Philadelphia Union IIvsConnecticut FC
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Connecticut FC 3/4 models |
Connecticut FC 3/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
Connecticut FC +1 1/4 models |
Connecticut FC 0 1/4 models |
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC 2/4 models |
2-1 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
42%
Connecticut FC |
55%
Connecticut FC |
58%
over |
62%
yes |
48%
Connecticut FC -1 |
51%
Connecticut FC 0 |
33%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC |
18%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC enter with superior recent form (WWLWW, 4W-0D-1L) and better goal difference than Philadelphia Union II (WWDLL). Home side ha...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Connecticut FC Connecticut's stronger attacking output (12 goals) and defensive record outweigh home advantage at Subaru Park. Limited rest differential (3...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both sides average over 2.5 combined goals in recent matches; away attack potent and home defense leaky. MLS Next Pro style favors open game...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
yes Philadelphia concede frequently at home while Connecticut score regularly on the road. Both teams show attacking intent in recent sequences....
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Connecticut FC -1 Home side's defensive frailties make covering -1 difficult for visitors but form suggests narrow away win likely. Training data through 2025...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Connecticut FC 0 Connecticut's better record and goal difference give slight edge on level ball. Home venue provides some offset but not enough to flip lean....
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
33%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC Away side's strong form supports leading at half and full time. Home defensive issues likely exposed early. Training data through 2025-09.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Away side's scoring rate and home defensive record point to 1-2 as most probable scoreline. Training data through 2025-09. |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Connecticut FC |
65%
Connecticut FC |
60%
Over |
65%
Yes |
60%
Connecticut FC +1 |
65%
Connecticut FC +0.5 |
45%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC |
15%
1-3 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC displays significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring more goals while conceding fewer. Ph...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Connecticut FC Given Connecticut FC's strong form and offensive output, they are clearly favored to win. This market removes the draw outcome, making Conne...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games. Connecticut FC averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Philade...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Connecticut FC has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of 5. Philadelphia Union II has scored in 3 of their last 5 and con...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Connecticut FC +1 The 'Home -1' spread implies Philadelphia Union II wins by two or more goals, which is highly unlikely given their poor form and defensive s...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Connecticut FC +0.5 This market essentially picks the team to win or draw. Given Connecticut FC's superior recent form and goal statistics, they are much more l...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC Connecticut FC is the stronger team based on recent form and goal difference. They have a good chance to assert dominance early and maintain...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-3 Based on Connecticut FC's strong attacking form (2.4 GPG) and Philadelphia Union II's weak defense (2.2 GPG conceded), a scoreline of 1-3 fo... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Philadelphia Union II |
57%
Philadelphia Union II |
58%
over |
60%
yes |
52%
Philadelphia Union II |
53%
Philadelphia Union II |
30%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II |
15%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II has a slight edge due to playing at home. Although their recent form is not stellar (2W-1D-2L), Connecticut FC's away...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
57%
Philadelphia Union II Considering the home advantage for Philadelphia Union II, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. Even if Connecticut FC's recent fo...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams have shown attacking potential in their recent matches, with Connecticut FC scoring 12 in their last 5 and Philadelphia Union II...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Connecticut FC's recent scoring record (12 goals in 5 games) and Philadelphia Union II's defensive struggles (11 goals conceded in 5 games)...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Philadelphia Union II While Philadelphia Union II is predicted to win, a handicap of -1 implies they need to win by at least two goals. Given their inconsistent f...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II playing at home gives them a slight advantage. While Connecticut FC has better recent form, the home environment often...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II is expected to start cautiously at home against a competitive Connecticut FC side. A draw at halftime seems plausible...
2 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Given the prediction for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home team, Philadelphia Union II, seems mos...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
42%
Connecticut FC |
55%
Connecticut FC |
52%
over |
55%
yes |
35%
away_ -1 |
42%
away_ -0.5 |
30%
away_away |
12%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC are in strong form with four wins in five, while Philadelphia Union II have lost two straight and conceded 11 in their last f...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Connecticut FC Removing the draw, Connecticut FC's superior form and attacking output (12 goals in five) give them a clear edge. Philadelphia Union II's de...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over With Connecticut FC scoring 12 in five and Philadelphia conceding 11, there is a likelihood of goals. However, the home side's own scoring (...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown they can score, with away scoring 12 and home scoring 7 in their last five. Defensively both have conceded, especially...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
35%
away_ -1 Connecticut FC are strong but winning by multiple goals is always tough away from home. Philadelphia Union II might keep it close despite th...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
42%
away_ -0.5 With Connecticut FC in better form, a half-goal handicap for the away side is reasonable. The plus half for home gives them a safety net, ma...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
away_away Connecticut FC often score early given their attacking form, so the away/away double is plausible. However, matches can change quickly, so t...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Given the form, a 2-1 win for Connecticut FC is a plausible scoreline, but the probabilities are spread among several outcomes. Both teams s... |
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Match winner
ConsensusConnecticut FC 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Connecticut FC
Connecticut FC enter with superior recent form (WWLWW, 4W-0D-1L) and better goal difference than Philadelphia Union II (WWDLL). Home side ha...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Connecticut FC
Connecticut FC displays significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring more goals while conceding fewer. Ph...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II has a slight edge due to playing at home. Although their recent form is not stellar (2W-1D-2L), Connecticut FC's away...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Connecticut FC
Connecticut FC are in strong form with four wins in five, while Philadelphia Union II have lost two straight and conceded 11 in their last f...
