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MLB Major League Baseball · Oracle Park
Live 0–0
San Francisco Giants logo

San Francisco GiantsvsMilwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Kickoff Locked 28picks

AI predictions

Ask the AIs

Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Spread

Consensus
Milwaukee Brewers 3/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Brewers -1.5

The Brewers' 4-1 recent form and +7 run differential provide a structural edge that justifies modest spreads betting. Milwaukee's pitching d...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 33% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

A Brewers win is more likely than a large blowout because Oracle Park suppresses run totals and Webb, despite recent inconsistency, is a vet...

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🔍 researched 10 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 55% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been more consistent in their recent performances, and with the Giants' struggles at home, the Brewers are likely to cover...

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🔍 researched 2 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 51% Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers' recent offensive output and better record give them a slight edge to cover the spread on the road. Giants have allowed more runs la...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

Given the Brewers' superior recent form (4-1) and their stronger defensive performance in the provided data, they are the more likely team t...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% Milwaukee Brewers

Given the projected pitching advantage for the Brewers with Corbin Burnes on the mound, and their slightly better recent form, they are favo...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 50% San Francisco Giants -1.5

The Giants have a slight edge at home, but their recent 2-3 record and the Brewers' 4-1 stretch make a multi-run win uncertain. The confiden...

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First 5 innings

Consensus
Milwaukee Brewers 5/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 60% Under 4.5

The first five innings tend to reflect early pitcher command and lineup adjustments before deep bench involvement. The Brewers' strong recen...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 54% Milwaukee Brewers

Given Drohan's recent ability to miss barrels and go deep into games, plus Milwaukee's hotter offense recently, the Brewers are slightly mor...

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🔍 researched 10 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 55% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been starting games strong, often leading after the first five innings. With the Giants' recent struggles and the Brewers'...

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🔍 researched 2 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 52% Milwaukee Brewers

Early innings often mirror full-game trends when bullpens are rested; Brewers' form edge carries into the first five. Venue suppresses big e...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 57% Milwaukee Brewers

The first five innings outcome is heavily influenced by starting pitchers, which are unknown for this 2026 game. However, based on the Milwa...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 57% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers' advantage with Corbin Burnes starting is most pronounced in the early innings. Burnes has been excellent at shutting down oppos...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% San Francisco Giants

The first five innings advantage typically goes to the home team and the starting pitcher. The Giants' offense has been productive early in...

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Match winner

Consensus
Milwaukee Brewers 6/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee enters with superior recent form (4W-1L vs Giants' 2W-3L over the last 5 matches) and a +7 run differential, indicating better off...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 57% Milwaukee Brewers

Probable starters are Shane Drohan (MIL) and Logan Webb (SF); Drohan has delivered a string of dependable, length-providing starts in July w...

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🔍 researched 10 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 55% Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers have shown strong recent form with four wins in their last five games, while the San Francisco Giants have struggled,...

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🔍 researched 2 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 53% Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers enter with stronger recent form (LWWWW) and better run differential than the Giants (LLWLW). Oracle Park typically suppresses scorin...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 56% Milwaukee Brewers

Based on general team tendencies from training data through 2025-09 and the provided recent form, the Milwaukee Brewers appear to be in bett...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 58% Milwaukee Brewers

Corbin Burnes is having a dominant season and presents a significant advantage over Logan Webb, despite Webb's solid performance. The Brewer...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% San Francisco Giants

The Giants have home-field advantage at Oracle Park, and their offense has scored 25 runs in the last 5 games despite a 2-3 record. The Brew...

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Bookmaker line: Milwaukee Brewers 52%

Over / Under

Consensus
under 3/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 62% Under 8.5

Oracle Park is known for suppressing scoring due to its expansive outfield dimensions and cool evening Bay Area winds that blow in from left...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 62% Under 8.5

Oracle Park is one of the more run-suppressing venues (bay winds blow in during late-July forecasts), and both probable starters profile as...

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🔍 researched 10 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% under

Both teams have been averaging around 4 runs per game in their recent matchups, and considering the starting pitchers' recent performances,...

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🔍 researched 2 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 56% under

Oracle Park is a strong pitcher's park that limits home runs and extra-base hits. Both teams show moderate scoring in recent games but the v...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Under 8.5

Oracle Park is historically known as a pitcher-friendly ballpark, which tends to suppress scoring. While the Giants' recent games have trend...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 62% under

Both starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes and Logan Webb, are strong and have demonstrated the ability to limit runs. Oracle Park's dimensions a...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% Over 8.5

Both teams have been scoring recently, with the Brewers averaging 4.4 runs per game and the Giants 5.0 runs per game over their last five. T...

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Bookmaker line: 7.5 · Over 53%

Model confidence

Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5

Claude Haiku 4.5

Milwaukee Brewers

58
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Milwaukee Brewers

58
GPT-5 Mini

GPT-5 Mini

Milwaukee Brewers

57
Gemini 2.5 Flash

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Milwaukee Brewers

56
GPT-4o Mini

GPT-4o Mini

Milwaukee Brewers

55
DeepSeek V3

DeepSeek V3

San Francisco Giants

55
Grok 4 Fast

Grok 4 Fast

Milwaukee Brewers

53

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 145–91 · 61%
+67.5u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 154–115 · 57%
-17.4u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 1223–997 · 55%
-800.9u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 737–629 · 54%
-408.1u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 130–112 · 54%
+111.8u
o4-mini
o4-mini 90–78 · 54%
+69.7u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 193–173 · 53%
-47.6u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 132–124 · 52%
+93.6u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 183–176 · 51%
-63.5u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 459–482 · 49%
-323.7u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 1439–1533 · 48%
-1,291.5u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 1065–1142 · 48%
-979.0u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 1798–1929 · 48%
-1,743.7u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 1786–1978 · 47%
-1,669.4u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 1481–1738 · 46%
-1,536.8u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 151–179 · 46%
-73.8u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

Bookmaker odds

1 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted

Book San Francisco Giants Draw Milwaukee Brewers
Draftkings 1.92 — 1.91
Book Line Over Under
Draftkings 7.5 1.85 1.98
Book San Francisco Giants Milwaukee Brewers

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: dbaf2d5441a0ea11…
Kickoff
Wed, Jul 29 · 19:45 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 17599,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": "Oracle Park",
        "league": "Major League Baseball",
        "starts_at": "2026-07-29T19:45:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Wed, 29 Jul 2026 19:45:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "home": "San Francisco Giants"
    },
    "version": "v2",
    "sport_focus": [
        "The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
        "Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
        "Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
        "Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
        "Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
    ],
    "team_context": {
        "note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
        "away_form": {
            "last": "LWWWW",
            "record": "4W-0D-1L",
            "scored": 22,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 15
        },
        "home_form": {
            "last": "LLWLW",
            "record": "2W-0D-3L",
            "scored": 25,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 31
        },
        "rest_days": {
            "away": 20,
            "home": 21
        }
    },
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

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