Football FIFA World Cup

Final 1 – 1

Qatar vs Switzerland

Final: 1 – 1

Picks locked at Jun 12 · 14:58 GMT+0000 51 picks recorded · 43 graded CLV +0.8% vs market close

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified


                    hash:
                    8ae1ae95ad220ebe…

Kickoff: Sat, Jun 13 · 19:04 GMT+0000
Markets: Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time
Odds: 15+ live books
Research: AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 6. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 6, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 355,
        "sport": "football",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "FIFA World Cup",
        "starts_at": "2026-06-13T19:00:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sat, 13 Jun 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Switzerland",
        "home": "Qatar"
    },
    "version": "v1",
    "built_at": "2026-06-12T15:28:37+00:00",
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": {
            "away": 1.25,
            "draw": 7.05,
            "home": 17.01
        },
        "note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
        "extra_markets": {
            "h2h": [
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 7.05,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.22,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13.25,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.22,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.17,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.95,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.17,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 15,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.21,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.4,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.23,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.22,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.8,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.25,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 16.5,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.55,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.24,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 14.9,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.2,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 15,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.22,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.3,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.23,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 14.5,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.7,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.2,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 14,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.41,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.24,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 12.98,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.3,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.23,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 14.5,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.75,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.2,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 15,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.9,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.2,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 14,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.21,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 11,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.2,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 11,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.22,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 14,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.4,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.23,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 5.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.2,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.25,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.22,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6.5,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.21,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 14,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 6,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.25,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 13,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                }
            ],
            "totals": [
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.23,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.71,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3,
                    "price": 1.74,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3,
                    "price": 2.15,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.12,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.62,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3.5,
                    "price": 1.45,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3.5,
                    "price": 2.7,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.28,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.76,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.19,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.7,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.7,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.17,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.67,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.7,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 2.2,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.5,
                    "price": 1.64,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3,
                    "price": 1.74,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3,
                    "price": 2.11,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.75,
                    "price": 1.95,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2.75,
                    "price": 1.87,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3,
                    "price": 1.76,
                    "outcome": "Under"
                },
                {
                    "point": 3,
                    "price": 2.22,
                    "outcome": "Over"
                }
            ],
            "h2h_lay": [
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 7.2,
                    "outcome": "Draw"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 1.26,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": null,
                    "price": 17.5,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                }
            ],
            "spreads": [
                {
                    "point": -1.5,
                    "price": 1.71,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.23,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": -2,
                    "price": 2.25,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2,
                    "price": 1.69,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": -2,
                    "price": 2.25,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": 2,
                    "price": 1.69,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": -1.75,
                    "price": 1.95,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.75,
                    "price": 2.02,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": -1.5,
                    "price": 1.71,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.17,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": -1.5,
                    "price": 1.68,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.11,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": -1.5,
                    "price": 1.7,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.5,
                    "price": 2.16,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                },
                {
                    "point": -1.75,
                    "price": 1.89,
                    "outcome": "Switzerland"
                },
                {
                    "point": 1.75,
                    "price": 1.93,
                    "outcome": "Qatar"
                }
            ]
        }
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals_2.5",
        "btts",
        "spreads_-1",
        "asian_handicap",
        "ht_ft"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