Draw no bet
ConsensusConnecticut FC 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Connecticut FC
Connecticut's stronger attacking output (12 goals) and defensive record outweigh home advantage at Subaru Park. Limited rest differential (3...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Connecticut FC
Given Connecticut FC's strong form and offensive output, they are clearly favored to win. This market removes the draw outcome, making Conne...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
Philadelphia Union II
Considering the home advantage for Philadelphia Union II, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. Even if Connecticut FC's recent fo...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Connecticut FC
Removing the draw, Connecticut FC's superior form and attacking output (12 goals in five) give them a clear edge. Philadelphia Union II's de...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
over
Both sides average over 2.5 combined goals in recent matches; away attack potent and home defense leaky. MLS Next Pro style favors open game...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over
Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games. Connecticut FC averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Philade...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
Both teams have shown attacking potential in their recent matches, with Connecticut FC scoring 12 in their last 5 and Philadelphia Union II...
DeepSeek V3
52%
over
With Connecticut FC scoring 12 in five and Philadelphia conceding 11, there is a likelihood of goals. However, the home side's own scoring (...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
yes
Philadelphia concede frequently at home while Connecticut score regularly on the road. Both teams show attacking intent in recent sequences....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
Connecticut FC has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of 5. Philadelphia Union II has scored in 3 of their last 5 and con...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
yes
Connecticut FC's recent scoring record (12 goals in 5 games) and Philadelphia Union II's defensive struggles (11 goals conceded in 5 games)...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
Both teams have shown they can score, with away scoring 12 and home scoring 7 in their last five. Defensively both have conceded, especially...
Spread
ConsensusConnecticut FC +1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Connecticut FC -1
Home side's defensive frailties make covering -1 difficult for visitors but form suggests narrow away win likely. Training data through 2025...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Connecticut FC +1
The 'Home -1' spread implies Philadelphia Union II wins by two or more goals, which is highly unlikely given their poor form and defensive s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Philadelphia Union II
While Philadelphia Union II is predicted to win, a handicap of -1 implies they need to win by at least two goals. Given their inconsistent f...
DeepSeek V3
35%
away_ -1
Connecticut FC are strong but winning by multiple goals is always tough away from home. Philadelphia Union II might keep it close despite th...
Asian handicap
ConsensusConnecticut FC 0 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Connecticut FC 0
Connecticut's better record and goal difference give slight edge on level ball. Home venue provides some offset but not enough to flip lean....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Connecticut FC +0.5
This market essentially picks the team to win or draw. Given Connecticut FC's superior recent form and goal statistics, they are much more l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II playing at home gives them a slight advantage. While Connecticut FC has better recent form, the home environment often...
DeepSeek V3
42%
away_ -0.5
With Connecticut FC in better form, a half-goal handicap for the away side is reasonable. The plus half for home gives them a safety net, ma...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusConnecticut FC / Connecticut FC 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
33%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
Away side's strong form supports leading at half and full time. Home defensive issues likely exposed early. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
Connecticut FC is the stronger team based on recent form and goal difference. They have a good chance to assert dominance early and maintain...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II is expected to start cautiously at home against a competitive Connecticut FC side. A draw at halftime seems plausible...
DeepSeek V3
30%
away_away
Connecticut FC often score early given their attacking form, so the away/away double is plausible. However, matches can change quickly, so t...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
Away side's scoring rate and home defensive record point to 1-2 as most probable scoreline. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
1-3
Based on Connecticut FC's strong attacking form (2.4 GPG) and Philadelphia Union II's weak defense (2.2 GPG conceded), a scoreline of 1-3 fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
Given the prediction for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home team, Philadelphia Union II, seems mos...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
Given the form, a 2-1 win for Connecticut FC is a plausible scoreline, but the probabilities are spread among several outcomes. Both teams s...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Connecticut FC
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Philadelphia Union II
Grok 4 Fast
Connecticut FC
DeepSeek V3
Connecticut FC
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
fcd9994de6c09a34…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Aug 23 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 30436,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Subaru Park",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-23T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 23 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Connecticut FC",
"home": "Philadelphia Union II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLWW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWDLL",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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