Pittsburgh PiratesvsDetroit Tigers
AI predictions
4 markets · 7 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Detroit Tigers 12/14 models |
over 4/14 models |
Detroit Tigers 4/14 models |
Detroit Tigers 8/14 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Detroit Tigers |
62%
Under 8.5 |
54%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
60%
Under 4.5 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Detroit Tigers Detroit enters with superior recent form (4W-1L vs Pirates 3W-2L) and has conceded only 16 runs in 5 matches compared to Pittsburgh's 22. Th...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 8.5 PNC Park is one of baseball's most pitcher-friendly venues, with deep fences and a neutral wind pattern that typically favors fly-ball outs...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 Detroit's form (4-1) and run-concession discipline (16 in 5 matches) support a slight moneyline edge; the -1.5 spread is a mild overstatemen...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
Under 4.5 Early-inning totals lean toward fewer runs in pitcher-friendly parks like PNC Park, where both starters typically establish command and bull... |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Detroit Tigers |
62%
Under 8.5 |
54%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
60%
Under 4.5 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Detroit Tigers Detroit enters with superior recent form (4W-1L vs Pirates 3W-2L) and has conceded only 16 runs in 5 matches compared to Pittsburgh's 22. Th...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 8.5 PNC Park is one of baseball's most pitcher-friendly venues, with deep fences and a neutral wind pattern that typically favors fly-ball outs...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 Detroit's form (4-1) and run-concession discipline (16 in 5 matches) support a slight moneyline edge; the -1.5 spread is a mild overstatemen...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
Under 4.5 Early-inning totals lean toward fewer runs in pitcher-friendly parks like PNC Park, where both starters typically establish command and bull... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
54%
Detroit Tigers |
56%
over |
51%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
53%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
54%
Detroit Tigers With both teams rested similarly and PNC Park a near-neutral venue, I lean to the hotter Detroit lineup (4W in last 5) to edge this single-g...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
over Both teams have produced elevated scoring in their recent five-game windows (Tigers 25 runs, Pirates 35), and PNC Park is essentially neutra...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 Given the small ML lean to Detroit and a neutral park, a Tigers -1.5 (win by 2+) is slightly favored because their recent scoring runs sugge...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
Detroit Tigers First-five lean favors Detroit because recent short-window run production has been strong and the Pirates' starter for the date was not post...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
54%
Detroit Tigers |
56%
over |
51%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
53%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
54%
Detroit Tigers With both teams rested similarly and PNC Park a near-neutral venue, I lean to the hotter Detroit lineup (4W in last 5) to edge this single-g...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
over Both teams have produced elevated scoring in their recent five-game windows (Tigers 25 runs, Pirates 35), and PNC Park is essentially neutra...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 Given the small ML lean to Detroit and a neutral park, a Tigers -1.5 (win by 2+) is slightly favored because their recent scoring runs sugge...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
Detroit Tigers First-five lean favors Detroit because recent short-window run production has been strong and the Pirates' starter for the date was not post...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
60%
over |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers The Detroit Tigers have a slightly better recent form, with a 4-1 record in their last five games, compared to the Pittsburgh Pirates' 3-2 r...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown moderate offensive capabilities, with the Tigers averaging 4.2 runs per game and the Pirates averaging 5.3 runs per ga...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Detroit Tigers The Tigers' recent form and away performance give them a slight edge to cover the -1 spread.
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Detroit Tigers The Tigers' recent form and away performance give them a slight edge in the first five innings.
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
60%
over |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers The Detroit Tigers have a slightly better recent form, with a 4-1 record in their last five games, compared to the Pittsburgh Pirates' 3-2 r...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown moderate offensive capabilities, with the Tigers averaging 4.2 runs per game and the Pirates averaging 5.3 runs per ga...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Detroit Tigers The Tigers' recent form and away performance give them a slight edge to cover the -1 spread.
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Detroit Tigers The Tigers' recent form and away performance give them a slight edge in the first five innings.