AI predictions

Featured · open arena

6 markets · 10 models picked

Who picked what

16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning

High Mid Low

Model	Spread ? book: Qatar +1.5	Over / Under ? book: 2.5 · Over 59%	Match winner ? book: Draw 3%	Half-time / Full-time ?	Both teams to score ?	Asian handicap ?
Claude Opus 4.7 Flagship Anthropic · 32-54 -29.9u	56% Switzerland -1 ~2.22	55% Under ~2.20 W	78% Switzerland ~1.25 L	50% Switzerland / Switzerland L	62% No ~1.83 L	53% Switzerland -1.5 ~3.12 L
Spread ? 56% Switzerland -1 Switzerland should win by at least one comfortably given the talent gap and Qatar's scoreless run. The AH -1.75 line trades around 1.89-1.96... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.22 🔍 researched 4 sources cited Over / Under ? 55% Under Qatar will sit deep and have failed to score in four of their last five matches, pointing to a low-scoring contest. Switzerland have kept si... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.20 Edge: +9.6% 🔍 researched 4 sources cited Match winner ? 78% Switzerland Switzerland are heavy favorites at around 1.22 with a settled European core and have lost only one of their last nine competitive games, whi... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: -2.0% 🔍 researched 4 sources cited Half-time / Full-time ? 50% Switzerland / Switzerland Switzerland's quality and Qatar's defensive setup point to the Swiss going ahead before halftime and managing the game out. Draw/Switzerland... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 4 sources cited Both teams to score ? 62% No Qatar have not scored in four of their last five internationals and drew 0-0 with El Salvador in pre-tournament prep, so getting on the scor... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 🔍 researched 4 sources cited Asian handicap ? 53% Switzerland -1.5 Switzerland are priced around 1.68-1.73 on -1.5, reflecting strong expectation of a two-goal margin. With Qatar's recent goal drought and Sw... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.12 🔍 researched 4 sources cited
Claude Opus 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 31-55 -28.7u	55% Switzerland -1.5 ~3.12	46% Under 2.5 ~1.84 W	80% Switzerland ~1.25 L	58% Switzerland / Switzerland L	68% No ~1.83 L	50% Switzerland -1.75 ~3.12
Spread ? 55% Switzerland -1.5 Switzerland's attacking depth (Embolo, Ndoye, Okafor, Vargas) and their recent habit of scoring multiple goals (4-0, 3-0, 4-1, 2-0 in qualif... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.12 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Over / Under ? 46% Under 2.5 Switzerland have been prolific scorers recently (at least 2 in 9 of 13 fixtures), which leans toward overs. However, Qatar under Lopetegui a... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.84 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Match winner ? 80% Switzerland Switzerland have a vastly superior squad with players from Inter Milan, Borussia Dortmund, Nottingham Forest and other top European clubs, w... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: +0.0% 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Half-time / Full-time ? 58% Switzerland / Switzerland With an 80% win probability for Switzerland and their history of scoring early in qualifiers, Swiss leading at both halftime and fulltime is... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Both teams to score ? 68% No Qatar have failed to score in four of their last five internationals, managing just one goal across those five matches. Switzerland have kep... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 🔍 researched 9 sources cited Asian handicap ? 50% Switzerland -1.75 The Asian handicap line of -1.75 prices at roughly even odds (~1.96/1.98), reflecting the market's view that a 2-goal Swiss win is the media... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.12 🔍 researched 9 sources cited
Claude Opus 4.8 Flagship Anthropic · 5-3 -1.9u	Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet. Unlock this model →
Spread ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 234-279 -217.2u	—	58% Over ~1.64 L	78% Switzerland ~1.25 L	—	62% No ~1.83 L	—
Spread ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? 58% Over Switzerland are a high-quality attacking side with Embolo, Ndoye and Vargas providing width and goals; they should generate multiple clear c... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.64 Edge: -3.0% 🔍 researched 8 sources cited Match winner ? 78% Switzerland Switzerland are ranked 19th in the world to Qatar's 55th and have reached the knockout stages in each of their last three World Cup campaign... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: -2.0% 🔍 researched 8 sources cited Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? 62% No Qatar have failed to score in their last 373 minutes of competitive and friendly football, and their attacking cohesion looked non-existent... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 🔍 researched 8 sources cited Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 271-311 -261.0u	72% Switzerland -1 ~1.45	62% Under 2.5 ~1.83 W	78% Switzerland ~1.25 L	65% Switzerland / Switzerland L	68% No ~1.30 L	75% Switzerland -0.5 ~1.23 L
