Real MonarchsvsMinnesota United II
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Minnesota United II 4/4 models |
Minnesota United II 4/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
away_ -1 1/4 models |
away_ -0.25 1/4 models |
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II 3/4 models |
0-2 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
48%
Minnesota United II |
58%
Minnesota United II |
53%
over |
55%
yes |
51%
away_ -1 |
54%
away_ -0.25 |
32%
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II |
18%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Minnesota United II Away side enters with strong recent results (WWWDD) and better goal difference while home side struggles badly at 1W-4L. Minnesota United II...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Minnesota United II Minnesota's superior form and defensive record give them the edge on the draw-no-bet line despite short rest for both. Home side's heavy con...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Home defense leaks heavily while away attack is prolific; expect open game despite possible rotation. Training cutoff prevents current line-...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams show leaky defenses relative to scoring output, especially the home side. Away side's recent scoring volume supports both teams f...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
away_ -1 Away form edge suggests they can cover a -1 spread on the road against a struggling home defense. Short rest affects both but away quality p...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
away_ -0.25 Minnesota's better recent results and defensive numbers give them value on the slight away handicap. Home side's poor record makes the plus...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II Away side's strong away form and home's defensive fragility point to Minnesota leading at half and full time. Probabilities adjusted from hi...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Away edge and home defensive issues support 1-2 as most probable scoreline. Training data through 2025-09 used; no live lineups or weather a... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
Minnesota United II |
78%
Minnesota United II |
60%
Over 2.5 |
55%
No |
70%
Minnesota United II +1 |
75%
Minnesota United II +1.0 |
55%
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II |
20%
0-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Minnesota United II Real Monarchs are in dismal form, losing 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding 15 goals. Minnesota United II, on the other hand, are unbea...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
Minnesota United II Given Minnesota United II's superior form and strong goal difference over the last five matches, they are highly favored. Removing the draw...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 2.5 Real Monarchs have conceded a massive 15 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a very weak defense. Minnesota United II, meanwhile, has...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No While Real Monarchs have conceded heavily, Minnesota United II has a very solid defense, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Rea...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Minnesota United II +1 This market implies Real Monarchs starting with a -1 goal handicap. For 'Away +1' to win, Minnesota United II must win or draw. Given Minnes...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
75%
Minnesota United II +1.0 Betting on 'Away +1.0' means the pick wins if Minnesota United II wins or draws, and it's a push if they lose by exactly one goal. Consideri...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II Minnesota United II's superior form and strong attacking capabilities suggest they will start the match strongly and maintain their lead. Re...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-2 Minnesota United II possesses a robust defense (0.6 goals conceded per game) and a potent attack (2.2 goals per game). Real Monarchs' defens... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Minnesota United II |
60%
Minnesota United II |
55%
over |
55%
yes |
50%
Minnesota United II |
60%
away_ 0.0 |
30%
Draw / Minnesota United II |
15%
0-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Minnesota United II Minnesota United II has a significantly better recent form compared to Real Monarchs. Minnesota has not lost in their last 5 matches, while...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Minnesota United II Given Minnesota United II's superior form and Real Monarchs' struggles, betting on Minnesota with the draw no bet insurance strongly favors...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over While Minnesota's defense has been solid, Real Monarchs have conceded heavily (15 in 5 games), suggesting potential for goals conceded. Minn...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Real Monarchs have a very poor defensive record, conceding 15 goals in their last 5 games, making it likely they will concede here. However,...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Minnesota United II Minnesota United II's strong form and Real Monarchs' poor record suggest Minnesota could win by more than one goal. However, the spread is t...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
away_ 0.0 This is equivalent to a draw no bet on Minnesota United II. Given their superior recent form and Real Monarchs' struggles, Minnesota is the...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Minnesota United II Minnesota United II's superior form suggests they are more likely to win. However, Real Monarchs might hold on for a draw in the first half,...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-2 Considering Minnesota United II's strong form and Real Monarchs' defensive frailties, a win for Minnesota by a couple of goals seems probabl... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
52%
Minnesota United II |
66%
Minnesota United II |
62%
over |
58%
yes |
38%
Minnesota United II -1 |
55%
Minnesota United II -0.5 |
34%
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II |
11%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Minnesota United II Minnesota United II arrive unbeaten in five (3W-2D-0L) with 11 goals scored and only 3 conceded, while Real Monarchs have lost four of five...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
66%
Minnesota United II Removing the draw from the h2h probabilities, Minnesota's edge grows because the Monarchs have shown little ability to hold a clean draw rec...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
over Real Monarchs concede 3.0 goals per match across their last five, and Minnesota score 2.2 per game, which projects a combined total comforta...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Minnesota have scored in every recent match and only conceded 3 in 5, but their away schedule means their defense is tested more, and the Mo...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
38%
Minnesota United II -1 A -1 handicap on Minnesota requires them to win by two or more goals, which is risky given they have drawn two of their last five. The Monar...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Minnesota United II -0.5 A flat -0.5 on Minnesota means they only need to win, matching the h2h lean. Given the Monarchs' 15 goals conceded in five and Minnesota's u...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
34%
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II Minnesota's fast starts are implied by their 11 goals in five and Minnesota II sides typically press early in MLS Next Pro. Real Monarchs ha...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
11%
1-2 Based on Minnesota's scoring rate and Monarchs' defensive leaks, a 1-2 or 1-3 scoreline to the away side is the most probable. The Monarchs... |
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Match winner
ConsensusMinnesota United II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Minnesota United II
Away side enters with strong recent results (WWWDD) and better goal difference while home side struggles badly at 1W-4L. Minnesota United II...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Minnesota United II
Real Monarchs are in dismal form, losing 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding 15 goals. Minnesota United II, on the other hand, are unbea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Minnesota United II
Minnesota United II has a significantly better recent form compared to Real Monarchs. Minnesota has not lost in their last 5 matches, while...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Minnesota United II
Minnesota United II arrive unbeaten in five (3W-2D-0L) with 11 goals scored and only 3 conceded, while Real Monarchs have lost four of five...
