PortugalvsCroatia
Portugal 2–1 Croatia
All 6 AIs backed Portugal — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Portugal 6/6
- Correct calls
- 6/6
- Final
- 2–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena8 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Portugal 54% |
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
yes 3/6 models |
under 2/6 models |
1-0 2/6 models |
Portugal 2/6 models |
Portugal -1 2/6 models |
Portugal / Portugal 4/6 models |
Portugal 6/6 models |
Portugal 6/6 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | — | — | — | — | — | — | Portugal 54% | — | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.7 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Sonnet 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
55%
yes
W
|
62%
under
L
|
20%
1-1
L
|
47%
Portugal -0.5
W
|
48%
away_get |
34%
Draw / Portugal |
44%
Portugal
W
|
62%
Portugal
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams carried consistent attacking threats into the knockouts: Portugal's finishing (Ronaldo, Leão, wide fullbacks) and Croatia's count...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
under Knockout games between two experienced European sides (Portugal and Croatia) historically tighten up; Portugal conceded only once in group s...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 Most likely scorelines for a tight knockout between these sides are low-scoring: 1-1 (both score but no big margin) edges out a narrow Portu...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
47%
Portugal -0.5 A straight-win Asian line (home -0.5) roughly maps to the h2h win probability; Portugal are slightly more likely to win in regulation but th...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
away_get Portugal winning by 2+ (covering -1) is possible but not the likeliest outcome in a knockout against a resilient Croatia; tighter outcomes (...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
34%
Draw / Portugal A common knockout pattern is a cagey first half (draw at HT) followed by the favorite edging the match as subs and tactical moves decide the...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
44%
Portugal Portugal enter the knockouts with momentum (5 pts from group stage, 5-0 win over Uzbekistan and 0-0 vs Colombia) and retained a generally co...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Portugal Removing the draw outcome favors Portugal: they look more likely to take a single decisive goal and hold it given strong defensive showings...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
no
L
|
60%
under
L
|
25%
2-0
L
|
60%
Portugal |
60%
Portugal |
55%
Portugal / Portugal |
65%
Portugal
W
|
70%
Portugal
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Considering both teams' defensive records and the likelihood of a low-scoring game, it's more probable that at least one team will fail to s...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Both teams have shown defensive solidity in recent matches, with Portugal conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 games and Croatia conceding...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-0 Considering Portugal's strong defensive record and Croatia's tendency to concede goals, a 2-0 victory for Portugal is a plausible outcome. (...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Portugal Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([11v11.com](https://www.11v11.com/tea...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Portugal Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([11v11.com](https://www.11v11.com/tea...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Portugal / Portugal Portugal's strong home form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([11v11.com](https://www....
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Portugal Portugal has a strong head-to-head record against Croatia, winning 6 of the last 9 encounters, including a 4-1 victory in 2020. Their superi...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Portugal Given Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market favorable for them. ([11v11.c...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
56%
yes
W
|
53%
over
W
|
18%
2-1
W
|
55%
Portugal -0.75
W
|
51%
Portugal -1 |
38%
Portugal / Portugal |
58%
Portugal
W
|
72%
Portugal
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
yes Croatia's organized defense has leaks against elite attacks, while Portugal rarely keep clean sheets versus counter-attacking sides. Histori...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both teams average over 2.5 goals per game in recent cycles; Portugal's attack creates volume while Croatia push forward. Training data show...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Most probable scoreline aligns with Portugal edging a narrow win; 2-1 matches observed frequency in training data for Portugal versus mid-ti...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Portugal -0.75 Asian line at -0.75 captures Portugal's slight favorite status without overextending. Croatia's resilience keeps the probability split close...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Portugal -1 Portugal's expected margin sits near one goal; their home dominance supports covering a narrow spread. Training data through 2025-09 shows P...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Portugal / Portugal Portugal typically establish control early and maintain leads; home/home appears most frequent outcome pattern in training data for similar...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Portugal Portugal's superior squad depth and attacking quality give them the edge at home in a World Cup fixture. Croatia remain competitive but have...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
72%