Spread ? 72% Switzerland -1 Switzerland winning by exactly one or more goals aligns with their technical superiority and expected dominance. Odds of 1.73 for Switzerlan... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.45 Over / Under ? 62% Under 2.5 Qatar's defensive fragility will likely force them into a cautious setup at home, while Switzerland may control possession without needing h... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 Match winner ? 78% Switzerland Switzerland is a strong European team with proven World Cup pedigree, while Qatar is the weakest team to ever host the tournament and has sh... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: -2.0% Half-time / Full-time ? 65% Switzerland / Switzerland Switzerland likely leads at halftime given their dominance and should convert that advantage into a full-match win. The half-time lead allow... Unlock reasoning · Pro Both teams to score ? 68% No Qatar's historic vulnerability suggests Switzerland will dominate possession and likely go ahead. Once ahead, Switzerland will likely defend... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.30 Asian handicap ? 75% Switzerland -0.5 Switzerland's dominance should produce at least a draw or win, making -0.5 handicap a strong backing proposition. The half-goal advantage fo... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.23
GPT-5 Flagship Openai · 4-0 +0.0u	GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet. Unlock this model →
Spread ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 82-63 +7.3u	—	58% Under ~2.20 W	72% Switzerland ~1.25 L	—	62% No ~1.83 L	—
Spread ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? 58% Under Switzerland's defensive profile and Qatar's recent scoring inconsistency point towards a lower-scoring opener; multiple previews and models... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.20 Edge: +12.6% 🔍 researched 10 sources cited Match winner ? 72% Switzerland Switzerland are the clear favourite on rankings, squad depth and recent results while Qatar arrive with mixed form and a largely domestic-ba... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: -8.0% 🔍 researched 10 sources cited Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? 62% No Switzerland's defensive discipline and Qatar's recent struggles to generate consistent quality chances make 'both teams to score' less likel... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 🔍 researched 10 sources cited Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 130-141 -98.2u	65% Switzerland ~1.43 L	70% Under ~2.20 W	80% Switzerland ~1.25 L	70% Switzerland / Switzerland L	75% No ~1.83 L	65% Switzerland -1.5 ~3.12 L
Spread ? 65% Switzerland Switzerland's superior form and defensive stability suggest they can win by at least two goals. ([forebet.com](https://www.forebet.com/en/fo... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.43 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Over / Under ? 70% Under Both teams have shown tendencies towards low-scoring games in recent matches. Switzerland has conceded only 0.75 goals per game in their las... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.20 Edge: +24.6% 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Match winner ? 80% Switzerland Switzerland enters the match as the favorite, with a strong recent record and a higher FIFA ranking. Qatar has struggled in recent matches,... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: +0.0% 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Half-time / Full-time ? 70% Switzerland / Switzerland Switzerland's strong form and Qatar's recent struggles suggest they will lead at halftime and win the match. ([forebet.com](https://www.fore... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Both teams to score ? 75% No Given both teams' recent low-scoring performances and defensive records, it's likely that at least one team will fail to score. ([forebet.co... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Asian handicap ? 65% Switzerland -1.5 Switzerland's strong form and Qatar's recent struggles indicate a likely win by at least two goals for Switzerland. ([forebet.com](https://w... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.12 🔍 researched 3 sources cited
o3 Flagship Openai	o3 hasn't run on this match yet. Unlock this model →
Spread ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Grok 4.3 Flagship Xai · 1-3 -3.0u	Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet. Unlock this model →
Spread ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 255-274 -176.2u	71% Switzerland ~1.43 L	56% Over ~1.64 L	82% Switzerland ~1.25 L	60% Switzerland Switzerland	68% No ~1.83 L	65% Switzerland -1.5 ~3.12 L
Spread ? 71% Switzerland Switzerland is expected to win by multiple goals given the talent gap. Consensus Asian-style spreads price Switzerland -1.5 around even mone... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.43 Over / Under ? 56% Over Switzerland should control possession and create multiple scoring chances against a defensively limited Qatar. Historical mismatches of this... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.64 Edge: -5.0% Match winner ? 82% Switzerland Switzerland is a mid-tier European side with far superior squad depth and organization; Qatar remains one of the weakest teams at the 2026 W... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: +2.0% Half-time / Full-time ? 60% Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland is likely to take an early lead and maintain control through the second half. Stronger teams in similar mismatches frequently se... Unlock reasoning · Pro Both teams to score ? 68% No Qatar lacks the attacking quality to breach a well-organized Swiss defense. Switzerland has a strong recent record keeping clean sheets in q... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 Asian handicap ? 65% Switzerland -1.5 The rating differential points to a comfortable multi-goal margin for Switzerland. Consensus lines cluster around -1.5/-1.75 for the Swiss a... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.12
