Philadelphia Union IIvsConnecticut FC
Philadelphia Union II 2–4 Connecticut FC
6 of 8 AIs leaned Connecticut FC — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Connecticut FC 6/8
- Correct calls
- 6/8
- Final
- 2–4
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
2-1 4/8 models |
Connecticut FC 6/8 models |
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC 4/8 models |
Connecticut FC 6/8 models |
Philadelphia Union II 2/8 models |
away_ -0.5 2/8 models |
over 6/8 models |
yes 6/8 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
1-2
L
|
55%
Connecticut FC
W
|
33%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC |
42%
Connecticut FC
W
|
48%
Connecticut FC -1
W
|
51%
Connecticut FC 0
W
|
58%
over
W
|
62%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Away side's scoring rate and home defensive record point to 1-2 as most probable scoreline. Training data through 2025-09.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Connecticut FC Connecticut's stronger attacking output (12 goals) and defensive record outweigh home advantage at Subaru Park. Limited rest differential (3...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
33%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC Away side's strong form supports leading at half and full time. Home defensive issues likely exposed early. Training data through 2025-09.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC enter with superior recent form (WWLWW, 4W-0D-1L) and better goal difference than Philadelphia Union II (WWDLL). Home side ha...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Connecticut FC -1 Home side's defensive frailties make covering -1 difficult for visitors but form suggests narrow away win likely. Training data through 2025...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Connecticut FC 0 Connecticut's better record and goal difference give slight edge on level ball. Home venue provides some offset but not enough to flip lean....
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both sides average over 2.5 combined goals in recent matches; away attack potent and home defense leaky. MLS Next Pro style favors open game...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
yes Philadelphia concede frequently at home while Connecticut score regularly on the road. Both teams show attacking intent in recent sequences.... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
1-2
L
|
55%
Connecticut FC
W
|
33%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC |
42%
Connecticut FC
W
|
48%
Connecticut FC -1
W
|
51%
Connecticut FC 0
W
|
58%
over
W
|
62%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Away side's scoring rate and home defensive record point to 1-2 as most probable scoreline. Training data through 2025-09.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Connecticut FC Connecticut's stronger attacking output (12 goals) and defensive record outweigh home advantage at Subaru Park. Limited rest differential (3...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
33%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC Away side's strong form supports leading at half and full time. Home defensive issues likely exposed early. Training data through 2025-09.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC enter with superior recent form (WWLWW, 4W-0D-1L) and better goal difference than Philadelphia Union II (WWDLL). Home side ha...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Connecticut FC -1 Home side's defensive frailties make covering -1 difficult for visitors but form suggests narrow away win likely. Training data through 2025...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Connecticut FC 0 Connecticut's better record and goal difference give slight edge on level ball. Home venue provides some offset but not enough to flip lean....
