Rot-Weiß EssenvsFC St. Pauli
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
FC St. Pauli 4/4 models |
FC St. Pauli 4/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
FC St. Pauli 2/4 models |
FC St. Pauli 1/4 models |
FC St. Pauli / FC St. Pauli 2/4 models |
1-2 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
58%
FC St. Pauli |
72%
FC St. Pauli |
53%
over |
55%
yes |
61%
FC St. Pauli |
59%
FC St. Pauli -1 |
48%
FC St. Pauli / FC St. Pauli |
18%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
FC St. Pauli St. Pauli operate at a higher competitive level than Rot-Weiß Essen and the provided away form shows more resilience. Essen's home record is...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
72%
FC St. Pauli St. Pauli are the clear quality superior and should avoid defeat even away from home. Essen's recent home results offer little evidence they...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Cup ties between mismatched levels often produce open play and multiple goals. Essen concede heavily while St. Pauli score regularly. Traini...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Essen's leaky defense increases the chance they score at least once while St. Pauli's attack is reliable. Historical patterns in lower-vs-hi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
61%
FC St. Pauli St. Pauli's quality edge should see them win by at least two goals against a struggling third-tier side. Essen's defensive numbers suggest v...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
FC St. Pauli -1 The handicap reflects St. Pauli's expected dominance and the likelihood they win by two or more. Essen lack the defensive organization to ke...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
FC St. Pauli / FC St. Pauli St. Pauli are expected to control the game from the start and maintain the lead. Essen's poor home form makes an early lead for the visitors...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 A narrow away win is the most likely outcome given the level gap. 1-2 appears frequently in similar historical mismatches. Training data thr... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
FC St. Pauli |
77%
FC St. Pauli |
65%
Over 2.5 |
60%
Yes |
58%
FC St. Pauli -1 |
55%
FC St. Pauli -1.5 |
45%
FC St. Pauli / FC St. Pauli |
15%
1-3 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli, as a 2. Bundesliga side, possesses significantly higher quality than Rot-Weiß Essen, who are typically in the 3. Liga or Regio...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
77%
FC St. Pauli Given FC St. Pauli's superior league standing and team quality, they are expected to win this match outright. The draw no bet market removes...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Over 2.5 Rot-Weiß Essen has conceded 13 goals in their last five matches, indicating a vulnerable defense. FC St. Pauli, despite inconsistent form, h...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes While FC St. Pauli is expected to win, their defense has conceded 10 goals in their last five matches, showing some vulnerability. Rot-Weiß...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
FC St. Pauli -1 Given the significant difference in league quality and recent form, FC St. Pauli is highly likely to win this match by at least a two-goal m...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
FC St. Pauli -1.5 Building on the expected comfortable win for FC St. Pauli, a -1.5 Asian Handicap pick indicates confidence in them winning by two or more go...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
FC St. Pauli / FC St. Pauli Given FC St. Pauli's superior quality, they are expected to take control of the game early and maintain their lead. They should be able to a...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-3 FC St. Pauli is heavily favored to win, and their attacking strength, combined with Rot-Weiß Essen's poor defensive record, points to multip... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
FC St. Pauli |
58%
FC St. Pauli |
55%
over |
56%
yes |
53%
FC St. Pauli |
53%
FC St. Pauli |
35%
Draw / FC St. Pauli |
12%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli are in better recent form than Rot-Weiss Essen, having secured a win in their last encounter and showing more consistent result...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
FC St. Pauli Given FC St. Pauli's superior form and recent head-to-head victory, they are the more likely winners. Rot-Weiss Essen's struggles make them...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown attacking intent, but also defensive frailties. FC St. Pauli's recent matches have seen a moderate number of goals, wh...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
yes Rot-Weiss Essen has a very poor defensive record, conceding heavily in recent games. FC St. Pauli, while in better form, also concedes a rea...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli are the stronger team and in better form. Considering Rot-Weiss Essen's defensive issues, St. Pauli is capable of winning by at...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli is favored due to their superior form and head-to-head record. Rot-Weiss Essen's defensive vulnerabilities suggest that St. Pau...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli is favored to win, but Rot-Weiss Essen may put up a fight in the first half. A draw at halftime followed by a St. Pauli victory...
2 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 FC St. Pauli is expected to win, and given their recent scoring and conceding records, a narrow away victory seems most probable. A 1-2 scor...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
FC St. Pauli |
60%
FC St. Pauli |
50%
over |
55%
yes |
45%
away_ -1 |
45%
away_ -1 |
35%
away_away |
15%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
FC St. Pauli Rot-Weiss Essen are in poor form with four losses in five, while St. Pauli remain unbeaten in their last five and play a league higher. No m...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
FC St. Pauli St. Pauli's consistency and higher league status make them the safer pick when the draw is removed. Essen's defensive fragility, conceding 1...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
50%
over Both teams have shown leaky defenses, with Essen conceding 13 and St. Pauli 10 in their last five. However, St. Pauli's attacking output (8...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Essen have scored in 3 of 5 and conceded often, while St. Pauli have scored and conceded in most matches. Both defenses are below par, makin...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
away_ -1 St. Pauli are stronger but cup upsets happen, and Essen at home could keep it close. The -1 spread for the away side is risky given Essen's...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
away_ -1 Similar to the spread, a one-goal handicap is a balanced line. St. Pauli should win but whether they cover by a clear margin is uncertain. T...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
away_away St. Pauli are favored to win, and if they score early they could lead at halftime and maintain it. Essen might start strongly but are likely...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Scoreline prediction is inherently uncertain, but a 2-1 away win reflects St. Pauli's superiority while acknowledging Essen's ability to sco... |
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Match winner
ConsensusFC St. Pauli 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
FC St. Pauli
St. Pauli operate at a higher competitive level than Rot-Weiß Essen and the provided away form shows more resilience. Essen's home record is...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli, as a 2. Bundesliga side, possesses significantly higher quality than Rot-Weiß Essen, who are typically in the 3. Liga or Regio...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli are in better recent form than Rot-Weiss Essen, having secured a win in their last encounter and showing more consistent result...