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship Google · 4-0 +0.0u	Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet. Unlock this model →
Spread ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship Google · 28-57 -34.7u	—	60% Under ~2.20 W	80% Switzerland ~1.25 L	—	70% No ~1.83 L	—
Spread ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? 60% Under Qatar is likely to adopt a defensive, compact strategy, aiming to frustrate Switzerland and hit on the counter-attack. They have struggled t... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.20 Edge: +14.6% 6 sources cited Match winner ? 80% Switzerland Switzerland possesses a much stronger and more experienced squad, featuring players from top European leagues. Qatar's recent form has been... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: +0.0% 6 sources cited Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? 70% No Given Qatar's recent scoring drought and Switzerland's strong defensive record, it's unlikely both teams will find the net. Qatar will focus... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 6 sources cited Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 213-267 -234.0u	70% Switzerland -1 ~2.22	60% Over 2.5 ~2.20 L	85% Switzerland ~1.25 L	70% Switzerland / Switzerland L	65% No ~1.83 L	65% Switzerland -1.75 ~3.12
Spread ? 70% Switzerland -1 Switzerland is expected to secure a comfortable victory, likely by more than a single goal margin, given the vast difference in team quality... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.22 Over / Under ? 60% Over 2.5 Given Switzerland's superior attacking quality against a weaker opponent like Qatar, it is highly probable they will score multiple goals. W... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.20 Match winner ? 85% Switzerland Switzerland is a significantly stronger footballing nation compared to Qatar, with a track record of performing well in major international... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: +5.0% Half-time / Full-time ? 70% Switzerland / Switzerland Given Switzerland's dominance, they are highly favored to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match. It is expected they will... Unlock reasoning · Pro Both teams to score ? 65% No Switzerland possesses a robust defense and is unlikely to concede against a significantly weaker Qatari side. Qatar's attacking output is ex... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 Asian handicap ? 65% Switzerland -1.75 Considering Switzerland's clear superiority, they are expected to win by at least two goals. A -1.75 Asian Handicap requires Switzerland to... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.12
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 200-280 -204.8u	—	—	—	—	—	—
Spread ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Match winner ? No pick on this market. Half-time / Full-time ? No pick on this market. Both teams to score ? No pick on this market. Asian handicap ? No pick on this market.
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 260-304 -178.4u	60% Switzerland -1 ~2.22	55% Over ~1.64 L	75% Switzerland ~1.25 L	60% Switzerland / Switzerland L	65% No ~1.83 L	50% Switzerland -1.5 ~3.12 L
Spread ? 60% Switzerland -1 The spread of -1 means Switzerland needs to win by at least 2 goals. Given the quality gap and Switzerland's ability to score multiple goals... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 2.22 Over / Under ? 55% Over Switzerland's attack is expected to score multiple goals against Qatar's defense, which has conceded freely in previous matches against stro... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.64 Edge: -6.0% Match winner ? 75% Switzerland Switzerland is a strong European side with consistent World Cup pedigree, while Qatar is an Asian team that historically struggles against t... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.25 Edge: -5.0% Half-time / Full-time ? 60% Switzerland / Switzerland Switzerland is expected to lead at halftime and extend the lead in the second half. The most likely scenario is Switzerland leading at half... Unlock reasoning · Pro Both teams to score ? 65% No Qatar is unlikely to score against a disciplined Swiss defense that rarely concedes to lower-ranked teams. The BTTS 'No' aligns with Switzer... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 1.83 Asian handicap ? 50% Switzerland -1.5 Asian handicap -1.5 requires Switzerland to win by 2 or more goals. While the spread is high, Switzerland's quality advantage suggests they... Unlock reasoning · Pro Odds: 3.12
Consensus	Switzerland -1 4/7	Under 4/10	Switzerland 10/10	Switzerland / Switzerland 6/7	No 10/10	Switzerland -1.5 4/7
Bookmaker line	Qatar +1.5	2.5 · Over 59%	Draw 3%	—	—	—

