PortugalvsSpain
Portugal 0–1 Spain
5 of 7 AIs leaned Spain — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Spain 5/7
- Correct calls
- 5/7
- Final
- 0–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena8 markets · 7 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Spain 50% |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Spain 5/7 models |
1-0 2/7 models |
Spain 4/7 models |
Spain / Spain 3/7 models |
no 4/7 models |
under 3/7 models |
Spain 2/7 models |
Spain 3/7 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | Spain 50% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.7 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Sonnet 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Spain
W
|
16%
1-0
L
|
71%
Spain
W
|
38%
Spain / Spain |
65%
Yes
L
|
62%
Over 2.5
L
|
58%
Spain -0.5
W
|
54%
Spain -1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Spain Spain's away form is exceptional (5W-0D-0L, 13 goals, 0 conceded) and they carry clear momentum into this World Cup knockout stage. Portugal...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
1-0 Spain 1-0 is the most likely single scoreline, reflecting a tight knockout where Spain's edge translates to a narrow win. However, a 2-1 Spa...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
71%
Spain Draw no bet isolates the win probability for Spain. Their perfect away record and superior goal differential, combined with one extra day of...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Spain / Spain Spain-Spain (Spain ahead and winning full-time) is the modal outcome given their form advantage and rest edge. However, a halftime draw foll...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Spain's zero-conceded record (5 matches) is unsustainably good and likely regresses against a strong Portugal attack at home. Portugal's 12...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Over 2.5 Spain's attacking record (2.6 goals per match) and Portugal's defensive concession rate (1 goal in 5 home matches) both suggest a moderately...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Spain -0.5 Spain's superior away form and extra rest justify a half-goal handicap. At -0.5, Spain wins even on a draw, reflecting their edge in form, r...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
Spain -1 Spain's form is superior and they have the extra rest day, supporting a one-goal victory margin. However, Portugal's home status and mixed f... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
45%
Spain
W
|
28%
0-1
W
|
58%
Spain
W
|
30%
Draw / Spain |
60%
no
W
|
62%
under
W
|
46%
Spain -0.5
W
|
75%
Spain |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Spain Spain enter this tie as the more stable defensive unit (three group clean sheets) while Portugal have edged through tighter knock-out games;...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
28%
0-1 The most likely precise outcome is a narrow Spain win 0-1: Spain's defence suggests a low total and Portugal's attack is capable but often b...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Spain Removing the draw outcome increases the edge for Spain: their defensive solidity and possession control make an outright Spain result likeli...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Spain I expect a cautious first half as both coaches probe; a 0-0 or 0-0/1-1 half-time is common in big knockout ties. Spain's superior control an...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Spain's tournament clean-sheet streak makes 'both teams to score' less likely; Portugal will create chances but Spain have shown the ability...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
under Both sides have shown defensive discipline in this tournament—Spain with three clean sheets and Portugal scraping a narrow knockout win—so a...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
46%
Spain -0.5 Spain -0.5 (win outright) is attractive because their defensive form gives them an above-average chance of an outright win, but the risk of...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Spain Portugal -1 (home to win by two+) is unlikely given Spain's form and defensive record; Spain are the likelier side to avoid a two-goal defea...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
60%
Spain
W
|
40%
0-2
L
|
60%
Spain
W
|
60%
Spain / Spain |
70%
no
W
|
70%
under
W
|
60%
Spain |
60%
Spain |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Spain Spain have a superior head-to-head record against Portugal, with 18 wins to Portugal's 7. Additionally, Spain have been dominant in the tour...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
40%
0-2 Considering Spain's strong defense and Portugal's inconsistent attack, a 2-0 victory for Spain is a plausible outcome. ([squawka.com](https:...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Spain Given Spain's strong form and superior head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market favorable for Spain. ([si...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Spain / Spain Spain's strong form and head-to-head advantage suggest they will lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([si.com](https://www.si.com/soccer/por...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
no Spain's defense has been solid, and Portugal's attack has been inconsistent, making both teams scoring unlikely. ([squawka.com](https://www....