Portugal Removing the draw tilts the line further toward Portugal given their home record and Croatia's lower win probability on the road. Training k... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
No
L
|
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
L
|
22%
1-0
L
|
50%
Croatia +0.75
L
|
45%
Croatia +1.0 |
28%
Draw / Portugal |
48%
Portugal
W
|
67%
Portugal
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Given Portugal's formidable defensive record of just one goal conceded in their last five outings, it's highly probable that at least one te...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 Goals Portugal's recent form indicates an incredibly strong defense, conceding only one goal in five matches, which heavily points towards a low-s...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-0 Reflecting Portugal's exceptional defensive form and the expected tightness of a World Cup knockout game, a narrow 1-0 victory for Portugal...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Croatia +0.75 Given the likely tightness of a World Cup knockout fixture, Croatia covering a +0.75 Asian Handicap is the most probable scenario. While Por...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Croatia +1.0 World Cup knockout matches are typically very competitive, and Croatia's reputation for resilience suggests they will not be easily beaten b...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Portugal Both teams are defensively sound and expected to start cautiously in a high-stakes World Cup match, leading to a half-time stalemate. Portug...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Portugal Based on general team strengths from my training data, Portugal possesses superior individual talent and a strong historical record. While W...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
67%
Portugal Eliminating the draw outcome further highlights Portugal's advantage due to their offensive firepower and robust defense. Should the match e... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
56%
yes
W
|
58%
over
W
|
15%
2-1
W
|
57%
Portugal |
52%
Croatia
L
|
45%
Portugal / Portugal |
55%
Portugal
W
|
60%
Portugal
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
yes Croatia's recent record shows they have scored in 4 of their last 5 games, while Portugal has scored in all of their last 5. Despite Portuga...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams have shown a capacity to score, with Portugal scoring 11 goals in their last 5 matches and Croatia scoring 8. While Portugal's de...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Given that both teams are likely to score (BTTS: Yes) and Portugal is favored to win (H2H, form), a narrow victory seems most probable. A 2-...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
Portugal Portugal's strong home form and superior head-to-head record against Croatia indicate they are likely to secure a victory. A standard Asian...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Croatia While Portugal is favored to win, Croatia has shown resilience. A -1 spread suggests Portugal needs to win by at least two goals. Croatia's...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Portugal / Portugal Portugal's solid defense and historical advantage suggest they will likely control the game from the start and maintain their lead into the...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Portugal Portugal has a superior head-to-head record against Croatia, winning 3 out of 5 encounters. While Croatia's recent form has been win-heavy,...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Portugal Considering Portugal's historical dominance in head-to-head matches and their strong recent defensive form, they are favored to at least avo...
3 sources cited
|
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
60%
No
L
|
55%
Under 2.5
L
|
20%
1-0
L
|
60%
Portugal -0.5
W
|
30%
Portugal -1 |
35%
Portugal / Portugal |
60%
Portugal
W
|
65%
Portugal
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Portugal's defense has been excellent at home. Croatia may find it hard to score. However, Portugal's attack could find the net, making a cl...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Portugal's home games tend to be low-scoring (conceded only 1). Croatia's recent matches have moderate scoring. Expect a tactical World Cup...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-0 Portugal's strong defense and Croatia's moderate attack suggest a low-scoring win for Portugal. 1-0 is a common outcome in tight knockout ma...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Portugal -0.5 Portugal are expected to win by at least one goal. Their home form and Croatia's inconsistency support a narrow win for Portugal.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Portugal -1 Portugal are favourites but unlikely to win by more than one goal. Croatia are resilient and often keep matches close.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Portugal / Portugal Portugal likely lead at half time due to home advantage and early pressure. Croatia may rally but Portugal should hold on for full-time win.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Portugal Portugal's home form with 2W-3D-0L and only 1 conceded in 5 matches shows defensive solidity. Croatia's inconsistent away form and recent lo...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Portugal Removing draw, Portugal's superiority in form and squad depth gives them a clear advantage. Croatia may struggle to break down Portugal's de... |
|||||||||
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
55%
yes
W
Both teams carried consistent attacking threats into the knockouts: Portugal's finishing (Ronaldo, Leão, wide fullbacks) and Croatia's count...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
no
L
Considering both teams' defensive records and the likelihood of a low-scoring game, it's more probable that at least one team will fail to s...