Ⓟ

Polymarket: tournament odds

Implied probability · live

What real money is betting on each team to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy.

Qatar

to win World Cup

0.1%

Switzerland

to win World Cup

0.9%

Beat the AIs · Predict the score

Picks closed

Competition rules →

Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.

Ask the AIs · Post-match analysis

Reverse-engineer the match

Ask any AI to explain what happened or grade the consensus call.

Sign in to ask the AIs about this match. Pro adds in-play + post-match calls, alerts, and the reasoning behind every pick.

Bookmaker odds

51 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted

Book	Qatar	Draw	Switzerland
Pinnacle ↗	54.68	13.50	1.04
Draftkings ↗	61.00	1.04	12.00
Fanduel ↗	351.00	23.00	1.01
Betmgm	101.00	14.50	1.04
William Hill	23.00	6.50	1.17
Betfair Exchange UK	14.00	1.01	1.01
Betfair Exchange EU	14.00	1.01	1.01
Betanysports	17.00	7.00	1.19
Betclic FR	50.00	1.07	8.00
Betfair UK	13.00	6.00	1.14
Betfred	15.00	6.50	1.18
BetOnline	19.00	7.10	1.19
Betrivers	51.00	1.05	9.00
Betsson	60.00	1.06	9.40
Betus	15.00	7.50	1.18
Betvictor	301.00	13.00	1.01
Betway	301.00	29.00	1.00
Bovada	126.00	17.00	1.03
Boylesports	401.00	41.00	1.00
Casumo	151.00	1.01	25.00
Codere It	16.00	6.80	1.19
Coolbet	150.00	44.00	1.01
Coral	151.00	21.00	1.00
Everygame	17.00	6.75	1.18
Fanatics	151.00	1.07	10.00
Grosvenor	56.00	1.05	10.50
Gtbets	15.05	7.10	1.24
Ladbrokes	126.00	19.00	1.01
Leovegas	61.00	15.00	1.01
Leovegas Se	51.00	1.04	8.50
Livescorebet	56.00	1.04	10.50
LowVig	19.00	7.10	1.19
Marathonbet	11.75	1.19	5.45
Matchbook	120.00	1.04	32.00
MyBookie	250.00	10.75	1.01
Nordicbet	60.00	1.06	9.40
Onexbet	15.20	7.61	1.20
Paddy Power	501.00	26.00	1.01
Pmu	56.00	1.06	9.00
Skybet	451.00	29.00	1.02
Smarkets	90.09	1.10	11.49
Sport888	21.00	1.08	10.00
Tipico	60.00	1.05	8.50
Unibet	15.00	7.50	1.18
Unibet Nl	81.00	1.06	11.00
Unibet Se	151.00	1.01	25.00
Unibet	1,001.00	23.00	1.01
Virginbet	51.00	1.06	9.00
Williamhill	56.00	1.05	10.50
Winamax	55.00	1.04	11.00
Winamax	46.00	1.12	6.25

Book	Line	Over	Under
Pinnacle ↗	1.5	2.75	1.49
Betmgm	1.5	1.85	1.95
William Hill	2.5	1.67	2.10
Betanysports	3.5	2.90	1.42
BetOnline	2.5	1.69	2.28
Betrivers	1.5	6.50	1.07
Betsson	1.5	5.70	1.10
Betus	2.5	1.77	2.10
Bovada	1.5	6.50	1.11
Casumo	1.5	7.50	1.07
Codere It	2.5	1.65	2.06
Coolbet	1.5	6.00	1.12
Grosvenor	1.5	7.50	1.05
Gtbets	2.5	1.68	2.18
Leovegas	1.5	7.50	1.03
LowVig	2.5	1.69	2.28
Matchbook	1.5	8.60	1.12
MyBookie	1.5	2.85	1.22
Nordicbet	1.5	5.70	1.10
Onexbet	2.5	1.70	2.23
Pmu	1.5	6.50	1.06
Unibet Nl	1.5	7.50	1.07
Unibet Se	1.5	7.50	1.07

Book	Qatar	Switzerland
Pinnacle ↗	+0.3 @ 1.76	-2.0 @ 2.08
Betanysports	+1.5 @ 2.40	-1.5 @ 1.61
BetOnline	+1.5 @ 2.49	-1.5 @ 1.60
Betus	+1.5 @ 2.42	-2.0 @ 1.95
Bovada	+1.3 @ 1.22	-2.5 @ 1.93
Gtbets	+1.5 @ 2.25	-1.5 @ 1.63
LowVig	+1.5 @ 2.49	-1.5 @ 1.60
Matchbook	+0.5 @ 1.02	-2.5 @ 2.38
MyBookie	+1.5 @ 1.30	-2.5 @ 2.40
Onexbet	+1.5 @ 2.31	-1.5 @ 1.61

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

DeepSeek V3
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Grok 4 Fast
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
GPT-4o Mini
6 tool calls · 3 sources

3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Claude Opus 4.6
30 tool calls · 9 sources

9 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6
9 tool calls · 7 sources

7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Claude Opus 4.7
6 tool calls · 4 sources

4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Gemini 2.5 Pro
0 tool calls · 6 sources

6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
GPT-5 Mini
33 tool calls · 10 sources

10 citations captured — unlock with Pro

Share this prediction

Share X Reddit WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

Get the AI consensus before kickoff

Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.