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both sides average over 2.5 combined goals in recent matches; away attack potent and home defense leaky. MLS Next Pro style favors open game...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
yes Philadelphia concede frequently at home while Connecticut score regularly on the road. Both teams show attacking intent in recent sequences.... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
15%
1-3
L
|
65%
Connecticut FC
W
|
45%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC |
55%
Connecticut FC
W
|
60%
Connecticut FC +1
W
|
65%
Connecticut FC +0.5
W
|
60%
Over
W
|
65%
Yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-3 Based on Connecticut FC's strong attacking form (2.4 GPG) and Philadelphia Union II's weak defense (2.2 GPG conceded), a scoreline of 1-3 fo...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Connecticut FC Given Connecticut FC's strong form and offensive output, they are clearly favored to win. This market removes the draw outcome, making Conne...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC Connecticut FC is the stronger team based on recent form and goal difference. They have a good chance to assert dominance early and maintain...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC displays significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring more goals while conceding fewer. Ph...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Connecticut FC +1 The 'Home -1' spread implies Philadelphia Union II wins by two or more goals, which is highly unlikely given their poor form and defensive s...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Connecticut FC +0.5 This market essentially picks the team to win or draw. Given Connecticut FC's superior recent form and goal statistics, they are much more l...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games. Connecticut FC averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Philade...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Connecticut FC has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of 5. Philadelphia Union II has scored in 3 of their last 5 and con... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
15%
1-3
L
|
65%
Connecticut FC
W
|
45%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC |
55%
Connecticut FC
W
|
60%
Connecticut FC +1
W
|
65%
Connecticut FC +0.5
W
|
60%
Over
W
|
65%
Yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-3 Based on Connecticut FC's strong attacking form (2.4 GPG) and Philadelphia Union II's weak defense (2.2 GPG conceded), a scoreline of 1-3 fo...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Connecticut FC Given Connecticut FC's strong form and offensive output, they are clearly favored to win. This market removes the draw outcome, making Conne...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC Connecticut FC is the stronger team based on recent form and goal difference. They have a good chance to assert dominance early and maintain...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC displays significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring more goals while conceding fewer. Ph...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Connecticut FC +1 The 'Home -1' spread implies Philadelphia Union II wins by two or more goals, which is highly unlikely given their poor form and defensive s...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Connecticut FC +0.5 This market essentially picks the team to win or draw. Given Connecticut FC's superior recent form and goal statistics, they are much more l...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games. Connecticut FC averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Philade...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Connecticut FC has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of 5. Philadelphia Union II has scored in 3 of their last 5 and con... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
2-1
L
|
57%
Philadelphia Union II
L
|
30%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II
L
|
55%
Philadelphia Union II
L
|
52%
Philadelphia Union II
L
|
53%
Philadelphia Union II |
58%
over
W
|
60%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Given the prediction for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home team, Philadelphia Union II, seems mos...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
57%
Philadelphia Union II Considering the home advantage for Philadelphia Union II, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. Even if Connecticut FC's recent fo...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II is expected to start cautiously at home against a competitive Connecticut FC side. A draw at halftime seems plausible...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II has a slight edge due to playing at home. Although their recent form is not stellar (2W-1D-2L), Connecticut FC's away...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Philadelphia Union II While Philadelphia Union II is predicted to win, a handicap of -1 implies they need to win by at least two goals. Given their inconsistent f...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II playing at home gives them a slight advantage. While Connecticut FC has better recent form, the home environment often...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams have shown attacking potential in their recent matches, with Connecticut FC scoring 12 in their last 5 and Philadelphia Union II...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Connecticut FC's recent scoring record (12 goals in 5 games) and Philadelphia Union II's defensive struggles (11 goals conceded in 5 games)...
2 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
2-1
L
|
57%
Philadelphia Union II
L
|
30%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II
L
|
55%
Philadelphia Union II
L
|
52%
Philadelphia Union II
L
|
53%
Philadelphia Union II |
58%
over
W
|
60%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Given the prediction for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home team, Philadelphia Union II, seems mos...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
57%
Philadelphia Union II Considering the home advantage for Philadelphia Union II, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. Even if Connecticut FC's recent fo...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II is expected to start cautiously at home against a competitive Connecticut FC side. A draw at halftime seems plausible...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II has a slight edge due to playing at home. Although their recent form is not stellar (2W-1D-2L), Connecticut FC's away...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Philadelphia Union II While Philadelphia Union II is predicted to win, a handicap of -1 implies they need to win by at least two goals. Given their inconsistent f...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II playing at home gives them a slight advantage. While Connecticut FC has better recent form, the home environment often...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams have shown attacking potential in their recent matches, with Connecticut FC scoring 12 in their last 5 and Philadelphia Union II...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Connecticut FC's recent scoring record (12 goals in 5 games) and Philadelphia Union II's defensive struggles (11 goals conceded in 5 games)...