Grok 4 Fast
56%
yes
W
Croatia's organized defense has leaks against elite attacks, while Portugal rarely keep clean sheets versus counter-attacking sides. Histori...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
L
Given Portugal's formidable defensive record of just one goal conceded in their last five outings, it's highly probable that at least one te...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
56%
yes
W
Croatia's recent record shows they have scored in 4 of their last 5 games, while Portugal has scored in all of their last 5. Despite Portuga...
DeepSeek V3
60%
No
L
Portugal's defense has been excellent at home. Croatia may find it hard to score. However, Portugal's attack could find the net, making a cl...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
62%
under
L
Knockout games between two experienced European sides (Portugal and Croatia) historically tighten up; Portugal conceded only once in group s...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
under
L
Both teams have shown defensive solidity in recent matches, with Portugal conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 games and Croatia conceding...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
W
Both teams average over 2.5 goals per game in recent cycles; Portugal's attack creates volume while Croatia push forward. Training data show...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
L
Portugal's recent form indicates an incredibly strong defense, conceding only one goal in five matches, which heavily points towards a low-s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
W
Both teams have shown a capacity to score, with Portugal scoring 11 goals in their last 5 matches and Croatia scoring 8. While Portugal's de...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under 2.5
L
Portugal's home games tend to be low-scoring (conceded only 1). Croatia's recent matches have moderate scoring. Expect a tactical World Cup...
Correct score
Consensus1-0 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
20%
1-1
L
Most likely scorelines for a tight knockout between these sides are low-scoring: 1-1 (both score but no big margin) edges out a narrow Portu...
GPT-4o Mini
25%
2-0
L
Considering Portugal's strong defensive record and Croatia's tendency to concede goals, a 2-0 victory for Portugal is a plausible outcome. (...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
W
Most probable scoreline aligns with Portugal edging a narrow win; 2-1 matches observed frequency in training data for Portugal versus mid-ti...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
22%
1-0
L
Reflecting Portugal's exceptional defensive form and the expected tightness of a World Cup knockout game, a narrow 1-0 victory for Portugal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
W
Given that both teams are likely to score (BTTS: Yes) and Portugal is favored to win (H2H, form), a narrow victory seems most probable. A 2-...
DeepSeek V3
20%
1-0
L
Portugal's strong defense and Croatia's moderate attack suggest a low-scoring win for Portugal. 1-0 is a common outcome in tight knockout ma...
Asian handicap
ConsensusPortugal 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
47%
Portugal -0.5
W
A straight-win Asian line (home -0.5) roughly maps to the h2h win probability; Portugal are slightly more likely to win in regulation but th...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Portugal
Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([11v11.com](https://www.11v11.com/tea...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Portugal -0.75
W
Asian line at -0.75 captures Portugal's slight favorite status without overextending. Croatia's resilience keeps the probability split close...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Croatia +0.75
L
Given the likely tightness of a World Cup knockout fixture, Croatia covering a +0.75 Asian Handicap is the most probable scenario. While Por...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
Portugal
Portugal's strong home form and superior head-to-head record against Croatia indicate they are likely to secure a victory. A standard Asian...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Portugal -0.5
W
Portugal are expected to win by at least one goal. Their home form and Croatia's inconsistency support a narrow win for Portugal.
