PortugalvsCroatia
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena8 markets · 6 models picked
Consensus split
How the lineup voted · Match winner
- Portugal 100% 6/6
Model confidence
Each model's confidence in its pick (%)
Who picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.7 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Sonnet 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
48%
away_get |
47%
Portugal -0.5 |
34%
Draw / Portugal |
20%
1-1 |
44%
Portugal |
62%
Portugal |
62%
under |
55%
yes |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
away_get Portugal winning by 2+ (covering -1) is possible but not the likeliest outcome in a knockout against a resilient Croatia; tighter outcomes (...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
47%
Portugal -0.5 A straight-win Asian line (home -0.5) roughly maps to the h2h win probability; Portugal are slightly more likely to win in regulation but th...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
34%
Draw / Portugal A common knockout pattern is a cagey first half (draw at HT) followed by the favorite edging the match as subs and tactical moves decide the...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 Most likely scorelines for a tight knockout between these sides are low-scoring: 1-1 (both score but no big margin) edges out a narrow Portu...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
44%
Portugal Portugal enter the knockouts with momentum (5 pts from group stage, 5-0 win over Uzbekistan and 0-0 vs Colombia) and retained a generally co...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Portugal Removing the draw outcome favors Portugal: they look more likely to take a single decisive goal and hold it given strong defensive showings...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
under Knockout games between two experienced European sides (Portugal and Croatia) historically tighten up; Portugal conceded only once in group s...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams carried consistent attacking threats into the knockouts: Portugal's finishing (Ronaldo, Leão, wide fullbacks) and Croatia's count...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
60%
Portugal |
60%
Portugal |
55%
Portugal / Portugal |
25%
2-0 |
65%
Portugal |
70%
Portugal |
60%
under |
55%
no |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Portugal Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([11v11.com](https://www.11v11.com/tea...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Portugal Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([11v11.com](https://www.11v11.com/tea...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Portugal / Portugal Portugal's strong home form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([11v11.com](https://www....
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-0 Considering Portugal's strong defensive record and Croatia's tendency to concede goals, a 2-0 victory for Portugal is a plausible outcome. (...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Portugal Portugal has a strong head-to-head record against Croatia, winning 6 of the last 9 encounters, including a 4-1 victory in 2020. Their superi...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Portugal Given Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market favorable for them. ([11v11.c...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Both teams have shown defensive solidity in recent matches, with Portugal conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 games and Croatia conceding...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Considering both teams' defensive records and the likelihood of a low-scoring game, it's more probable that at least one team will fail to s...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
51%
Portugal -1 |
55%
Portugal -0.75 |
38%
Portugal / Portugal |
18%
2-1 |
58%
Portugal |
72%
Portugal |
53%
over |
56%
yes |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Portugal -1 Portugal's expected margin sits near one goal; their home dominance supports covering a narrow spread. Training data through 2025-09 shows P...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Portugal -0.75 Asian line at -0.75 captures Portugal's slight favorite status without overextending. Croatia's resilience keeps the probability split close...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Portugal / Portugal Portugal typically establish control early and maintain leads; home/home appears most frequent outcome pattern in training data for similar...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Most probable scoreline aligns with Portugal edging a narrow win; 2-1 matches observed frequency in training data for Portugal versus mid-ti...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Portugal Portugal's superior squad depth and attacking quality give them the edge at home in a World Cup fixture. Croatia remain competitive but have...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
72%
Portugal Removing the draw tilts the line further toward Portugal given their home record and Croatia's lower win probability on the road. Training k...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both teams average over 2.5 goals per game in recent cycles; Portugal's attack creates volume while Croatia push forward. Training data show...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
yes Croatia's organized defense has leaks against elite attacks, while Portugal rarely keep clean sheets versus counter-attacking sides. Histori... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
45%
Croatia +1.0 |
50%
Croatia +0.75 |
28%
Draw / Portugal |
22%
1-0 |
48%
Portugal |
67%
Portugal |
58%
Under 2.5 Goals |
55%
No |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Croatia +1.0 World Cup knockout matches are typically very competitive, and Croatia's reputation for resilience suggests they will not be easily beaten b...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Croatia +0.75 Given the likely tightness of a World Cup knockout fixture, Croatia covering a +0.75 Asian Handicap is the most probable scenario. While Por...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Portugal Both teams are defensively sound and expected to start cautiously in a high-stakes World Cup match, leading to a half-time stalemate. Portug...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-0 Reflecting Portugal's exceptional defensive form and the expected tightness of a World Cup knockout game, a narrow 1-0 victory for Portugal...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Portugal Based on general team strengths from my training data, Portugal possesses superior individual talent and a strong historical record. While W...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
67%
Portugal Eliminating the draw outcome further highlights Portugal's advantage due to their offensive firepower and robust defense. Should the match e...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 Goals Portugal's recent form indicates an incredibly strong defense, conceding only one goal in five matches, which heavily points towards a low-s...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Given Portugal's formidable defensive record of just one goal conceded in their last five outings, it's highly probable that at least one te... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
52%
Croatia |
57%
Portugal |
45%
Portugal / Portugal |
15%
2-1 |
55%
Portugal |
60%
Portugal |
58%
over |
56%
yes |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Croatia While Portugal is favored to win, Croatia has shown resilience. A -1 spread suggests Portugal needs to win by at least two goals. Croatia's...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
Portugal Portugal's strong home form and superior head-to-head record against Croatia indicate they are likely to secure a victory. A standard Asian...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Portugal / Portugal Portugal's solid defense and historical advantage suggest they will likely control the game from the start and maintain their lead into the...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Given that both teams are likely to score (BTTS: Yes) and Portugal is favored to win (H2H, form), a narrow victory seems most probable. A 2-...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Portugal Portugal has a superior head-to-head record against Croatia, winning 3 out of 5 encounters. While Croatia's recent form has been win-heavy,...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Portugal Considering Portugal's historical dominance in head-to-head matches and their strong recent defensive form, they are favored to at least avo...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams have shown a capacity to score, with Portugal scoring 11 goals in their last 5 matches and Croatia scoring 8. While Portugal's de...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
yes Croatia's recent record shows they have scored in 4 of their last 5 games, while Portugal has scored in all of their last 5. Despite Portuga...