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
under Both teams have strong defenses, with Spain yet to concede a goal in the tournament. This suggests a low-scoring match. ([squawka.com](https...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Spain Spain's strong form and head-to-head advantage make them favorites to win, even with a handicap. ([si.com](https://www.si.com/soccer/portuga...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Spain Spain's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([si.com](https://www.si.com/soccer/portu...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
42%
Portugal
L
|
18%
1-0
L
|
55%
Portugal
L
|
29%
Draw / Portugal
L
|
53%
no
W
|
58%
under
W
|
51%
home_ 0 |
48%
home_ -1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Portugal Portugal and Spain are evenly matched but Portugal benefits from home support in a World Cup knockout context. Recent encounters have been l...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low goal expectation and defensive styles favor 1-0 or 1-1. Portugal's home edge makes 1-0 the single most likely exact score. Training data...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Portugal Draws are frequent between these sides so draw no bet removes that outcome. Portugal's home record and set-piece threat give a marginal edge...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Portugal First half often cagey between these teams; Portugal tends to find breakthroughs later. Training data through 2024 shows draw/home as the mo...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
no Both sides possess strong defensive records and rarely concede to each other. Set-piece focus reduces open-play goals. Training data through...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
under Both teams prioritize defensive structure in high-stakes matches; Spain's recent clean-sheet run and Portugal's low concession rate point to...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
home_ 0 Asian line at 0 reflects near parity; Portugal's home advantage tips the scale slightly. Training data through 2024 supports a small home ed...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
home_ -1 Portugal's home edge makes -1 handicap viable though Spain's quality keeps the margin narrow. Training data through 2024 shows Portugal cove... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
38%
Spain
W
|
20%
1-1
L
|
55%
Spain DNB
L
|
28%
Draw / Draw
L
|
58%
No
W
|
65%
Under 2.5
W
|
68%
Spain +0.5
W
|
70%
Spain +1
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Spain Based on historical performance and provided recent form, Spain shows impeccable defensive solidity with 0 goals conceded in their last five...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 Given the superb defensive form of both nations and the high-stakes nature of a World Cup encounter, a tightly contested game with few goals...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Spain DNB Spain's superior recent form, especially defensively, suggests they are more likely to win outright in a competitive World Cup match. The Dr...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Draw The excellent defensive records of both teams and the cautious approach typical of World Cup knockout games strongly suggest a cagey start,...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
No With Spain having kept a clean sheet in all of their last five games and Portugal conceding only once, both teams demonstrate formidable def...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Under 2.5 Both Portugal and Spain exhibit exceptionally strong defensive records, conceding only one goal combined in their last ten matches according...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
68%
Spain +0.5 The historical rivalry and current form suggest a very closely contested match, with a draw being a distinct possibility. Spain's defensive...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Spain +1 Considering the anticipated low-scoring and tight nature of this World Cup clash, it's highly unlikely that Portugal will secure a victory b... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
Spain
W
|
18%
2-0
L
|
48%
Spain
W
|
40%
Spain / Spain |
55%
no
W
|
55%
over
L
|
48%
Spain |
50%
Spain |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Spain Spain has a slightly superior recent form with a perfect record in their last 5 matches compared to Portugal's mixed results. While both tea...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Spain's dominant form, including 5 consecutive clean sheets, makes a scoreline where they win comfortably with no reply highly probable. A 2...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
Spain Given Spain's perfect recent form and Portugal's slightly less convincing record (despite being unbeaten), Spain is the preferred pick. The...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Spain / Spain Spain's strong form suggests they are likely to control the game from the start and maintain that dominance through to the end. Their recent...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Spain's defensive record in their last 5 matches is exceptional, conceding zero goals. While Portugal has a strong attack, their opponent's...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have strong attacking records, with Spain scoring 13 and Portugal scoring 12 in their last 5 matches. While Spain's defense has b...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Spain This market is essentially identical to Draw No Bet for a pick on Spain. Based on their superior recent form and defensive solidity, Spain i...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Spain Spain's current form, particularly their flawless defensive record, suggests they have the capacity to win by more than one goal against a s... |
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
35%
Draw
L
|
20%
0-0
L
|
55%
Home (Portugal)
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
55%
No
W
|
60%
Under 2.5 goals
W
|
50%
Away (Spain) +0.25 |
30%
Home (Portugal) -1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
35%
Draw Portugal's home form is strong but Spain's recent run is perfect with clean sheets. Historical derby matches are often tight, and with both...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-0 High probability of a draw due to defensive strengths and knockout match caution. 1-1 is also likely, but 0-0 fits the over/under under bias...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Home (Portugal) Portugal have home advantage and a solid defense. Spain's form is excellent but away from home in a hostile environment, Portugal can avoid...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Both teams are defensively strong and cautious in derbies. Expect a goalless or low-scoring first half. Draw/Draw is a plausible outcome.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Spain's recent clean sheet record is perfect; Portugal's defense is also solid. One team could easily keep a clean sheet in a low-scoring ma...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under 2.5 goals Both teams have strong defenses; Portugal conceded 1, Spain 0 in recent matches. World Cup knockout matches tend to be low-scoring. Expect a...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Away (Spain) +0.25 Spain's recent form is impeccable, and they have not lost to Portugal recently. The +0.25 line covers a draw, which is a likely outcome.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Home (Portugal) -1 Portugal have a strong home record, but Spain are in superb form. A multi-goal win for Portugal is unlikely; Spain +1 offers more safety. |
|||||||||
Match winner
ConsensusSpain 5/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Spain
W
Spain's away form is exceptional (5W-0D-0L, 13 goals, 0 conceded) and they carry clear momentum into this World Cup knockout stage. Portugal...