Spread
ConsensusPortugal -1 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
48%
away_get
Portugal winning by 2+ (covering -1) is possible but not the likeliest outcome in a knockout against a resilient Croatia; tighter outcomes (...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Portugal
Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([11v11.com](https://www.11v11.com/tea...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Portugal -1
Portugal's expected margin sits near one goal; their home dominance supports covering a narrow spread. Training data through 2025-09 shows P...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Croatia +1.0
World Cup knockout matches are typically very competitive, and Croatia's reputation for resilience suggests they will not be easily beaten b...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Croatia
L
While Portugal is favored to win, Croatia has shown resilience. A -1 spread suggests Portugal needs to win by at least two goals. Croatia's...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Portugal -1
Portugal are favourites but unlikely to win by more than one goal. Croatia are resilient and often keep matches close.
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusPortugal / Portugal 4/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
34%
Draw / Portugal
A common knockout pattern is a cagey first half (draw at HT) followed by the favorite edging the match as subs and tactical moves decide the...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Portugal / Portugal
Portugal's strong home form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([11v11.com](https://www....
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Portugal / Portugal
Portugal typically establish control early and maintain leads; home/home appears most frequent outcome pattern in training data for similar...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
28%
Draw / Portugal
Both teams are defensively sound and expected to start cautiously in a high-stakes World Cup match, leading to a half-time stalemate. Portug...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Portugal / Portugal
Portugal's solid defense and historical advantage suggest they will likely control the game from the start and maintain their lead into the...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Portugal / Portugal
Portugal likely lead at half time due to home advantage and early pressure. Croatia may rally but Portugal should hold on for full-time win.
Match winner
ConsensusPortugal 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
44%
Portugal
W
Portugal enter the knockouts with momentum (5 pts from group stage, 5-0 win over Uzbekistan and 0-0 vs Colombia) and retained a generally co...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Portugal
W
Portugal has a strong head-to-head record against Croatia, winning 6 of the last 9 encounters, including a 4-1 victory in 2020. Their superi...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Portugal
W
Portugal's superior squad depth and attacking quality give them the edge at home in a World Cup fixture. Croatia remain competitive but have...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Portugal
W
Based on general team strengths from my training data, Portugal possesses superior individual talent and a strong historical record. While W...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Portugal
W
Portugal has a superior head-to-head record against Croatia, winning 3 out of 5 encounters. While Croatia's recent form has been win-heavy,...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Portugal
W
Portugal's home form with 2W-3D-0L and only 1 conceded in 5 matches shows defensive solidity. Croatia's inconsistent away form and recent lo...
Bookmaker line: Portugal 54%
Draw no bet
ConsensusPortugal 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Portugal
W
Removing the draw outcome favors Portugal: they look more likely to take a single decisive goal and hold it given strong defensive showings...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
Portugal
W
Given Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market favorable for them. ([11v11.c...
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Portugal
W
Removing the draw tilts the line further toward Portugal given their home record and Croatia's lower win probability on the road. Training k...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
67%
Portugal
W
Eliminating the draw outcome further highlights Portugal's advantage due to their offensive firepower and robust defense. Should the match e...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Portugal
W
Considering Portugal's historical dominance in head-to-head matches and their strong recent defensive form, they are favored to at least avo...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Portugal
W
Removing draw, Portugal's superiority in form and squad depth gives them a clear advantage. Croatia may struggle to break down Portugal's de...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini
Portugal
DeepSeek V3
Portugal
Grok 4 Fast
Portugal
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Portugal
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Portugal
GPT-5 Mini
Portugal
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
confirmed starting lineups — see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
12 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Portugal | Draw | Croatia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.85 | 5.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Unibet | 1.67 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| 10bet | 1.25 | 3.70 | 3.55 |
| 1xbet | 1.71 | 3.98 | 5.60 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Betvictor | 1.22 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 3.94 | 5.55 |
| Sbo | 1.69 | 3.83 | 5.00 |
| William-hill | 1.65 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | 11.00 | 1.05 |
| Unibet | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — | — |
| William-hill | — | — | — |
| Book | Portugal | Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betano | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
4e78549a31e7fad1…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Jul 2 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 8280,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "BMO Field",
"league": "World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-07-02T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 02 Jul 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Croatia",
"home": "Portugal"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWWL",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DDWWD",
"record": "2W-3D-0L",
"scored": 11,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 1
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
8 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
120 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.