3 sources cited
|
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
30%
Portugal -1 |
60%
Portugal -0.5 |
35%
Portugal / Portugal |
20%
1-0 |
60%
Portugal |
65%
Portugal |
55%
Under 2.5 |
60%
No |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Portugal -1 Portugal are favourites but unlikely to win by more than one goal. Croatia are resilient and often keep matches close.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Portugal -0.5 Portugal are expected to win by at least one goal. Their home form and Croatia's inconsistency support a narrow win for Portugal.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Portugal / Portugal Portugal likely lead at half time due to home advantage and early pressure. Croatia may rally but Portugal should hold on for full-time win.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-0 Portugal's strong defense and Croatia's moderate attack suggest a low-scoring win for Portugal. 1-0 is a common outcome in tight knockout ma...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Portugal Portugal's home form with 2W-3D-0L and only 1 conceded in 5 matches shows defensive solidity. Croatia's inconsistent away form and recent lo...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Portugal Removing draw, Portugal's superiority in form and squad depth gives them a clear advantage. Croatia may struggle to break down Portugal's de...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Portugal's home games tend to be low-scoring (conceded only 1). Croatia's recent matches have moderate scoring. Expect a tactical World Cup...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Portugal's defense has been excellent at home. Croatia may find it hard to score. However, Portugal's attack could find the net, making a cl... |
|||||||||
|
Consensus |
Portugal -1 2/6 |
Portugal 2/6 |
Portugal / Portugal 4/6 |
1-0 2/6 |
Portugal 6/6 |
Portugal 6/6 |
under 2/6 |
yes 3/6 |
|
Spread
ConsensusPortugal -1 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
48%
away_get
Portugal winning by 2+ (covering -1) is possible but not the likeliest outcome in a knockout against a resilient Croatia; tighter outcomes (...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Portugal
Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([11v11.com](https://www.11v11.com/tea...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Portugal -1
Portugal's expected margin sits near one goal; their home dominance supports covering a narrow spread. Training data through 2025-09 shows P...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Croatia +1.0
World Cup knockout matches are typically very competitive, and Croatia's reputation for resilience suggests they will not be easily beaten b...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Croatia
While Portugal is favored to win, Croatia has shown resilience. A -1 spread suggests Portugal needs to win by at least two goals. Croatia's...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Portugal -1
Portugal are favourites but unlikely to win by more than one goal. Croatia are resilient and often keep matches close.
Asian handicap
ConsensusPortugal 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
47%
Portugal -0.5
A straight-win Asian line (home -0.5) roughly maps to the h2h win probability; Portugal are slightly more likely to win in regulation but th...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Portugal
Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([11v11.com](https://www.11v11.com/tea...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Portugal -0.75
Asian line at -0.75 captures Portugal's slight favorite status without overextending. Croatia's resilience keeps the probability split close...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Croatia +0.75
Given the likely tightness of a World Cup knockout fixture, Croatia covering a +0.75 Asian Handicap is the most probable scenario. While Por...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
Portugal
Portugal's strong home form and superior head-to-head record against Croatia indicate they are likely to secure a victory. A standard Asian...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Portugal -0.5
Portugal are expected to win by at least one goal. Their home form and Croatia's inconsistency support a narrow win for Portugal.
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusPortugal / Portugal 4/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
34%
Draw / Portugal
A common knockout pattern is a cagey first half (draw at HT) followed by the favorite edging the match as subs and tactical moves decide the...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Portugal / Portugal
Portugal's strong home form and head-to-head record suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([11v11.com](https://www....
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Portugal / Portugal
Portugal typically establish control early and maintain leads; home/home appears most frequent outcome pattern in training data for similar...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
28%
Draw / Portugal
Both teams are defensively sound and expected to start cautiously in a high-stakes World Cup match, leading to a half-time stalemate. Portug...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Portugal / Portugal
Portugal's solid defense and historical advantage suggest they will likely control the game from the start and maintain their lead into the...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Portugal / Portugal
Portugal likely lead at half time due to home advantage and early pressure. Croatia may rally but Portugal should hold on for full-time win.