2 sources cited
|
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
12%
2-1
L
|
55%
Connecticut FC
W
|
30%
away_away |
42%
Connecticut FC
W
|
35%
away_ -1 |
42%
away_ -0.5 |
52%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Given the form, a 2-1 win for Connecticut FC is a plausible scoreline, but the probabilities are spread among several outcomes. Both teams s...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Connecticut FC Removing the draw, Connecticut FC's superior form and attacking output (12 goals in five) give them a clear edge. Philadelphia Union II's de...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
away_away Connecticut FC often score early given their attacking form, so the away/away double is plausible. However, matches can change quickly, so t...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC are in strong form with four wins in five, while Philadelphia Union II have lost two straight and conceded 11 in their last f...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
35%
away_ -1 Connecticut FC are strong but winning by multiple goals is always tough away from home. Philadelphia Union II might keep it close despite th...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
42%
away_ -0.5 With Connecticut FC in better form, a half-goal handicap for the away side is reasonable. The plus half for home gives them a safety net, ma...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over With Connecticut FC scoring 12 in five and Philadelphia conceding 11, there is a likelihood of goals. However, the home side's own scoring (...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown they can score, with away scoring 12 and home scoring 7 in their last five. Defensively both have conceded, especially... |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
12%
2-1
L
|
55%
Connecticut FC
W
|
30%
away_away |
42%
Connecticut FC
W
|
35%
away_ -1 |
42%
away_ -0.5 |
52%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Given the form, a 2-1 win for Connecticut FC is a plausible scoreline, but the probabilities are spread among several outcomes. Both teams s...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Connecticut FC Removing the draw, Connecticut FC's superior form and attacking output (12 goals in five) give them a clear edge. Philadelphia Union II's de...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
away_away Connecticut FC often score early given their attacking form, so the away/away double is plausible. However, matches can change quickly, so t...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC are in strong form with four wins in five, while Philadelphia Union II have lost two straight and conceded 11 in their last f...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
35%
away_ -1 Connecticut FC are strong but winning by multiple goals is always tough away from home. Philadelphia Union II might keep it close despite th...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
42%
away_ -0.5 With Connecticut FC in better form, a half-goal handicap for the away side is reasonable. The plus half for home gives them a safety net, ma...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over With Connecticut FC scoring 12 in five and Philadelphia conceding 11, there is a likelihood of goals. However, the home side's own scoring (...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown they can score, with away scoring 12 and home scoring 7 in their last five. Defensively both have conceded, especially... |
|||||||||
Correct score
Consensus2-1 4/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
L
Away side's scoring rate and home defensive record point to 1-2 as most probable scoreline. Training data through 2025-09.
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
L
Away side's scoring rate and home defensive record point to 1-2 as most probable scoreline. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
1-3
L
Based on Connecticut FC's strong attacking form (2.4 GPG) and Philadelphia Union II's weak defense (2.2 GPG conceded), a scoreline of 1-3 fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
1-3
L
Based on Connecticut FC's strong attacking form (2.4 GPG) and Philadelphia Union II's weak defense (2.2 GPG conceded), a scoreline of 1-3 fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Given the prediction for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home team, Philadelphia Union II, seems mos...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Given the prediction for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home team, Philadelphia Union II, seems mos...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
L
Given the form, a 2-1 win for Connecticut FC is a plausible scoreline, but the probabilities are spread among several outcomes. Both teams s...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
L
Given the form, a 2-1 win for Connecticut FC is a plausible scoreline, but the probabilities are spread among several outcomes. Both teams s...