GPT-5 Mini
45%
Spain
W
Spain enter this tie as the more stable defensive unit (three group clean sheets) while Portugal have edged through tighter knock-out games;...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Spain
W
Spain have a superior head-to-head record against Portugal, with 18 wins to Portugal's 7. Additionally, Spain have been dominant in the tour...
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Portugal
L
Portugal and Spain are evenly matched but Portugal benefits from home support in a World Cup knockout context. Recent encounters have been l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Spain
W
Based on historical performance and provided recent form, Spain shows impeccable defensive solidity with 0 goals conceded in their last five...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Spain
W
Spain has a slightly superior recent form with a perfect record in their last 5 matches compared to Portugal's mixed results. While both tea...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Draw
L
Portugal's home form is strong but Spain's recent run is perfect with clean sheets. Historical derby matches are often tight, and with both...
Bookmaker line: Spain 50%
Correct score
Consensus1-0 2/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
16%
1-0
L
Spain 1-0 is the most likely single scoreline, reflecting a tight knockout where Spain's edge translates to a narrow win. However, a 2-1 Spa...
GPT-5 Mini
28%
0-1
W
The most likely precise outcome is a narrow Spain win 0-1: Spain's defence suggests a low total and Portugal's attack is capable but often b...
GPT-4o Mini
40%
0-2
L
Considering Spain's strong defense and Portugal's inconsistent attack, a 2-0 victory for Spain is a plausible outcome. ([squawka.com](https:...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
L
Low goal expectation and defensive styles favor 1-0 or 1-1. Portugal's home edge makes 1-0 the single most likely exact score. Training data...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
1-1
L
Given the superb defensive form of both nations and the high-stakes nature of a World Cup encounter, a tightly contested game with few goals...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
18%
2-0
L
Spain's dominant form, including 5 consecutive clean sheets, makes a scoreline where they win comfortably with no reply highly probable. A 2...
DeepSeek V3
20%
0-0
L
High probability of a draw due to defensive strengths and knockout match caution. 1-1 is also likely, but 0-0 fits the over/under under bias...
Draw no bet
ConsensusSpain 4/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
71%
Spain
W
Draw no bet isolates the win probability for Spain. Their perfect away record and superior goal differential, combined with one extra day of...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
Spain
W
Removing the draw outcome increases the edge for Spain: their defensive solidity and possession control make an outright Spain result likeli...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Spain
W
Given Spain's strong form and superior head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market favorable for Spain. ([si...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Portugal
L
Draws are frequent between these sides so draw no bet removes that outcome. Portugal's home record and set-piece threat give a marginal edge...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Spain DNB
L
Spain's superior recent form, especially defensively, suggests they are more likely to win outright in a competitive World Cup match. The Dr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
Spain
W
Given Spain's perfect recent form and Portugal's slightly less convincing record (despite being unbeaten), Spain is the preferred pick. The...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Home (Portugal)
L
Portugal have home advantage and a solid defense. Spain's form is excellent but away from home in a hostile environment, Portugal can avoid...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusSpain / Spain 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
38%
Spain / Spain
Spain-Spain (Spain ahead and winning full-time) is the modal outcome given their form advantage and rest edge. However, a halftime draw foll...
GPT-5 Mini
30%
Draw / Spain
I expect a cautious first half as both coaches probe; a 0-0 or 0-0/1-1 half-time is common in big knockout ties. Spain's superior control an...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Spain / Spain
Spain's strong form and head-to-head advantage suggest they will lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([si.com](https://www.si.com/soccer/por...
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Portugal
L
First half often cagey between these teams; Portugal tends to find breakthroughs later. Training data through 2024 shows draw/home as the mo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
28%
Draw / Draw
L
The excellent defensive records of both teams and the cautious approach typical of World Cup knockout games strongly suggest a cagey start,...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Spain / Spain
Spain's strong form suggests they are likely to control the game from the start and maintain that dominance through to the end. Their recent...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Draw / Draw
L
Both teams are defensively strong and cautious in derbies. Expect a goalless or low-scoring first half. Draw/Draw is a plausible outcome.
Both teams to score
Consensusno 4/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
65%
Yes
L
Spain's zero-conceded record (5 matches) is unsustainably good and likely regresses against a strong Portugal attack at home. Portugal's 12...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
no
W
Spain's tournament clean-sheet streak makes 'both teams to score' less likely; Portugal will create chances but Spain have shown the ability...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
no
W
Spain's defense has been solid, and Portugal's attack has been inconsistent, making both teams scoring unlikely. ([squawka.com](https://www....