DeepSeek V3
55%
FC St. Pauli
Rot-Weiss Essen are in poor form with four losses in five, while St. Pauli remain unbeaten in their last five and play a league higher. No m...
Draw no bet
ConsensusFC St. Pauli 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
FC St. Pauli
St. Pauli are the clear quality superior and should avoid defeat even away from home. Essen's recent home results offer little evidence they...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
77%
FC St. Pauli
Given FC St. Pauli's superior league standing and team quality, they are expected to win this match outright. The draw no bet market removes...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
FC St. Pauli
Given FC St. Pauli's superior form and recent head-to-head victory, they are the more likely winners. Rot-Weiss Essen's struggles make them...
DeepSeek V3
60%
FC St. Pauli
St. Pauli's consistency and higher league status make them the safer pick when the draw is removed. Essen's defensive fragility, conceding 1...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Cup ties between mismatched levels often produce open play and multiple goals. Essen concede heavily while St. Pauli score regularly. Traini...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Over 2.5
Rot-Weiß Essen has conceded 13 goals in their last five matches, indicating a vulnerable defense. FC St. Pauli, despite inconsistent form, h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
Both teams have shown attacking intent, but also defensive frailties. FC St. Pauli's recent matches have seen a moderate number of goals, wh...
DeepSeek V3
50%
over
Both teams have shown leaky defenses, with Essen conceding 13 and St. Pauli 10 in their last five. However, St. Pauli's attacking output (8...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
yes
Essen's leaky defense increases the chance they score at least once while St. Pauli's attack is reliable. Historical patterns in lower-vs-hi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Yes
While FC St. Pauli is expected to win, their defense has conceded 10 goals in their last five matches, showing some vulnerability. Rot-Weiß...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
56%
yes
Rot-Weiss Essen has a very poor defensive record, conceding heavily in recent games. FC St. Pauli, while in better form, also concedes a rea...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
Essen have scored in 3 of 5 and conceded often, while St. Pauli have scored and conceded in most matches. Both defenses are below par, makin...
Spread
ConsensusFC St. Pauli 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
61%
FC St. Pauli
St. Pauli's quality edge should see them win by at least two goals against a struggling third-tier side. Essen's defensive numbers suggest v...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
FC St. Pauli -1
Given the significant difference in league quality and recent form, FC St. Pauli is highly likely to win this match by at least a two-goal m...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli are the stronger team and in better form. Considering Rot-Weiss Essen's defensive issues, St. Pauli is capable of winning by at...
DeepSeek V3
45%
away_ -1
St. Pauli are stronger but cup upsets happen, and Essen at home could keep it close. The -1 spread for the away side is risky given Essen's...
Asian handicap
ConsensusFC St. Pauli 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
59%
FC St. Pauli -1
The handicap reflects St. Pauli's expected dominance and the likelihood they win by two or more. Essen lack the defensive organization to ke...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
FC St. Pauli -1.5
Building on the expected comfortable win for FC St. Pauli, a -1.5 Asian Handicap pick indicates confidence in them winning by two or more go...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli is favored due to their superior form and head-to-head record. Rot-Weiss Essen's defensive vulnerabilities suggest that St. Pau...
DeepSeek V3
45%
away_ -1
Similar to the spread, a one-goal handicap is a balanced line. St. Pauli should win but whether they cover by a clear margin is uncertain. T...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusFC St. Pauli / FC St. Pauli 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
FC St. Pauli / FC St. Pauli
St. Pauli are expected to control the game from the start and maintain the lead. Essen's poor home form makes an early lead for the visitors...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
FC St. Pauli / FC St. Pauli
Given FC St. Pauli's superior quality, they are expected to take control of the game early and maintain their lead. They should be able to a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Draw / FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli is favored to win, but Rot-Weiss Essen may put up a fight in the first half. A draw at halftime followed by a St. Pauli victory...
DeepSeek V3
35%
away_away
St. Pauli are favored to win, and if they score early they could lead at halftime and maintain it. Essen might start strongly but are likely...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
A narrow away win is the most likely outcome given the level gap. 1-2 appears frequently in similar historical mismatches. Training data thr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
1-3
FC St. Pauli is heavily favored to win, and their attacking strength, combined with Rot-Weiß Essen's poor defensive record, points to multip...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
12%
1-2
FC St. Pauli is expected to win, and given their recent scoring and conceding records, a narrow away victory seems most probable. A 1-2 scor...
DeepSeek V3
15%
2-1
Scoreline prediction is inherently uncertain, but a 2-1 away win reflects St. Pauli's superiority while acknowledging Essen's ability to sco...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
FC St. Pauli
Grok 4 Fast
FC St. Pauli
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
FC St. Pauli
DeepSeek V3
FC St. Pauli
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
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Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
b3bf1e1670e5db89…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Aug 23 · 16:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 30280,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Stadion an der Hafenstrasse",
"league": "DFB Pokal",
"starts_at": "2026-08-23T16:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 23 Aug 2026 16:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "FC St. Pauli",
"home": "Rot-Weiß Essen"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DDDLW",
"record": "1W-3D-1L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 10
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WLLLL",
"record": "1W-0D-4L",
"scored": 4,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 13
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 8,
"home": 8
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.