Draw no bet
ConsensusConnecticut FC 6/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Connecticut FC
W
Connecticut's stronger attacking output (12 goals) and defensive record outweigh home advantage at Subaru Park. Limited rest differential (3...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Connecticut FC
W
Connecticut's stronger attacking output (12 goals) and defensive record outweigh home advantage at Subaru Park. Limited rest differential (3...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Connecticut FC
W
Given Connecticut FC's strong form and offensive output, they are clearly favored to win. This market removes the draw outcome, making Conne...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Connecticut FC
W
Given Connecticut FC's strong form and offensive output, they are clearly favored to win. This market removes the draw outcome, making Conne...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
Philadelphia Union II
L
Considering the home advantage for Philadelphia Union II, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. Even if Connecticut FC's recent fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
Philadelphia Union II
L
Considering the home advantage for Philadelphia Union II, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. Even if Connecticut FC's recent fo...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Connecticut FC
W
Removing the draw, Connecticut FC's superior form and attacking output (12 goals in five) give them a clear edge. Philadelphia Union II's de...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Connecticut FC
W
Removing the draw, Connecticut FC's superior form and attacking output (12 goals in five) give them a clear edge. Philadelphia Union II's de...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusConnecticut FC / Connecticut FC 4/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
33%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
Away side's strong form supports leading at half and full time. Home defensive issues likely exposed early. Training data through 2025-09.
Grok 4 Fast
33%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
Away side's strong form supports leading at half and full time. Home defensive issues likely exposed early. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
Connecticut FC is the stronger team based on recent form and goal difference. They have a good chance to assert dominance early and maintain...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
Connecticut FC is the stronger team based on recent form and goal difference. They have a good chance to assert dominance early and maintain...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II
L
Philadelphia Union II is expected to start cautiously at home against a competitive Connecticut FC side. A draw at halftime seems plausible...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II
L
Philadelphia Union II is expected to start cautiously at home against a competitive Connecticut FC side. A draw at halftime seems plausible...
DeepSeek V3
30%
away_away
Connecticut FC often score early given their attacking form, so the away/away double is plausible. However, matches can change quickly, so t...
DeepSeek V3
30%
away_away
Connecticut FC often score early given their attacking form, so the away/away double is plausible. However, matches can change quickly, so t...
Match winner
ConsensusConnecticut FC 6/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Connecticut FC
W
Connecticut FC enter with superior recent form (WWLWW, 4W-0D-1L) and better goal difference than Philadelphia Union II (WWDLL). Home side ha...
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Connecticut FC
W
Connecticut FC enter with superior recent form (WWLWW, 4W-0D-1L) and better goal difference than Philadelphia Union II (WWDLL). Home side ha...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Connecticut FC
W
Connecticut FC displays significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring more goals while conceding fewer. Ph...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Connecticut FC
W
Connecticut FC displays significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring more goals while conceding fewer. Ph...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Philadelphia Union II
L
Philadelphia Union II has a slight edge due to playing at home. Although their recent form is not stellar (2W-1D-2L), Connecticut FC's away...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Philadelphia Union II
L
Philadelphia Union II has a slight edge due to playing at home. Although their recent form is not stellar (2W-1D-2L), Connecticut FC's away...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Connecticut FC
W
Connecticut FC are in strong form with four wins in five, while Philadelphia Union II have lost two straight and conceded 11 in their last f...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Connecticut FC
W
Connecticut FC are in strong form with four wins in five, while Philadelphia Union II have lost two straight and conceded 11 in their last f...
Spread
ConsensusPhiladelphia Union II 2/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Connecticut FC -1
W
Home side's defensive frailties make covering -1 difficult for visitors but form suggests narrow away win likely. Training data through 2025...
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Connecticut FC -1
W
Home side's defensive frailties make covering -1 difficult for visitors but form suggests narrow away win likely. Training data through 2025...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Connecticut FC +1
W
The 'Home -1' spread implies Philadelphia Union II wins by two or more goals, which is highly unlikely given their poor form and defensive s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Connecticut FC +1
W
The 'Home -1' spread implies Philadelphia Union II wins by two or more goals, which is highly unlikely given their poor form and defensive s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Philadelphia Union II
L
While Philadelphia Union II is predicted to win, a handicap of -1 implies they need to win by at least two goals. Given their inconsistent f...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Philadelphia Union II
L
While Philadelphia Union II is predicted to win, a handicap of -1 implies they need to win by at least two goals. Given their inconsistent f...
DeepSeek V3
35%
away_ -1
Connecticut FC are strong but winning by multiple goals is always tough away from home. Philadelphia Union II might keep it close despite th...