Grok 4 Fast
53%
no
W
Both sides possess strong defensive records and rarely concede to each other. Set-piece focus reduces open-play goals. Training data through...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
No
W
With Spain having kept a clean sheet in all of their last five games and Portugal conceding only once, both teams demonstrate formidable def...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
no
W
Spain's defensive record in their last 5 matches is exceptional, conceding zero goals. While Portugal has a strong attack, their opponent's...
DeepSeek V3
55%
No
W
Spain's recent clean sheet record is perfect; Portugal's defense is also solid. One team could easily keep a clean sheet in a low-scoring ma...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Over 2.5
L
Spain's attacking record (2.6 goals per match) and Portugal's defensive concession rate (1 goal in 5 home matches) both suggest a moderately...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
under
W
Both sides have shown defensive discipline in this tournament—Spain with three clean sheets and Portugal scraping a narrow knockout win—so a...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
under
W
Both teams have strong defenses, with Spain yet to concede a goal in the tournament. This suggests a low-scoring match. ([squawka.com](https...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
under
W
Both teams prioritize defensive structure in high-stakes matches; Spain's recent clean-sheet run and Portugal's low concession rate point to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Under 2.5
W
Both Portugal and Spain exhibit exceptionally strong defensive records, conceding only one goal combined in their last ten matches according...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
L
Both teams have strong attacking records, with Spain scoring 13 and Portugal scoring 12 in their last 5 matches. While Spain's defense has b...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Under 2.5 goals
W
Both teams have strong defenses; Portugal conceded 1, Spain 0 in recent matches. World Cup knockout matches tend to be low-scoring. Expect a...
Asian handicap
ConsensusSpain 2/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Spain -0.5
W
Spain's superior away form and extra rest justify a half-goal handicap. At -0.5, Spain wins even on a draw, reflecting their edge in form, r...
GPT-5 Mini
46%
Spain -0.5
W
Spain -0.5 (win outright) is attractive because their defensive form gives them an above-average chance of an outright win, but the risk of...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Spain
Spain's strong form and head-to-head advantage make them favorites to win, even with a handicap. ([si.com](https://www.si.com/soccer/portuga...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ 0
Asian line at 0 reflects near parity; Portugal's home advantage tips the scale slightly. Training data through 2024 supports a small home ed...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Spain +0.5
W
The historical rivalry and current form suggest a very closely contested match, with a draw being a distinct possibility. Spain's defensive...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
Spain
This market is essentially identical to Draw No Bet for a pick on Spain. Based on their superior recent form and defensive solidity, Spain i...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Away (Spain) +0.25
Spain's recent form is impeccable, and they have not lost to Portugal recently. The +0.25 line covers a draw, which is a likely outcome.
Spread
ConsensusSpain 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Spain -1
Spain's form is superior and they have the extra rest day, supporting a one-goal victory margin. However, Portugal's home status and mixed f...
GPT-5 Mini
75%
Spain
Portugal -1 (home to win by two+) is unlikely given Spain's form and defensive record; Spain are the likelier side to avoid a two-goal defea...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Spain
Spain's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([si.com](https://www.si.com/soccer/portu...
Grok 4 Fast
48%
home_ -1
Portugal's home edge makes -1 handicap viable though Spain's quality keeps the margin narrow. Training data through 2024 shows Portugal cove...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Spain +1
W
Considering the anticipated low-scoring and tight nature of this World Cup clash, it's highly unlikely that Portugal will secure a victory b...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Spain
Spain's current form, particularly their flawless defensive record, suggests they have the capacity to win by more than one goal against a s...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Home (Portugal) -1
Portugal have a strong home record, but Spain are in superb form. A multi-goal win for Portugal is unlikely; Spain +1 offers more safety.
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini
Spain
Claude Haiku 4.5
Spain
GPT-5 Mini
Spain
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Spain
Grok 4 Fast
Portugal
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Spain
DeepSeek V3
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
confirmed starting lineups — see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
12 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Portugal | Draw | Spain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.26 | 3.59 | 1.96 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 1.36 |
| Unibet | 2.80 | 3.50 | 1.92 |
| 10bet | 2.80 | 3.35 | 1.38 |
| 1xbet | 4.04 | 3.65 | 2.02 |
| 888sport | 2.80 | 3.30 | 1.91 |
| Betano | 4.05 | 3.55 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 4.10 | 3.50 | 1.36 |
| Betvictor | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.40 |
| Marathonbet | 3.98 | 3.52 | 1.95 |
| Sbo | 3.78 | 3.53 | 1.98 |
| William-hill | 2.75 | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | 10.00 | 1.06 |
| Unibet | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| 888sport | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — | — |
| William-hill | — | — | — |
| Book | Portugal | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betano | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
c2423ab73968b4ac…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Jul 6 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 10211,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-07-06T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 06 Jul 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Spain",
"home": "Portugal"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWWW",
"record": "5W-0D-0L",
"scored": 13,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 0
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDDWW",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 1
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 3
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
40 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.