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
Pittsburgh Pirates |
53%
under |
48%
home_ -1.5 |
51%
Pittsburgh Pirates |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Pittsburgh Pirates PNC Park is a pitcher-friendly venue that favors the home side. Both teams enter with similar recent form but the Pirates have scored more r...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under PNC Park suppresses scoring with its dimensions. Both clubs show average offensive output in recent games and the 41 rest days suggest fresh...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
home_ -1.5 Home pitching and ballpark factors give Pittsburgh a narrow run-line edge. Tigers recent form is strong but away games at PNC have historica...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
51%
Pittsburgh Pirates Early innings favor the home starter in PNC Park. Both teams are well rested but the Pirates lineup has shown better early production. Train... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
Pittsburgh Pirates |
53%
under |
48%
home_ -1.5 |
51%
Pittsburgh Pirates |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Pittsburgh Pirates PNC Park is a pitcher-friendly venue that favors the home side. Both teams enter with similar recent form but the Pirates have scored more r...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under PNC Park suppresses scoring with its dimensions. Both clubs show average offensive output in recent games and the 41 rest days suggest fresh...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
home_ -1.5 Home pitching and ballpark factors give Pittsburgh a narrow run-line edge. Tigers recent form is strong but away games at PNC have historica...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
51%
Pittsburgh Pirates Early innings favor the home starter in PNC Park. Both teams are well rested but the Pirates lineup has shown better early production. Train... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
52%
Detroit Tigers |
55%
Over 8.5 |
60%
Detroit Tigers +1.5 |
38%
Draw |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Detroit Tigers Based on general baseball knowledge and the provided context, the Detroit Tigers exhibit a slightly better recent win-loss record and a more...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 The Pittsburgh Pirates' recent form shows a high-scoring trend, averaging 7 runs scored per game themselves. Although PNC Park can be slight...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Detroit Tigers +1.5 Given the Detroit Tigers are slightly favored in the moneyline pick due to their recent form and defensive consistency, picking them on the...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
38%
Draw With no specific starting pitcher information for this 2026 game, and considering PNC Park's tendency to be slightly pitcher-friendly, a low... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
52%
Detroit Tigers |
55%
Over 8.5 |
60%
Detroit Tigers +1.5 |
38%
Draw |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Detroit Tigers Based on general baseball knowledge and the provided context, the Detroit Tigers exhibit a slightly better recent win-loss record and a more...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 The Pittsburgh Pirates' recent form shows a high-scoring trend, averaging 7 runs scored per game themselves. Although PNC Park can be slight...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Detroit Tigers +1.5 Given the Detroit Tigers are slightly favored in the moneyline pick due to their recent form and defensive consistency, picking them on the...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
38%
Draw With no specific starting pitcher information for this 2026 game, and considering PNC Park's tendency to be slightly pitcher-friendly, a low... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
60%
under |
52%
Detroit Tigers |
58%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers Detroit's recent form shows more wins, and their starting pitcher, Tarik Skubal, has been in excellent form. Pittsburgh's starter, Mitch Kel...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Both teams have shown decent offensive output, but their recent conceded runs are slightly high. The starting pitchers are capable of limiti...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Detroit Tigers Given the slight edge in pitching and recent form, the Detroit Tigers are favored to win by more than one run. While the Pirates have a pote...
3 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
Detroit Tigers Detroit's strong recent form and the advantage of their starting pitcher Skubal suggest they will likely have a lead or be tied after five i...
3 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
60%
under |
52%
Detroit Tigers |
58%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers Detroit's recent form shows more wins, and their starting pitcher, Tarik Skubal, has been in excellent form. Pittsburgh's starter, Mitch Kel...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Both teams have shown decent offensive output, but their recent conceded runs are slightly high. The starting pitchers are capable of limiti...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Detroit Tigers Given the slight edge in pitching and recent form, the Detroit Tigers are favored to win by more than one run. While the Pirates have a pote...
3 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
Detroit Tigers Detroit's strong recent form and the advantage of their starting pitcher Skubal suggest they will likely have a lead or be tied after five i...
3 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
52%
Under 8.5 |
48%
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 |
58%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers Training data through 2025-09. Detroit has been stronger with a 4-1 record and better underlying metrics, while Pittsburgh's bullpen is susc...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under 8.5 PNC Park is pitcher-friendly, and the projected starters are strong. Both offenses are mediocre, but Pittsburgh has shown more power recentl...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 With low confidence, Pittsburgh's run support has been volatile but their scoring bursts could cover. Detroit's stronger form suggests a clo...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
Detroit Tigers Detroit's starting pitching is more reliable, and they have been solid in early innings. Pittsburgh's bullpen has been shaky, but the first... |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
52%
Under 8.5 |
48%
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 |
58%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers Training data through 2025-09. Detroit has been stronger with a 4-1 record and better underlying metrics, while Pittsburgh's bullpen is susc...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under 8.5 PNC Park is pitcher-friendly, and the projected starters are strong. Both offenses are mediocre, but Pittsburgh has shown more power recentl...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 With low confidence, Pittsburgh's run support has been volatile but their scoring bursts could cover. Detroit's stronger form suggests a clo...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
Detroit Tigers Detroit's starting pitching is more reliable, and they have been solid in early innings. Pittsburgh's bullpen has been shaky, but the first... |
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Match winner
ConsensusDetroit Tigers 12/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit enters with superior recent form (4W-1L vs Pirates 3W-2L) and has conceded only 16 runs in 5 matches compared to Pittsburgh's 22. Th...
