MLB

Upcoming · in 88h 48m

San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves

Kickoff · Sun, Jun 28 · 01:05 GMT+0000

Picks locked at Jun 24 · 05:54 GMT+0000 24 picks recorded

Chat with the AIs about this match Pick the frontier models — Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, Grok & more — and watch them answer side by side, live, on the same brief. Open chat →

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified


                    hash:
                    a4ae53c7a980f74f…

Kickoff: Sun, Jun 28 · 01:05 GMT+0000
Markets: Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds: 15+ live books
Research: AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 7528,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-06-28T01:05:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sun, 28 Jun 2026 01:05:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Atlanta Braves",
        "home": "San Francisco Giants"
    },
    "version": "v1",
    "built_at": "2026-06-24T05:54:18+00:00",
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Your call

Who wins? One tap, no signup.

AI predictions

5 markets · 6 models picked

Who picked what

16 models × 5 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Unlock flagship models

Model	Match winner ?	First 5 innings ?	Over / Under ?	Spread ?	First five innings h2h ?
Claude Opus 4.7 Flagship Anthropic · 60-87 -43.6u	Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 61-78 -31.2u	Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Flagship Anthropic · 30-28 -13.4u	Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 291-335 -245.0u	Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 408-497 -409.9u	58% Atlanta Braves	54% Atlanta Braves	55% Over 8.5	52% Atlanta Braves -1.5	—
Match winner ? 58% Atlanta Braves The Braves have maintained stronger overall roster construction and have historically outperformed the Giants in recent seasons. Without acc... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 54% Atlanta Braves The first-five-innings market typically correlates with starting pitcher quality and early offensive aggression. Atlanta's roster has shown... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 55% Over 8.5 Both franchises have shown offensive capability historically, with the Braves having particularly strong lineup depth and the Giants capable... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 52% Atlanta Braves -1.5 The Braves' superior roster depth and consistency historically support a modest run-line favorite role. A 1.5-run spread reflects the expect... Unlock reasoning · Pro First five innings h2h ? No pick on this market.
GPT-5 Flagship Openai · 24-15 -3.7u	Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 201-179 -49.0u	—	—	—	—	—
Match winner ? No pick on this market. First 5 innings ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. First five innings h2h ? No pick on this market.
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 340-335 -236.4u	60% Atlanta Braves	55% Atlanta Braves	55% over	60% Atlanta Braves	—
Match winner ? 60% Atlanta Braves The Atlanta Braves have been in strong form recently, with a solid lineup and favorable head-to-head record against the San Francisco Giants... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 1 source cited First 5 innings ? 55% Atlanta Braves The Braves' starting pitcher has been dominant in the first five innings, and their offense tends to start strong. The Giants have struggled... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 1 source cited Over / Under ? 55% over Both teams have potent offenses, and recent games have seen high-scoring outcomes. The Braves' home games tend to be higher-scoring, suggest... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 1 source cited Spread ? 60% Atlanta Braves The Braves' recent form and home advantage make them likely to win by at least one run. The Giants have struggled in close games, further su... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 1 source cited First five innings h2h ? No pick on this market.
o4-mini Flagship Openai · 13-9 -4.2u	Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Grok 4.3 Flagship Xai · 38-34 -4.2u	Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 388-401 -229.4u	55% Atlanta Braves	51% Atlanta Braves	52% over	53% Atlanta Braves	—
Match winner ? 55% Atlanta Braves Atlanta has maintained stronger overall roster depth and pitching staff through 2025. Giants home edge is modest in this matchup based on hi... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 51% Atlanta Braves Braves rotation typically controls early innings against left-leaning Giants lineups per 2024-2025 trends. Limited rest or fatigue data for... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 52% over Both offenses project average-to-above run production in summer conditions. Training data indicates typical MLB totals lean slightly over in... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 53% Atlanta Braves Run-line value favors the Braves given their superior bullpen depth in historical data. Giants have shown vulnerability to late leads. Predi... Unlock reasoning · Pro First five innings h2h ? No pick on this market.
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship Google · 31-37 -8.2u	Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship Google · 55-94 -58.2u	Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 376-424 -344.0u	55% Atlanta Braves	—	52% Over 8.5	50% Atlanta Braves -1.5	48% Atlanta Braves
Match winner ? 55% Atlanta Braves Based on my training data through my last update, the Atlanta Braves consistently project as a strong team with potent offense and solid pit... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? 52% Over 8.5 My training data suggests both teams, particularly the Braves, have good offensive capabilities. Given a standard total of 8.5, and without... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 50% Atlanta Braves -1.5 Predicting the Braves to cover the -1.5 run line aligns with their historical ability to secure multi-run victories against various opponent... Unlock reasoning · Pro First five innings h2h ? 48% Atlanta Braves Based on my training data, the Braves typically have strong starting pitching and an offense capable of generating early leads. The first fi... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 343-461 -337.4u	55% Atlanta Braves	54% Atlanta Braves	58% over	53% Atlanta Braves	—
Match winner ? 55% Atlanta Braves Based on historical performance and general team strengths, the Atlanta Braves are slightly favored. While specific matchups can vary, the B... Unlock reasoning · Pro 3 sources cited First 5 innings ? 54% Atlanta Braves The Braves' tendency to start strong offensively and their general pitching stability often gives them an edge in the early innings. This pr... Unlock reasoning · Pro 3 sources cited Over / Under ? 58% over Given the offensive capabilities of both teams and potential for strong hitting performances, an over prediction is slightly favored. Withou... Unlock reasoning · Pro 3 sources cited Spread ? 53% Atlanta Braves The spread market often mirrors the head-to-head prediction. With a slight lean towards the Braves winning, they are also favored to cover a... Unlock reasoning · Pro 3 sources cited First five innings h2h ? No pick on this market.
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 432-479 -273.6u	55% Atlanta Braves	52% Atlanta Braves	55% over 8.5	45% Atlanta Braves -1.5	—
Match winner ? 55% Atlanta Braves Braves have a strong lineup led by Ronald Acuna Jr. and Matt Olson, and their pitching staff has performed well. Giants have been inconsiste... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 52% Atlanta Braves Braves have strong starting pitching and a potent early lineup. Giants' starters have been inconsistent early in games. Braves' ability to s... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 55% over 8.5 Both teams have powerful offenses capable of scoring runs. Braves rank among top five in runs per game, Giants are middle of the pack. Pitch... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 45% Atlanta Braves -1.5 Braves are favored to win but not by a large margin; Giants have competitive pitching at home. The spread is risky as games are often close.... Unlock reasoning · Pro First five innings h2h ? No pick on this market.
Consensus	Atlanta Braves 6/6	Atlanta Braves 5/5	over 3/6	Atlanta Braves -1.5 3/6	Atlanta Braves 1/1