Correct score
Consensus1-0 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
20%
1-1
Most likely scorelines for a tight knockout between these sides are low-scoring: 1-1 (both score but no big margin) edges out a narrow Portu...
GPT-4o Mini
25%
2-0
Considering Portugal's strong defensive record and Croatia's tendency to concede goals, a 2-0 victory for Portugal is a plausible outcome. (...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Most probable scoreline aligns with Portugal edging a narrow win; 2-1 matches observed frequency in training data for Portugal versus mid-ti...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
22%
1-0
Reflecting Portugal's exceptional defensive form and the expected tightness of a World Cup knockout game, a narrow 1-0 victory for Portugal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
Given that both teams are likely to score (BTTS: Yes) and Portugal is favored to win (H2H, form), a narrow victory seems most probable. A 2-...
DeepSeek V3
20%
1-0
Portugal's strong defense and Croatia's moderate attack suggest a low-scoring win for Portugal. 1-0 is a common outcome in tight knockout ma...
Match winner
ConsensusPortugal 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
44%
Portugal
Portugal enter the knockouts with momentum (5 pts from group stage, 5-0 win over Uzbekistan and 0-0 vs Colombia) and retained a generally co...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Portugal
Portugal has a strong head-to-head record against Croatia, winning 6 of the last 9 encounters, including a 4-1 victory in 2020. Their superi...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Portugal
Portugal's superior squad depth and attacking quality give them the edge at home in a World Cup fixture. Croatia remain competitive but have...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Portugal
Based on general team strengths from my training data, Portugal possesses superior individual talent and a strong historical record. While W...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Portugal
Portugal has a superior head-to-head record against Croatia, winning 3 out of 5 encounters. While Croatia's recent form has been win-heavy,...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Portugal
Portugal's home form with 2W-3D-0L and only 1 conceded in 5 matches shows defensive solidity. Croatia's inconsistent away form and recent lo...
Draw no bet
ConsensusPortugal 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Portugal
Removing the draw outcome favors Portugal: they look more likely to take a single decisive goal and hold it given strong defensive showings...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
Portugal
Given Portugal's superior form and head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market favorable for them. ([11v11.c...
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Portugal
Removing the draw tilts the line further toward Portugal given their home record and Croatia's lower win probability on the road. Training k...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
67%
Portugal
Eliminating the draw outcome further highlights Portugal's advantage due to their offensive firepower and robust defense. Should the match e...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Portugal
Considering Portugal's historical dominance in head-to-head matches and their strong recent defensive form, they are favored to at least avo...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Portugal
Removing draw, Portugal's superiority in form and squad depth gives them a clear advantage. Croatia may struggle to break down Portugal's de...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
62%
under
Knockout games between two experienced European sides (Portugal and Croatia) historically tighten up; Portugal conceded only once in group s...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
under
Both teams have shown defensive solidity in recent matches, with Portugal conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 games and Croatia conceding...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Both teams average over 2.5 goals per game in recent cycles; Portugal's attack creates volume while Croatia push forward. Training data show...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
Portugal's recent form indicates an incredibly strong defense, conceding only one goal in five matches, which heavily points towards a low-s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
Both teams have shown a capacity to score, with Portugal scoring 11 goals in their last 5 matches and Croatia scoring 8. While Portugal's de...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under 2.5
Portugal's home games tend to be low-scoring (conceded only 1). Croatia's recent matches have moderate scoring. Expect a tactical World Cup...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
55%
yes
Both teams carried consistent attacking threats into the knockouts: Portugal's finishing (Ronaldo, Leão, wide fullbacks) and Croatia's count...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
no
Considering both teams' defensive records and the likelihood of a low-scoring game, it's more probable that at least one team will fail to s...
Grok 4 Fast
56%
yes
Croatia's organized defense has leaks against elite attacks, while Portugal rarely keep clean sheets versus counter-attacking sides. Histori...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
Given Portugal's formidable defensive record of just one goal conceded in their last five outings, it's highly probable that at least one te...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
56%
yes
Croatia's recent record shows they have scored in 4 of their last 5 games, while Portugal has scored in all of their last 5. Despite Portuga...
DeepSeek V3
60%
No
Portugal's defense has been excellent at home. Croatia may find it hard to score. However, Portugal's attack could find the net, making a cl...
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Early readRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Call the exact final score
Free account. Pick the exact final score, lock it before kickoff, beat the AI consensus across the WC and win a lifetime free plan.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Polymarket: tournament odds
What real money is betting on each team to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy.
Portugal
to win World Cup
Croatia
to win World Cup
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
4e78549a31e7fad1…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Jul 2 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 8280,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "BMO Field",
"league": "World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-07-02T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 02 Jul 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Croatia",
"home": "Portugal"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWWL",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DDWWD",
"record": "2W-3D-0L",
"scored": 11,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 1
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
120 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.