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit enters with superior recent form (4W-1L vs Pirates 3W-2L) and has conceded only 16 runs in 5 matches compared to Pittsburgh's 22. Th...
GPT-5 Mini
54%
Detroit Tigers
With both teams rested similarly and PNC Park a near-neutral venue, I lean to the hotter Detroit lineup (4W in last 5) to edge this single-g...
GPT-5 Mini
54%
Detroit Tigers
With both teams rested similarly and PNC Park a near-neutral venue, I lean to the hotter Detroit lineup (4W in last 5) to edge this single-g...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers have a slightly better recent form, with a 4-1 record in their last five games, compared to the Pittsburgh Pirates' 3-2 r...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers have a slightly better recent form, with a 4-1 record in their last five games, compared to the Pittsburgh Pirates' 3-2 r...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park is a pitcher-friendly venue that favors the home side. Both teams enter with similar recent form but the Pirates have scored more r...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park is a pitcher-friendly venue that favors the home side. Both teams enter with similar recent form but the Pirates have scored more r...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Detroit Tigers
Based on general baseball knowledge and the provided context, the Detroit Tigers exhibit a slightly better recent win-loss record and a more...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Detroit Tigers
Based on general baseball knowledge and the provided context, the Detroit Tigers exhibit a slightly better recent win-loss record and a more...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit's recent form shows more wins, and their starting pitcher, Tarik Skubal, has been in excellent form. Pittsburgh's starter, Mitch Kel...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit's recent form shows more wins, and their starting pitcher, Tarik Skubal, has been in excellent form. Pittsburgh's starter, Mitch Kel...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Detroit Tigers
Training data through 2025-09. Detroit has been stronger with a 4-1 record and better underlying metrics, while Pittsburgh's bullpen is susc...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Detroit Tigers
Training data through 2025-09. Detroit has been stronger with a 4-1 record and better underlying metrics, while Pittsburgh's bullpen is susc...
Over / Under
Consensusover 4/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Under 8.5
PNC Park is one of baseball's most pitcher-friendly venues, with deep fences and a neutral wind pattern that typically favors fly-ball outs...
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Under 8.5
PNC Park is one of baseball's most pitcher-friendly venues, with deep fences and a neutral wind pattern that typically favors fly-ball outs...
GPT-5 Mini
56%
over
Both teams have produced elevated scoring in their recent five-game windows (Tigers 25 runs, Pirates 35), and PNC Park is essentially neutra...
GPT-5 Mini
56%
over
Both teams have produced elevated scoring in their recent five-game windows (Tigers 25 runs, Pirates 35), and PNC Park is essentially neutra...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have shown moderate offensive capabilities, with the Tigers averaging 4.2 runs per game and the Pirates averaging 5.3 runs per ga...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have shown moderate offensive capabilities, with the Tigers averaging 4.2 runs per game and the Pirates averaging 5.3 runs per ga...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
PNC Park suppresses scoring with its dimensions. Both clubs show average offensive output in recent games and the 41 rest days suggest fresh...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
PNC Park suppresses scoring with its dimensions. Both clubs show average offensive output in recent games and the 41 rest days suggest fresh...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 8.5
The Pittsburgh Pirates' recent form shows a high-scoring trend, averaging 7 runs scored per game themselves. Although PNC Park can be slight...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 8.5
The Pittsburgh Pirates' recent form shows a high-scoring trend, averaging 7 runs scored per game themselves. Although PNC Park can be slight...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
under
Both teams have shown decent offensive output, but their recent conceded runs are slightly high. The starting pitchers are capable of limiti...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
under
Both teams have shown decent offensive output, but their recent conceded runs are slightly high. The starting pitchers are capable of limiti...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Under 8.5
PNC Park is pitcher-friendly, and the projected starters are strong. Both offenses are mediocre, but Pittsburgh has shown more power recentl...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Under 8.5
PNC Park is pitcher-friendly, and the projected starters are strong. Both offenses are mediocre, but Pittsburgh has shown more power recentl...
Spread
ConsensusDetroit Tigers 4/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
Detroit's form (4-1) and run-concession discipline (16 in 5 matches) support a slight moneyline edge; the -1.5 spread is a mild overstatemen...
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
Detroit's form (4-1) and run-concession discipline (16 in 5 matches) support a slight moneyline edge; the -1.5 spread is a mild overstatemen...