Match winner

Consensus
Atlanta Braves 6/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Atlanta Braves

The Braves have maintained stronger overall roster construction and have historically outperformed the Giants in recent seasons. Without acc...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 60% Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves have been in strong form recently, with a solid lineup and favorable head-to-head record against the San Francisco Giants...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 1 source cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 55% Atlanta Braves

Atlanta has maintained stronger overall roster depth and pitching staff through 2025. Giants home edge is modest in this matchup based on hi...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Atlanta Braves

Based on my training data through my last update, the Atlanta Braves consistently project as a strong team with potent offense and solid pit...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% Atlanta Braves

Based on historical performance and general team strengths, the Atlanta Braves are slightly favored. While specific matchups can vary, the B...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

3 sources cited

DeepSeek V3 55% Atlanta Braves

Braves have a strong lineup led by Ronald Acuna Jr. and Matt Olson, and their pitching staff has performed well. Giants have been inconsiste...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

First 5 innings

Consensus
Atlanta Braves 5/5

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 54% Atlanta Braves

The first-five-innings market typically correlates with starting pitcher quality and early offensive aggression. Atlanta's roster has shown...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 55% Atlanta Braves

The Braves' starting pitcher has been dominant in the first five innings, and their offense tends to start strong. The Giants have struggled...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 1 source cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 51% Atlanta Braves

Braves rotation typically controls early innings against left-leaning Giants lineups per 2024-2025 trends. Limited rest or fatigue data for...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash —

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 54% Atlanta Braves

The Braves' tendency to start strong offensively and their general pitching stability often gives them an edge in the early innings. This pr...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

3 sources cited

DeepSeek V3 52% Atlanta Braves

Braves have strong starting pitching and a potent early lineup. Giants' starters have been inconsistent early in games. Braves' ability to s...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Over / Under

Consensus
over 3/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Over 8.5

Both franchises have shown offensive capability historically, with the Braves having particularly strong lineup depth and the Giants capable...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 55% over

Both teams have potent offenses, and recent games have seen high-scoring outcomes. The Braves' home games tend to be higher-scoring, suggest...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 1 source cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 52% over

Both offenses project average-to-above run production in summer conditions. Training data indicates typical MLB totals lean slightly over in...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Over 8.5

My training data suggests both teams, particularly the Braves, have good offensive capabilities. Given a standard total of 8.5, and without...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 58% over

Given the offensive capabilities of both teams and potential for strong hitting performances, an over prediction is slightly favored. Withou...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

3 sources cited

DeepSeek V3 55% over 8.5

Both teams have powerful offenses capable of scoring runs. Braves rank among top five in runs per game, Giants are middle of the pack. Pitch...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Spread

Consensus
Atlanta Braves -1.5 3/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 52% Atlanta Braves -1.5

The Braves' superior roster depth and consistency historically support a modest run-line favorite role. A 1.5-run spread reflects the expect...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 60% Atlanta Braves

The Braves' recent form and home advantage make them likely to win by at least one run. The Giants have struggled in close games, further su...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 1 source cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 53% Atlanta Braves

Run-line value favors the Braves given their superior bullpen depth in historical data. Giants have shown vulnerability to late leads. Predi...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 50% Atlanta Braves -1.5

Predicting the Braves to cover the -1.5 run line aligns with their historical ability to secure multi-run victories against various opponent...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 53% Atlanta Braves

The spread market often mirrors the head-to-head prediction. With a slight lean towards the Braves winning, they are also favored to cover a...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

3 sources cited

DeepSeek V3 45% Atlanta Braves -1.5

Braves are favored to win but not by a large margin; Giants have competitive pitching at home. The spread is risky as games are often close....

Unlock reasoning · Pro

First five innings h2h

Consensus
Atlanta Braves 1/1

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 —

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini —

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast —

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 48% Atlanta Braves

Based on my training data, the Braves typically have strong starting pitching and an offense capable of generating early leads. The first fi...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite —

DeepSeek V3 —

Pro on-demand

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Have the standard AI lineup analyse this match — same brief, same scoreboard. Predictions appear publicly once the run finishes.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Claude Haiku 4.5
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
GPT-4o Mini
4 tool calls · 1 source

1 citation captured — unlock with Pro
Grok 4 Fast
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
DeepSeek V3
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
0 tool calls · 3 sources

3 citations captured — unlock with Pro

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