DeepSeek V3
35%
away_ -1
Connecticut FC are strong but winning by multiple goals is always tough away from home. Philadelphia Union II might keep it close despite th...
Asian handicap
Consensusaway_ -0.5 2/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Connecticut FC 0
W
Connecticut's better record and goal difference give slight edge on level ball. Home venue provides some offset but not enough to flip lean....
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Connecticut FC 0
W
Connecticut's better record and goal difference give slight edge on level ball. Home venue provides some offset but not enough to flip lean....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Connecticut FC +0.5
W
This market essentially picks the team to win or draw. Given Connecticut FC's superior recent form and goal statistics, they are much more l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Connecticut FC +0.5
W
This market essentially picks the team to win or draw. Given Connecticut FC's superior recent form and goal statistics, they are much more l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II playing at home gives them a slight advantage. While Connecticut FC has better recent form, the home environment often...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II playing at home gives them a slight advantage. While Connecticut FC has better recent form, the home environment often...
DeepSeek V3
42%
away_ -0.5
With Connecticut FC in better form, a half-goal handicap for the away side is reasonable. The plus half for home gives them a safety net, ma...
DeepSeek V3
42%
away_ -0.5
With Connecticut FC in better form, a half-goal handicap for the away side is reasonable. The plus half for home gives them a safety net, ma...
Over / Under
Consensusover 6/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
over
W
Both sides average over 2.5 combined goals in recent matches; away attack potent and home defense leaky. MLS Next Pro style favors open game...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
over
W
Both sides average over 2.5 combined goals in recent matches; away attack potent and home defense leaky. MLS Next Pro style favors open game...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over
W
Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games. Connecticut FC averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Philade...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over
W
Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games. Connecticut FC averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Philade...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
W
Both teams have shown attacking potential in their recent matches, with Connecticut FC scoring 12 in their last 5 and Philadelphia Union II...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
W
Both teams have shown attacking potential in their recent matches, with Connecticut FC scoring 12 in their last 5 and Philadelphia Union II...
DeepSeek V3
52%
over
W
With Connecticut FC scoring 12 in five and Philadelphia conceding 11, there is a likelihood of goals. However, the home side's own scoring (...
DeepSeek V3
52%
over
W
With Connecticut FC scoring 12 in five and Philadelphia conceding 11, there is a likelihood of goals. However, the home side's own scoring (...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 6/8
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
yes
W
Philadelphia concede frequently at home while Connecticut score regularly on the road. Both teams show attacking intent in recent sequences....
Grok 4 Fast
62%
yes
W
Philadelphia concede frequently at home while Connecticut score regularly on the road. Both teams show attacking intent in recent sequences....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
W
Connecticut FC has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of 5. Philadelphia Union II has scored in 3 of their last 5 and con...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
W
Connecticut FC has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of 5. Philadelphia Union II has scored in 3 of their last 5 and con...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
yes
W
Connecticut FC's recent scoring record (12 goals in 5 games) and Philadelphia Union II's defensive struggles (11 goals conceded in 5 games)...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
yes
W
Connecticut FC's recent scoring record (12 goals in 5 games) and Philadelphia Union II's defensive struggles (11 goals conceded in 5 games)...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Both teams have shown they can score, with away scoring 12 and home scoring 7 in their last five. Defensively both have conceded, especially...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Both teams have shown they can score, with away scoring 12 and home scoring 7 in their last five. Defensively both have conceded, especially...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Connecticut FC
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Connecticut FC
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Philadelphia Union II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Philadelphia Union II
Grok 4 Fast
Connecticut FC
Grok 4 Fast
Connecticut FC
DeepSeek V3
Connecticut FC
DeepSeek V3
Connecticut FC
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
fcd9994de6c09a34…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Aug 23 · 21:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 30436,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Subaru Park",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-23T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 23 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Connecticut FC",
"home": "Philadelphia Union II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLWW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWDLL",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.