Draw no bet
ConsensusMinnesota United II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Minnesota United II
Minnesota's superior form and defensive record give them the edge on the draw-no-bet line despite short rest for both. Home side's heavy con...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
78%
Minnesota United II
Given Minnesota United II's superior form and strong goal difference over the last five matches, they are highly favored. Removing the draw...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Minnesota United II
Given Minnesota United II's superior form and Real Monarchs' struggles, betting on Minnesota with the draw no bet insurance strongly favors...
DeepSeek V3
66%
Minnesota United II
Removing the draw from the h2h probabilities, Minnesota's edge grows because the Monarchs have shown little ability to hold a clean draw rec...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Home defense leaks heavily while away attack is prolific; expect open game despite possible rotation. Training cutoff prevents current line-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over 2.5
Real Monarchs have conceded a massive 15 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a very weak defense. Minnesota United II, meanwhile, has...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
While Minnesota's defense has been solid, Real Monarchs have conceded heavily (15 in 5 games), suggesting potential for goals conceded. Minn...
DeepSeek V3
62%
over
Real Monarchs concede 3.0 goals per match across their last five, and Minnesota score 2.2 per game, which projects a combined total comforta...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
yes
Both teams show leaky defenses relative to scoring output, especially the home side. Away side's recent scoring volume supports both teams f...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
While Real Monarchs have conceded heavily, Minnesota United II has a very solid defense, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Rea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
Real Monarchs have a very poor defensive record, conceding 15 goals in their last 5 games, making it likely they will concede here. However,...
DeepSeek V3
58%
yes
Minnesota have scored in every recent match and only conceded 3 in 5, but their away schedule means their defense is tested more, and the Mo...
Spread
Consensusaway_ -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
away_ -1
Away form edge suggests they can cover a -1 spread on the road against a struggling home defense. Short rest affects both but away quality p...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Minnesota United II +1
This market implies Real Monarchs starting with a -1 goal handicap. For 'Away +1' to win, Minnesota United II must win or draw. Given Minnes...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Minnesota United II
Minnesota United II's strong form and Real Monarchs' poor record suggest Minnesota could win by more than one goal. However, the spread is t...
DeepSeek V3
38%
Minnesota United II -1
A -1 handicap on Minnesota requires them to win by two or more goals, which is risky given they have drawn two of their last five. The Monar...
Asian handicap
Consensusaway_ -0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
away_ -0.25
Minnesota's better recent results and defensive numbers give them value on the slight away handicap. Home side's poor record makes the plus...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Minnesota United II +1.0
Betting on 'Away +1.0' means the pick wins if Minnesota United II wins or draws, and it's a push if they lose by exactly one goal. Consideri...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
away_ 0.0
This is equivalent to a draw no bet on Minnesota United II. Given their superior recent form and Real Monarchs' struggles, Minnesota is the...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Minnesota United II -0.5
A flat -0.5 on Minnesota means they only need to win, matching the h2h lean. Given the Monarchs' 15 goals conceded in five and Minnesota's u...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusMinnesota United II / Minnesota United II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
32%
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II
Away side's strong away form and home's defensive fragility point to Minnesota leading at half and full time. Probabilities adjusted from hi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II
Minnesota United II's superior form and strong attacking capabilities suggest they will start the match strongly and maintain their lead. Re...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Minnesota United II
Minnesota United II's superior form suggests they are more likely to win. However, Real Monarchs might hold on for a draw in the first half,...
DeepSeek V3
34%
Minnesota United II / Minnesota United II
Minnesota's fast starts are implied by their 11 goals in five and Minnesota II sides typically press early in MLS Next Pro. Real Monarchs ha...
Correct score
Consensus0-2 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
Away edge and home defensive issues support 1-2 as most probable scoreline. Training data through 2025-09 used; no live lineups or weather a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
0-2
Minnesota United II possesses a robust defense (0.6 goals conceded per game) and a potent attack (2.2 goals per game). Real Monarchs' defens...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
0-2
Considering Minnesota United II's strong form and Real Monarchs' defensive frailties, a win for Minnesota by a couple of goals seems probabl...
DeepSeek V3
11%
1-2
Based on Minnesota's scoring rate and Monarchs' defensive leaks, a 1-2 or 1-3 scoreline to the away side is the most probable. The Monarchs...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Minnesota United II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Minnesota United II
DeepSeek V3
Minnesota United II
Grok 4 Fast
Minnesota United II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
99d133c3f2245261…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Sep 16 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 25105,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Zions Bank Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-16T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 16 Sep 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Minnesota United II",
"home": "Real Monarchs"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWDD",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 11,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLWLL",
"record": "1W-0D-4L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 15
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 2
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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