GPT-5 Mini
51%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
Given the small ML lean to Detroit and a neutral park, a Tigers -1.5 (win by 2+) is slightly favored because their recent scoring runs sugge...
GPT-5 Mini
51%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
Given the small ML lean to Detroit and a neutral park, a Tigers -1.5 (win by 2+) is slightly favored because their recent scoring runs sugge...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers' recent form and away performance give them a slight edge to cover the -1 spread.
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers' recent form and away performance give them a slight edge to cover the -1 spread.
Grok 4 Fast
48%
home_ -1.5
Home pitching and ballpark factors give Pittsburgh a narrow run-line edge. Tigers recent form is strong but away games at PNC have historica...
Grok 4 Fast
48%
home_ -1.5
Home pitching and ballpark factors give Pittsburgh a narrow run-line edge. Tigers recent form is strong but away games at PNC have historica...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Detroit Tigers +1.5
Given the Detroit Tigers are slightly favored in the moneyline pick due to their recent form and defensive consistency, picking them on the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Detroit Tigers +1.5
Given the Detroit Tigers are slightly favored in the moneyline pick due to their recent form and defensive consistency, picking them on the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Detroit Tigers
Given the slight edge in pitching and recent form, the Detroit Tigers are favored to win by more than one run. While the Pirates have a pote...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Detroit Tigers
Given the slight edge in pitching and recent form, the Detroit Tigers are favored to win by more than one run. While the Pirates have a pote...
DeepSeek V3
48%
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5
With low confidence, Pittsburgh's run support has been volatile but their scoring bursts could cover. Detroit's stronger form suggests a clo...
DeepSeek V3
48%
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5
With low confidence, Pittsburgh's run support has been volatile but their scoring bursts could cover. Detroit's stronger form suggests a clo...
First 5 innings
ConsensusDetroit Tigers 8/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
60%
Under 4.5
Early-inning totals lean toward fewer runs in pitcher-friendly parks like PNC Park, where both starters typically establish command and bull...
Claude Haiku 4.5
60%
Under 4.5
Early-inning totals lean toward fewer runs in pitcher-friendly parks like PNC Park, where both starters typically establish command and bull...
GPT-5 Mini
53%
Detroit Tigers
First-five lean favors Detroit because recent short-window run production has been strong and the Pirates' starter for the date was not post...
GPT-5 Mini
53%
Detroit Tigers
First-five lean favors Detroit because recent short-window run production has been strong and the Pirates' starter for the date was not post...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers' recent form and away performance give them a slight edge in the first five innings.
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers' recent form and away performance give them a slight edge in the first five innings.
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Pittsburgh Pirates
Early innings favor the home starter in PNC Park. Both teams are well rested but the Pirates lineup has shown better early production. Train...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Pittsburgh Pirates
Early innings favor the home starter in PNC Park. Both teams are well rested but the Pirates lineup has shown better early production. Train...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Draw
With no specific starting pitcher information for this 2026 game, and considering PNC Park's tendency to be slightly pitcher-friendly, a low...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Draw
With no specific starting pitcher information for this 2026 game, and considering PNC Park's tendency to be slightly pitcher-friendly, a low...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit's strong recent form and the advantage of their starting pitcher Skubal suggest they will likely have a lead or be tied after five i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit's strong recent form and the advantage of their starting pitcher Skubal suggest they will likely have a lead or be tied after five i...
DeepSeek V3
58%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit's starting pitching is more reliable, and they have been solid in early innings. Pittsburgh's bullpen has been shaky, but the first...
DeepSeek V3
58%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit's starting pitching is more reliable, and they have been solid in early innings. Pittsburgh's bullpen has been shaky, but the first...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
Detroit Tigers
Claude Haiku 4.5
Detroit Tigers
GPT-4o Mini
Detroit Tigers
GPT-4o Mini
Detroit Tigers
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Detroit Tigers
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Detroit Tigers
DeepSeek V3
Detroit Tigers
DeepSeek V3
Detroit Tigers
GPT-5 Mini
Detroit Tigers
GPT-5 Mini
Detroit Tigers
Grok 4 Fast
Pittsburgh Pirates
Grok 4 Fast
Pittsburgh Pirates
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Detroit Tigers
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Detroit Tigers
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
7fc94ae419520f40…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Aug 19 · 18:35 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 27117,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": "PNC Park",
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-08-19T16:35:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 19 Aug 2026 16:35:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"home": "Pittsburgh Pirates"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
"Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
"Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
"Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
"Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWWL",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 25,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 16
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWWWL",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 35,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 22
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 41,
"home": 41
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
8 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
56 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.