger season profile and more consistent recent form, while the Mariners benefit from hom...
GPT-5 Mini
56%
Chicago Cubs
Between these clubs the Cubs present a slightly stronger season profile and more consistent recent form, while the Mariners benefit from hom...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners have a strong home advantage at T-Mobile Park, with a solid home record this season. The Chicago Cubs have struggled on...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners have a strong home advantage at T-Mobile Park, with a solid home record this season. The Chicago Cubs have struggled on...
Grok 4 Fast
56%
Mariners
Mariners hold home-field edge at T-Mobile Park. Cubs recent form shows offensive inconsistency while Mariners pitching staff has kept games...
Grok 4 Fast
56%
Mariners
Mariners hold home-field edge at T-Mobile Park. Cubs recent form shows offensive inconsistency while Mariners pitching staff has kept games...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Seattle Mariners
This prediction is based on general historical team performance and MLB trends, as specific real-time data for August 2026 is unavailable. T...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Seattle Mariners
This prediction is based on general historical team performance and MLB trends, as specific real-time data for August 2026 is unavailable. T...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have a slight edge due to stronger recent offensive form, despite both teams having equal rest. Their higher scoring output...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have a slight edge due to stronger recent offensive form, despite both teams having equal rest. Their higher scoring output...
DeepSeek V3
62%
Seattle Mariners
Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners have a strong pitching advantage at home with a top-tier rotat...
DeepSeek V3
62%
Seattle Mariners
Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. The Mariners have a strong pitching advantage at home with a top-tier rotat...
Over / Under
Consensusover 6/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Under 8.5
The away team (Cubs) has conceded 33 runs across 5 matches, indicating vulnerable or fatigued pitching, but the home team (Mariners) has con...
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Under 8.5
The away team (Cubs) has conceded 33 runs across 5 matches, indicating vulnerable or fatigued pitching, but the home team (Mariners) has con...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
under
T‑Mobile Park historically suppresses run scoring late in summer thanks to the marine layer and low wind carry; NWS/AccuWeather forecasts sh...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
under
T‑Mobile Park historically suppresses run scoring late in summer thanks to the marine layer and low wind carry; NWS/AccuWeather forecasts sh...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring patterns recently, but the Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest a higher...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring patterns recently, but the Mariners' home advantage and the Cubs' road struggles suggest a higher...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
Warm August conditions at T-Mobile Park historically boost offense. Both teams have averaged over 9 runs per game in recent outings. Trainin...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
Warm August conditions at T-Mobile Park historically boost offense. Both teams have averaged over 9 runs per game in recent outings. Trainin...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
under 7.5
T-Mobile Park is renowned for suppressing runs due to its dimensions and atmospheric conditions, favoring lower-scoring games historically....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
under 7.5
T-Mobile Park is renowned for suppressing runs due to its dimensions and atmospheric conditions, favoring lower-scoring games historically....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
Considering the offensive potential of both teams and the park factors at T-Mobile Park, which generally favors hitters, the game is likely...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
Considering the offensive potential of both teams and the park factors at T-Mobile Park, which generally favors hitters, the game is likely...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under 8.5
Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. T-Mobile Park suppresses offense, and both teams project to have average li...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under 8.5
Predicted from training data through 2025-09, no real-time info. T-Mobile Park suppresses offense, and both teams project to have average li...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Seattle Mariners
DeepSeek V3
Seattle Mariners
Claude Haiku 4.5
Chicago Cubs
Claude Haiku 4.5
Chicago Cubs
GPT-5 Mini
Chicago Cubs
GPT-5 Mini
Chicago Cubs
Grok 4 Fast
Mariners
Grok 4 Fast
Mariners
GPT-4o Mini
Seattle Mariners
GPT-4o Mini
Seattle Mariners
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Seattle Mariners
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Seattle Mariners
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Chicago Cubs
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Chicago Cubs
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
e63d7ca825554ac5…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Aug 22 · 04:10 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 27488,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": "T-Mobile Park",
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-08-22T02:10:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 22 Aug 2026 02:10:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"home": "Seattle Mariners"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
"Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
"Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
"Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
"Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWLL",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 21,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 33
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLWWL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 20,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 10
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 44,
"home": 44
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
56 tool calls · 6 sources
6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.